Texans vs Chargers Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Nov 8, 2026)

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NFL prop picks: today's featured picks
Houston Texans logo

Texans2-5 · 2-5 ATS11th in the AFC
4:05 PM ETSun, Nov 8Win % 62–38
Los Angeles Chargers logo

Chargers0-7 · 0-6-1 ATS16th in the AFC

NFL · Sunday, November 8, 2026 · 4:05 PM ET · SoFi Stadium

Team Moneyline Spread Total
Houston Texans -230 -5.5 -107 O 40.5 -110
Los Angeles Chargers +200 +5.5 -108 U 40.5 -105

Best price at bet365, BetRivers, Caesars, DraftKings, FanDuel and Fanatics, updated 11:23 AM ET.

Texans vs Chargers preview

Houston Texans at Los Angeles Chargers has Houston as a -240 moneyline favorite, Los Angeles at +210, the Chargers at +5.5, and a 40.5 total after opening at LAC -1.5 and 43.5.

The last meeting went to Houston 20-16 on the road on December 27, 2025, with Houston 1-0 straight up and ATS and the under hitting. Houston is 2-5 straight up and ATS this season, 5-5 in its last 10 but 3-7 ATS, most recently losing 21-27 to the New York Giants. Los Angeles is 0-7 straight up and 0-6-1 ATS this season, 1-9 in its last 10 with a 1-8-1 ATS mark, most recently losing 9-24 at the Los Angeles Rams.

The most useful angles are pass defense and Los Angeles injuries. Houston allows 262.7 passing yards per game (rank 28) while Los Angeles allows 207.7 (rank 5), and the Chargers have Derwin James Jr., Rashawn Slater, Tyler Biadasz, Trevor Penning and Trey Pipkins III on IR, with Isaiah World out and Kayode Awosika doubtful. On props, Xavier Hutchinson over 1.5 receptions at -175 has cleared in 10 of his last 10, and Danielle Hunter over 0.5 sacks at -119 has cleared in 8 of 10.

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this game. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Top Texans vs Chargers player props

Player Prop Best price Last 10 Last 5
Xavier Hutchinson HOU Over 1.5 receptions -170 Hard Rock 100% (10/10) 100%
Kayshon Boutte HOU Over 14.5 receiving yards -108 Kalshi 90% (9/10) 100%
Charlie Kolar LAC Over 10.5 longest reception -104 Caesars 80% (8/10) 80%
Oronde Gadsden LAC Over 16.5 receiving yards -110 DraftKings 80% (8/10) 60%
Danielle Hunter HOU Over 0.5 sacks -120 Hard Rock 80% (8/10) 80%

Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent games. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 11:23 AM ET.

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Keaton MitchellOver 3.5 rushing attempts8/10
Justin HerbertOver 0.5 interceptions8/10
Dalton SchultzOver 15.5 longest reception7/10

Key matchups

Each player’s lines against what this defense allows to his position this season. The ranks run from the defense allowing the fewest to the one allowing the most. Bars show how often he cleared the line over his recent games, green at 70% or better.

Justin Herbert vs Texans

Justin HerbertQB, LAC
VS
TexansDefense vs quarterbacks
Even matchupTexans allow 1.4 passing touchdowns a game to quarterbacks, 16th fewest in the league. Herbert averages 0.8 against a line of 0.5.
Toughest16th of 32, passing touchdownsSoftest
Passing tds over 0.57/10avg 0.8 · 16th of 32 vs QB · -212Kalshi
Rushing yards over 21.57/10avg 31.9 · 3rd of 32 vs QB · -109bet105
Passing yards over 212.54/10avg 209.3 · 28th of 32 vs QB · -112DraftKings

