| Result | Moneyline |
|---|---|
| +100 |
|
| Draw | +310 |
| Salzburg | +250 |
Total goals 2.5: over -175
, under +138 ![]()
Best price at bet365, BetRivers, Caesars, DraftKings, FanDuel and Fanatics, updated 8:13 AM ET.
Anderlecht vs Salzburg preview
Anderlecht hosts Salzburg in Thursday’s Europa League match. Anderlecht is the -105 moneyline favorite, with the draw at +295 and Salzburg at +270, while the total is 2.5.
Anderlecht’s league form is WLLW, with a 2-0-2 record, 3 points and 22nd in the table. Salzburg’s form is DLWLW, with a 3-1-7 record, 4 points and 21st. Anderlecht scores 1.25 and concedes 0.75 per match; Salzburg scores 1.18 and concedes 1.91. Anderlecht has kept clean sheets in 50% and both teams scored in 25%, while Salzburg has clean sheets in 18% and both teams scored in 46%. Those defensive splits keep both teams to score (yes -200, no +140) as a useful research angle.
On the prop side, Edmund Baidoo over 0.5 shots on target at +110 has cleared in 7 of 10, and Yorbe Vertessen over 1.5 shots at -179 has cleared in 7 of 10. Baidoo averages 1.9 shots and has gone over 1.5 in 6 of 10; Reabciuk averages 1.5 fouls committed and has gone over 0.5 in 2 of 2.
Anderlecht vs Salzburg prediction
The books imply 49% / 23% / 28%
The numbers lean Anderlecht: the model gives them 44% to win and the books imply 49%, though the model’s most likely score is 1-1. Anderlecht’s 1.25 scoring and 0.75 conceding per match, with 50% clean sheets, best explain the edge, while Salzburg’s 1.91 conceded per match points the same way.
A Poisson estimate from each club’s scoring and conceding rates this season, overall and at home or away (4 and 11 matches). It does not know about lineups or injuries, and it is a research estimate, not a guarantee.
StatsBench picks
No StatsBench pick posted for this match. Today’s posted picks are graded live.
Top Anderlecht vs Salzburg player props
| Player | Prop | Best price | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edmund Baidoo Salzburg | Over 0.5 shots on target | +110 |
70% (7/10) | 60% |
| Yorbe Vertessen Salzburg | Over 1.5 shots | -175 |
70% (7/10) | 80% |
| Dominik Schmid Salzburg | Over 0.5 shots | +100 |
60% (6/10) | 40% |
| Soumaïla Diabaté Salzburg | Over 0.5 shots | -137 |
50% (4/8) | 40% |
| Frans Krätzig Salzburg | Over 0.5 fouls | -133 |
50% (3/6) | 60% |
Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent matches. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 8:13 AM ET.
Key matchups
From the predicted lineups: each winger against the full-back he faces, the strikers against the centre-backs. Each white tick marks the league average per match. The lower bars show how often the player cleared the line over his recent matches, green at 70% or better.
Ambros vs Kratzig
Ambros
KratzigAmbros’s 0.3 shot average limits his shot threat, so Kratzig has the containment edge; Kratzig’s fouls committed prop is the more supported angle.
Onia Seke vs Morgalla
Onia Seke
MorgallaNo lines posted
Cvetkovic vs Drexler
Cvetkovic
DrexlerCvetkovic’s 2.3 shot average sits below his shots line, but his shots on target prop is better supported at 1.3 average; Drexler’s low foul and card numbers do not add a strong defensive prop, and Zabransky has no lines.
Baidoo vs Reabciuk
Baidoo
ReabciukBaidoo’s 6 of 10 cleared gives him the attacking edge for his shots prop; Reabciuk’s fouls committed prop is the defensive angle given his low card history.
Vertessen vs Maamar
Vertessen
MaamarVertessen’s 7 of 10 cleared gives him the attacking edge for his shots prop, while Maamar has no lines to support a defensive angle.
Tabakovic vs Petrot
Tabakovic
PetrotTabakovic’s 1.7 shot average sits under his shots line, so Petrot has the containment edge; Biancone has no lines, and Petrot’s fouls committed prop is better supported than his yellow card prop.
