This page updates daily, and today’s edition is built for July 11, 2026. Every prop below comes straight from StatsBench’s data on recent game logs, so nothing here is a hunch. If you want the fastest version of this research delivered to your inbox, grab the free cheatsheet before you scroll further.
What are today’s best WNBA prop picks?
The best WNBA prop picks today center on a loaded Minnesota-New York matchup and a Las Vegas-Phoenix game with three players clearing multiple stat lines. Below are eight props pulled straight from StatsBench’s Prop Finder, each with its real hit rate over the last 10 games, the calculated edge, and the current price. We’re not telling you these are locks. We’re showing you where the numbers and the market disagree.
Rhyne Howard OVER 3.5 rebounds (ATL vs POR)
Howard has gone over this rebounds line in 8 of her last 10 games, an 80% hit rate with a +19.1% edge at -156 on DraftKings. That’s the highest hit rate on today’s board. Atlanta ranks 2nd in the league in team rebounding, and with Brionna Jones doubtful and Angel Reese questionable for Saturday, Howard could see extra boards available if either sits.
Pauline Astier OVER 4 assists (NY @ MIN)
Astier has cleared 4 assists in 7 of her last 10 outings, a 70% hit rate with the best plus-money price on the board at +100 on PrizePicks. The edge here is +20%, tied for the largest of any prop today. She’s listed day-to-day herself, so check the injury report before kickoff, but if she plays, Minnesota’s defense ranks just 4th in the league defending assists, which keeps the door open.
Natasha Howard OVER 22.5 points+rebounds (MIN vs NY)
Howard has topped this combined line in 7 of 10 recent games (70%), with a +19.5% edge at -102 on FanDuel. New York’s defense sits 4th in the league in both points and rebounds allowed, so this isn’t a soft matchup on paper. Howard’s usage has been steady enough to clear it anyway, which is exactly the kind of gap StatsBench’s Consistency Grades are built to flag.
Kayla McBride OVER 15.5 points (MIN vs NY)
McBride has gone over 15.5 points in 7 of her last 10 games, a 70% hit rate with an +18.5% edge at -106 on DraftKings. New York’s defense forces a league-worst 15 turnovers a game from opponents, which can mean extra empty possessions but also more transition looks for shooters like McBride.
Kayla McBride OVER 18.5 points+assists (MIN vs NY)
Same game, a slightly bigger number. McBride clears 18.5 combined points and assists in 7 of 10 recent games (70%), priced at -109 on DraftKings with a +17.8% edge. Pairing this with her points prop above is a classic StatsBench move: same trend, two different lines, both backed by real data rather than a gut feeling.
Kahleah Copper OVER 20.5 points (PHX @ LV)
Copper has gone over 20.5 points in 7 of her last 10 games, a 70% hit rate with a +17.8% edge at -109 on DraftKings. Las Vegas is missing Janiah Barker for this one, and while that’s a frontcourt loss more than a perimeter one, it’s still a rotation that’s thinner than usual on Saturday.
Jackie Young OVER 17.5 points (LV vs PHX)
Young has cleared 17.5 points in 7 of 10 recent games (70%), with a +17.8% edge at -109 on DraftKings. Phoenix ranks just 10th in FG% allowed and 8th in points allowed, a soft enough matchup that Young shows up three separate times on today’s board.
Jackie Young OVER 21.5 points+rebounds (LV vs PHX)
Young also clears 21.5 combined points and rebounds in 7 of her last 10 games, a 70% hit rate priced at -112 on FanDuel with a +17.2% edge. Stack this with her points prop above if you’re building a same-game parlay, but remember correlated legs don’t multiply your edge the way some bettors assume.
How does StatsBench find these WNBA edges?
StatsBench pulls real recent game logs for every player, then checks how often they’ve cleared a given line over their last 10 games. That hit rate gets compared against the market’s implied probability from the posted odds, after de-vigging the price. The gap between the two is the edge you see listed above.
None of this involves guesswork or a “feel” for the matchup. It’s the same math the Positive EV Scanner runs on soft-book prices every minute, just applied to player props through the Pro Cheatsheet and Prop Finder. A real hit rate plus a real edge is the whole point, not a marketing number.
Play smart with these props
Every figure above is real, but a 70% hit rate over 10 games is still a sample, not a certainty. Variance is part of betting long-term, even with a legitimate edge. Bet only what you can afford to lose, keep bets for fun rather than a way to solve money problems, and stick to legal sportsbooks in your state. You must be 21+ to wager, and if betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Want this list line-shopped across roughly 60 sportsbooks automatically, with the injury notes and defensive ranks built in? Grab the free cheatsheet and see tomorrow’s board before the lines move.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the best WNBA prop pick today?
Rhyne Howard’s rebounds over 3.5 vs Portland carries the highest hit rate on today’s board at 80% (8 of her last 10 games), with a +19.1% edge at -156 on DraftKings. That’s based on real recent game logs, not a projection.
How is a prop’s edge calculated?
StatsBench compares a player’s real hit rate over their last 10 games against the market’s implied probability from the current odds, after removing the vig. The difference between those two numbers is the edge percentage shown with each pick.
Are WNBA prop picks guaranteed to hit?
No. Every prop above is backed by a real sample and a calculated edge, but even a 70-80% hit rate leaves room for variance. Treat this as research to combine with your own judgment, not a guaranteed outcome.
Where can I find WNBA props for free?
StatsBench’s free cheatsheet includes filtered high-hit-rate props and updates regularly. It’s a good starting point before comparing prices across other sportsbooks.
Why do Jackie Young and Kayla McBride each appear twice?
Both players show up in multiple combined-stat props (like points plus rebounds) alongside their single-stat lines because their underlying trend clears several different lines. StatsBench lists each version separately since the odds and edges differ by market.