| Result | Moneyline |
|---|---|
| +200 |
|
| Draw | +290 |
| +120 |
Total goals 3.5: over +122
, under -150 ![]()
Best price at bet365, BetRivers, Caesars, DraftKings, FanDuel and Fanatics, updated 7:06 AM ET.
Celtic vs Besiktas preview
Celtic hosts Besiktas on Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET in Europa League play. On the three-way moneyline Besiktas is favored at +115, Celtic is +210 and the draw is +285, while the total is 3.5. Celtic’s league form is LLLWL and its home record is 0-0-2. Besiktas sits 8th with 7 points, has form DWWLL and an away record of 1-0-0.
The goals profile is notable: both teams scored in 77% of Celtic matches and 80% of Besiktas matches, over 2.5 occurred in 77% and 80% respectively, and Besiktas has a 0% clean-sheet rate against Celtic’s 8%. Celtic’s listed absences include Trusty inactive, Johnston with a leg injury and Yang with a hamstring injury; Besiktas is missing Akdag to a red card, Kokcu with a foot injury and Miretti with a shoulder injury. Those team-news items are the main research angle alongside the high both-teams-to-score rates.
Celtic vs Besiktas prediction
The books imply 32% / 24% / 44%
The numbers lean Besiktas: the model gives them 51% and Celtic 29%, with expected goals of 1.70 to 2.26 and a most likely 1-2 score. The books disagree, pricing Besiktas at 44% and Celtic at 31%. Celtic sit on 0 points after form LLLWL and a 0-0-2 home record, while Besiktas have 7 points and score 2.20 per match.
A Poisson estimate from each club’s scoring and conceding rates this season, overall and at home or away (13 and 5 matches). It does not know about lineups or injuries, and it is a research estimate, not a guarantee.
StatsBench picks
No StatsBench pick posted for this match. Today’s posted picks are graded live.
Top Celtic vs Besiktas player props
| Player | Prop | Best price | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Auston Trusty Celtic | Over 0.5 fouls | -200 |
75% (6/8) | 80% |
| Jordan Lotomba Celtic | Over 0.5 shots | +115 |
66.7% (4/6) | 80% |
| Liam Scales Celtic | Over 0.5 fouls won | -137 |
60% (6/10) | 60% |
| Colby Donovan Celtic | Over 2.5 tackles | -164 |
50% (5/10) | 80% |
| Callum McGregor Celtic | Over 1.5 tackles | -164 |
40% (4/10) | 20% |
Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent matches. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 7:06 AM ET.
Key matchups
From the predicted lineups: each winger against the full-back he faces, the strikers against the centre-backs. Each white tick marks the league average per match. The lower bars show how often the player cleared the line over his recent matches, green at 70% or better.
Hassan vs Yilmaz
Hassan
YilmazYilmaz has the defensive edge because Hassan’s 0.3 fouls won average is far below the 1.5 line, making the fouls-won prop the weak point.
Osmand vs Murillo
Osmand
MurilloMurillo has the defensive edge because Osmand’s 0.3 fouls won average is below the 0.5 line, so the short fouls-won prop is the weak point.
Duran vs Agbadou and Topcu
Duran
Agbadou
TopcuNo lines posted
With Duran unlined, Topcu has the clearer edge because his 4 tackles average sits well above the 1.5 line, pointing to Topcu tackles over 1.5.
Cerny vs Tierney
Cerny
TierneyTrossard vs Donovan
Trossard
DonovanVlahovic vs Carter-Vickers and Scales
Vlahovic
Carter-Vickers
ScalesAffiliate link: StatsBench may earn a commission if you sign up. 18+ (21+ where required); availability depends on where you live.
Predicted lineups
Predicted XIs; the official lineups post about an hour before kickoff and this page updates then. The badge on each player: how often he cleared his strongest prop line (named under him) over his recent matches; green at 70% or better.
