Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Nov 5, 2026)

Torreense logo

Torreense
3:00 PM ETThu, Nov 5
Ararat-Armenia logo

Ararat-Armenia

Europa League · Thursday, November 5, 2026 · 3:00 PM ET

Result Moneyline
Torreense -137
Draw +290
Ararat-Armenia +400

Total goals 2.5: over -104 , under -110

Best price at bet365, BetRivers, Caesars, DraftKings, FanDuel and Fanatics, updated 7:58 AM ET.

Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia preview

Torreense hosts Ararat-Armenia in Thursday’s Europa League match, with the three-way moneyline favoring Torreense at -133 while the draw is +280 and Ararat-Armenia +350; the total is 2.5. Torreense sits 28th with 3 points and a 1-0-2 record, form LLW most recent first, including a 0-0-1 home mark. Ararat-Armenia is 36th with 0 points and 0-0-3, form LLL, with a 0-0-1 away record.

The goal profile is the main research angle: Torreense scores 1.33 and concedes 2.33 per match, with both teams scoring in 100% and over 2.5 in 100%. Ararat-Armenia scores 0.67 and concedes 3.67, with over 2.5 in 100% and both teams scoring in 67%. Torreense lists Baradji A. out injured, while Ararat-Armenia lists Ayongo P. off the roster.

Among props, Serobyan averages 3 shots and has gone over 1.5 in 2/3, while Grigoryan averages 1 foul committed and has gone over 0.5 in 2/3. Torreense averages 2.67 corners and Ararat-Armenia 3.33.

Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia prediction

59%Torreense
19%Draw
22%Ararat-Armenia

The books imply 56% / 25% / 19%

2-1Most likely score9% chance
2.5 – 1.5Expected goals
76%Over 2.5 goals
71%Both teams to score

Model prices Torreense at 59% versus 54% implied by the books, so it leans more toward a Torreense win than the market does. Ararat-Armenia’s 0-0-3 form and 3.67 goals conceded per match support that lean. Torreense has both teams scored in 100% and over 2.5 in 100%, and Baradji A. is missing for Torreense.

A Poisson estimate from each club’s scoring and conceding rates this season, overall and at home or away (3 and 3 matches). It does not know about lineups or injuries, and it is a research estimate, not a guarantee.

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this match. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Top Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia player props

The prop board for this match isn’t posted yet. It fills in as books open their lines.

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Key matchups

From the predicted lineups: each winger against the full-back he faces, the strikers against the centre-backs. Each white tick marks the league average per match. The lower bars show how often the player cleared the line over his recent matches, green at 70% or better.

Pozo vs Grigoryan

PozoWinger, Torreense
VS
GrigoryanFull-back, Ararat-Armenia
Shots over 2.51/3avg 1.7 · -137bet365
Shots on target over 0.52/3avg 1 · -222BetRivers
Fouls committed over 0.52/3avg 1 · -238bwin
Yellow card over 0.51/3avg 0.3 · +215Stake

Pozo’s shot-on-target line is better supported than his volume line, with 2 of 3 clears, so the SOT prop is the cleaner attacking angle; Grigoryan’s fouls line is the defensive counter but lacks draw-foul evidence.

Zoabi vs Oliveira

ZoabiWinger, Torreense
VS
OliveiraFull-back, Ararat-Armenia
Shots over 2.50/2avg 0 · +130BetMGM
Shots on target over 0.50/2avg 0 · -225bet365

Drammeh vs Malis

DrammehStriker, Torreense
VS
MalisCentre-back, Ararat-Armenia
Shots over 3.50/3avg 1 · +150bet365
Shots on target over 0.51/3avg 0.7 · -250bet365
Fouls committed over 0.51/2avg 1 · -159bwin
Yellow card over 0.50/2avg 0 · +280Stake

Drammeh has not cleared his shot volume in 0 of 3, so the striker angle is weak; Malis’s fouls-committed average gives him the defensive edge.

Serobyan vs Vazquez

SerobyanWinger, Ararat-Armenia
VS
VazquezFull-back, Torreense
Shots over 1.52/3avg 3 · -225bet365
Shots on target over 0.52/3avg 1 · +163bet365
Fouls committed over 0.51/3avg 0.3 · -172bwin
Yellow card over 0.50/3avg 0 · +280Stake

Serobyan has the attacking edge, clearing his shot line in 2 of 3, so that prop is the route; Vazquez’s fouls line has weak support.

