Jets vs Lightning Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Oct 29, 2026)

Jets4-8 · 7-5 ATS13th in the West

FINAL4 – 6

Lightning7-4 · 6-5 ATS5th in the East

NHL · Thursday, October 29, 2026 · 7:00 PM ET · Benchmark International Arena

Final score by period

Team	1	2	3	T
Jets	1	0	3	4
Lightning	1	4	1	6

How the bets settled

MoneylineLightning wonClosed at -225

SpreadLightning coveredLightning -1.5, by 0.5

TotalOver 5.510 scored, 4.5 over

Closing line, DraftKings.

Game review

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Winnipeg Jets 6-4 on October 29, with the game swinging in the second period when the Lightning scored four goals while holding Winnipeg scoreless and built a 5-1 lead. Winnipeg’s three third-period goals only narrowed the final margin.

Pontus Holmberg led Tampa Bay with a goal, three assists and four points. Neal Pionk scored twice for Winnipeg, and Mark Scheifele had three assists and three points. The Lightning outshot Winnipeg and converted one of three power plays at 33.3 percent, while the Jets went 0 for 2. Winnipeg won 61.4 percent of faceoffs and blocked more shots, but Tampa Bay’s shot advantage and power-play edge drove the result.

For bettors, Tampa Bay covered the -1.5 closing spread by 0.5, and the 5.5 closing total went over by 4.5.

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Against the spread, start to finish

LightningJets

The score margin against the closing spread (Lightning -1.5). Blue: Lightning covering. Orange: Jets covering.

+1.5Largest WPG cover

62%WPG covering

+2.5Largest TB cover

38%TB covering

Top performers

Jets

GoalsNeal Pionk2
AssistsMark Scheifele3
PointsMark Scheifele3

Lightning

GoalsPontus Holmberg1
AssistsPontus Holmberg3
PointsPontus Holmberg4

Team stats

JetsLightning

21Shots31

61.4%Faceoffs won38.6%

0Power play goals1

28Hits17

14Blocked shots10

2Takeaways1

11Giveaways16

6Penalty minutes4

Box score

Winnipeg Jets

Tampa Bay Lightning

Winnipeg Jets

Forwards

Player	G	A	S	+/-	TOI	SHFT	HT	BS	TK	GV	PIM	FO%
Morgan Barron C	0	0	0	-1	13:40	21	4	0	0	0	0	60.0
Viggo Bjorck C	0	0	0	0	12:28	18	3	1	1	1	4	64.3
Kyle Connor LW	1	1	4	-2	19:09	23	0	0	0	1	0	0.0
Alex Iafallo LW	0	0	0	-1	15:42	21	2	0	0	0	0	0.0
Cole Koepke LW	0	0	0	0	8:48	14	3	1	0	1	0	0.0
Brad Lambert C	0	0	0	0	8:58	14	1	0	0	0	0	0.0
Adam Lowry C	0	0	0	-1	17:01	24	2	0	0	0	0	53.8
Dawson Mercer C	0	1	3	-1	14:33	19	0	0	0	0	0	0.0
Cole Perfetti C	0	2	3	2	17:26	19	2	1	0	1	0	0.0
Isak Rosen RW	0	0	1	-1	11:53	18	1	1	0	0	0	0.0
Mark Scheifele C	0	3	0	1	20:31	22	0	1	0	1	0	80.0
Gabriel Vilardi C	0	0	0	1	19:08	22	0	1	0	1	0	60.0

Defenses

Player	G	A	S	+/-	TOI	SHFT	HT	BS	TK	GV	PIM
Dylan DeMelo D	0	0	1	-1	19:53	25	0	1	0	1	2
Mario Ferraro D	0	0	0	-1	20:15	26	1	4	0	1	0
Haydn Fleury D	0	0	0	-1	15:44	21	2	1	0	0	0
Neal Pionk D	2	0	4	1	22:03	28	4	1	0	1	0
Elias Salomonsson D	0	0	2	-2	15:50	24	1	0	1	0	0
Dylan Samberg D	1	1	3	2	22:29	27	2	1	0	1	0

