Lightning vs Predators Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Oct 31, 2026)

Lightning8-4 · 7-5 ATS5th in the East

FINAL4 – 5

Predators4-9 · 8-5 ATS9th in the West

NHL · Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 2:00 PM ET · Bridgestone Arena

Final score by period

Team	1	2	3	OT	SO	T
Lightning	1	2	1	0	0	4
Predators	1	2	1	0	1	5

How the bets settled

MoneylinePredators wonClosed at +150

SpreadPredators coveredPredators +1.5, by 2.5

TotalOver 6.59 scored, 2.5 over

Closing line, DraftKings.

Game review

Nashville beat Tampa Bay 5-4 in overtime on October 31, with the teams matching each other through the first three periods before the Predators settled the game in the extra period. Nikita Kucherov led Tampa Bay with three points on three assists, and John Carlson scored. Nashville’s leaders were Reid Schaefer with a goal, Nick Perbix with two assists and Filip Forsberg with two points.

The team stats explain the result: Nashville scored on one of three power plays while Tampa Bay went 0 for 3, and the Predators won 53.1 percent of faceoffs. Tampa Bay blocked more shots, but Nashville outshot the Lightning and had the better special-teams result.

For bettors, Nashville covered the 1.5 spread by 2.5, and the 6.5 total went over by 2.5.

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Against the spread, start to finish

PredatorsLightning

The score margin against the closing spread (Predators +1.5). Blue: Predators covering. Orange: Lightning covering.

+0Largest TB cover

0%TB covering

+2.5Largest NSH cover

100%NSH covering

Top performers

Lightning

GoalsJohn Carlson1
AssistsNikita Kucherov3
PointsNikita Kucherov3

Predators

GoalsReid Schaefer1
AssistsNick Perbix2
PointsFilip Forsberg2

Team stats

LightningPredators

26Shots33

46.9%Faceoffs won53.1%

0Power play goals1

19Hits17

23Blocked shots15

3Takeaways2

12Giveaways9

6Penalty minutes6

Box score

Tampa Bay Lightning

Nashville Predators

Tampa Bay Lightning

Forwards

Player	G	A	S	+/-	TOI	SHFT	HT	BS	TK	GV	PIM	FO%
Anthony Cirelli C	0	0	0	-3	18:33	25	0	1	1	2	0	52.9
Conor Geekie C	1	0	1	1	10:02	13	2	0	0	0	0	50.0
Gage Goncalves C	0	0	1	-1	12:42	17	3	1	0	1	0	0.0
Jake Guentzel C	1	0	3	3	25:56	24	0	0	0	0	0	50.0
Brandon Hagel LW	0	0	3	-3	20:13	23	0	0	1	0	0	0.0
Pontus Holmberg RW	0	0	1	-2	14:50	19	1	0	0	0	0	0.0
Dominic James C	0	0	1	0	11:40	17	1	0	0	0	0	30.0
Nikita Kucherov RW	0	3	1	3	23:41	21	1	1	1	2	0	0.0
Ilya Mikheyev RW	0	0	1	0	13:44	22	0	0	0	1	2	0.0
Brayden Point C	0	1	3	3	23:10	22	1	4	0	0	0	57.1
Scott Sabourin RW	0	0	0	1	8:36	13	2	1	0	1	2	100.0
Jeffrey Viel LW	0	1	0	1	7:41	12	2	1	0	0	0	0.0

Defenses

Player	G	A	S	+/-	TOI	SHFT	HT	BS	GV	PIM
John Carlson D	1	1	5	2	19:11	20	0	1	1	0
Max Crozier D	0	0	2	-1	17:36	22	0	3	1	0
Charle-Edouard D’Astous D	0	1	0	2	25:25	22	4	3	2	0
Victor Hedman D	1	0	2	-1	16:43	21	0	1	0	0
Ryan McDonagh D	0	0	0	0	18:38	25	0	1	0	0
JJ Moser D	0	0	2	0	22:17	28	2	5	0	2

