Atlético Madrid vs Barcelona Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Nov 8, 2026)

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this match. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Top Atlético Madrid vs Barcelona player props

Player	Prop	Best price	Last 10	Last 5
Lamine Yamal FC Barcelona	Over 3.5 shots	-105 Fanatics	90% (9/10)	100%
Raphinha FC Barcelona	Over 0.5 score or assist	-145 Fanatics	90% (9/10)	80%
Jonathan Christian David Atlético Madrid	Over 0.5 shots on target	-160 Fanatics	83.3% (5/6)	80%
Álex Grimaldo Atlético Madrid	Over 40.5 passes	-135 Stake	80% (8/10)	80%
Dávid Hancko Atlético Madrid	Over 59.5 passes	-106 Stake	70% (7/10)	80%

Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent matches. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 10:53 AM ET.

Key matchups

From the predicted lineups: each winger against the full-back he faces, the strikers against the centre-backs. Each white tick marks the league average per match. The lower bars show how often the player cleared the line over his recent matches, green at 70% or better.

Simeone vs Cancelo

SimeoneWinger, Atlético Madrid

VS

CanceloFull-back, Barcelona

Tough matchup for SimeoneCancelo gives away 0.5 fouls a match, 32% less than the average defender (0.7). Simeone draws plenty himself, at 1.4, which points to about 1.0 fouls drawn here, against a line of 1.5.

1.4Fouls drawn vs given0.5

1.2Shots vs tackles1.0

Fouls won over 1.54/10avg 1.4 · -105

Shots over 1.54/10avg 1.2 · +150

Shots on target over 0.54/10avg 0.4 · +150

Fouls committed over 1.51/10avg 0.5 · +100

Tackles over 2.51/10avg 1 · +105

Yellow card over 0.52/10avg 0.2 · +225

Baena vs Garcia

BaenaWinger, Atlético Madrid

VS

GarciaFull-back, Barcelona

Tough matchup for BaenaGarcia gives away 0.4 fouls a match, 46% less than the average defender (0.7). Baena draws 0.9, which points to about 0.5 fouls drawn here, against a line of 1.5.

0.9Fouls drawn vs given0.4

2.0Shots vs tackles2.0

Fouls won over 1.52/10avg 0.9 · +175

Shots over 2.53/10avg 2 · +240

Shots on target over 0.57/10avg 0.9 · -125

Fouls committed over 1.50/10avg 0.4 · +110

Tackles over 1.56/10avg 2 · -275

Yellow card over 0.50/10avg 0 · +360

Lee vs Cubarsi and Martin

LeeStriker, Atlético Madrid

VS

CubarsiCentre-back, Barcelona

MartinCentre-back, Barcelona

Even matchupCubarsi and Martin give away 0.8 fouls a match, 9% more than the average defender (0.7). Lee draws 1.0, which points to about 1.1 fouls drawn here, against a line of 0.5.

1.0Fouls drawn vs given0.8

1.9Shots vs tackles1.1

Fouls won over 0.57/10avg 1 · -245

Shots over 2.53/10avg 1.9 · +240

Shots on target over 0.53/10avg 0.6 · -120

Fouls committed over 0.57/10avg 0.8 · -215

Tackles over 0.59/10avg 1.6 · -300

Yellow card over 0.51/10avg 0.1 · +340

Fouls committed over 1.52/10avg 0.8 · +190

Tackles over 2.50/10avg 0.6 · +190

Yellow card over 0.51/10avg 0.1 · +360

Alvarez vs Cubarsi and Martin

AlvarezStriker, Atlético Madrid

VS

CubarsiCentre-back, Barcelona

MartinCentre-back, Barcelona

Even matchupCubarsi and Martin give away 0.8 fouls a match, 9% more than the average defender (0.7). Alvarez only draws 0.4, which points to about 0.4 fouls drawn here, against a line of 0.5.

0.4Fouls drawn vs given0.8

2.1Shots vs tackles1.1

Fouls won over 0.53/10avg 0.4 · -175

Shots over 2.55/10avg 2.1 · +110

Shots on target over 0.57/10avg 0.9 · -225

Fouls committed over 0.57/10avg 0.8 · -215

Tackles over 0.59/10avg 1.6 · -300

Yellow card over 0.51/10avg 0.1 · +340

Fouls committed over 1.52/10avg 0.8 · +190

Tackles over 2.50/10avg 0.6 · +190

Yellow card over 0.51/10avg 0.1 · +360

Lamine Yamal vs Grimaldo

Lamine YamalWinger, Barcelona

VS

GrimaldoFull-back, Atlético Madrid

Even matchupGrimaldo gives away 0.7 fouls a match, 5% less than the average defender (0.7). Lamine Yamal draws plenty himself, at 1.7, which points to about 1.6 fouls drawn here, against a line of 2.5.

1.7Fouls drawn vs given0.7

4.8Shots vs tackles2.1

Fouls won over 2.53/10avg 1.7 · -137

Shots over 3.59/10avg 4.8 · -105

Shots on target over 1.57/10avg 1.9 · +150

Fouls committed over 1.51/10avg 0.7 · +120

Tackles over 2.52/10avg 2.1 · +105

Yellow card over 0.50/10avg 0 · +390

Gordon vs Llorente

GordonWinger, Barcelona

VS

LlorenteFull-back, Atlético Madrid

Good matchup for GordonLlorente gives away 1.0 fouls a match, 36% more than the average defender (0.7). Gordon only draws 0.5, which points to about 0.7 fouls drawn here, against a line of 1.5.