Goalies

Player	GA	SA	SOS	SOSA	SV	SV%	ESSV	PPSV	SHSV	TOI	YTDG	PIM
Nico Daws G	0	9	0	0	9	1.000	7	2	0	18:58	0	0
Stuart Skinner G	5	21	0	0	16	.762	10	6	0	40:00	0	0

Tampa Bay Lightning

Forwards

Player	G	A	S	+/-	TOI	SHFT	HT	BS	TK	GV	PIM	FO%
Anthony Cirelli C	1	2	1	1	19:00	27	1	0	0	1	0	48.0
Conor Geekie C	1	0	2	0	11:32	16	5	0	0	1	0	36.4
Gage Goncalves C	0	1	1	-1	12:15	19	1	0	0	1	0	0.0
Jake Guentzel C	0	1	6	0	22:51	27	1	1	0	1	0	21.4
Brandon Hagel LW	1	2	5	1	21:47	26	1	1	1	1	0	0.0
Pontus Holmberg RW	1	3	1	1	17:54	23	0	1	0	1	0	0.0
Dominic James C	0	1	2	1	11:48	18	1	0	0	0	0	33.3
Nikita Kucherov RW	0	1	3	0	16:13	22	1	0	0	2	2	0.0
Ilya Mikheyev RW	0	0	0	0	16:06	23	1	0	0	1	0	0.0
Brayden Point C	1	0	3	0	20:12	23	0	0	0	0	0	50.0
Jeffrey Viel LW	0	1	1	0	11:22	16	1	0	0	2	0	0.0

Defenses

Player	G	S	+/-	TOI	SHFT	HT	BS	GV	PIM
John Carlson D	1	3	2	13:12	21	0	1	0	0
Erik Cernak D	0	0	-1	19:04	23	2	0	1	0
Charle-Edouard D’Astous D	0	2	0	19:18	23	1	1	1	0
Victor Hedman D	0	0	-1	18:06	22	0	2	1	0
Emil Lilleberg D	0	0	-1	8:58	12	1	0	0	0
Ryan McDonagh D	0	0	2	17:51	22	0	0	1	2
JJ Moser D	0	1	1	18:31	22	0	3	1	0

Goalies

Player	GA	SA	SOS	SOSA	SV	SV%	ESSV	PPSV	SHSV	TOI	YTDG	PIM
Andrei Vasilevskiy G	4	21	0	0	17	.810	13	4	0	60:00	0	0

Attendance 19,092 · Officials: Jean Hebert, Tommy Hughes, Libor Suchanek, Brandon Blandina

Recap: Holmberg has a career-high 4 points as the Lightning beat the Jets 6-4 to remain unbeaten at home (ESPN)

Highlights

Brayden Point nets goal for Lightning (ESPN)
Neal Pionk lights the lamp for Jets (ESPN)
Conor Geekie lights the lamp for Lightning (ESPN)
John Carlson lights the lamp (ESPN)

Play-by-play on ESPN

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this game. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Betting trends

The under has hit in 5 straight Jets games.
Jets are 7-3 against the spread in their last 10.
The over is 2-8 in Jets’ last 10 games.
The over has hit in 3 straight Lightning games.

From each team’s last 10 games and recent meetings, against the closing line.

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Jets vs Lightning pre-game preview

Tampa Bay is a -233 moneyline favorite at -1.5 and 5.5 total; DraftKings opened at -1.5 and 5.5. The last meeting went to Winnipeg, 4-1 at home on March 5, 2026, and the Jets are 4-2 in the last six head-to-head meetings, 3-1 ATS, with the O/U at 1-3.

Winnipeg is 4-8 overall and 7-5 ATS, but 3-7 straight up and 7-3 ATS over its last 10 after a 1-5 loss to Florida on October 27; its O/U is 3-9. Tampa Bay is 7-4 and 6-5 ATS, 7-3 straight up and 6-4 ATS over its last 10 after a 4-5 loss at Utah on October 24, with a 6-5 O/U.