Goalies

Player	GA	SA	SOS	SOSA	SV	SV%	ESSV	PPSV	SHSV	TOI	YTDG	PIM
Andrei Vasilevskiy G	4	33	0	0	29	.879	26	3	0	65:00	0	0

Nashville Predators

Forwards

Player	G	A	S	+/-	TOI	SHFT	HT	BS	TK	GV	PIM	FO%
Mavrik Bourque C	0	0	1	-2	13:43	16	1	0	0	0	0	0.0
Ross Colton C	0	0	2	0	13:38	19	1	0	0	1	0	0.0
Jack Drury C	0	0	1	0	18:39	23	0	1	0	1	2	63.6
Adam Edstrom C	1	0	2	0	17:15	22	4	0	0	0	0	0.0
Filip Forsberg LW	0	2	2	-1	20:45	22	0	0	1	0	0	100.0
Nils Hoglander LW	0	0	0	1	10:10	12	0	1	0	1	0	0.0
Alexander Kerfoot C	0	1	0	1	19:12	25	0	0	0	1	0	44.4
Jonathan Marchessault RW	0	0	4	0	15:18	16	1	0	0	0	0	100.0
Ryan O’Reilly C	0	1	0	-2	18:02	25	2	1	1	0	2	58.3
Reid Schaefer LW	1	0	2	2	12:02	16	4	0	0	0	0	0.0
Steven Stamkos C	1	0	6	-2	16:18	22	0	0	0	1	0	57.1
Matthew Wood RW	0	0	1	0	13:00	16	0	0	0	0	0	25.0

Defenses

Player	G	A	S	+/-	TOI	SHFT	HT	BS	GV	PIM
Daemon Hunt D	0	0	1	-1	16:05	22	2	1	1	0
Roman Josi D	0	0	5	-1	27:33	29	0	2	0	0
Nick Perbix D	0	2	2	0	18:02	25	0	2	0	0
Brady Skjei D	0	1	0	0	20:23	28	0	2	2	0
Jayden Struble D	1	0	1	0	17:31	22	2	2	1	0
Adam Wilsby D	0	1	3	0	21:32	28	0	3	0	2

Goalies

Player	GA	SA	SOS	SOSA	SV	SV%	ESSV	PPSV	SHSV	TOI	YTDG	PIM
Justus Annunen G	4	26	0	0	22	.846	17	3	2	64:52	0	0

Attendance 17,180 · Officials: Eric Furlatt, Furman South, Jesse Marquis, Shawn Oliver

Recap: Stamkos scores in regulation and only goal in shootout to lead Predators over Lightning 5-4 (ESPN)

Highlights

Reid Schaefer scores goal vs. Lightning (ESPN)
Charle-Edouard D’Astous lights the lamp for Lightning (ESPN)
John Carlson nets goal for Lightning (ESPN)
Jake Guentzel lights the lamp for Lightning (ESPN)

Play-by-play on ESPN

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this game. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Betting trends

The over has hit in 4 straight Lightning games.
The over has hit in 3 straight Predators games.
Lightning are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings with the Predators.

From each team’s last 10 games and recent meetings, against the closing line.

Trade Lightning vs Predators on PolymarketPrediction-market prices on the game and player props, often sharper than a sportsbook’s.

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Lightning vs Predators pre-game preview

Tampa Bay is a -156 moneyline favorite, with Nashville at +1.5 and the total at 6.5. The last meeting went to Tampa Bay, 3-2 at home on March 29, 2026. Tampa Bay enters 8-4 overall and 7-5 ATS, with a 7-3 last 10 and 6-4 ATS; its most recent game was a 6-4 win over Winnipeg on October 29. Nashville is 4-9 and 8-5 ATS, with a 3-7 last 10 and 6-4 ATS; its most recent game was a 3-4 loss to Washington on October 29.

The defensive profiles offer a useful contrast. Both teams allow 3.08 goals per game, but Tampa Bay allows 24.17 shots on goal per game (rank 4) while Nashville allows 29.08 (rank 25). Nashville has allowed 1.15 power-play points per game (rank 5), compared with Tampa Bay at 1.75 (rank 14), and the pace numbers are close: Tampa Bay 54.6, Nashville 54.8. Tampa Bay lists Zemgus Girgensons as day-to-day and Yanni Gourde on injured reserve. Among props, Brandon Hagel over 2.5 shots on goal at -192 cleared in 8 of his last 10.

