AFC Bournemouth vs Leeds United Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Oct 31, 2026)

How the bets settled

Match report

AFC Bournemouth beat Leeds United 2-0 after Evanilson opened the scoring in the 31st minute from a J. Kluivert assist, and A. Adli sealed it in the 90+4′ with an E. J. Kroupi assist.

Bournemouth’s xG was 1.29 to Leeds’ 0.71. Bournemouth had 11 shots, five on target and two big chances, while Leeds had 10 shots, one on target and one big chance. Leeds had 56% possession and Bournemouth 44%.

Bournemouth came in with form WWLLD, Leeds DDLDW. Both teams to score had a 63% rate for both sides before the match, but Leeds failed to score here. Leeds’ pre-match over 2.5 rate was 25%, and the match produced two goals, below 2.5, while Bournemouth’s rate was 63%. Evanilson and Kluivert linked for the opener, then Adli and Kroupi for the late second.

Goals

• 31′ Evanilson, assist J. Kluivert AFC Bournemouth
• 90+4′ A. Adli, assist E. J. Kroupi AFC Bournemouth

How the key matchups went

• Rayan: 1 shot, 0 shots on target, 0 fouls won. Gudmundsson: 1 foul committed, 1 tackle, 0 yellow cards.
• Tavernier: 2 shots, 2 shots on target, 1 foul won. Bogle: 1 foul committed, 0 tackles, 0 yellow cards.
• Evanilson: 1 shot, 1 shot on target, 5 fouls won. Justin: 0 fouls committed, 3 tackles, 0 yellow cards. Elvedi: 1 foul committed, 1 tackle, 1 yellow card. Muharemovic: 0 fouls committed, 1 tackle, 0 yellow cards.
• Calvert-Lewin: 2 shots, 1 shot on target, 3 fouls won. Hill: 1 foul committed, 1 tackle, 0 yellow cards. Silva: 0 fouls committed, 1 tackle, 0 yellow cards.

Box score

BournemouthLeeds

Bournemouth

Player	MIN	G	A	SH	SOT	xG	KP	PAS	TKL	FC	FS	YC	SV	RAT
Smith A.	88	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	17/26	0	2	2	0	0	6.4
Rayan	88	0	0	1	0	0.05	1	19/27	1	2	0	0	0	6.2
Tavernier M.	90	0	0	2	2	0.10	0	25/26	0	0	1	0	0	6.4
Hill J.	90	0	0	1	0	0.01	1	33/47	1	1	1	0	0	7.1
Kluivert J.	68	0	1	1	0	0.12	2	19/23	0	2	0	0	0	6.5
Adams T.	90	0	0	1	0	0.01	0	46/56	0	2	0	1	0	6.7
Evanilson	76	1	0	1	1	0.49	1	15/23	0	1	5	0	0	7.6
Christie R.	68	0	0	1	0	0.07	1	29/33	1	2	3	1	0	7.7
Petrovic D.	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	18/30	0	0	0	0	1	7.4
Truffert A.	90	0	0	1	0	0.02	0	36/48	2	0	0	0	0	6.7
Silva A.	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	51/57	1	0	0	0	0	7.3
Adli A.	2	1	0	1	1	0.32	0	1/1	1	0	1	0	0	–
Cook L.	22	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	6/9	1	0	0	0	0	6.6
Rodriguez A.	14	0	0	1	1	0.09	0	3/8	0	0	0	0	0	7.0
Kroupi E. J.	22	0	1	0	0	0.00	2	5/5	0	0	0	0	0	7.6
Diakite B.	2	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0/1	0	0	0	0	0	–

