Buffalo vs Miami (OH) Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Nov 3, 2026)

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College Football prop picks: today's featured picks
Buffalo Bulls logo
Buffalo5-3 · 4-4 ATS
FINAL34 – 31
Miami (OH) RedHawks logo
Miami (OH)5-3 · 4-4 ATS

College Football · Tuesday, November 3, 2026 · 8:00 PM ET · Yager Stadium

Final score by quarter

Team1234OTT
Buffalo37615334
Miami (OH)71077031

How the bets settled

MoneylineBuffalo wonClosed at +215
SpreadBuffalo coveredBuffalo +6.5, by 9.5
TotalOver 45.565 scored, 19.5 over

Closing line, DraftKings.

Game review

Buffalo beat Miami (OH) 34-31, with the game decided in the fifth period after the teams were tied at 31 through four. Buffalo took that final period 3-0 to settle it.

Jason Wright threw for 358 yards and two touchdowns with two interceptions, and Chance Morrow was the main outlet with 12 catches for 199 yards and two scores. D’Shawntae Jones ran 17 times for 112 yards for Miami. Buffalo’s 459 total yards and 358 passing yards outweighed Miami’s 350 total and 154 passing, while Miami’s 196 rushing yards and 4.1 per carry kept it close. Miami’s 13 penalties for 104 yards also stood out.

For bettors, Buffalo covered the closing spread of Miami -6.5 by 9.5, and the closing total of 45.5 went over by 19.5.

How the props finished

4 of 8 cleared

PlayerLinePriceResult
Scoop SmithOver 14.5 receiving yards-130 FanDuel0 Missed
Dwayne Early Jr.Over 19.5 receiving yards-130 FanDuel80 Cleared
Christian RossOver 11.5 receiving yards-130 Fliff10 Missed
Jaylen AndrewsOver 19.5 receiving yards-113 FanDuel41 Cleared
Caleb HeavnerOver 16.5 longest rush-115 Fliff8 Missed
Braylon IsomOver 24.5 receiving yards-113 FanDuel89 Cleared
Messiah BurchOver 21.5 longest rush-120 Fliff27 Cleared
Maleek HugginsOver 20.5 longest reception-110 Hard Rock18 Missed

Each player’s top line by recent hit rate before the game, graded against the box score. These are research lines, not posted picks.

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Against the spread, start to finish

Miami (OH)Buffalo
The score margin against the closing spread (Miami (OH) -6.5). Blue: Miami (OH) covering. Orange: Buffalo covering.
+9.5Largest BUF cover
46%BUF covering
+8.5Largest M-OH cover
54%M-OH covering

Win probability

Miami (OH)Buffalo
Blue: Miami (OH) favored. Orange: Buffalo favored. ESPN’s in-game win probability, start to finish.

Top performers

Miami (OH)

  • Passing YardsCaleb Heavner12/23, 154 YDS, 1 TD
  • Rushing YardsD’Shawntae Jones17 CAR, 112 YDS
  • Receiving YardsBraylon Isom7 REC, 89 YDS, 1 TD
  • SacksRoosevelt Andrews III1
  • TacklesMalcolm McCain11

Team stats

BuffaloMiami (OH)
459Total yards350
358Passing yards154
101Rushing yards196
29First downs23
6-14Third downs5-15
2Turnovers0
6-56Penalties13-104
27:24Possession32:36

Box score

Buffalo BullsMiami (OH) RedHawks

Buffalo Bulls

Passing

PlayerC/ATTYDSAVGTDINTQBR
Jason Wright22/463587.82259.6
Total22/463587.822—

Rushing

PlayerCARYDSAVGTDLONG
Messiah Burch14564.0027
Terrance Shelton Jr.12413.4012
Jason Wright740.627
Total331013.1227

Receiving

PlayerRECYDSAVGTDLONG
Chance Morrow1219916.6239
Dwayne Early Jr.48020.0035
Jaylen Andrews44110.3013
Patrick Clacks III12828.0028
Jasaiah Gathings11010.0010
Total2235816.3239

Defense

PlayerTOTSOLOSACKSTFLPDQB HURTD
Ronnell Davis9800100
SaVeon Brown8600000
John Keough8301100
Sedrick Vessah721.52.5110
Miles Greer6301200
Mikey Crawford5400100
Zach Bergmann5100000
Will Clark4322000
Oliver Bridges4200000
Cornell Evans3100000
Logan Goodwin2200000
Caleb Oliver2101000
Rex Stinchcomb2100000
Jordan Owens200.50.5000
Kobi Blackwell1100000
Xavier Leonard1100000
Jaylen Andrews1100000
Christopher Climes100.50.5010
Mason Nickel100.50.5000
Total724059620

Miami (OH) RedHawks

Passing

PlayerC/ATTYDSAVGTDINTQBR
Caleb Heavner12/231546.71031.2
Total12/231546.710—

Rushing

PlayerCARYDSAVGTDLONG
D’Shawntae Jones171126.6018
Rodney Nelson12453.8113
Scoop Smith33110.3120
Lazaro Rogers284.008
Josh Ringer155.005
Caleb Heavner13-5-0.408
Total481964.1220

Receiving

PlayerRECYDSAVGTDLONG
Braylon Isom78912.7121
Maleek Huggins34214.0018
Carl Jenkins11313.0013
Christian Ross11010.0010
Total1215412.8121