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Player stats and form

Season averages and each player’s last 5 games, newest first. Splits: per-game averages (games in brackets); vs the opponent covers this season and last, newest game first.

Tampa Bay Lightning

Brandon Hagel L1.3 PTS · 4.6 SOG · 0.7 G per game

Date	Opp	TOI	G	A	SOG	HIT
10/29	vs WPG	21:47	1	2	5	1
10/24	@ UTA	22:51	0	0	7	1
10/23	@ COL	20:33	0	1	2	1
10/20	@ VGK	18:55	1	0	3	0
10/17	vs VAN	20:10	0	1	5	0

Splits	Season	Road	2025-26	vs NSH
PTS	1.3 (12)	1.0 (6)	1.1 (78)	1.5 (2) 1 · 2
SOG	4.6 (12)	3.7 (6)	3.0 (78)	4.5 (2) 5 · 4

Nikita Kucherov R1.3 PTS · 2.8 SOG · 0.3 G per game

Date	Opp	TOI	G	A	SOG	HIT
10/29	vs WPG	16:13	0	1	3	1
10/24	@ UTA	20:02	0	1	3	0
10/23	@ COL	20:43	0	0	2	0
10/20	@ VGK	18:19	1	2	2	0
10/17	vs VAN	20:40	2	0	7	0

Splits	Season	Road	2025-26	vs NSH
PTS	1.3 (12)	1.2 (6)	1.6 (83)	2.0 (1) 2
SOG	2.8 (12)	1.8 (6)	3.1 (83)	4.0 (1) 4

Jake Guentzel C1.1 PTS · 2.9 SOG · 0.6 G per game

Date	Opp	TOI	G	A	SOG	HIT
10/29	vs WPG	22:51	0	1	6	1
10/24	@ UTA	19:32	1	0	2	0
10/23	@ COL	22:12	2	0	7	3
10/20	@ VGK	18:16	0	0	0	0
10/17	vs VAN	19:06	1	1	2	0

Splits	Season	Road	2025-26	vs NSH
PTS	1.1 (12)	0.8 (6)	1.1 (88)	1.5 (2) 3 · 0
SOG	2.9 (12)	2.8 (6)	2.7 (88)	1.5 (2) 3 · 0

Nashville Predators

Steven Stamkos C1.2 PTS · 2.1 SOG · 0.5 G per game

Date	Opp	TOI	G	A	SOG	HIT
10/29	vs WSH	20:26	0	0	3	0
10/27	vs NYI	20:42	0	1	1	1
10/25	vs COL	17:46	2	1	4	0
10/24	@ PIT	19:00	1	0	3	0
10/22	@ BOS	14:04	0	0	2	0

Splits	Season	Home	2025-26	vs TB
PTS	1.2 (13)	1.1 (8)	0.8 (82)	0.0 (2) 0 · 0
SOG	2.1 (13)	2.1 (8)	2.5 (82)	2.5 (2) 2 · 3

Roman Josi D1.2 PTS · 2.7 SOG · 0.1 G per game

Date	Opp	TOI	A	SOG	HIT
10/29	vs WSH	22:56	3	6	0
10/27	vs NYI	26:07	0	2	1
10/25	vs COL	21:10	3	4	1
10/24	@ PIT	28:37	0	2	0
10/22	@ BOS	24:29	0	2	0

Splits	Season	Home	2025-26	vs TB
PTS	1.2 (13)	1.4 (8)	0.8 (68)	0.0 (1) 0
SOG	2.7 (13)	3.3 (8)	2.7 (68)	4.0 (1) 4