The most notable defensive split is shot volume allowed: Tampa Bay gives up 24.45 shots per game (rank 6), while Winnipeg allows 28.75 (rank 24), even though both allow 3 goals per game. Tampa Bay’s injury list includes Hedman and Hagel as day-to-day, Girgensons out and Gourde on IR; Winnipeg has Morrissey and Namestnikov on IR.

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Player stats and form

Season averages and each player’s last 5 games, newest first. Splits: per-game averages (games in brackets); vs the opponent covers this season and last, newest game first.

Winnipeg Jets

Kyle Connor L1.0 PTS · 4.3 SOG · 0.8 G per game

Date	Opp	TOI	G	SOG
10/27	vs FLA	21:34	0	3
10/25	vs MTL	24:23	0	5
10/22	@ DAL	23:02	1	3
10/20	@ STL	21:43	0	4
10/17	vs CAR	20:12	0	2

Splits	Season	Road	2025-26	vs TB
PTS	1.0 (12)	1.0 (5)	1.1 (82)	1.5 (2) 2 · 1
SOG	4.3 (12)	4.6 (5)	3.3 (82)	4.5 (2) 4 · 5

Josh Morrissey D0.8 PTS · 3.0 SOG · 0.0 G per game

Date	Opp	TOI	A	SOG	HIT
10/7	vs COL	09:32	0	1	0
10/5	@ PIT	23:50	1	0	0
10/4	@ DET	21:33	2	7	1
10/2	vs BOS	25:22	0	4	0

Splits	Season	Road	2025-26	vs TB
PTS	0.8 (4)	1.5 (2)	0.7 (77)	0.0 (1) 0
SOG	3.0 (4)	3.5 (2)	1.9 (77)	1.0 (1) 1

Cole Perfetti C0.8 PTS · 2.9 SOG · 0.5 G per game

Date	Opp	TOI	G	SOG	HIT
10/27	vs FLA	16:07	0	3	1
10/25	vs MTL	24:01	0	4	4
10/22	@ DAL	19:00	0	2	1
10/20	@ STL	19:47	1	5	2
10/17	vs CAR	16:42	0	3	1

Splits	Season	Road	2025-26	vs TB
PTS	0.8 (12)	1.0 (5)	0.5 (68)	0.0 (2) 0 · 0
SOG	2.9 (12)	3.0 (5)	2.0 (68)	2.5 (2) 2 · 3

Tampa Bay Lightning

Nikita Kucherov R1.3 PTS · 2.8 SOG · 0.4 G per game

Date	Opp	TOI	G	A	SOG	HIT
10/24	@ UTA	20:02	0	1	3	0
10/23	@ COL	20:43	0	0	2	0
10/20	@ VGK	18:19	1	2	2	0
10/17	vs VAN	20:40	2	0	7	0
10/15	vs SEA	22:16	0	0	8	1

Splits	Season	Home	2025-26	vs WPG
PTS	1.3 (11)	1.4 (5)	1.6 (83)	1.0 (2) 0 · 2
SOG	2.8 (11)	4.0 (5)	3.1 (83)	1.5 (2) 1 · 2

Brandon Hagel L1.2 PTS · 4.5 SOG · 0.6 G per game

Date	Opp	TOI	G	A	SOG	HIT
10/24	@ UTA	22:51	0	0	7	1
10/23	@ COL	20:33	0	1	2	1
10/20	@ VGK	18:55	1	0	3	0
10/17	vs VAN	20:10	0	1	5	0
10/15	vs SEA	23:24	2	0	6	1

Splits	Season	Home	2025-26	vs WPG
PTS	1.2 (11)	1.4 (5)	1.1 (78)	0.0 (2) 0 · 0
SOG	4.5 (11)	5.6 (5)	3.0 (78)	1.0 (2) 1 · 1

Jake Guentzel C1.1 PTS · 2.6 SOG · 0.6 G per game

Date	Opp	TOI	G	A	SOG	HIT
10/24	@ UTA	19:32	1	0	2	0
10/23	@ COL	22:12	2	0	7	3
10/20	@ VGK	18:16	0	0	0	0
10/17	vs VAN	19:06	1	1	2	0
10/15	vs SEA	19:24	0	1	2	0

Splits	Season	Home	2025-26	vs WPG
PTS	1.1 (11)	1.4 (5)	1.1 (88)	0.5 (2) 1 · 0
SOG	2.6 (11)	2.4 (5)	2.7 (88)	3.0 (2) 5 · 1

Records

Team	Record	ATS	O/U	Home	Away
Jets	4-8	7-5	3-9	2-5	2-3
Lightning	7-4	6-5	6-5	5-0	2-4

This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.