Xavier Hutchinson vs Chargers

Xavier HutchinsonWR, HOU
VS
ChargersDefense vs wide receivers
Even matchupChargers allow 10.7 receptions a game to wide receivers, 13th fewest in the league. Hutchinson averages 3.2 against a line of 1.5.
Toughest13th of 32, receptionsSoftest
Receptions over 1.510/10avg 3.2 · 13th of 32 vs WR · -170Hard Rock
Receiving yards over 22.57/10avg 40.7 · 11th of 32 vs WR · -110DraftKings
Receiving tds over 0.51/10avg 0.1 · 14th of 32 vs WR · +390Stake

Kayshon Boutte vs Chargers

Kayshon BoutteWR, HOU
VS
ChargersDefense vs wide receivers
Even matchupChargers allow 132.7 receiving yards a game to wide receivers, 11th fewest in the league. Boutte averages 29.6 against a line of 14.5.
Toughest11th of 32, receiving yardsSoftest
Receiving yards over 14.59/10avg 29.6 · 11th of 32 vs WR · -108Kalshi
Receptions over 1.56/10avg 2 · 13th of 32 vs WR · +129bet105
Receiving tds over 0.51/10avg 0.1 · 14th of 32 vs WR · +492Stake

Charlie Kolar vs Texans

Charlie KolarTE, LAC
VS
TexansDefense vs tight ends
Tough matchup for Charlie KolarTexans allow 46 receiving yards a game to tight ends, 10th fewest in the league. Kolar averages 13.5 against a line of 15.5.
Toughest10th of 32, receiving yardsSoftest
Receiving yards over 15.56/10avg 13.5 · 10th of 32 vs TE · -110Caesars
Receptions over 1.53/10avg 1.2 · 8th of 32 vs TE · -138prophetexchange
Receiving tds over 0.50/10avg 0 · 5th of 32 vs TE · +487Stake

Oronde Gadsden vs Texans

Oronde GadsdenTE, LAC
VS
TexansDefense vs tight ends
Tough matchup for Oronde GadsdenTexans allow 4.6 receptions a game to tight ends, 8th fewest in the league. Gadsden averages 2.5 against a line of 1.5.
Toughest8th of 32, receptionsSoftest
Receptions over 1.58/10avg 2.5 · 8th of 32 vs TE · -144FanDuel
Receiving yards over 16.58/10avg 24 · 10th of 32 vs TE · -110DraftKings
Receiving tds over 0.52/10avg 0.2 · 5th of 32 vs TE · +496Stake

C.J. Stroud vs Chargers

C.J. StroudQB, HOU
VS
ChargersDefense vs quarterbacks
Tough matchup for C.J. StroudChargers allow 207.7 passing yards a game to quarterbacks, 5th fewest in the league. Stroud averages 249.8 against a line of 246.5.
Toughest5th of 32, passing yardsSoftest
Passing yards over 246.56/10avg 249.8 · 5th of 32 vs QB · -110BetRivers
Rushing yards over 7.55/10avg 9.6 · 7th of 32 vs QB · -108prophetexchange
Passing tds over 1.54/10avg 1.4 · 7th of 32 vs QB · +100Kalshi

Betting trends

  • Texans are 3-7 against the spread in their last 10.
  • Chargers have failed to cover in 3 straight games.
  • The under has hit in 3 straight Chargers games.
  • Chargers are 1-8 against the spread in their last 10.
  • Chargers are 0-3 ATS as favorites in their last 10 games.
  • The over is 2-8 in Chargers’ last 10 games.

From each team’s last 10 games and recent meetings, against the closing line.

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Texans vs Chargers defense vs position

What each defense allows per game this season to everyone listed at a position, combined, so a row covers more than the starter. The small number is the rank across 32 teams: 1st allows the fewest. Green is the softest third of the league, red the toughest.

Texans defense facing the Chargers

Pos Pass yds Rush yds Rec yds Catches TDs
QB 262.728th 7.43rd – – 1.416th
RB – 90.716th 20.96th 4.718th 0.921st
WR – – 195.932nd 14.030th 1.022nd
TE – – 46.010th 4.68th 0.15th

Softest spot: 195.9 receiving yards a game to wide receivers, the most in the league.

