Best Serie A Prop Picks for Friday, November 6, 2026 (Data-Backed)

Friday’s Serie A prop picks come from a single fixture: Udinese away at Venezia on November 6, 2026. This page refreshes every day, so the card gets rebuilt off the latest game logs and the prices StatsBench is tracking, not left to age on a shelf.

Eight props made the cut. Every one of them comes out of the same 90 minutes, which changes how you should play them, and there’s a full note on that below. The card leans on Venezia’s midfield and wide defenders for volume, Udinese’s back line in fouls-won markets, and both goalkeepers on save totals.

Friday’s Serie A prop picks at a glance

Player	Prop	Recent hit rate	Last 5	Price
Gianluca Busio (Venezia)	Over 1.5 tackles	83.3% (5/6)	80%	-155 DraftKings
Antoine Hainaut (Venezia)	Over 0.5 shots	80% (8/10)	60%	-188 bet365
James Bright Adusei Abankwah (Udinese)	Over 0.5 fouls won	77.8% (7/9)	80%	-165 DraftKings
Christian Kabasele (Udinese)	Over 0.5 fouls won	70% (7/10)	100%	-165 DraftKings
Nicolò Zaniolo (Udinese)	Over 1.5 fouls won	70% (7/10)	60%	-120 DraftKings
Filip Stanković (Venezia)	Over 2.5 saves	70% (7/10)	80%	-155 DraftKings
Kike Pérez (Venezia)	Over 1.5 fouls	60% (6/10)	80%	+110 DraftKings
Maduka Okoye (Udinese)	Over 3.5 saves	60% (6/10)	60%	+100 DraftKings

Correlation warning: all eight props are from Udinese at Venezia. They share one game script. A card full of tackles, fouls won and saves moves together, so stacking several of these is one bigger bet on how this match gets played, not eight separate bets. If you play more than one, size it as a single position.

Player props for Udinese at Venezia, pick by pick

Today’s picks at a glance

Hit rate: how often the player cleared this line over his last ten matches or as many as he has played (in brackets); L5: the last five. Each pick’s card and write-up follow below.

Every match has its own page (lineups, odds by sportsbook, key matchups and the preview): Venezia vs Udinese Fri 2:45 PM ET

Gianluca Busio OVER 1.5 tackles (-155 at DraftKings)

Five of six is a small sample, so the 83.3% is a direction rather than a number to lean your bankroll on. The good news is that the last five agree with the last ten (80%), so nothing here suggests his role just changed. Udinese concedes 5.1 tackles per match to midfielders, 7th-fewest of 20 against a league average of 5.6, which makes this an average spot rather than a soft one. At -155 you’re paying for volume, not for a mispriced line.

Antoine Hainaut OVER 0.5 shots (-188 at bet365)

This is the one pick on the card where the two windows disagree. Hainaut cleared 0.5 shots in 8 of 10 recent matches, but only 3 of his last 5, and his price is the shortest here at -188. A defender who needs a single shot is a thin margin to begin with, and a fading trend at a heavy number isn’t where you want your risk. Udinese allows 2.8 shots per match to defenders, 12th-fewest of 20 against a league average of 2.7, so the matchup is neutral and won’t bail you out.

James Bright Adusei Abankwah OVER 0.5 fouls won (-165 at DraftKings)

Seven of nine recent matches is the second-best rate on the page, and the last five (80%) back it up instead of undercutting it. The problem sits on the other side of the ball: Venezia allows 1.8 fouls won per match to defenders, the fewest of all 20 teams against a league average of 2.7. You’re betting on his ability to draw contact against the stingiest defense in the division at conceding it. That trade-off is real, and it’s why this sits below the cleaner numbers here despite the 77.8%. Note that this is the same market and the same opponent as the Kabasele pick below.

Christian Kabasele OVER 0.5 fouls won (-165 at DraftKings)

Here the form and the workload point the same way. Kabasele cleared 0.5 fouls won in 7 of 10 recent matches and in all of his last 5, and his minutes climbed with it: 86.2 over the last five against 75.1 over the last ten, a jump of 11.1. More time on the pitch for a centre-back is exactly what this market wants. The caveat is identical to the pick above: Venezia gives up 1.8 fouls won per match to defenders, 1st-fewest of 20 versus a 2.7 league average, so playing both of these doubles the same bet rather than diversifying it.