Jets vs Lightning head-to-head

Jets are 4-2, 3-1 ATS, O/U 1-3 in the last 6 meetings. Last time: Jets won 4-1 on March 5, 2026.

Date	Venue	Jets result	ATS	O/U
Mar 5, 26	Jets home	W 4-1	W +1.5	U 5.5
Jan 29, 26	Lightning home	L 1-4	L +1.5	U 5.5
Nov 14, 24	Lightning home	L 1-4	–	–
Nov 3, 24	Jets home	W 7-4	–	–
Jan 2, 24	Jets home	W 4-2	W -1.5	O 5.5
Nov 22, 23	Lightning home	W 3-2	W +1.5	U 5.5

Recent form

Winnipeg Jets: last 10 (3-7, 7-3 ATS, O/U 2-8)

Date	Opponent	Result	ATS	O/U
Oct 27, 26	vs FLA	L 1-5	L +1.5	U 6.5
Oct 25, 26	vs MTL	L 1-2	W +1.5	U 5.5
Oct 22, 26	@ DAL	L 2-3	W +1.5	U 5.5
Oct 20, 26	@ STL	L 1-2	W +1.5	U 5.5
Oct 17, 26	vs CAR	L 2-3	W +1.5	U 6.5
Oct 15, 26	@ CHI	L 3-4	L -1.5	O 6.5
Oct 13, 26	vs MIN	W 5-2	W +1.5	O 6.5
Oct 9, 26	vs ANA	L 1-5	L -1.5	U 6.5
Oct 7, 26	vs COL	W 3-2	W +1.5	U 6.5
Oct 5, 26	@ PIT	W 3-2	W +1.5	U 6.5

Tampa Bay Lightning: last 10 (7-3, 6-4 ATS, O/U 5-5)

Date	Opponent	Result	ATS	O/U
Oct 24, 26	@ UTA	L 4-5	W +1.5	O 6.5
Oct 23, 26	@ COL	L 3-6	L +1.5	O 6.5
Oct 20, 26	@ VGK	W 6-2	W +1.5	O 6.5
Oct 17, 26	vs VAN	W 4-2	W -1.5	U 6.5
Oct 15, 26	vs SEA	W 4-3	L -1.5	O 6.5
Oct 13, 26	@ NYR	L 1-4	L -1.5	U 5.5
Oct 10, 26	@ NYI	W 5-3	W -1.5	O 5.5
Oct 8, 26	vs MIN	W 3-2	L -1.5	U 6.5
Oct 5, 26	vs PHI	W 4-1	W -1.5	U 5.5
Oct 3, 26	vs WSH	W 3-1	W -1.5	U 6.5

Injury report

Winnipeg Jets

Vladislav Namestnikov (C): Injured Reserve, Undisclosed
Josh Morrissey (D): Injured Reserve, Morrissey

Tampa Bay Lightning

Zemgus Girgensons (C): Out, Lower Body
Yanni Gourde (C): Injured Reserve, Gourde

Matchup ranks

What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.

	Jets defense	Lightning defense
Goals allowed per game	3.6 (28th of 32)	3.15 (16th of 32)
Shots on goal allowed per game	29.73 (26th of 32)	24.85 (7th of 32)
Points allowed per game	10.07 (29th of 32)	8.54 (16th of 32)
Power-play points allowed per game	2.4 (22nd of 32)	1.85 (14th of 32)
Pace (possessions)	55.8 (11th)	54.8 (17th)

Venue and weather

Benchmark International Arena · Tampa, FLIndoor, weather won’t matter

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Jets vs Lightning odds

Line movement from the open

Line	Open	Close	Move
Lightning spread	-1.5	-1.5	–
Total	5.5	5.5	–
Jets moneyline	+195	+185	+1.2% win chance
Lightning moneyline	-238	-225	-1.2% win chance

DraftKings opening and closing numbers via ESPN.

