Celtic vs Besiktas Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Nov 5, 2026)

Celtic logo

Celtic
3:00 PM ETThu, Nov 5
Besiktas logo

Besiktas

Europa League · Thursday, November 5, 2026 · 3:00 PM ET

Result Moneyline
Celtic +200
Draw +290
Besiktas +120

Total goals 3.5: over +122 , under -150

Best price at bet365, BetRivers, Caesars, DraftKings, FanDuel and Fanatics, updated 7:06 AM ET.

Celtic vs Besiktas preview

Celtic hosts Besiktas on Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET in Europa League play. On the three-way moneyline Besiktas is favored at +115, Celtic is +210 and the draw is +285, while the total is 3.5. Celtic’s league form is LLLWL and its home record is 0-0-2. Besiktas sits 8th with 7 points, has form DWWLL and an away record of 1-0-0.

The goals profile is notable: both teams scored in 77% of Celtic matches and 80% of Besiktas matches, over 2.5 occurred in 77% and 80% respectively, and Besiktas has a 0% clean-sheet rate against Celtic’s 8%. Celtic’s listed absences include Trusty inactive, Johnston with a leg injury and Yang with a hamstring injury; Besiktas is missing Akdag to a red card, Kokcu with a foot injury and Miretti with a shoulder injury. Those team-news items are the main research angle alongside the high both-teams-to-score rates.

Celtic vs Besiktas prediction

29%Celtic
20%Draw
51%Besiktas

The books imply 32% / 24% / 44%

1-2Most likely score8% chance
1.7 – 2.3Expected goals
76%Over 2.5 goals
73%Both teams to score

The numbers lean Besiktas: the model gives them 51% and Celtic 29%, with expected goals of 1.70 to 2.26 and a most likely 1-2 score. The books disagree, pricing Besiktas at 44% and Celtic at 31%. Celtic sit on 0 points after form LLLWL and a 0-0-2 home record, while Besiktas have 7 points and score 2.20 per match.

A Poisson estimate from each club’s scoring and conceding rates this season, overall and at home or away (13 and 5 matches). It does not know about lineups or injuries, and it is a research estimate, not a guarantee.

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this match. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Top Celtic vs Besiktas player props

Player Prop Best price Last 10 Last 5
Auston Trusty Celtic Over 0.5 fouls -200 bet365 75% (6/8) 80%
Jordan Lotomba Celtic Over 0.5 shots +115 FanDuel 66.7% (4/6) 80%
Liam Scales Celtic Over 0.5 fouls won -137 bet365 60% (6/10) 60%
Colby Donovan Celtic Over 2.5 tackles -164 sportsbet 50% (5/10) 80%
Callum McGregor Celtic Over 1.5 tackles -164 sportsbet 40% (4/10) 20%

Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent matches. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 7:06 AM ET.

The rest of the Celtic vs Besiktas propsHit rates, matchups and the best price across 30+ books. A free account opens the board. Pro unlocks all of it.
Benjamin NygrenOver 0.5 shots on target4/10
James ForrestOver 1.5 fouls won2/6
Hyeon-gyu OhAnytime goalscorer3/10

Key matchups

From the predicted lineups: each winger against the full-back he faces, the strikers against the centre-backs. Each white tick marks the league average per match. The lower bars show how often the player cleared the line over his recent matches, green at 70% or better.

Hassan vs Yilmaz

HassanWinger, Celtic
VS
YilmazFull-back, Besiktas
Fouls won over 1.50/3avg 0.3 · +120bet365
Shots over 1.51/3avg 0.7 · -160FanDuel
Shots on target over 0.51/3avg 0.7 · +140BetRivers

Yilmaz has the defensive edge because Hassan’s 0.3 fouls won average is far below the 1.5 line, making the fouls-won prop the weak point.

Osmand vs Murillo

OsmandWinger, Celtic
VS
MurilloFull-back, Besiktas
Fouls won over 0.51/3avg 0.3 · -200bet365
Shots over 2.51/3avg 1.7 · +105FanDuel
Shots on target over 0.51/3avg 0.3 · -170FanDuel

Murillo has the defensive edge because Osmand’s 0.3 fouls won average is below the 0.5 line, so the short fouls-won prop is the weak point.

