What’s on today’s CS2 board?
These are today’s CS2 prop picks today, pulled from the StatsBench board on July 25, 2026. This page refreshes every day, so bookmark it instead of hunting for a new post. Every line, hit rate, recent-form gap and price below comes straight from the snapshot.
Three series carry the whole card: FOKUS vs MOUZ, Fluxo vs Keyd Stars, and INOX Division vs Phantom. Remember how CS2 props settle. A map 1 prop resolves inside one map of a best-of-N series, so a hit rate here means how often a player cleared that number across their recent series.
Read the correlation notes before you build any parlay. Several of these props live in the same game.
podi OVER 11.5 map 1 kills (FOKUS vs MOUZ)
podi has gone OVER 11.5 map 1 kills in 90% of recent series (9/10), with a recent-form gap of +36.2% against the market. The over is priced -139 at Thunderpick. That’s the highest clear rate on the board today.
One caveat: a 9/10 sample inflates any gap number. Nine out of ten is ten data points, not a season, so shop the price before you fire.
kye OVER 14.5 map 1 kills (Fluxo vs Keyd Stars)
kye cleared 14.5 map 1 kills in 80% of recent series (8/10). The recent-form gap sits at +31.8% and the over is -111 at Thunderpick, the cheapest juice on this list.
Near-even money on an 8/10 recent clear rate is why this row scored well. Paying less than -120 for a high-usage entry player is the kind of small win that compounds.
jocab OVER 14.5 map 1 kills (FOKUS vs MOUZ)
jocab has gone over 14.5 map 1 kills in 80% of recent series (8/10), a +30% recent-form gap, priced -118 at Thunderpick. Same map window as podi, different number.
Correlation alert: podi, jocab and ztr all come from FOKUS vs MOUZ. Stacking them multiplies one game script instead of spreading risk. Pick your favorite or size all three down.
matios OVER 13.5 map 1 kills (Keyd Stars @ Fluxo)
matios has cleared 13.5 map 1 kills in 80% of recent series (8/10). StatsBench lists a +29.6% recent-form gap with the over at -122 at Thunderpick.
Note the tie: matios and kye sit on opposite sides of the same Fluxo vs Keyd Stars series. Those two props share a game script, so treat them as one bet, not two.
Kylar OVER 14.5 map 1 kills (Phantom @ INOX Division)
Kylar has gone OVER 14.5 map 1 kills in 80% of recent series (8/10). The recent-form gap is +28.9% and the over is -127 at Thunderpick.
Two 14.5 lines on the same roster show up today. That’s usually a sign the book is pricing team volume, not individual form.
ztr OVER 5.5 map 1 headshots (FOKUS vs MOUZ)
ztr has cleared 5.5 map 1 headshots in 80% of recent series (8/10), with a +28.2% recent-form gap. The over is -128 at Stake, the only pick here priced away from Thunderpick.
Headshot props tend to be thinner markets than kills, so line shopping matters more. This is also the third FOKUS vs MOUZ prop on the page, so keep the correlation note in mind.
KEi OVER 14.5 map 1 kills (Phantom @ INOX Division)
KEi has gone over 14.5 map 1 kills in 80% of recent series (8/10). The recent-form gap reads +27.3% with the over at -137 at Thunderpick, the priciest juice on the card.
KEi and Kylar are the correlated pair from INOX Division vs Phantom. Same series, same pace assumptions, so a slow low-round map hurts both at once.
How does StatsBench build these CS2 prop picks today?
Every number above comes from real recent match logs, not projections. Here’s the short version of the method:
- Hit rate = how often a player cleared that exact line across their last 10 series.
- Recent-form gap = that last-10 over hit rate minus the de-vigged market-implied probability. It is a recent-form signal, nothing more.
- Odds = the best over price we found across the books we track, listed by book.
The gap is not expected value, ROI or a projection. A 10-series sample overstates it badly. Our validated long-run edges are single digits, so a +30% gap is a reason to check the current line, not a reason to raise your stake.
One more structural note. Map-window props (maps 1-2, maps 1-3) leave best-of-1 series out of the sample by design, since those windows can’t resolve in a single map.
How should you size correlated CS2 props?
Today’s board is three series, not seven independent bets. That changes the math on parlays. If FOKUS gets rolled 13-3, podi, jocab and ztr can all miss together.
A simple approach: take one prop per series at full size, or take multiple at a fraction of your normal unit. Correlated legs don’t diversify risk, they concentrate it.
Line shopping beats leg stacking. Six of these sit at Thunderpick and one at Stake, and prices move fast on esports props.
Get the free cheatsheet
Want the full sortable table with hit rates, consistency grades and best available odds? Grab the free StatsBench cheatsheet and check the board yourself before the maps start.
Responsible gambling
21+ only. Nothing here is a guarantee, and legality varies by where you live. Even a genuine edge loses over short stretches, because variance is real and 10-series samples are small. Bet money you can afford to lose, keep it fun, and call 1-800-GAMBLER if betting stops feeling that way.
Frequently Asked Questions
What does a map 1 kills prop actually settle on?
It settles on that player’s kill total in the first map of the series only, no matter how many maps get played. So a best-of-three still produces one map 1 result. That’s why we describe hit rates as clears across recent series, not games.
Why do you only present the over side?
Every hit rate in the StatsBench snapshot is measured on the over side of the line. Flipping a pick to the under would contradict the data card attached to it. If the over doesn’t look appealing at the listed price, the right move is to pass, not to fade it.
Is a +36.2% recent-form gap a strong bet?
It’s a signal worth investigating, not a lock. That number is a last-10 over rate minus the de-vigged market probability, and a 10-series sample overstates the size of the gap. Validated long-run edges are far smaller, usually single digits.
Can I parlay these CS2 props together?
You can, but understand what you’re doing. Picks from FOKUS vs MOUZ, Fluxo vs Keyd Stars and INOX Division vs Phantom share game scripts within each series. Stacking correlated legs multiplies one risk instead of spreading it.
How often does this page update?
Daily. The same URL gets fresh lines, hit rates and prices each day, so today’s card is dated July 25, 2026. Always confirm the current number at your book before betting, since esports props move quickly.