This page refreshes every day with the day’s Dota 2 first blood numbers. Today is October 8, 2026, and the slate has one match with a posted first-blood market: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming at BLAST Slam VIII, scheduled for 5:00 AM EDT. Here’s where the numbers lean, and the counter-number that keeps the read honest.
First blood is a zero-sum market. One team gets it, one doesn’t, so every number below is shown from both sides. Nothing here is a prediction of a result. It’s rates, samples, and side splits you can weigh yourself.
How to read today’s Dota 2 first blood numbers
Start with the matchup split, then check the underlying rates. The split is a log5 head-to-head estimate: Team Yandex 48% and LGD Gaming 52%. Those two figures sum to 100, and they’re an estimate, not a certainty.
The rates behind that estimate look like this:
| Team | Takes FB | Weighted recent | Last 10 | Concedes FB | Radiant | Dire |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team Yandex | 41.7% | 36.9% | 2 of 10 | 58.3% | 52% (n=25) | 34.3% (n=35) |
| LGD Gaming | 48.3% | 45.8% | 5 of 10 | 51.7% | 44.1% (n=34) | 53.8% (n=26) |
The takeaway: LGD Gaming holds the better take rate and the better recent form, but the two teams sit close enough that the side coin matters as much as the team name.
LGD Gaming first blood: where the 52% leans
The matchup estimate tilts toward LGD Gaming at 52%, and the raw rates support it. LGD takes first blood in 48.3% of tracked games, carries a 45.8% weighted recent figure, and has managed it in 5 of its last 10. Team Yandex sits lower on both counts, at 41.7% overall and 36.9% weighted recent, with just 2 of its last 10.
The concede column tightens the case. Team Yandex gives up first blood in 58.3% of tracked games, while LGD concedes it in 51.7%. So the lean runs toward LGD, but the head-to-head is the counter-number worth holding onto: Team Yandex took first blood in 4 of the 7 recent meetings between these two.
Radiant or Dire? The side split flips the read
These two teams have opposite side profiles, and that’s the part most people skip. Team Yandex is a 52% first-blood team on Radiant (n=25) and drops to 34.3% on Dire (n=35). LGD Gaming does the reverse: 53.8% on Dire (n=26) against 44.1% on Radiant (n=34).
That means the same fixture can lean two different ways depending on who lands where. If LGD Gaming ends up on Dire, its 53.8% rate lines up with the 52% matchup lean and the case is at its strongest. If LGD lands on Radiant instead, its 44.1% rate is the weaker half of its own profile, and Team Yandex’s 52% Radiant figure becomes the more relevant number.
Published Game-1 prices for the match are -156 and +112. StatsBench posts the price as-is on esports markets and shows no EV figure on any esports surface, so treat the price as context rather than a signal.
How the first-blood numbers are built
First-blood rates come from tracked games on both sides of each matchup, with a weighted recent figure that gives newer games more influence than older ones. The matchup split is a log5 head-to-head estimate derived from those rates, which is why the two sides always sum to 100. Side splits are broken out by Radiant and Dire with their sample sizes attached, because a 52% rate over 25 games and a 34.3% rate over 35 games shouldn’t be read the same way. Samples this size carry real noise. A 48.3% team and a 41.7% team can swap results over a short stretch, and that’s normal.
Every fixture on this page shows both teams, by design. There is no graded record for this market, and no EV or edge percentage is published for esports. Data and your own judgment, that’s the whole idea. More context on the broader match lives at dota2.com.
Responsible gambling
First-blood markets are high-variance by nature. One early skirmish decides the whole thing, so short runs of results will look nothing like the underlying rates, in either direction. Nothing here is a guarantee, and no number on this page makes an outcome certain.
Bet only what you can afford to lose, and treat it as entertainment rather than income. Must be 21+ where legal, and availability varies by region. If betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the first-blood matchup split for Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming?
The log5 head-to-head estimate is Team Yandex 48% and LGD Gaming 52%. The two sides sum to 100 because first blood is a zero-sum market. It’s an estimate built from tracked rates, not a prediction.
How often does Team Yandex take first blood?
Team Yandex takes first blood in 41.7% of tracked games, with a weighted recent figure of 36.9% and 2 of its last 10. It also concedes first blood in 58.3% of tracked games, which is the higher of the two numbers.
Does Radiant or Dire change the first-blood rates?
Significantly. Team Yandex sits at 52% on Radiant (n=25) but 34.3% on Dire (n=35), while LGD Gaming is 44.1% on Radiant (n=34) and 53.8% on Dire (n=26). The side each team lands on matters as much as the team name.
Does StatsBench show EV for esports first blood markets?
No. StatsBench removed EV from every esports surface in August 2026, so first-blood pages show rates, samples and side splits only. There is also no graded record for this market.
What are the posted Game-1 prices for this match?
The posted Game-1 prices are -156 and +112. StatsBench publishes the price exactly as shown as context only, with no EV or edge figure attached.