Celtic 4-2-3-1
Besiktas 4-1-4-1
26 Johnstone
5/1051 DonovanTackles 2.5+
20 Carter-Vickers
6/105 ScalesFouls won 0.5+
63 Tierney
42 McGregor
22 Baur
23 Hassan
8 Nygren
19 Osmand
11 Duran
1 Nubel
62 Murillo
12 Agbadou
53 Topcu
33 Yilmaz
6 Ozcan
18 Cerny
15 Olaitan
4 Ndidi
19 Trossard
28 VlahovicCeltic missing: L. Emenalo (off the roster), A. Johnston (leg), Jota (off the roster), S. Mheuka (off the roster), A. Trusty (inactive), J. van den Berg (off the roster), Yang Hyun-Jun (hamstring)
Besiktas missing: U. Akdag (red card), C. Keles (off the roster), F. Miretti (shoulder), M. Rashica (off the roster)
Form and head to head
Celtic35th in the tableLLLWL4W 2D 7L · 1.08 points a match
Besiktas8th in the tableDWWLL2W 1D 2L · 1.40 points a matchClean sheets and goal trends
Celtic
Clean sheet1/13
Failed to score2/13
Both scored10/13
Over 2.510/13
Besiktas
Clean sheet0/5
Failed to score1/5
Both scored4/5
Over 2.54/5
Attack and defense
Attacking
- 1.4Scored per match2.2
- 9.2Shots per match8.4
- 4.1Shots on target per match2.8
- 1.7Big chances per match0.0
Defensive
- 2.2Conceded per match2.2
- 18.3Shots against per match7.0
- 15.5Tackles per match9.4
- 11.7Fouls per match6.0
Per-match rates this season. Each spoke of the charts is scaled to the higher of the two clubs.
Recent results
| Celtic | LLLWL | L 1-2 vs CEL · L 1-4 at Benfica · L 1-3 vs Ferencváro · W 1-0 at VFB · L 1-4 vs VFB |
|---|---|---|
| Beşiktaş | DWWLL | D 2-2 vs Crystal Palace · W 3-2 at 1899 Hoffenheim · W 4-1 vs Marseille · L 0-2 at SHK · L 2-4 vs SHK |
Last five Europa League results, most recent first.
Season numbers
| Celtic | Beşiktaş | |
|---|---|---|
| Table | 35 (0 pts) | 8 (7 pts) |
| Record (W-D-L) | 4-2-7 | 2-1-2 |
| Home / away record | 0-0-2 (2-5) home | 1-0-0 (3-2) away |
| Goals scored per match | 1.38 | 2.20 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.15 | 2.20 |
| Shots / on target per match | 9.23 / 4.08 | 8.40 / 2.80 |
| Both teams scored | 77% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 / 2.5 / 3.5 goals | 92% / 77% / 54% | 100% / 80% / 80% |
| Clean sheets | 8% | 0% |
| Failed to score | 15% | 20% |
| Yellow cards per match | 1.54 | 1.00 |
| Corners per match | 5.54 | 3.70 |
This season, 13 and 5 matches.
Injury report
No injuries listed for either team in our data as of 7:06 AM ET.
Celtic vs Besiktas odds by sportsbook
| Book | CEL ML | BES ML | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| +200 | +120 | O 3.5 +120 | U 3.5 -150 | |
| +185 | +116 | O 3 -128 | U 3 -102 | |
| +195 | +120 | O 3.5 +122 | U 3.5 -150 |
Highlighted: the best price in each column as of 7:06 AM ET. Prices move; check the book before you bet.
Line movement since we first listed this match (Wed 9:12 AM ET): Celtic moneyline +210 → +200.
Goal lines and both teams to score
Both teams to score: yes -260, no +192
| Total goals | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | -750 | +490 |
| 2.5 | -210 | +172 |
| 3.5 | +122 | -150 |
| 4.5 | +285 | -375 |
Line movement chart
21+. Research, not a guarantee: every bet can lose. Bet within your means; if gambling stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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