Toughest spot: 7.4 rushing yards a game to quarterbacks, 3rd fewest in the league.

Chargers defense facing the Texans

Pos Pass yds Rush yds Rec yds Catches TDs
QB 207.75th 9.97th – – 1.17th
RB – 108.326th 22.47th 3.47th 1.129th
WR – – 132.711th 10.713th 0.914th
TE – – 52.417th 4.45th 0.16th

Softest spot: 1.1 rushing touchdowns a game to running backs, 4th most in the league.

Toughest spot: 207.7 passing yards a game to quarterbacks, 5th fewest in the league.

The props these matchups touchEvery NFL line beside its hit rate and matchup. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
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Player stats and form

Season averages and each player’s last 5 games, newest first. Splits: per-game averages (games in brackets); vs the opponent covers this season and last, newest game first.

Houston Texans

C.J. Stroud QB243.3 pass yds · 1.4 TD per game
Date Opp CMP/ATT YDS TD INT RUSH
10/25 vs NYG 17/28 153 2 0 4
10/18 @ JAX 24/34 312 3 1 5
10/11 @ TEN 26/34 261 1 0 5
10/4 vs DAL 21/31 347 2 0 12
9/27 @ IND 16/27 167 1 0 10
Splits Season Road 2025 vs LAC
Pass yds 266.7 (7) 246.7 (3) 218.9 (16) 244.0 (1)
244
Pass TD 1.6 (7) 1.7 (3) 1.3 (16) 2.0 (1)
2

Woody Marks RB48.9 rush yds · 1.7 rec per game
Date Opp ATT YDS TD REC REC YDS
10/25 vs NYG 19 66 0 1 15
10/18 @ JAX 15 56 0 2 25
10/11 @ TEN 15 62 0 4 23
10/4 vs DAL 6 22 1 0 0
9/27 @ IND 5 15 1 1 6
Splits Season Road 2025 vs LAC
Rush yds 38.7 (7) 44.3 (3) 46.2 (18) 71.0 (1)
71
Rec 2.0 (7) 2.3 (3) 1.4 (18) 1.0 (1)
1

Nico Collins WR4.7 rec · 70.4 yds per game
Date Opp TGT REC YDS TD
10/25 vs NYG 5 2 6 0
10/18 @ JAX 5 3 74 0
10/11 @ TEN 7 5 56 0
10/4 vs DAL 8 7 118 2
9/13 vs BUF 10 7 75 1
Splits Season Road 2025 vs LAC
Rec 4.8 (5) 4.0 (2) 4.6 (16) 3.0 (1)
3
Rec yds 65.8 (5) 65.0 (2) 71.1 (16) 57.0 (1)
57

Tank Dell WR1.0 rec · 43.0 yds per game
Date Opp TGT REC YDS TD
10/25 vs NYG 1 1 43 0
Splits Season Road 2025 vs LAC
Rec 1.0 (1) – – –
Rec yds 43.0 (1) – – –

Los Angeles Chargers

Justin Herbert QB198.5 pass yds · 1.0 TD per game
Date Opp CMP/ATT YDS TD INT RUSH
11/1 @ LAR 24/32 257 0 2 15
10/18 @ KC 22/37 204 0 1 26
10/11 vs DEN 14/24 121 1 1 54
10/4 @ SEA 19/31 189 1 2 40
9/27 @ BUF 20/34 226 1 1 17
Splits Season Home 2025 vs HOU
Pass yds 199.7 (7) 174.0 (3) 228.6 (17) 236.0 (1)
236
Pass TD 0.7 (7) 1.0 (3) 1.5 (17) 1.0 (1)
1

Omarion Hampton RB49.3 rush yds · 2.4 rec per game
Date Opp ATT YDS TD REC REC YDS
11/1 @ LAR 9 20 0 2 7
10/18 @ KC 7 18 0 4 21
10/11 vs DEN 14 33 0 1 6
10/4 @ SEA 9 45 1 2 8
9/27 @ BUF 15 56 0 0 0
Splits Season Home 2025 vs HOU
Rush yds 44.1 (7) 56.7 (3) 54.4 (10) 29.0 (1)
29
Rec 1.6 (7) 1.0 (3) 3.2 (10) 8.0 (1)
8