Shaghoyan vs Mutombo

ShaghoyanWinger, Ararat-Armenia
VS
MutomboFull-back, Torreense
Shots over 1.51/3avg 1 · +138bet365
Shots on target over 0.52/3avg 1 · +115BetRivers
Fouls committed over 1.52/2avg 2.5 · +125bwin
Yellow card over 0.52/2avg 1 · +280Stake

Shaghoyan’s shot volume is weak, but his SOT line has cleared 2 of 3; Mutombo’s foul propensity makes his fouls-committed prop the stronger angle.

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Predicted lineups

Predicted XIs; the official lineups post about an hour before kickoff and this page updates then. The badge on each player: how often he cleared his strongest prop line (named under him) over his recent matches; green at 70% or better.

Torreense 4-2-3-1Ararat-Armenia 4-2-3-1

1 Lucas Paes
45 Mutombo
4 Volnei
5 Mohamed
23 Vazquez
6 Oudrhiri
8 Alfaro
11 Pozo
33 Marques
19 Zoabi
17 Drammeh
98 Joao Bravim
2 Oliveira
43 Wilson Valdez
47 Malis
16 Grigoryan
8 Balanta
17 Carlier
77 Serobyan
10 Ambartsumyan
7 Shaghoyan
91 Sandro Lima

Torreense missing: A. Baradji (injury)

Ararat-Armenia missing: P. Ayongo (off the roster)

The props behind these lineupsLines and hit rates for Europa League players. A free account opens the board. Pro unlocks all of it.

Form and head to head

Torreense28th in the tableLLW1W 0D 2L · 1.00 points a match
No recent meetings
Ararat-Armenia36th in the tableLLL0W 0D 3L · 0.00 points a match

Clean sheets and goal trends

Torreense

0%

Clean sheet0/3

0%

Failed to score0/3

100%

Both scored3/3

100%

Over 2.53/3

Ararat-Armenia

0%

Clean sheet0/3

33%

Failed to score1/3

67%

Both scored2/3

100%

Over 2.53/3

Attack and defense

Attacking

TorreenseArarat-Armenia
33%Win %0%
38%Possession %46%
100%Both teams scored %67%
67%Scored first %33%
  • 1.3Scored per match0.7
  • 7.3Shots per match11.7
  • 2.7Shots on target per match3.0
  • 0.0Big chances per match0.0

Defensive

TorreenseArarat-Armenia
67%Loss %100%
0%Failed to score %33%
0%Clean sheet %0%
33%Conceded first %67%
  • 2.3Conceded per match3.7
  • 20.0Shots against per match16.0
  • 13.0Tackles per match14.7
  • 12.3Fouls per match11.7

Per-match rates this season. Each spoke of the charts is scaled to the higher of the two clubs.

Recent results

Torreense LLW L 1-4 at Ferencváro · L 1-2 vs Sunderland · W 2-1 at Lillestrom
Ararat-Armenia LLL L 0-4 vs AZ Alkmaar · L 1-3 at Jagiellonia · L 1-4 vs Sparta Praha

Last five Europa League results, most recent first.

Season numbers

Torreense Ararat-Armenia
Table 28 (3 pts) 36 (0 pts)
Record (W-D-L) 1-0-2 0-0-3
Home / away record 0-0-1 (1-2) home 0-0-1 (1-3) away
Goals scored per match 1.33 0.67
Goals conceded per match 2.33 3.67
Shots / on target per match 7.33 / 2.67 11.67 / 3.00
Both teams scored 100% 67%
Over 1.5 / 2.5 / 3.5 goals 100% / 100% / 33% 100% / 100% / 100%
Clean sheets 0% 0%
Failed to score 0% 33%
Yellow cards per match 2.00 2.33
Corners per match 2.67 3.33

This season, 3 and 3 matches.

Injury report

No injuries listed for either team in our data as of 7:58 AM ET.

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Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia odds by sportsbook

Book TOR ML ARA ML Over Under
bet365 -143 +375 O 2.5 -110 U 2.5 -110
BetRivers -137 +340 O 2.5 -109 U 2.5 -120
FanDuel -155 +400 O 2.5 -104 U 2.5 -118

Highlighted: the best price in each column as of 7:58 AM ET. Prices move; check the book before you bet.

Line movement since we first listed this match (Wed 9:44 AM ET): Torreense moneyline -133 → -137.

Goal lines and both teams to score

Both teams to score: yes -108, no -118

Total goals Over Under
1.5 -320 +245
2.5 +102 -124
3.5 +270 -355
4.5 +710 -1250

Line movement chart

Total 2.5 → 2.5
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