Defense

PlayerTOTSOLOSACKSTFLPDQB HURTD
Malcolm McCain11600020
Roosevelt Andrews III7211.5010
CJ Young7201120
Dillon Tatum6300000
Toney Coleman Jr.5400100
Amariyun Knighten4300200
OJ Alexander4200000
Brach Rice4100020
Blayne Myrick4000010
Mychal Yharbrough3300200
Kaleb Martin3200000
Ben Minich2100000
Devin Bell2100.5000
Desmon Yharbrough2100000
Grant Lyons1100100
Trey Wallman1100000
James Schott1000.5000
Bai Jobe1000.5000
Leo Colombi1000000
Zhaiylen Scott0000020
Scoop Smith0000001
Total6933147101

Attendance 10,618

Recap: Wright accounts for 4TDs to send Buffalo past Miami (Ohio) 34-31 in OT (ESPN)

Highlights

Play-by-play on ESPN

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this game. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Betting trends

  • Buffalo have covered the spread in 4 straight games.

From each team’s last 10 games and recent meetings, against the closing line.

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Buffalo vs Miami (OH) pre-game preview

The Tuesday night matchup has Miami (OH) as the -238 moneyline favorite, laying 6.5 points, with a total of 44.5 after opening at 45.5. Buffalo lost the last meeting 20-37 at home on November 19, 2025, and is 0-2 in the last two head-to-head meetings. Buffalo is 5-3 overall and 4-4 ATS this season, with a 5-5 straight-up and 5-4 ATS mark over its last 10; its most recent win was 31-24 over Bowling Green. Miami (OH) is 5-3 and 4-4 ATS, with a 6-4 straight-up and 4-5 ATS record over its last 10; its most recent win was 28-27 at Central Michigan.

The defensive splits offer a clear contrast. Miami (OH) allows 95 rushing yards per game, rank 13, but allows 272.6 passing yards per game, rank 131. Buffalo allows 226.4 passing yards per game, rank 91, and 157.8 rushing yards per game, rank 90. One prop angle tied to that split is Clint Walker over 24.5 receiving yards at -108, which he cleared in 5 of his last 7. Buffalo’s Messiah Burch over 105.5 rushing yards at -114 has cleared in 5 of his last 10, though Miami’s run defense is the stronger side of that matchup.

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Records

TeamRecordATSO/UHomeAway
Buffalo5-34-44-44-11-2
Miami (OH)5-34-46-23-12-2

This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.

Buffalo vs Miami (OH) head-to-head

Buffalo are 0-2 in the last 2 meetings. Last time: Buffalo lost 20-37 on November 19, 2025.

DateVenueBuffalo resultATSO/U
Nov 19, 25Buffalo homeL 20-37––
Nov 15, 23Miami (OH) homeL 10-23––

Recent form

Buffalo Bulls: last 10 (5-5, 5-4 ATS, O/U 5-4)

DateOpponentResultATSO/U
Oct 24, 26vs BGSUW 31-24W -3O 44.5
Oct 17, 26vs MASSW 25-18W -6.5U 43.5
Oct 10, 26@ TOLW 23-8W +18.5U 54.5
Oct 3, 26vs WMUL 17-20W +13.5U 46.5
Sep 26, 26vs RMUW 31-28L -27.5O 46.5
Sep 19, 26@ PSUL 13-55L +39.5O 48.5
Sep 12, 26@ FIUL 20-33L +8.5O 47.5
Sep 3, 26vs ALBW 21-17L -18.5U 47.5
Nov 28, 25vs OHIOL 26-31W +6.5O 44.5
Nov 19, 25vs M-OHL 20-37––

Miami (OH) RedHawks: last 10 (6-4, 4-5 ATS, O/U 6-3)

DateOpponentResultATSO/U
Oct 24, 26@ CMUW 28-27L -3.5O 41.5
Oct 17, 26vs AKRW 34-14W -9.5O 47.5
Oct 10, 26@ MASSW 20-19L -6U 44.5
Oct 3, 26vs BGSUL 20-24L -10.5O 41.5
Sep 26, 26vs CONNW 24-21W -2.5U 52.5
Sep 19, 26@ CINL 31-35W +14.5O 50.5
Sep 12, 26vs HCW 45-7W -30.5O 46.5
Sep 5, 26@ PITTL 14-59L +16.5O 47.5
Dec 6, 25@ WMUL 13-23L +2.5U 44.5
Nov 29, 25vs BALLW 45-24––

Injury report

No injuries listed for either team in our data as of 3:02 AM ET.

Matchup ranks

What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.

Buffalo defenseMiami (OH) defense
Points allowed per game25.4 (78th of 136)25.8 (84th of 136)
Passing yards allowed per game226.4 (92nd of 136)272.6 (131st of 136)
Rushing yards allowed per game157.8 (90th of 136)95 (13th of 136)
Total yards allowed per game384.1 (95th of 136)367.6 (74th of 136)

Venue and weather

Yager Stadium · Oxford, OHOutdoor
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Buffalo vs Miami (OH) odds by sportsbook

BookBUF spreadM-OH spreadBUF MLM-OH MLOverUnder
DraftKings+1.5 -112-1.5 -118-115-115O 70.5 -154U 70.5 +115

Highlighted: the best price in each column before tip-off. Prices move; check the book before you bet.

Line movement from the open

LineOpenCloseMove
Miami (OH) spread-6.5-6.5–
Total45.545.5–
Buffalo moneyline+190+215-2.7% win chance
Miami (OH) moneyline-230-265+2.9% win chance

DraftKings opening and closing numbers via ESPN.

Line movement chart

Miami (OH) spread -6.5 → -6.5
Total 44.5 → 45.5
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