Filip Forsberg L1.2 PTS · 2.7 SOG · 0.4 G per game

Date	Opp	TOI	G	A	SOG	HIT
10/29	vs WSH	21:39	2	0	3	1
10/27	vs NYI	22:47	1	1	4	3
10/25	vs COL	18:50	1	2	3	0
10/24	@ PIT	19:28	0	0	1	1
10/22	@ BOS	17:30	0	0	0	3

Splits	Season	Home	2025-26	vs TB
PTS	1.2 (13)	1.5 (8)	0.9 (82)	1.5 (2) 2 · 1
SOG	2.7 (13)	3.5 (8)	3.0 (82)	2.5 (2) 4 · 1

Records

Team	Record	ATS	O/U	Home	Away
Lightning	8-4	7-5	7-5	6-0	2-4
Predators	4-9	8-5	7-6	3-5	1-4

This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.

Lightning vs Predators head-to-head

Lightning are 5-1, 1-2 ATS, O/U 2-1 in the last 6 meetings. Last time: Lightning won 3-2 on March 29, 2026.

Date	Venue	Lightning result	ATS	O/U
Mar 29, 26	Lightning home	W 3-2	L -1.5	U 6.5
Oct 28, 25	Predators home	W 5-2	–	–
Nov 29, 24	Predators home	W 3-2	–	–
Oct 28, 24	Lightning home	W 3-2	–	–
Dec 7, 23	Predators home	L 1-5	L -1.5	O 5.5
Oct 10, 23	Lightning home	W 5-3	W -1.5	O 5.5

Recent form

Tampa Bay Lightning: last 10 (7-3, 6-4 ATS, O/U 6-4)

Date	Opponent	Result	ATS	O/U
Oct 29, 26	vs WPG	W 6-4	W -1.5	O 5.5
Oct 24, 26	@ UTA	L 4-5	W +1.5	O 6.5
Oct 23, 26	@ COL	L 3-6	L +1.5	O 6.5
Oct 20, 26	@ VGK	W 6-2	W +1.5	O 6.5
Oct 17, 26	vs VAN	W 4-2	W -1.5	U 6.5
Oct 15, 26	vs SEA	W 4-3	L -1.5	O 6.5
Oct 13, 26	@ NYR	L 1-4	L -1.5	U 5.5
Oct 10, 26	@ NYI	W 5-3	W -1.5	O 5.5
Oct 8, 26	vs MIN	W 3-2	L -1.5	U 6.5
Oct 5, 26	vs PHI	W 4-1	W -1.5	U 5.5

Nashville Predators: last 10 (3-7, 6-4 ATS, O/U 6-4)

Date	Opponent	Result	ATS	O/U
Oct 29, 26	vs WSH	L 3-4	W +1.5	O 6.5
Oct 27, 26	vs NYI	L 3-4	L -1.5	O 5.5
Oct 25, 26	vs COL	W 6-2	W +1.5	O 6.5
Oct 24, 26	@ PIT	L 2-3	W +1.5	U 6.5
Oct 22, 26	@ BOS	L 0-6	L +1.5	U 6.5
Oct 17, 26	vs STL	W 5-2	W +1.5	O 5.5
Oct 15, 26	vs SJ	L 2-3	L -1.5	U 6.5
Oct 13, 26	vs VGK	L 2-5	L +1.5	O 6.5
Oct 10, 26	@ OTT	L 2-3	W +1.5	U 5.5
Oct 8, 26	@ MTL	W 5-2	W +1.5	O 6.5

Injury report

Tampa Bay Lightning

Zemgus Girgensons (C): Out, Girgensons
Yanni Gourde (C): Injured Reserve, Gourde
Erik Cernak (D): Out, Cernak

Nashville Predators: none listed.

Matchup ranks

What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.

	Lightning defense	Predators defense
Goals allowed per game	3.15 (16th of 32)	3.14 (15th of 32)
Shots on goal allowed per game	24.85 (7th of 32)	28.86 (24th of 32)
Points allowed per game	8.54 (16th of 32)	8.64 (19th of 32)
Power-play points allowed per game	1.85 (14th of 32)	1.07 (4th of 32)
Pace (possessions)	54.6 (20th)	54.8 (17th)

Venue and weather

Bridgestone Arena · Nashville, TNIndoor, weather won’t matter

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Lightning vs Predators odds

Line movement from the open

Line	Open	Close	Move
Predators spread	+1.5	+1.5	–
Total	6.5	6.5	–
Lightning moneyline	-175	-180	+0.6% win chance
Predators moneyline	+145	+150	-0.8% win chance

DraftKings opening and closing numbers via ESPN.

