| Result | Moneyline |
|---|---|
| -137 |
|
| Draw | +290 |
| +400 |
Total goals 2.5: over -104
, under -110 ![]()
Best price at bet365, BetRivers, Caesars, DraftKings, FanDuel and Fanatics, updated 7:58 AM ET.
Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia preview
Torreense hosts Ararat-Armenia in Thursday’s Europa League match, with the three-way moneyline favoring Torreense at -133 while the draw is +280 and Ararat-Armenia +350; the total is 2.5. Torreense sits 28th with 3 points and a 1-0-2 record, form LLW most recent first, including a 0-0-1 home mark. Ararat-Armenia is 36th with 0 points and 0-0-3, form LLL, with a 0-0-1 away record.
The goal profile is the main research angle: Torreense scores 1.33 and concedes 2.33 per match, with both teams scoring in 100% and over 2.5 in 100%. Ararat-Armenia scores 0.67 and concedes 3.67, with over 2.5 in 100% and both teams scoring in 67%. Torreense lists Baradji A. out injured, while Ararat-Armenia lists Ayongo P. off the roster.
Among props, Serobyan averages 3 shots and has gone over 1.5 in 2/3, while Grigoryan averages 1 foul committed and has gone over 0.5 in 2/3. Torreense averages 2.67 corners and Ararat-Armenia 3.33.
Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia prediction
The books imply 56% / 25% / 19%
Model prices Torreense at 59% versus 54% implied by the books, so it leans more toward a Torreense win than the market does. Ararat-Armenia’s 0-0-3 form and 3.67 goals conceded per match support that lean. Torreense has both teams scored in 100% and over 2.5 in 100%, and Baradji A. is missing for Torreense.
A Poisson estimate from each club’s scoring and conceding rates this season, overall and at home or away (3 and 3 matches). It does not know about lineups or injuries, and it is a research estimate, not a guarantee.
StatsBench picks
No StatsBench pick posted for this match. Today’s posted picks are graded live.
Top Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia player props
The prop board for this match isn’t posted yet. It fills in as books open their lines.
Key matchups
From the predicted lineups: each winger against the full-back he faces, the strikers against the centre-backs. Each white tick marks the league average per match. The lower bars show how often the player cleared the line over his recent matches, green at 70% or better.
Pozo vs Grigoryan
Pozo
GrigoryanPozo’s shot-on-target line is better supported than his volume line, with 2 of 3 clears, so the SOT prop is the cleaner attacking angle; Grigoryan’s fouls line is the defensive counter but lacks draw-foul evidence.
Zoabi vs Oliveira
Zoabi
OliveiraDrammeh vs Malis
Drammeh
MalisDrammeh has not cleared his shot volume in 0 of 3, so the striker angle is weak; Malis’s fouls-committed average gives him the defensive edge.
Serobyan vs Vazquez
Serobyan
VazquezSerobyan has the attacking edge, clearing his shot line in 2 of 3, so that prop is the route; Vazquez’s fouls line has weak support.
Shaghoyan vs Mutombo
Shaghoyan
MutomboShaghoyan’s shot volume is weak, but his SOT line has cleared 2 of 3; Mutombo’s foul propensity makes his fouls-committed prop the stronger angle.
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Predicted lineups
Predicted XIs; the official lineups post about an hour before kickoff and this page updates then. The badge on each player: how often he cleared his strongest prop line (named under him) over his recent matches; green at 70% or better.
Torreense 4-2-3-1
Ararat-Armenia 4-2-3-1
1 Lucas Paes
45 Mutombo
4 Volnei
5 Mohamed
23 Vazquez
6 Oudrhiri
8 Alfaro
11 Pozo
33 Marques
19 Zoabi
17 Drammeh
98 Joao Bravim
2 Oliveira
43 Wilson Valdez
47 Malis
16 Grigoryan
8 Balanta
17 Carlier
77 Serobyan
10 Ambartsumyan
7 Shaghoyan
91 Sandro LimaTorreense missing: A. Baradji (injury)
Ararat-Armenia missing: P. Ayongo (off the roster)
Form and head to head
Torreense28th in the tableLLW1W 0D 2L · 1.00 points a match
Ararat-Armenia36th in the tableLLL0W 0D 3L · 0.00 points a matchClean sheets and goal trends
Torreense
Clean sheet0/3
Failed to score0/3
Both scored3/3
Over 2.53/3
Ararat-Armenia
Clean sheet0/3
Failed to score1/3
Both scored2/3
Over 2.53/3
Attack and defense
Attacking
- 1.3Scored per match0.7
- 7.3Shots per match11.7
- 2.7Shots on target per match3.0
- 0.0Big chances per match0.0
Defensive
- 2.3Conceded per match3.7
- 20.0Shots against per match16.0
- 13.0Tackles per match14.7
- 12.3Fouls per match11.7
Per-match rates this season. Each spoke of the charts is scaled to the higher of the two clubs.
Recent results
| Torreense | LLW | L 1-4 at Ferencváro · L 1-2 vs Sunderland · W 2-1 at Lillestrom |
|---|---|---|
| Ararat-Armenia | LLL | L 0-4 vs AZ Alkmaar · L 1-3 at Jagiellonia · L 1-4 vs Sparta Praha |
Last five Europa League results, most recent first.
Season numbers
| Torreense | Ararat-Armenia | |
|---|---|---|
| Table | 28 (3 pts) | 36 (0 pts) |
| Record (W-D-L) | 1-0-2 | 0-0-3 |
| Home / away record | 0-0-1 (1-2) home | 0-0-1 (1-3) away |
| Goals scored per match | 1.33 | 0.67 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.33 | 3.67 |
| Shots / on target per match | 7.33 / 2.67 | 11.67 / 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 / 2.5 / 3.5 goals | 100% / 100% / 33% | 100% / 100% / 100% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to score | 0% | 33% |
| Yellow cards per match | 2.00 | 2.33 |
| Corners per match | 2.67 | 3.33 |
This season, 3 and 3 matches.
Injury report
No injuries listed for either team in our data as of 7:58 AM ET.
Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia odds by sportsbook
| Book | TOR ML | ARA ML | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| -143 | +375 | O 2.5 -110 | U 2.5 -110 | |
| -137 | +340 | O 2.5 -109 | U 2.5 -120 | |
| -155 | +400 | O 2.5 -104 | U 2.5 -118 |
Highlighted: the best price in each column as of 7:58 AM ET. Prices move; check the book before you bet.
Line movement since we first listed this match (Wed 9:44 AM ET): Torreense moneyline -133 → -137.
Goal lines and both teams to score
Both teams to score: yes -108, no -118
| Total goals | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | -320 | +245 |
| 2.5 | +102 | -124 |
| 3.5 | +270 | -355 |
| 4.5 | +710 | -1250 |
Line movement chart
Betting guides: yellow card betting tips · soccer player props guide · how parlays work
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