Line movement chart

Lightning spread -1.5 → -1.5

Total 5.5 → 5.5

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More on these teams: Tampa Bay Lightning vs Nashville Predators Oct 31 · Winnipeg Jets vs Florida Panthers Oct 30 · Florida Panthers vs Winnipeg Jets Oct 27 · Tampa Bay Lightning vs Utah Mammoth Oct 24 · All NHL prop picks

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#	Team	W-L	PCT	GB
1	PHI	8-1	.889	-
2	DET	6-2	.750	1.5
3	BOS	6-2	.750	1.5
4	ATL	5-4	.556	3
5	TOR	4-4	.500	3.5
6	CLE	4-4	.500	3.5
7	NY	4-4	.500	3.5
8	WSH	4-4	.500	3.5
9	MIA	3-5	.375	4.5
10	CHA	3-6	.333	5
11	IND	3-6	.333	5
12	ORL	2-5	.286	5
13	BKN	2-6	.250	5.5
14	CHI	1-7	.125	6.5
15	MIL	1-7	.125	6.5

#	Team	W-L	PCT	GB
1	POR	6-1	.857	-
2	LAL	7-2	.778	-
3	HOU	7-2	.778	-
4	OKC	6-2	.750	0.5
5	SA	6-2	.750	0.5
6	MEM	6-2	.750	0.5
7	MIN	6-3	.667	1
8	GS	5-3	.625	1.5
9	DEN	4-3	.571	2
10	NO	4-4	.500	2.5
11	DAL	4-4	.500	2.5
12	PHX	1-5	.167	4.5
13	LAC	1-7	.125	5.5
14	UTAH	1-7	.125	5.5
15	SAC	1-7	.125	5.5

#	Team	W-L	PCT	STRK
1	BUF	6-1	.857	W3
2	DEN	6-2	.750	W4
3	PIT	6-2	.750	W4
4	JAX	5-2	.714	W1
5	KC	5-2	.714	L2
6	CIN	5-2	.714	W3
7	NE	5-3	.625	W1
8	CLE	5-3	.625	L1
9	LV	4-4	.500	W1
10	BAL	4-4	.500	L3
11	HOU	2-5	.286	L1
12	NYJ	2-6	.250	L3
13	IND	2-6	.250	L4
14	MIA	1-6	.143	L1
15	TEN	1-7	.125	L2
16	LAC	0-7	.000	L7

#	Team	W-L	PCT	STRK
1	SF	6-1	.857	L1
2	MIN	6-1	.857	L1
3	NYG	4-2-1	.643	W1
4	CAR	3-4	.429	L2
5	CHI	6-2	.750	W3
6	DET	5-2	.714	W3
7	GB	5-3	.625	W1
8	SEA	4-4	.500	L1
9	LAR	4-4	.500	W2
10	TB	3-5	.375	W2
11	ATL	3-5	.375	L1
12	ARI	3-5	.375	W1
13	DAL	3-5	.375	L1
14	WSH	2-4-1	.357	W1
15	NO	2-5	.286	L1
16	PHI	2-6	.250	L6

#	Team	Record
1	MIA	8-0
2	UGA	7-1
3	UTAH	8-0
4	ND	7-1
5	UCLA	8-0
6	IU	8-1
7	BYU	7-1
8	UK	7-1
9	ALA	6-2
10	TEX	6-2
11	OSU	6-2
12	MISS	6-2
13	TTU	7-1
14	WAKE	7-1
15	LSU	6-2
16	TENN	6-2
17	HOU	6-2
18	USC	7-2
19	MIZ	6-2
20	BOIS	7-1
21	IOWA	6-2
22	UNM	7-1
23	SC	5-3
24	ARIZ	6-2
25	FLA	5-3

