How the bets settled
Match report
Aston Villa and Fulham drew 1-1. Villa took the lead in the 39th minute when N. Jackson finished with an assist from J. Manzambi. Fulham levelled in the 64th minute through a Z. Suzuki own goal. Yellow cards finished 1-3.
Fulham edged expected goals 2.24 to 1.83 and possession 55% to 45%, while shots were 14 to 16 and shots on target 5 to 3. Big chances were level at 4-4 and corners at 7-7. Villa’s passing was 86% and Fulham’s 89%.
Before the match, Villa sat 12th on 11 points with form WWDWL and Fulham 16th on 8 points with form WWLDD. Both teams had scored in 50% of matches, and the 1-1 result matched that split. Villa’s over 2.5 rate was 63% and Fulham’s 38%, while the match produced a two-goal total.
Goals
- 39′ N. Jackson, assist J. Manzambi Aston Villa
- 64′ Z. Suzuki (own goal) Fulham
| Match stats | Aston Villa | Fulham |
|---|---|---|
| Expected goals (xG) | 1.83 | 2.24 |
| Ball possession | 45% | 55% |
| Total shots | 16 | 14 |
| Shots on target | 3 | 5 |
| Big chances | 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks | 7 | 7 |
| Passes | 86% (374/434) | 89% (478/540) |
| Yellow cards | 1 | 3 |
How the key matchups went
- Alysson: 1 shot, 0 shots on target, 0 fouls won. Robinson: 1 foul committed, 1 tackle, 0 yellow cards.
- Manzambi: 2 shots, 1 shot on target, 2 fouls won. Castagne: 1 foul committed, 1 tackle, 0 yellow cards.
- Jackson: 2 shots, 2 shots on target, 2 fouls won. Affengruber: 1 foul committed, 2 tackles, 1 yellow card. Bassey: 1 foul committed, 2 tackles, 1 yellow card.
- Bobb: 2 shots, 1 shot on target, 0 fouls won. Maatsen: 0 fouls committed, 3 tackles, 0 yellow cards.
- Iwobi: 3 shots, 1 shot on target, 0 fouls won. Cash: 1 foul committed, 3 tackles, 1 yellow card.
- Garcia: 2 shots, 0 shots on target, 0 fouls won. Lindelof: 1 foul committed, 1 tackle, 0 yellow cards. Torres: 1 foul committed, 0 tackles, 0 yellow cards.
Box score
Aston Villa
| Player | MIN | G | A | SH | SOT | xG | KP | PAS | TKL | FC | FS | YC | SV | RAT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.33 | 0 | 12/14 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7.6 | |
| 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 75/78 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.8 | |
| 66 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0.10 | 1 | 17/22 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7.1 | |
| 79 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 25/29 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 | |
| 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.05 | 1 | 29/34 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.4 | |
| 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 29/32 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8.0 | |
| 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 47/57 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7.5 | |
| 66 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.04 | 1 | 4/6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.8 | |
| 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.26 | 0 | 62/69 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.1 | |
| 66 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0.12 | 0 | 16/19 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.4 | |
| 87 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.79 | 4 | 18/22 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.0 | |
| Buendia E. | 24 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.04 | 2 | 7/10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Mbaye I. | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 12/17 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Joao Gomes | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 13/16 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Garnacho A. | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.09 | 1 | 2/2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
| Barkley R. | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.02 | 0 | 6/7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
Fulham
| Player | MIN | G | A | SH | SOT | xG | KP | PAS | TKL | FC | FS | YC | SV | RAT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0.19 | 0 | 54/59 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 | |
| 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 56/61 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 | |
| 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 27/33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6.3 | |
| 79 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 23/24 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 | |
| 75 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0.63 | 2 | 38/44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.0 | |
| 79 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.40 | 1 | 29/35 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 | |
| 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 67/70 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.1 | |
| 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.09 | 0 | 62/69 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 | |
| 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.51 | 1 | 49/56 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5.3 | |
| 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.15 | 1 | 40/49 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 | |
| 87 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.36 | 0 | 17/20 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 | |
| Palacios C. | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 3/3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.4 |
| Larsson H. | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
| Tete K. | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 4/5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Rodrigo Muniz | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0/1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | – |
| Cairney T. | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 9/10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
Recap: Zion Suzuki fumble costs Aston Villa three points against resilient Fulham (ESPN)
StatsBench picks
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Aston Villa vs Fulham pre-game preview
Saturday’s Premier League match sees Aston Villa host Fulham. Aston Villa are the home moneyline favorite at +105, with the draw at +275 and Fulham at +265, and the total is 2.5. The last meeting saw Fulham beat Aston Villa 1-0 on Apr 25, 2026. Aston Villa’s league form is WWDWL, and Fulham’s is WWLDD. Aston Villa have 11 points from eight matches, scoring 9 and conceding 12; Fulham have 8 points from eight matches, scoring 8 and conceding 10. The useful angles are availability and props. Aston Villa list Amadou Onana out with a cruciate ligament injury plus Matteo Ruggeri and Aaron Wan-Bissaka out with hamstring injuries. Zion Suzuki’s over 2.5 saves at -140 has cleared in 5 of his last 7, while Antonee Robinson’s over 0.5 fouls won at -110 has cleared in 7 of his last 10.
