SK Sturm Graz vs Celje Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Nov 5, 2026)

SK Sturm Graz logo

SK Sturm Graz
3:00 PM ETThu, Nov 5
Celje

Europa League · Thursday, November 5, 2026 · 3:00 PM ET

Result Moneyline
SK Sturm Graz -192
Draw +370
Celje +500

Total goals 3.5: over +138 , under -175

Best price at bet365, BetRivers, Caesars, DraftKings, FanDuel and Fanatics, updated 7:43 AM ET.

SK Sturm Graz vs Celje preview

Thursday’s Europa League match sees SK Sturm Graz host Celje. The three-way moneyline has Sturm Graz as the -188 favorite, the draw at +360 and Celje at +475, with a 2.5 total. No last meeting or recent form data is listed here, so the preview leans on availability and matchup data.

Sturm’s injury list includes Kiteishvili (calf), Rozga (muscle), Grgic (knee), Jatta (shoulder) and Khudyakov (leg), while Celje’s listed absences are all off the roster. Sturm’s predicted XI is 3-4-2-1 and Celje’s is 4-3-3. Among the props, Arjan Malic over 1.5 fouls at -105 has cleared in 7 of his last 8, and his fouls committed average is 2.6 with a 7 of 8 hit rate over 1.5.

The matchup notes also show Malic’s foul profile against Celje’s Bejger, whose fouls committed average is 0.3 and who has gone over 0.5 in 1 of 3. That makes Malic’s foul line the cleaner research angle than the lower-volume shooting and foul markets listed for several Celje attackers.

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this match. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Top SK Sturm Graz vs Celje player props

Player Prop Best price Last 10 Last 5
Arjan Malic Sturm Graz Over 1.5 fouls +100 bwin 87.5% (7/8) 80%
Jon Gorenc Stankovic Sturm Graz Over 1.5 fouls +135 bwin 70% (7/10) 80%
Otar Kiteishvili Sturm Graz Anytime goalscorer -110 bet365 42.9% (3/7) 40%
Jacob Peter Hödl Sturm Graz Over 0.5 shots on target -189 BetRivers 40% (4/10) 60%
Filip Rózga Sturm Graz Over 0.5 assist +600 bet365 14.3% (1/7) 0%

Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent matches. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 7:43 AM ET.

The rest of the SK Sturm Graz vs Celje propsHit rates, matchups and the best price across 30+ books. A free account opens the board. Pro unlocks all of it.
Axel KayomboOver 0.5 yellow card1/7
Belmin BeganovicOver 0.5 yellow card1/8
Seedy JattaOver 0.5 yellow card0/8

Key matchups

From the predicted lineups: each winger against the full-back he faces, the strikers against the centre-backs. Each white tick marks the league average per match. The lower bars show how often the player cleared the line over his recent matches, green at 70% or better.

Diakite vs Bejger and Tutyskinas

DiakiteStriker, SK Sturm Graz
VS
BejgerCentre-back, Celje
TutyskinasCentre-back, Celje
Shots over 3.50/3avg 1 · +105BetRivers
Shots on target over 1.50/3avg 0.3 · +130BetRivers
Fouls committed over 0.51/3avg 0.3 · -120bwin
Yellow card over 0.51/3avg 0.3 · +250bet365
Fouls committed over 0.53/3avg 2 · -294bwin
Yellow card over 0.52/3avg 0.7 · +210bet365

Diakite averages 1, so the 3.5 shot line is a stretch and his shot props lack support; Tutyskinas is the centre-back with the stronger foul/yellow profile.

Tusha vs Balbo

TushaWinger, Celje
VS
BalboFull-back, SK Sturm Graz
Shots over 1.52/4avg 1.3 · +163bet365
Shots on target over 0.51/4avg 0.3 · +163bet365

Verbic vs Hodl

VerbicWinger, Celje
VS
HodlFull-back, SK Sturm Graz
Shots over 1.51/3avg 1 · +110bet365
Shots on target over 0.52/3avg 1 · +163bet365
Fouls committed over 1.52/10avg 1 · +125bwin
Yellow card over 0.50/10avg 0 · +350bet365

Verbic’s shots on target profile is the more supported side, while Hodl’s 0 of 10 yellow clears and low foul output reduce the card/foul angle.

Kramer vs Malic and Quarshie and Koller

KramerStriker, Celje
VS
MalicCentre-back, SK Sturm Graz
QuarshieCentre-back, SK Sturm Graz
KollerCentre-back, SK Sturm Graz
Shots over 2.50/3avg 0.7 · +140BetMGM
Shots on target over 0.51/3avg 0.3 · -154BetRivers
Fouls committed over 1.57/8avg 2.6 · +100bwin
Yellow card over 0.54/8avg 0.5 · +300bet365
Fouls committed over 0.52/3avg 0.7 · -244bwin
Yellow card over 0.50/3avg 0 · +250bet365
Fouls committed over 0.52/3avg 1 · -200bwin
Yellow card over 0.50/3avg 0 · +350bet365

Kramer averages 0.7 shots, so his shot props are not supported; Malic averages 2.6 fouls and is the main card/foul angle.

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Predicted lineups

Predicted XIs; the official lineups post about an hour before kickoff and this page updates then. The badge on each player: how often he cleared his strongest prop line (named under him) over his recent matches; green at 70% or better.

SK Sturm Graz 3-4-2-1Celje 4-3-3

22 Helac
7/823 MalicFouls 1.5+
2 Quarshie
30 Koller
43 Hodl
7/104 Gorenc StankovicFouls 1.5+
39 Weinhandl
27 Balbo
19 Seidl
78 Matoshi
14 Diakite
1 Leban
2 Sirvys
44 Bejger
6 Tutyskinas
11 Avdyli
10 Seslar
19 Zabukovnik
8 Kvesic
25 Tusha
9 Kramer
7 Verbic

SK Sturm Graz missing: N. Geyrhofer (off the roster), L. Grgic (knee), S. Jatta (shoulder), D. Khudyakov (leg), O. Kiteishvili (calf), G. Mamageishvili (injury), F. Rozga (muscle), E. Soglo (muscle), N. Weiper (injury), S. Wlodarczyk (off the roster)

Celje missing: I. Calusic (off the roster), J. Pisek (off the roster), R. Pozeg (off the roster), Z. L. Sega (off the roster), S. Sluga (off the roster), D. Vuklisevic (off the roster)

The props behind these lineupsLines and hit rates for Europa League players. A free account opens the board. Pro unlocks all of it.

Injury report

No injuries listed for either team in our data as of 7:43 AM ET.

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SK Sturm Graz vs Celje odds by sportsbook

Book STG ML C ML Over Under
bet365 -200 +500 O 3.5 +138 U 3.5 -175
BetRivers -192 +440 O 3 -106 U 3 -122
FanDuel -210 +500 O 2.5 -176 U 2.5 +142

Highlighted: the best price in each column as of 7:43 AM ET. Prices move; check the book before you bet.

Line movement since we first listed this match (Wed 9:13 AM ET): total 2.5 → 3.5, SK Sturm Graz moneyline -188 → -192.

Line movement chart

Total 2.5 → 3.5
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Betting guides: yellow card betting tips · soccer player props guide · how parlays work

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