Anderlecht vs Salzburg Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Nov 5, 2026)

Anderlecht logo

Anderlecht
12:45 PM ETThu, Nov 5
Salzburg

Europa League · Thursday, November 5, 2026 · 12:45 PM ET

Result Moneyline
Anderlecht +100
Draw +310
Salzburg +250

Total goals 2.5: over -175 , under +138

Best price at bet365, BetRivers, Caesars, DraftKings, FanDuel and Fanatics, updated 8:13 AM ET.

Anderlecht vs Salzburg preview

Anderlecht hosts Salzburg in Thursday’s Europa League match. Anderlecht is the -105 moneyline favorite, with the draw at +295 and Salzburg at +270, while the total is 2.5.

Anderlecht’s league form is WLLW, with a 2-0-2 record, 3 points and 22nd in the table. Salzburg’s form is DLWLW, with a 3-1-7 record, 4 points and 21st. Anderlecht scores 1.25 and concedes 0.75 per match; Salzburg scores 1.18 and concedes 1.91. Anderlecht has kept clean sheets in 50% and both teams scored in 25%, while Salzburg has clean sheets in 18% and both teams scored in 46%. Those defensive splits keep both teams to score (yes -200, no +140) as a useful research angle.

On the prop side, Edmund Baidoo over 0.5 shots on target at +110 has cleared in 7 of 10, and Yorbe Vertessen over 1.5 shots at -179 has cleared in 7 of 10. Baidoo averages 1.9 shots and has gone over 1.5 in 6 of 10; Reabciuk averages 1.5 fouls committed and has gone over 0.5 in 2 of 2.

Anderlecht vs Salzburg prediction

44%Anderlecht
27%Draw
29%Salzburg

The books imply 49% / 23% / 28%

1-1Most likely score13% chance
1.4 – 1.0Expected goals
43%Over 2.5 goals
48%Both teams to score

The numbers lean Anderlecht: the model gives them 44% to win and the books imply 49%, though the model’s most likely score is 1-1. Anderlecht’s 1.25 scoring and 0.75 conceding per match, with 50% clean sheets, best explain the edge, while Salzburg’s 1.91 conceded per match points the same way.

A Poisson estimate from each club’s scoring and conceding rates this season, overall and at home or away (4 and 11 matches). It does not know about lineups or injuries, and it is a research estimate, not a guarantee.

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this match. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Top Anderlecht vs Salzburg player props

Player Prop Best price Last 10 Last 5
Edmund Baidoo Salzburg Over 0.5 shots on target +110 bet365 70% (7/10) 60%
Yorbe Vertessen Salzburg Over 1.5 shots -175 BetRivers 70% (7/10) 80%
Dominik Schmid Salzburg Over 0.5 shots +100 bet365 60% (6/10) 40%
Soumaïla Diabaté Salzburg Over 0.5 shots -137 bet365 50% (4/8) 40%
Frans Krätzig Salzburg Over 0.5 fouls -133 bwin 50% (3/6) 60%

Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent matches. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 8:13 AM ET.

The rest of the Anderlecht vs Salzburg propsHit rates, matchups and the best price across 30+ books. A free account opens the board. Pro unlocks all of it.
Sota KitanoOver 0.5 shots on target4/9
Thelo AasgaardOver 1.5 fouls4/10
Stefan LainerOver 0.5 shots2/6

Key matchups

From the predicted lineups: each winger against the full-back he faces, the strikers against the centre-backs. Each white tick marks the league average per match. The lower bars show how often the player cleared the line over his recent matches, green at 70% or better.

Ambros vs Kratzig

AmbrosWinger, Anderlecht
VS
KratzigFull-back, Salzburg
Shots over 2.50/3avg 0.3 · +125BetMGM
Shots on target over 0.51/3avg 0.3 · -150bet365
Fouls committed over 0.53/6avg 0.5 · -133bwin
Yellow card over 0.50/6avg 0 · +260bet365

Ambros’s 0.3 shot average limits his shot threat, so Kratzig has the containment edge; Kratzig’s fouls committed prop is the more supported angle.

Onia Seke vs Morgalla

Onia SekeWinger, Anderlecht
VS
MorgallaFull-back, Salzburg

No lines posted

Fouls committed over 1.50/2avg 0.5 · -115Cloudbet
Tackles over 1.52/2avg 5 · -233sportsbet
Yellow card over 0.50/2avg 0 · +375bet365

Cvetkovic vs Drexler

CvetkovicStriker, Anderlecht
VS
DrexlerCentre-back, Salzburg
2.3Shots vs tackles1.3
Shots over 3.50/3avg 2.3 · +120BetMGM
Shots on target over 0.52/3avg 1.3 · -270BetRivers
Fouls committed over 0.51/3avg 0.3 · -455Cloudbet
Tackles over 1.51/3avg 1.3 · -196sportsbet
Yellow card over 0.50/3avg 0 · +220bet365

Cvetkovic’s 2.3 shot average sits below his shots line, but his shots on target prop is better supported at 1.3 average; Drexler’s low foul and card numbers do not add a strong defensive prop, and Zabransky has no lines.

Baidoo vs Reabciuk

BaidooWinger, Salzburg
VS
ReabciukFull-back, Anderlecht
1.9Shots vs tackles1.0
Shots over 1.56/10avg 1.9 · -120bet365
Shots on target over 0.57/10avg 0.9 · +110bet365
Fouls committed over 0.52/2avg 1.5 · -227bwin
Tackles over 1.51/2avg 1 · -145sportsbet
Yellow card over 0.50/2avg 0 · +275bet365

Baidoo’s 6 of 10 cleared gives him the attacking edge for his shots prop; Reabciuk’s fouls committed prop is the defensive angle given his low card history.