Duran vs Agbadou and Topcu

DuranStriker, Celtic
VS
AgbadouCentre-back, Besiktas
TopcuCentre-back, Besiktas

No lines posted

Fouls committed over 0.52/2avg 1 · -225bet365
Tackles over 1.51/2avg 1.5 · -137sportsbet
Yellow card over 0.51/2avg 0.5 · +240bet365
Fouls committed over 0.51/2avg 0.5 · -225bet365
Tackles over 1.52/2avg 4 · -233sportsbet
Yellow card over 0.50/2avg 0 · +240bet365

With Duran unlined, Topcu has the clearer edge because his 4 tackles average sits well above the 1.5 line, pointing to Topcu tackles over 1.5.

Cerny vs Tierney

CernyWinger, Besiktas
VS
TierneyFull-back, Celtic
Tough matchup for CernyTierney gives away 0.7 fouls a match, 25% less than the average defender (0.9). Cerny only draws 0.0, which points to about 0.0 fouls drawn here, against a line of 0.5.
0.0Fouls drawn vs given0.7
1.5Shots vs tackles1.6
Fouls won over 0.50/2avg 0 · -110bet365
Shots over 2.51/2avg 1.5 · +110FanDuel
Shots on target over 0.51/2avg 0.5 · -165FanDuel
Fouls committed over 1.51/10avg 0.7 · +100bet365
Tackles over 1.54/10avg 1.6 · -227sportsbet
Yellow card over 0.50/10avg 0 · +400bet365

Trossard vs Donovan

TrossardWinger, Besiktas
VS
DonovanFull-back, Celtic
Good matchup for TrossardDonovan gives away 1.3 fouls a match, 39% more than the average defender (0.9). Trossard draws plenty himself, at 2.5, which points to about 3.5 fouls drawn here, against a line of 1.5.
2.5Fouls drawn vs given1.3
1.5Shots vs tackles2.7
Fouls won over 1.51/2avg 2.5 · -150bet365
Shots over 2.51/2avg 1.5 · -108BetRivers
Shots on target over 0.50/2avg 0 · -182BetRivers
Fouls committed over 1.52/10avg 1.3 · -110bet365
Tackles over 2.55/10avg 2.7 · -164sportsbet
Yellow card over 0.52/10avg 0.2 · +240bet365

Vlahovic vs Carter-Vickers and Scales

VlahovicStriker, Besiktas
VS
Carter-VickersCentre-back, Celtic
ScalesCentre-back, Celtic
Good matchup for VlahovicCarter-Vickers and Scales give away 1.1 fouls a match, 23% more than the average defender (0.9). Vlahovic draws plenty himself, at 1.5, which points to about 1.8 fouls drawn here, against a line of 1.5.
1.5Fouls drawn vs given1.1
2.5Shots vs tackles1.4
Fouls won over 1.51/2avg 1.5 · -120bet365
Shots over 3.51/2avg 2.5 · -120BetMGM
Shots on target over 1.50/2avg 0.5 · +105BetRivers
Fouls committed over 0.54/4avg 1.3 · -275bet365
Tackles over 1.52/4avg 1.5 · +110sportsbet
Yellow card over 0.51/4avg 0.3 · +450bet365
Fouls committed over 0.57/10avg 1 · -300bet365
Tackles over 1.53/10avg 1.3 · -145sportsbet
Yellow card over 0.53/10avg 0.3 · +200bet365
Trade Celtic vs Besiktas on PolymarketPrediction-market prices on the match and player props, often sharper than a sportsbook’s.

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Predicted lineups

Predicted XIs; the official lineups post about an hour before kickoff and this page updates then. The badge on each player: how often he cleared his strongest prop line (named under him) over his recent matches; green at 70% or better.