Ladd McConkey WR3.3 rec · 46.8 yds per game
Date Opp TGT REC YDS TD
11/1 @ LAR 6 4 86 0
10/18 @ KC 1 1 17 0
10/4 @ SEA 2 0 0 0
9/27 @ BUF 5 4 66 0
9/20 vs LV 3 3 35 0
Splits Season Home 2025 vs HOU
Rec 2.8 (6) 4.0 (2) 4.1 (17) 1.0 (1)
1
Rec yds 47.7 (6) 58.5 (2) 48.3 (17) 31.0 (1)
31

Quentin Johnston WR2.5 rec · 36.1 yds per game
Date Opp TGT REC YDS TD
11/1 @ LAR 4 4 37 0
10/18 @ KC 3 1 57 0
10/4 @ SEA 2 1 44 0
9/27 @ BUF 6 3 40 0
9/20 vs LV 5 1 7 0
Splits Season Home 2025 vs HOU
Rec 2.0 (6) 1.5 (2) 3.6 (15) 5.0 (1)
5
Rec yds 33.7 (6) 12.0 (2) 50.3 (15) 98.0 (1)
98

Records

Team Record ATS O/U Home Away
Texans 2-5 2-5 4-3 0-4 2-1
Chargers 0-7 0-6-1 1-6 0-3 0-4

This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.

Texans vs Chargers head-to-head

Texans are 1-0, 1-0 ATS, O/U 0-1 in the last 1 meeting. Last time: Texans won 20-16 on December 27, 2025.

Date Venue Texans result ATS O/U
Dec 27, 25 Chargers home W 20-16 W +1.5 U 40.5

Recent form

Houston Texans: last 10 (5-5, 3-7 ATS, O/U 6-4)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Oct 25, 26 vs NYG L 21-27 L -10 O 43.5
Oct 18, 26 @ JAX W 34-31 W +2.5 O 42.5
Oct 11, 26 @ TEN W 26-3 W -6.5 U 37.5
Oct 4, 26 vs DAL L 30-34 L -3 O 48.5
Sep 27, 26 @ IND L 17-19 L -1.5 U 42.5
Sep 20, 26 vs CIN L 6-20 L -3 U 45.5
Sep 13, 26 vs BUF L 31-36 L +1.5 O 44.5
Jan 4, 26 vs IND W 38-30 L -9.5 O 37.5
Dec 27, 25 @ LAC W 20-16 W +1.5 U 40.5
Dec 21, 25 vs LV W 23-21 L -14.5 O 39.5

Los Angeles Chargers: last 10 (1-9, 1-8-1 ATS, O/U 2-8)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Nov 1, 26 @ LAR L 9-24 L +6.5 U 45.5
Oct 18, 26 @ KC L 6-22 L +7.5 U 41.5
Oct 11, 26 vs DEN L 17-23 L +3 U 42.5
Oct 4, 26 @ SEA L 23-30 P +7 O 43.5
Sep 27, 26 @ BUF L 16-24 L +7 U 50.5
Sep 20, 26 vs LV L 14-26 L -6.5 U 43.5
Sep 13, 26 vs ARI L 14-26 L -8.5 U 47.5
Jan 4, 26 @ DEN L 3-19 L +15.5 U 37.5
Dec 27, 25 vs HOU L 16-20 L -1.5 U 40.5
Dec 21, 25 @ DAL W 34-17 W +1.5 O 50.5