Line movement chart

Predators spread +1.5 → +1.5

Total 6.5 → 6.5

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More on these teams: Carolina Hurricanes vs Nashville Predators Nov 3 · Detroit Red Wings vs Tampa Bay Lightning Nov 3 · Washington Capitals vs Nashville Predators Oct 29 · Winnipeg Jets vs Tampa Bay Lightning Oct 29 · All NHL prop picks

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#	Team	W-L	PCT	GB
1	PHI	8-1	.889	-
2	DET	6-2	.750	1.5
3	BOS	6-2	.750	1.5
4	ATL	5-4	.556	3
5	TOR	4-4	.500	3.5
6	CLE	4-4	.500	3.5
7	NY	4-4	.500	3.5
8	WSH	4-4	.500	3.5
9	MIA	3-5	.375	4.5
10	CHA	3-6	.333	5
11	IND	3-6	.333	5
12	ORL	2-5	.286	5
13	BKN	2-6	.250	5.5
14	CHI	1-7	.125	6.5
15	MIL	1-7	.125	6.5

#	Team	W-L	PCT	GB
1	POR	6-1	.857	-
2	LAL	7-2	.778	-
3	HOU	7-2	.778	-
4	OKC	6-2	.750	0.5
5	SA	6-2	.750	0.5
6	MEM	6-2	.750	0.5
7	MIN	6-3	.667	1
8	GS	5-3	.625	1.5
9	DEN	4-3	.571	2
10	NO	4-4	.500	2.5
11	DAL	4-4	.500	2.5
12	PHX	1-5	.167	4.5
13	LAC	1-7	.125	5.5
14	UTAH	1-7	.125	5.5
15	SAC	1-7	.125	5.5

#	Team	W-L	PCT	STRK
1	BUF	6-1	.857	W3
2	DEN	6-2	.750	W4
3	PIT	6-2	.750	W4
4	JAX	5-2	.714	W1
5	KC	5-2	.714	L2
6	CIN	5-2	.714	W3
7	NE	5-3	.625	W1
8	CLE	5-3	.625	L1
9	LV	4-4	.500	W1
10	BAL	4-4	.500	L3
11	HOU	2-5	.286	L1
12	NYJ	2-6	.250	L3
13	IND	2-6	.250	L4
14	MIA	1-6	.143	L1
15	TEN	1-7	.125	L2
16	LAC	0-7	.000	L7

#	Team	W-L	PCT	STRK
1	SF	6-1	.857	L1
2	MIN	6-1	.857	L1
3	NYG	4-2-1	.643	W1
4	CAR	3-4	.429	L2
5	CHI	6-2	.750	W3
6	DET	5-2	.714	W3
7	GB	5-3	.625	W1
8	SEA	4-4	.500	L1
9	LAR	4-4	.500	W2
10	TB	3-5	.375	W2
11	ATL	3-5	.375	L1
12	ARI	3-5	.375	W1
13	DAL	3-5	.375	L1
14	WSH	2-4-1	.357	W1
15	NO	2-5	.286	L1
16	PHI	2-6	.250	L6

#	Team	Record
1	MIA	8-0
2	UGA	7-1
3	UTAH	8-0
4	ND	7-1
5	UCLA	8-0
6	IU	8-1
7	BYU	7-1
8	UK	7-1
9	ALA	6-2
10	TEX	6-2
11	OSU	6-2
12	MISS	6-2
13	TTU	7-1
14	WAKE	7-1
15	LSU	6-2
16	TENN	6-2
17	HOU	6-2
18	USC	7-2
19	MIZ	6-2
20	BOIS	7-1
21	IOWA	6-2
22	UNM	7-1
23	SC	5-3
24	ARIZ	6-2
25	FLA	5-3