0.5Fouls drawn vs given1.0

2.0Shots vs tackles2.1

Fouls won over 1.50/10avg 0.5 · -120

Shots over 2.55/10avg 2 · +110

Shots on target over 0.57/10avg 1.2 · -200

Fouls committed over 1.53/10avg 1 · +163

Tackles over 2.53/10avg 2.1 · -110

Yellow card over 0.51/10avg 0.1 · +340

Raphinha vs Pubill and Hancko

RaphinhaStriker, Barcelona

VS

PubillCentre-back, Atlético Madrid

HanckoCentre-back, Atlético Madrid

Tough matchup for RaphinhaPubill and Hancko give away 0.6 fouls a match, 25% less than the average defender (0.7). Raphinha only draws 0.5, which points to about 0.4 fouls drawn here, against a line of 0.5.

0.5Fouls drawn vs given0.6

2.9Shots vs tackles1.1

Fouls won over 0.54/10avg 0.5 · -250

Shots over 3.53/10avg 2.9 · +110

Shots on target over 1.55/10avg 1.9 · +130

Fouls committed over 0.57/10avg 0.9 · -275

Tackles over 2.51/10avg 1.1 · +115

Yellow card over 0.53/10avg 0.3 · +375

Fouls committed over 0.52/10avg 0.2 · -188

Tackles over 2.52/10avg 1 · +130

Yellow card over 0.50/10avg 0 · +500

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Predicted lineups

Predicted XIs; the official lineups post about an hour before kickoff and this page updates then. The badge on each player: how often he cleared his strongest prop line (named under him) over his recent matches; green at 70% or better.

Atlético Madrid 4-4-2Barcelona 4-2-3-1

13 Oblak

14 Llorente

5/1018 PubillFouls won 0.5+

5/1017 HanckoShots 0.5+

6/1022 GrimaldoSOT 0.5+

6/1020 SimeoneTackles 1.5+

5/108 BarriosShots 0.5+

6 Koke

7/1010 BaenaSOT 0.5+

7 Lee

5/1019 AlvarezShots 2.5+

1 Garcia

5/1024 GarciaShots 0.5+

5 Cubarsi

18 Martin

2 Cancelo

21 de Jong

8 Pedri

9/1010 Lamine YamalShots 3.5+

7 Fermin

7/1017 GordonSOT 0.5+

9/1011 RaphinhaG+A 0.5+

Atlético Madrid missing: C. Romero (muscle)

Barcelona missing: R. Bardghji (knee), X. Espart (ankle), J. Kounde (ankle), D. Olmo (groin), Rodri (calf)

Form and head to head

Atlético Madrid3rd in the tableWWWWW9W 1D 1L · 2.55 points a match

6meetings

1 win0 draws5 wins

Barcelona1st in the tableWLWWW10W 0D 1L · 2.73 points a match

83%Over 1.55/6

83%Over 2.55/6

33%Over 3.52/6

67%Both scored4/6

• Apr 2026ATM 1-2 BAR
• Dec 2025BAR 3-1 ATM
• Mar 2025ATM 2-4 BAR
• Dec 2024BAR 1-2 ATM
• Mar 2024ATM 0-3 BAR
• Dec 2023BAR 1-0 ATM

Clean sheets and goal trends

Attack and defense

Attacking

Atlético MadridBarcelona

82%Win %91%

59%Possession %70%

36%Both teams scored %64%

91%Scored first %73%

• 2.0Scored per match4.2
• 14.7Shots per match17.4
• 6.1Shots on target per match8.1
• 1.7Big chances per match4.0

Defensive

Atlético MadridBarcelona

9%Loss %9%

9%Failed to score %0%

55%Clean sheet %36%

9%Conceded first %27%

• 0.7Conceded per match1.1
• 9.2Shots against per match6.6
• 16.1Tackles per match16.3
• 11.5Fouls per match10.6

Per-match rates this season. Each spoke of the charts is scaled to the higher of the two clubs.

Recent results

Last five La Liga results, most recent first.

Season numbers

This season, 11 and 11 matches.

Referee

Javier Alberola Rojas averages 4.2 yellow cards and 29.4 fouls per match over 10 matches this season (league average 4.4 and 24.5).

Injury report

Atlético Madrid

• Cristian Romero (D): Out, Muscle Injury

Barcelona

• Roony Bardghji (F): Out, Cruciate Ligament Injury
• Dani Olmo (M): Out, Thigh Injury
• Xavi Espart (D): Out, Ankle Injury
• Jules Koundé (D): Out, Sprained Ankle
• Rodri (M): Out, Hamstring Injury

Atlético Madrid vs Barcelona odds by sportsbook

Book	ATM ML	BAR ML	Over	Under
bet365	+210	+100	O 3.5 -125	U 3.5 +100
BetRivers	+235	-106	O 3.5 -120	U 3.5 -109
DraftKings	+240	-110	O 3.5 -115	U 3.5 -105
FanDuel	+220	-105	O 3.5 -122	U 3.5 +100
Fanatics	+220	+100	O 3.5 -115	U 3.5 -115

Highlighted: the best price in each column as of 10:53 AM ET. Prices move; check the book before you bet.

Line movement since we first listed this match (Sat 9:16 AM ET): Atlético Madrid moneyline +295 → +240.

Goal lines and both teams to score

Both teams to score: yes -310, no +230

Line movement chart