Vertessen vs Maamar

VertessenWinger, Salzburg
VS
MaamarFull-back, Anderlecht
Shots over 1.57/10avg 1.9 · -175BetRivers
Shots on target over 0.56/10avg 0.7 · -120BetRivers

Vertessen’s 7 of 10 cleared gives him the attacking edge for his shots prop, while Maamar has no lines to support a defensive angle.

Tabakovic vs Petrot

TabakovicStriker, Salzburg
VS
PetrotCentre-back, Anderlecht
1.7Shots vs tackles1.0
Shots over 2.51/3avg 1.7 · -108BetMGM
Shots on target over 0.52/3avg 1 · -227BetRivers
Fouls committed over 0.53/3avg 1.7 · -164Cloudbet
Tackles over 1.51/3avg 1 · -105sportsbet
Yellow card over 0.50/3avg 0 · +800bet365

Tabakovic’s 1.7 shot average sits under his shots line, so Petrot has the containment edge; Biancone has no lines, and Petrot’s fouls committed prop is better supported than his yellow card prop.

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Predicted lineups

Predicted XIs; the official lineups post about an hour before kickoff and this page updates then. The badge on each player: how often he cleared his strongest prop line (named under him) over his recent matches; green at 70% or better.

Anderlecht 4-3-3Salzburg 4-2-3-1

26 Coosemans
79 Maamar
4 Biancone
27 Petrot
5 Reabciuk
55 Kana
29 Stroeykens
83 Degreef
18 Ambros
9 Cvetkovic
49 Onia Seke
52 Zawieschitzky
39 Morgalla
21 Drexler
47 Zabransky
3/613 KratzigFouls 0.5+
32 Barry
15 Mazurek
7/1020 BaidooSOT 0.5+
30 Diakite
7/1011 VertessenShots 1.5+
9 Tabakovic

Anderlecht missing: I. Camara (foot), L. Hey (broken leg), I. Koutsoupias (off the roster), K. Sardella (inactive)

Salzburg missing: E. Aguilar (muscle), K. Boma (inactive), A. Chase (off the roster), S. Kitano (ankle), F. Matijasevic (off the roster), J. Mellberg (muscle), J. Moser (off the roster), J. Omoregie (achilles tendon), D. Schmid (knee), N. Veratschnig (knee)

The props behind these lineupsLines and hit rates for Europa League players. A free account opens the board. Pro unlocks all of it.

Form and head to head

Anderlecht22nd in the tableWLLW2W 0D 2L · 1.50 points a match
No recent meetings
Salzburg21st in the tableDLWLW3W 1D 7L · 0.91 points a match

Clean sheets and goal trends

Anderlecht

50%

Clean sheet2/4

25%

Failed to score1/4

25%

Both scored1/4

50%

Over 2.52/4

Salzburg

18%

Clean sheet2/11

36%

Failed to score4/11

46%

Both scored5/11

55%

Over 2.56/11

Attack and defense

Attacking

AnderlechtSalzburg
50%Win %27%
58%Possession %47%
25%Both teams scored %46%
50%Scored first %55%
  • 1.3Scored per match1.2
  • 8.8Shots per match12.6
  • 4.8Shots on target per match4.9
  • 0.0Big chances per match1.5

Defensive

AnderlechtSalzburg
50%Loss %64%
25%Failed to score %36%
50%Clean sheet %18%
50%Conceded first %46%
  • 0.8Conceded per match1.9
  • 7.5Shots against per match16.2
  • 12.0Tackles per match17.2
  • 11.8Fouls per match11.6

Per-match rates this season. Each spoke of the charts is scaled to the higher of the two clubs.

Recent results

Anderlecht WLLW W 3-0 at Jagiellonia · L 0-1 at GNK · L 1-2 vs LYO · W 1-0 vs HAC
Salzburg DLWLW D 2-2 at Celje · L 0-4 vs AC Milan · W 1-0 at Levski Sof · L 2-3 at AVL · W 3-1 vs BAS

Last five Europa League results, most recent first.

Season numbers

Anderlecht Salzburg
Table 22 (3 pts) 21 (4 pts)
Record (W-D-L) 2-0-2 3-1-7
Home / away record 0-0-1 (1-2) home 1-1-0 (3-2) away
Goals scored per match 1.25 1.18
Goals conceded per match 0.75 1.91
Shots / on target per match 8.75 / 4.75 12.55 / 4.91
Both teams scored 25% 46%
Over 1.5 / 2.5 / 3.5 goals 50% / 50% / 0% 73% / 55% / 55%
Clean sheets 50% 18%
Failed to score 25% 36%
Yellow cards per match 1.25 1.55
Corners per match 5.40 3.19

This season, 4 and 11 matches.

Injury report

No injuries listed for either team in our data as of 8:13 AM ET.

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Anderlecht vs Salzburg odds by sportsbook

Book AND ML S ML Over Under
bet365 +100 +240 O 2.5 -175 U 2.5 +138
BetRivers -104 +230 O 3.25 -102 U 3.25 -132
FanDuel +100 +250 O 3.5 +142 U 3.5 -176

Highlighted: the best price in each column as of 8:13 AM ET. Prices move; check the book before you bet.

Line movement since we first listed this match (Wed 6:51 AM ET): Anderlecht moneyline -105 → +100.

Goal lines and both teams to score

Both teams to score: yes -210, no +160

Total goals Over Under
1.5 -620 +430
2.5 -178 +144
3.5 +142 -176
4.5 +330 -450

Line movement chart

Total 2.5 → 2.5
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Betting guides: yellow card betting tips · soccer player props guide · how parlays work

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