#	Team	W-L	PTS	STRK
1	CAR	12-3-0	26	L1
2	BOS	11-4-0	23	W2
3	MTL	9-3-0	21	L1
4	OTT	10-6-0	21	W1
5	TB	9-3-0	20	W1
6	NJ	10-5-0	20	W2
7	FLA	9-5-0	20	W1
8	TOR	8-7-0	18	L1
9	BUF	7-5-0	17	L1
10	NYR	8-7-0	17	W1
11	DET	7-6-0	17	L1
12	WSH	8-6-0	16	L2
13	NYI	7-5-0	16	L1
14	CBJ	6-7-0	12	W1
15	PIT	5-8-0	12	L3
16	PHI	4-9-0	12	L1

#	Team	W-L	PTS	STRK
1	EDM	11-2-0	25	L1
2	MIN	11-3-0	25	W2
3	VGK	10-5-0	22	W1
4	UTA	10-6-0	20	W1
5	DAL	9-5-0	19	W2
6	SEA	9-5-0	19	W1
7	COL	9-6-0	19	L1
8	NSH	6-4-0	17	W2
9	STL	7-7-0	15	L1
10	ANA	7-7-0	15	W2
11	CGY	7-8-0	15	L1
12	SJ	7-9-0	15	L3
13	WPG	5-8-0	13	W1
14	LA	5-7-0	12	W1
15	CHI	4-11-0	9	L4
16	VAN	3-13-0	7	L3

#	Club	W-D-L	Pts	GD
1	ARS	8-0-1	24	+9
2	MCI	7-0-2	21	+10
3	BHA	6-1-2	19	+17
4	CHE	5-1-3	16	+4
5	LIV	4-3-2	15	+2
6	BRE	3-5-1	14	+7
7	EVE	3-4-2	13	0
8	BOU	3-3-3	12	+1
9	TOT	3-3-3	12	0
10	AVL	3-3-3	12	-3
11	Hull City	2-5-2	11	+1
12	LEE	2-5-2	11	+1
13	NEW	3-2-4	11	-3
14	IPS	3-2-4	11	-4
15	FUL	2-3-4	9	-2
16	Coventry	3-0-6	9	-7
17	MUN	1-4-4	7	-5
18	CRY	2-1-6	7	-12
19	NFO	1-3-5	6	-6
20	SUN	1-2-6	5	-10

#	Club	W-D-L	Pts	GD
1	BAR	10-0-1	30	+34
2	ATM	9-1-1	28	+14
3	RMA	9-0-2	27	+18
4	BET	7-2-2	23	+3
5	RSO	6-1-4	19	0
6	SEV	5-2-4	17	-2
7	ATH	4-3-3	15	+4
8	DEP	3-5-3	14	+1
9	VIL	3-3-5	12	0
10	CEL	2-6-3	12	0
11	ALA	3-3-5	12	-2
12	RAY	3-3-4	12	-5
13	GET	3-3-5	12	-8
14	ESY	3-2-6	11	-1
15	OSA	3-2-6	11	-11
16	RAC	3-2-6	11	-14
17	ELC	2-4-5	10	-4
18	LVT	2-4-5	10	-5
19	VAL	2-3-6	9	-9
20	MAL	0-5-6	5	-13

Final score by period

How the bets settled

Game review

Against the spread, start to finish

Top performers

Team stats

Box score

Winnipeg Jets

Forwards

Defenses

Goalies

Tampa Bay Lightning

Forwards

Defenses

Goalies

Highlights

StatsBench picks

Betting trends

Jets vs Lightning pre-game preview

Player stats and form

Winnipeg Jets

Tampa Bay Lightning

Records

Jets vs Lightning head-to-head

Recent form

Winnipeg Jets: last 10 (3-7, 7-3 ATS, O/U 2-8)

Tampa Bay Lightning: last 10 (7-3, 6-4 ATS, O/U 5-5)

Injury report

Matchup ranks

Venue and weather

Jets vs Lightning odds

Line movement from the open

Line movement chart

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