#	Team	W-L	PTS	STRK
1	CAR	12-3-0	26	L1
2	BOS	11-4-0	23	W2
3	MTL	9-3-0	21	L1
4	OTT	10-6-0	21	W1
5	TB	9-3-0	20	W1
6	NJ	10-5-0	20	W2
7	FLA	9-5-0	20	W1
8	TOR	8-7-0	18	L1
9	BUF	7-5-0	17	L1
10	NYR	8-7-0	17	W1
11	DET	7-6-0	17	L1
12	WSH	8-6-0	16	L2
13	NYI	7-5-0	16	L1
14	CBJ	6-7-0	12	W1
15	PIT	5-8-0	12	L3
16	PHI	4-9-0	12	L1

#	Team	W-L	PTS	STRK
1	EDM	11-2-0	25	L1
2	MIN	11-3-0	25	W2
3	VGK	10-5-0	22	W1
4	UTA	10-6-0	20	W1
5	DAL	9-5-0	19	W2
6	SEA	9-5-0	19	W1
7	COL	9-6-0	19	L1
8	NSH	6-4-0	17	W2
9	STL	7-7-0	15	L1
10	ANA	7-7-0	15	W2
11	CGY	7-8-0	15	L1
12	SJ	7-9-0	15	L3
13	WPG	5-8-0	13	W1
14	LA	5-7-0	12	W1
15	CHI	4-11-0	9	L4
16	VAN	3-13-0	7	L3

#	Club	W-D-L	Pts	GD
1	ARS	8-0-1	24	+9
2	MCI	7-0-2	21	+10
3	BHA	6-1-2	19	+17
4	CHE	5-1-3	16	+4
5	LIV	4-3-2	15	+2
6	BRE	3-5-1	14	+7
7	EVE	3-4-2	13	0
8	BOU	3-3-3	12	+1
9	TOT	3-3-3	12	0
10	AVL	3-3-3	12	-3
11	Hull City	2-5-2	11	+1
12	LEE	2-5-2	11	+1
13	NEW	3-2-4	11	-3
14	IPS	3-2-4	11	-4
15	FUL	2-3-4	9	-2
16	Coventry	3-0-6	9	-7
17	MUN	1-4-4	7	-5
18	CRY	2-1-6	7	-12
19	NFO	1-3-5	6	-6
20	SUN	1-2-6	5	-10

#	Club	W-D-L	Pts	GD
1	BAR	10-0-1	30	+34
2	ATM	9-1-1	28	+14
3	RMA	9-0-2	27	+18
4	BET	7-2-2	23	+3
5	RSO	6-1-4	19	0
6	SEV	5-2-4	17	-2
7	ATH	4-3-3	15	+4
8	DEP	3-5-3	14	+1
9	VIL	3-3-5	12	0
10	CEL	2-6-3	12	0
11	ALA	3-3-5	12	-2
12	RAY	3-3-4	12	-5
13	GET	3-3-5	12	-8
14	ESY	3-2-6	11	-1
15	OSA	3-2-6	11	-11
16	RAC	3-2-6	11	-14
17	ELC	2-4-5	10	-4
18	LVT	2-4-5	10	-5
19	VAL	2-3-6	9	-9
20	MAL	0-5-6	5	-13

Final score by period

How the bets settled

Game review

Against the spread, start to finish

Top performers

Team stats

Box score

Tampa Bay Lightning

Forwards

Defenses

Goalies

Nashville Predators

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Defenses

Goalies

Highlights

StatsBench picks

Betting trends

Lightning vs Predators pre-game preview

Player stats and form

Tampa Bay Lightning

Nashville Predators

Records

Lightning vs Predators head-to-head

Recent form

Tampa Bay Lightning: last 10 (7-3, 6-4 ATS, O/U 6-4)

Nashville Predators: last 10 (3-7, 6-4 ATS, O/U 6-4)

Injury report

Matchup ranks

Venue and weather

Lightning vs Predators odds

Line movement from the open

Line movement chart

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