| Result | Moneyline |
|---|---|
| -192 |
|
| Draw | +370 |
| Celje | +500 |
Total goals 3.5: over +138
, under -175 ![]()
Best price at bet365, BetRivers, Caesars, DraftKings, FanDuel and Fanatics, updated 7:43 AM ET.
SK Sturm Graz vs Celje preview
Thursday’s Europa League match sees SK Sturm Graz host Celje. The three-way moneyline has Sturm Graz as the -188 favorite, the draw at +360 and Celje at +475, with a 2.5 total. No last meeting or recent form data is listed here, so the preview leans on availability and matchup data.
Sturm’s injury list includes Kiteishvili (calf), Rozga (muscle), Grgic (knee), Jatta (shoulder) and Khudyakov (leg), while Celje’s listed absences are all off the roster. Sturm’s predicted XI is 3-4-2-1 and Celje’s is 4-3-3. Among the props, Arjan Malic over 1.5 fouls at -105 has cleared in 7 of his last 8, and his fouls committed average is 2.6 with a 7 of 8 hit rate over 1.5.
The matchup notes also show Malic’s foul profile against Celje’s Bejger, whose fouls committed average is 0.3 and who has gone over 0.5 in 1 of 3. That makes Malic’s foul line the cleaner research angle than the lower-volume shooting and foul markets listed for several Celje attackers.
StatsBench picks
No StatsBench pick posted for this match. Today’s posted picks are graded live.
Top SK Sturm Graz vs Celje player props
| Player | Prop | Best price | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arjan Malic Sturm Graz | Over 1.5 fouls | +100 |
87.5% (7/8) | 80% |
| Jon Gorenc Stankovic Sturm Graz | Over 1.5 fouls | +135 |
70% (7/10) | 80% |
| Otar Kiteishvili Sturm Graz | Anytime goalscorer | -110 |
42.9% (3/7) | 40% |
| Jacob Peter Hödl Sturm Graz | Over 0.5 shots on target | -189 |
40% (4/10) | 60% |
| Filip Rózga Sturm Graz | Over 0.5 assist | +600 |
14.3% (1/7) | 0% |
Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent matches. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 7:43 AM ET.
Key matchups
From the predicted lineups: each winger against the full-back he faces, the strikers against the centre-backs. Each white tick marks the league average per match. The lower bars show how often the player cleared the line over his recent matches, green at 70% or better.
Diakite vs Bejger and Tutyskinas
Diakite
BejgerCentre-back, Celje
TutyskinasCentre-back, CeljeDiakite averages 1, so the 3.5 shot line is a stretch and his shot props lack support; Tutyskinas is the centre-back with the stronger foul/yellow profile.
Tusha vs Balbo
TushaWinger, Celje
BalboVerbic vs Hodl
VerbicWinger, Celje
HodlVerbic’s shots on target profile is the more supported side, while Hodl’s 0 of 10 yellow clears and low foul output reduce the card/foul angle.
Kramer vs Malic and Quarshie and Koller
KramerStriker, Celje
Malic
Quarshie
KollerKramer averages 0.7 shots, so his shot props are not supported; Malic averages 2.6 fouls and is the main card/foul angle.
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Predicted lineups
Predicted XIs; the official lineups post about an hour before kickoff and this page updates then. The badge on each player: how often he cleared his strongest prop line (named under him) over his recent matches; green at 70% or better.
SK Sturm Graz 3-4-2-1Celje 4-3-3
22 Helac
7/823 MalicFouls 1.5+
2 Quarshie
30 Koller
43 Hodl
7/104 Gorenc StankovicFouls 1.5+
39 Weinhandl
27 Balbo
19 Seidl
78 Matoshi
14 Diakite
1 Leban
2 Sirvys
44 Bejger
6 Tutyskinas
11 Avdyli
10 Seslar
19 Zabukovnik
8 Kvesic
25 Tusha
9 Kramer
7 VerbicSK Sturm Graz missing: N. Geyrhofer (off the roster), L. Grgic (knee), S. Jatta (shoulder), D. Khudyakov (leg), O. Kiteishvili (calf), G. Mamageishvili (injury), F. Rozga (muscle), E. Soglo (muscle), N. Weiper (injury), S. Wlodarczyk (off the roster)
Celje missing: I. Calusic (off the roster), J. Pisek (off the roster), R. Pozeg (off the roster), Z. L. Sega (off the roster), S. Sluga (off the roster), D. Vuklisevic (off the roster)
Injury report
No injuries listed for either team in our data as of 7:43 AM ET.
SK Sturm Graz vs Celje odds by sportsbook
| Book | STG ML | C ML | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| -200 | +500 | O 3.5 +138 | U 3.5 -175 | |
| -192 | +440 | O 3 -106 | U 3 -122 | |
| -210 | +500 | O 2.5 -176 | U 2.5 +142 |
Highlighted: the best price in each column as of 7:43 AM ET. Prices move; check the book before you bet.
Line movement since we first listed this match (Wed 9:13 AM ET): total 2.5 → 3.5, SK Sturm Graz moneyline -188 → -192.
Line movement chart
Betting guides: yellow card betting tips · soccer player props guide · how parlays work
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