Nicolò Zaniolo OVER 1.5 fouls won (-120 at DraftKings)

Fouls won over 1.5 is a bigger ask than 0.5, and the recent form is moving the wrong way: 7 of 10 recent matches, but only 3 of the last 5. Venezia allows 3.4 fouls won per match to forwards, 11th-fewest of 20, and the league average is 3.4 as well, so there’s no matchup edge to lean on. At -120 the market has already priced in most of that 70%. This is a fair number on a player trending down, not a bargain.

Filip Stanković OVER 2.5 saves (-155 at DraftKings)

The saves line has the best trend direction on the card: 7 of 10 recent matches, then 4 of 5 in the last five. That’s an improving rate, not a fade. Saves are a volume market, so the read here is about how much work he gets rather than how well he plays. At -155 the market agrees he clears 2.5 more often than not, which means the edge case is that the 80% last-five rate is noise from a short window. This one and the Okoye prop below are tied to the same match.

Kike Pérez OVER 1.5 fouls (+110 at DraftKings)

Plus money on a 60% rate is the interesting shape here, and the shorter window is better than the longer one (80% in the last five versus 60% over ten), so he’s trending up rather than fading. The drag is the opponent. Udinese concedes 2.7 fouls per match to midfielders, 3rd-fewest of 20 against a league average of 3.7, one of the tougher midfield matchups in the division. You’re getting paid for that risk at +110. If the recent trend is real, this is the best price on the page. If the matchup wins, it’s a losing bet at a fair number.

Maduka Okoye OVER 3.5 saves (+100 at DraftKings)

Six of ten recent matches and three of five in the last five, so the form is flat in both windows. A 3.5 save line is the highest bar on this card, and the even-money price tells you the market sees it as close to a coin flip. Nothing in the recent run argues he’s about to clear it more often than that. Together with the Stanković save prop, this is the same match and the same broad game script.

How StatsBench builds these numbers

Every hit rate on this page comes from a player’s real league game logs. The headline rate is the share of his recent matches in which he cleared the line shown, and the last-5 column runs the same calculation over a shorter window so you can spot a player trending up or fading before the longer sample catches up.

Prices are the best available on StatsBench’s own odds feed, which covers 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges, and they move through the day. Where a card does show a recent-form gap, that number is the last-10 over hit rate minus the de-vigged market-implied probability, a recent-form signal only. A 10-match sample overstates it, and long-run edges are far smaller than a big gap on a short sample suggests. These soccer rows don’t carry that figure, which is why you see hit rate and price here and nothing that looks like an edge estimate.

A note on risk and variance

Nothing on this page is a guarantee. A 70% hit rate still loses roughly three times in ten over the long run, and a bad week of correlated props can look like a broken method when it’s just variance. Bet within your means, treat it as entertainment, and keep the unit size small enough that a rough Friday doesn’t change your month.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Why are all the picks on this page from one match?

This edition of the page is built around Udinese at Venezia, because that’s the fixture with the deepest prop pricing available when it refreshed. The upside is real sample sizes on every row. The catch is correlation, so treat a multi-pick card as one position rather than eight independent bets.

How does StatsBench calculate the hit rates?

Each headline rate is the share of a player’s recent league matches in which he cleared the line shown, pulled from official game logs. The last-5 column runs the same math on a shorter window so you can see whether a player is trending up or fading.

Are these picks guaranteed to win?

No. Every number here is a rate over a small sample, and a 70% hit rate still loses roughly three times in ten over the long run. The prices already reflect most of what the data shows, so this is research to weigh, not a lock.

Which prop has the strongest case on Friday’s card?

Christian Kabasele’s fouls-won over is the cleanest of the group: 7 of 10 recent matches, 5 of 5 in the last five, and his minutes are up 11.1 against his ten-match baseline. The counterweight is Venezia, which concedes the fewest fouls won to defenders in the league at 1.8 per match.

Where do the prices come from?

Prices are the best available from StatsBench’s own odds feed, which covers 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges. Lines move through the day, so check the current number before you bet.