Confirmed lineups
The official starting XIs. The badge on each player: how often he cleared his strongest prop line (named under him) over his recent matches; green at 70% or better.
Aston Villa 4-2-3-1
Fulham 4-2-3-1
1 Suzuki
2 Cash
3 Lindelof
14 Torres
22 Maatsen
8 Kamara
27 Goretzka
47 Alysson
7 McGinn (C)
44 Manzambi
11 Jackson
1 Leno
21 Castagne
22 Affengruber
3 Bassey (C)
33 Robinson
16 Berge
19 Charles
14 Bobb
24 King
17 Iwobi
7 GarciaAston Villa missing: A. Onana (knee), M. Ruggeri (muscle), A. Wan-Bissaka (muscle)
Fulham missing: R. Sessegnon (red card)
Form and head to head
Aston Villa12th in the tableWWDWL3W 2D 3L · 1.38 points a match
Fulham16th in the tableWWLDD2W 2D 4L · 1.00 points a match- Apr 2026FUL 1-0 AVL
- Sep 2025AVL 3-1 FUL
- May 2025AVL 1-0 FUL
- Oct 2024FUL 1-3 AVL
- Feb 2024FUL 1-2 AVL
- Nov 2023AVL 3-1 FUL
Clean sheets and goal trends
Aston Villa
Clean sheet2/8
Failed to score3/8
Both scored4/8
Over 2.55/8
Fulham
Clean sheet3/8
Failed to score2/8
Both scored4/8
Over 2.53/8
Recent results
| Aston Villa | WWDWL | W 2-1 vs MCI · W 1-0 at NEW · D 2-2 vs BRE · W 3-2 at TOT · L 1-2 vs NFO |
|---|---|---|
| Fulham | WWLDD | W 1-0 at Coventry · W 1-0 vs Hull City · L 1-2 at IPS · D 1-1 vs MUN · D 0-0 at LIV |
Last five Premier League results, most recent first.
Season numbers
| Aston Villa | Fulham | |
|---|---|---|
| Table | 12 (11 pts) | 16 (8 pts) |
| Record (W-D-L) | 3-2-3 | 2-2-4 |
| Home / away record | 1-1-2 (5-6) home | 1-1-2 (2-3) away |
| Goals scored per match | 1.13 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.50 | 1.25 |
| Shots / on target per match | 10.00 / 3.00 | 11.13 / 4.50 |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 / 2.5 / 3.5 goals | 63% / 63% / 38% | 50% / 38% / 25% |
| Clean sheets | 25% | 38% |
| Failed to score | 38% | 25% |
| Yellow cards per match | 2.25 | 2.00 |
| Corners per match | 3.65 | 5.98 |
This season, 8 and 8 matches.
Referee
Samuel Barrott averages 3.5 yellow cards and 20.2 fouls per match over 10 matches this season (league average 3.9 and 23.3), lighter with cards than most.
Injury report
Aston Villa
- Amadou Onana (M): Out, Cruciate Ligament Injury
- Matteo Ruggeri (D): Out, Hamstring Injury
- Aaron Wan-Bissaka (D): Out, Hamstring Injury
Fulham: none listed.
Line movement chart
More on these teams: All Premier League prop picks
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