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Predicted lineups
Predicted XIs; the official lineups post about an hour before kickoff and this page updates then. The badge on each player: how often he cleared his strongest prop line (named under him) over his recent matches; green at 70% or better.
Anderlecht 4-3-3
Salzburg 4-2-3-1
26 Coosemans
79 Maamar
4 Biancone
27 Petrot
5 Reabciuk
55 Kana
29 Stroeykens
83 Degreef
18 Ambros
9 Cvetkovic
49 Onia Seke
52 Zawieschitzky
39 Morgalla
21 Drexler
47 Zabransky
3/613 KratzigFouls 0.5+
32 Barry
15 Mazurek
7/1020 BaidooSOT 0.5+
30 Diakite
7/1011 VertessenShots 1.5+
9 TabakovicAnderlecht missing: I. Camara (foot), L. Hey (broken leg), I. Koutsoupias (off the roster), K. Sardella (inactive)
Salzburg missing: E. Aguilar (muscle), K. Boma (inactive), A. Chase (off the roster), S. Kitano (ankle), F. Matijasevic (off the roster), J. Mellberg (muscle), J. Moser (off the roster), J. Omoregie (achilles tendon), D. Schmid (knee), N. Veratschnig (knee)
Form and head to head
Anderlecht22nd in the tableWLLW2W 0D 2L · 1.50 points a match
Salzburg21st in the tableDLWLW3W 1D 7L · 0.91 points a matchClean sheets and goal trends
Anderlecht
Clean sheet2/4
Failed to score1/4
Both scored1/4
Over 2.52/4
Salzburg
Clean sheet2/11
Failed to score4/11
Both scored5/11
Over 2.56/11
Attack and defense
Attacking
- 1.3Scored per match1.2
- 8.8Shots per match12.6
- 4.8Shots on target per match4.9
- 0.0Big chances per match1.5
Defensive
- 0.8Conceded per match1.9
- 7.5Shots against per match16.2
- 12.0Tackles per match17.2
- 11.8Fouls per match11.6
Per-match rates this season. Each spoke of the charts is scaled to the higher of the two clubs.
Recent results
| Anderlecht | WLLW | W 3-0 at Jagiellonia · L 0-1 at GNK · L 1-2 vs LYO · W 1-0 vs HAC |
|---|---|---|
| Salzburg | DLWLW | D 2-2 at Celje · L 0-4 vs AC Milan · W 1-0 at Levski Sof · L 2-3 at AVL · W 3-1 vs BAS |
Last five Europa League results, most recent first.
Season numbers
| Anderlecht | Salzburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Table | 22 (3 pts) | 21 (4 pts) |
| Record (W-D-L) | 2-0-2 | 3-1-7 |
| Home / away record | 0-0-1 (1-2) home | 1-1-0 (3-2) away |
| Goals scored per match | 1.25 | 1.18 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.75 | 1.91 |
| Shots / on target per match | 8.75 / 4.75 | 12.55 / 4.91 |
| Both teams scored | 25% | 46% |
| Over 1.5 / 2.5 / 3.5 goals | 50% / 50% / 0% | 73% / 55% / 55% |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 18% |
| Failed to score | 25% | 36% |
| Yellow cards per match | 1.25 | 1.55 |
| Corners per match | 5.40 | 3.19 |
This season, 4 and 11 matches.
Injury report
No injuries listed for either team in our data as of 8:13 AM ET.
Anderlecht vs Salzburg odds by sportsbook
| Book | AND ML | S ML | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| +100 | +240 | O 2.5 -175 | U 2.5 +138 | |
| -104 | +230 | O 3.25 -102 | U 3.25 -132 | |
| +100 | +250 | O 3.5 +142 | U 3.5 -176 |
Highlighted: the best price in each column as of 8:13 AM ET. Prices move; check the book before you bet.
Line movement since we first listed this match (Wed 6:51 AM ET): Anderlecht moneyline -105 → +100.
Goal lines and both teams to score
Both teams to score: yes -210, no +160
| Total goals | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | -620 | +430 |
| 2.5 | -178 | +144 |
| 3.5 | +142 | -176 |
| 4.5 | +330 | -450 |
Line movement chart
Betting guides: yellow card betting tips · soccer player props guide · how parlays work
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