Injury report

Houston Texans

  • E.J. Speed (LB): PUP-R, Speed
  • Graham Mertz (QB): IR, ir
  • Solomon Byrd (DE): IR, Byrd
  • Ali Gaye (DE): IR, The Texans placed Gaye
  • Jayden Higgins (WR): IR, ir
  • K.C. Ossai (LB): IR, The Texans placed Ossai
  • Jake Hummel (LB): IR, Hummel isn’t expected to resume practicing this week while he continues to recover from groin surgery, Aaron Wilson of KPRC 2 Houston reports
  • Mario Edwards Jr. (DT): IR, The Texans placed Edwards on injured reserve Wednesday
  • Reed Blankenship (S): Out, Blankenship
  • Jaylin Noel (WR): IR, Noel, who was placed on injured reserve earlier Wednesday, is expected to require surgery to address his toe injury and will miss the remainder of the season, Jonathan M
  • Sam Hagen (G): IR, The Texans placed Hagen
  • Dylan Horton (DE): IR, The Texans placed Horton
  • British Brooks (RB): IR, Brooks
  • Jaylin Smith (CB): IR, Smith
  • David Montgomery (RB): Out, Texans head coach DeMeco Ryans said Wednesday that Montgomery

Los Angeles Chargers

  • Isaiah World (OT): Out
  • Tyler Biadasz (C): IR, The Chargers placed Biadasz
  • Trevor Penning (G): IR, The Chargers placed Penning
  • Trey Pipkins III (OT): IR, The Chargers placed Pipkins
  • Derwin James Jr. (S): IR, The Chargers placed James
  • David Njoku (TE): IR-R, Njoku
  • Kayode Awosika (G): Doubtful, doubtful
  • Rashawn Slater (OT): IR, The Chargers placed Slater
  • Trey Lance (QB): IR, The Chargers placed Lance
  • Alec Ingold (FB): IR, The Chargers placed Ingold on injured reserve Thursday due to a shoulder injury
  • Deane Leonard (CB): Out, Leonard
  • Kendall Williamson (S): Out, Williamson
  • Denzel Perryman (LB): IR-R, Perryman
  • Brenen Thompson (WR): Doubtful, Thompson

Matchup ranks

What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.

Texans defense Chargers defense
Points allowed per game 24.3 (17th of 32) 25 (20th of 32)
Passing yards allowed per game 262.7 (28th of 32) 207.7 (5th of 32)
Rushing yards allowed per game 98 (12th of 32) 124.6 (23rd of 32)
Receptions allowed per game 23.3 (26th of 32) 18.7 (5th of 32)

Venue and weather

SoFi Stadium · Inglewood, CAOutdoor
88°FclearWind 0 mphRain 0%

Forecast for the start time (Open-Meteo); it can change before the game.

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Texans vs Chargers odds by sportsbook

Book HOU spread LAC spread HOU ML LAC ML Over Under
bet365 -5.5 -109 +5.5 -111 -240 +195 O 40.5 -112 U 40.5 -108
BetRivers -5.5 -114 +5.5 -108 -333 +180 O 40.5 -110 U 40.5 -111
Caesars -5.5 -107 +5.5 -113 -245 +200 O 40.5 -115 U 40.5 -105
DraftKings -5.5 -112 +5.5 -108 -230 +190 O 40.5 -110 U 40.5 -110
FanDuel -5.5 -110 +5.5 -110 -240 +198 O 40.5 -115 U 40.5 -105
Fanatics -5.5 -110 +5.5 -110 -235 +190 O 40.5 -110 U 40.5 -110

Highlighted: the best price in each column as of 11:23 AM ET. Prices move; check the book before you bet.

Line movement from the open

Line Open Now Move
Chargers spread -1.5 +5.5 +7
Total 43.5 40.5 -3
Texans moneyline +110 -230 +22.1% win chance
Chargers moneyline -130 +190 -22% win chance

DraftKings opening and current numbers via ESPN.

Line movement chart

Chargers spread +5.5 → +5.5
Total 40.5 → 40.5
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More on these teams: Los Angeles Chargers vs Los Angeles Rams Nov 1 · New York Giants vs Houston Texans Oct 25 · All NFL prop picks

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