Celtic 4-2-3-1Besiktas 4-1-4-1

26 Johnstone
5/1051 DonovanTackles 2.5+
20 Carter-Vickers
6/105 ScalesFouls won 0.5+
63 Tierney
42 McGregor
22 Baur
23 Hassan
8 Nygren
19 Osmand
11 Duran
1 Nubel
62 Murillo
12 Agbadou
53 Topcu
33 Yilmaz
6 Ozcan
18 Cerny
15 Olaitan
4 Ndidi
19 Trossard
28 Vlahovic

Celtic missing: L. Emenalo (off the roster), A. Johnston (leg), Jota (off the roster), S. Mheuka (off the roster), A. Trusty (inactive), J. van den Berg (off the roster), Yang Hyun-Jun (hamstring)

Besiktas missing: U. Akdag (red card), C. Keles (off the roster), F. Miretti (shoulder), M. Rashica (off the roster)

The props behind these lineupsLines and hit rates for Europa League players. A free account opens the board. Pro unlocks all of it.

Form and head to head

Celtic35th in the tableLLLWL4W 2D 7L · 1.08 points a match
No recent meetings
Besiktas8th in the tableDWWLL2W 1D 2L · 1.40 points a match

Clean sheets and goal trends

Celtic

8%

Clean sheet1/13

15%

Failed to score2/13

77%

Both scored10/13

77%

Over 2.510/13

Besiktas

0%

Clean sheet0/5

20%

Failed to score1/5

80%

Both scored4/5

80%

Over 2.54/5

Attack and defense

Attacking

CelticBesiktas
31%Win %40%
50%Possession %50%
77%Both teams scored %80%
39%Scored first %60%
  • 1.4Scored per match2.2
  • 9.2Shots per match8.4
  • 4.1Shots on target per match2.8
  • 1.7Big chances per match0.0

Defensive

CelticBesiktas
54%Loss %40%
15%Failed to score %20%
8%Clean sheet %0%
62%Conceded first %40%
  • 2.2Conceded per match2.2
  • 18.3Shots against per match7.0
  • 15.5Tackles per match9.4
  • 11.7Fouls per match6.0

Per-match rates this season. Each spoke of the charts is scaled to the higher of the two clubs.

Recent results

Celtic LLLWL L 1-2 vs CEL · L 1-4 at Benfica · L 1-3 vs Ferencváro · W 1-0 at VFB · L 1-4 vs VFB
Beşiktaş DWWLL D 2-2 vs Crystal Palace · W 3-2 at 1899 Hoffenheim · W 4-1 vs Marseille · L 0-2 at SHK · L 2-4 vs SHK

Last five Europa League results, most recent first.

Season numbers

Celtic Beşiktaş
Table 35 (0 pts) 8 (7 pts)
Record (W-D-L) 4-2-7 2-1-2
Home / away record 0-0-2 (2-5) home 1-0-0 (3-2) away
Goals scored per match 1.38 2.20
Goals conceded per match 2.15 2.20
Shots / on target per match 9.23 / 4.08 8.40 / 2.80
Both teams scored 77% 80%
Over 1.5 / 2.5 / 3.5 goals 92% / 77% / 54% 100% / 80% / 80%
Clean sheets 8% 0%
Failed to score 15% 20%
Yellow cards per match 1.54 1.00
Corners per match 5.54 3.70

This season, 13 and 5 matches.

Injury report

No injuries listed for either team in our data as of 7:06 AM ET.

Compare Europa League playersHit rates, matchups and the best price across 30+ books, side by side. A free account opens the board. Pro unlocks all of it.

Celtic vs Besiktas odds by sportsbook

Book CEL ML BES ML Over Under
bet365 +200 +120 O 3.5 +120 U 3.5 -150
BetRivers +185 +116 O 3 -128 U 3 -102
FanDuel +195 +120 O 3.5 +122 U 3.5 -150

Highlighted: the best price in each column as of 7:06 AM ET. Prices move; check the book before you bet.

Line movement since we first listed this match (Wed 9:12 AM ET): Celtic moneyline +210 → +200.

Goal lines and both teams to score

Both teams to score: yes -260, no +192

Total goals Over Under
1.5 -750 +490
2.5 -210 +172
3.5 +122 -150
4.5 +285 -375

Line movement chart

Total 3.5 → 3.5
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