Leeds

Player	MIN	G	A	SH	SOT	xG	KP	PAS	TKL	FC	FS	YC	SV	RAT
Muharemovic T.	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	70/87	1	0	1	0	0	6.9
James D.	65	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	16/18	1	2	0	0	0	6.0
Wilson H.	84	0	0	2	0	0.13	3	28/37	1	1	0	0	0	6.8
Tanaka A.	65	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	29/37	3	2	0	0	0	6.4
Gudmundsson G.	65	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	17/25	1	1	4	0	0	6.0
Trafford J.	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	25/36	0	0	1	0	3	6.4
Ampadu E.	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	66/76	2	4	1	1	0	6.9
Justin J.	84	0	0	1	0	0.05	1	29/36	3	0	0	0	0	7.1
Elvedi N.	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	46/53	1	1	0	1	0	6.3
Calvert-Lewin D.	90	0	0	2	1	0.31	0	7/18	0	2	3	0	0	5.9
Bogle J.	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	40/45	0	1	1	0	0	6.9
Aaronson B.	6	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	4/5	0	0	0	0	0	–
Bahoya J.	6	0	0	1	0	0.02	1	5/5	0	1	0	0	0	–
Stach A.	25	0	0	2	0	0.13	0	15/16	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
Nmecha L.	25	0	0	1	0	0.05	0	6/7	0	0	1	0	0	6.5
Longstaff S.	25	0	0	1	0	0.03	0	16/19	0	0	0	0	0	5.4

Recap: Bournemouth run continues as James Trafford error costs Leeds (ESPN)

StatsBench picks

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AFC Bournemouth vs Leeds United pre-game preview

Saturday’s Premier League match sees AFC Bournemouth host Leeds United on October 31, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. Bournemouth are the moneyline favorite at +110, with the draw +265 and Leeds +270; the total is 2.5. The last meeting was BOU 2-2 LEE on April 22, 2026, after LEE 2-2 BOU in September 2025. Recent league form: Bournemouth WWLLD, Leeds DDLDW.

Leeds bring the stronger defensive profile, conceding 0.75 per match with clean sheets in 38% and over 2.5 in 25%. Bournemouth have over 2.5 in 63% and both teams scored in 63%, while Leeds also show 63% BTTS. Bournemouth are without Julián Araujo, Alex Tóth and Alex Scott; Leeds are without Mateo Joseph, and Anton Stach is day to day.

For prop research, Evanilson over 1.5 fouls won is -125 and cleared in 7 of last 10; Dominic Calvert-Lewin over 0.5 shots on target is -162 and cleared in 7 of last 10. Referee Michael Salisbury averages 3.6 yellows and 20.2 fouls per match, below league marks of 4.0 and 23.3.

Confirmed lineups

The official starting XIs. The badge on each player: how often he cleared his strongest prop line (named under him) over his recent matches; green at 70% or better.

AFC Bournemouth 4-2-3-1Leeds United 3-4-2-1

1 Petrovic

15 Smith (C)

5 Hill

14 Silva

3 Truffert

12 Adams

10 Christie

37 Rayan

19 Kluivert

16 Tavernier

9 Evanilson

1 Trafford

24 Justin

30 Elvedi

5 Muharemovic

2 Bogle

4 Ampadu (C)

22 Tanaka

3 Gudmundsson

10 Wilson

7 James

9 Calvert-Lewin

AFC Bournemouth missing: J. Araujo (thigh), A. Scott (thigh), A. Toth (muscle)

Leeds United missing: M. Joseph (knee), J. Rodon (muscle)

Form and head to head

AFC Bournemouth13th in the tableWWLLD2W 3D 3L · 1.13 points a match

2meetings

0 wins2 draws0 wins

Leeds United7th in the tableDDLDW2W 5D 1L · 1.38 points a match

100%Over 1.52/2

100%Over 2.52/2

100%Over 3.52/2

100%Both scored2/2

• Apr 2026BOU 2-2 LEE
• Sep 2025LEE 2-2 BOU

Clean sheets and goal trends

Recent results

Last five Premier League results, most recent first.

Season numbers

This season, 8 and 8 matches.

Referee

Michael Salisbury averages 3.6 yellow cards and 20.2 fouls per match over 9 matches this season (league average 4.0 and 23.3).

Injury report

AFC Bournemouth

• Julián Araujo (D): Out, Thigh Injury
• Alex Tóth (M): Out, Hamstring Injury
• Alex Scott (M): Out, Muscle Injury

Leeds United

• Mateo Joseph (F): Out, Knee Injury

Line movement chart