Mammoth vs Maple Leafs Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Nov 3, 2026)

Utah Mammoth logo

Mammoth9-6 · 5-10 ATS4th in the West
FINAL3 – 2
Toronto Maple Leafs logo

Maple Leafs8-8 · 8-8 ATS8th in the East

NHL · Tuesday, November 3, 2026 · 7:00 PM ET · Scotiabank Arena

Final score by period

Team 1 2 3 T
Mammoth 1 1 1 3
Maple Leafs 0 1 1 2

How the bets settled

MoneylineMammoth wonClosed at -148
SpreadMaple Leafs coveredMaple Leafs +1.5, by 0.5
TotalUnder 6.55 scored, 1.5 under

Closing line, DraftKings.

Game review

The Utah Mammoth beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 3-2 on November 3, with the game decided in the third period. Utah led after the first and second periods, and its third-period goal made the difference while Toronto’s third-period goal was not enough.

Jack Roslovic scored twice for Toronto and Auston Matthews added two assists. Utah got a goal from Nick Schmaltz and three assists from Clayton Keller. The team stats explain the edge: Utah converted two of three power plays while Toronto went 0 for 2, and the Mammoth blocked more shots. Toronto won more faceoffs and had fewer giveaways, but Utah’s special teams and shot edge made the difference.

For bettors, Toronto covered the 1.5-goal closing spread by 0.5 in the loss, and the 6.5 closing total went under by 1.5.

How the props finished

6 of 12 cleared

Player Line Price Result
Mikhail Sergachev Over 0.5 points -148 prophetexchange 2 Cleared
Jack Roslovic Over 0.5 points -108 Kalshi 2 Cleared
Logan Cooley Over 0.5 points -163 Kalshi 0 Missed
Liam O’Brien Over 2.5 hits -165 Stake 2 Missed
Dakota Joshua Over 1.5 hits -189 Stake 5 Cleared
Clayton Keller Over 0.5 points -194 Kalshi 3 Cleared
Auston Matthews Over 0.5 points -223 Kalshi 2 Cleared
Easton Cowan Over 0.5 points +117 Kalshi 0 Missed
Vincent Trocheck Over 1.5 shots on goal -110 ESPN BET 0 Missed
Brandon Duhaime Over 1.5 hits -123 Stake 2 Cleared
Nick Paul Over 1.5 hits -131 Stake 1 Missed
Michael Carcone Over 1.5 shots on goal -135 ESPN BET 1 Missed

Each player’s top line by recent hit rate before the game, graded against the box score. These are research lines, not posted picks.

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Against the spread, start to finish

Maple LeafsMammoth
The score margin against the closing spread (Maple Leafs +1.5). Blue: Maple Leafs covering. Orange: Mammoth covering.
+0Largest UTAH cover
0%UTAH covering
+1.5Largest TOR cover
100%TOR covering

Top performers

Maple Leafs

  • GoalsJack Roslovic2
  • AssistsAuston Matthews2
  • PointsJack Roslovic2

Team stats

MammothMaple Leafs
36Shots29
44.2%Faceoffs won55.8%
2Power play goals0
22Hits23
18Blocked shots14
0Takeaways7
27Giveaways15
4Penalty minutes6

Box score

Utah Mammoth

Forwards

Player G A SOG S +/- TOI SHFT HT BS TK GV PIM FO%
Michael Carcone LW 0 0 0 1 -1 8:31 15 2 0 0 1 0 0.0
Logan Cooley C 0 0 0 3 0 18:39 21 6 3 0 4 0 0.0
Lawson Crouse LW 0 0 0 3 -1 17:07 23 2 4 0 1 0 0.0
Dylan Guenther RW 1 0 0 2 -1 16:55 18 1 0 0 1 0 0.0
Barrett Hayton C 0 0 0 1 1 16:22 22 0 1 0 1 0 50.0
Clayton Keller RW 0 3 0 5 1 18:47 22 0 0 0 2 0 0.0
Anders Lee LW 0 1 0 3 1 14:46 19 0 0 0 1 0 50.0
Jack McBain C 0 0 0 1 -1 13:58 21 2 1 0 2 0 25.0
Liam O’Brien C 0 0 0 1 0 7:15 14 2 1 0 0 2 0.0
Nick Schmaltz C 1 0 0 3 -1 16:53 20 0 2 0 0 2 42.9
Kevin Stenlund C 0 0 0 1 0 12:28 21 1 1 0 1 0 63.6
Vincent Trocheck C 0 0 0 0 -1 18:36 22 2 1 0 3 0 30.0

Defenses

Player G A SOG S +/- TOI SHFT HT BS TK GV PIM FO%
Nick DeSimone D 0 0 0 2 -1 14:10 22 0 0 0 0 0 0.0
Andrew Peeke D 1 0 0 2 -1 19:41 28 0 0 0 0 0 0.0
Nate Schmidt D 0 0 0 3 0 17:55 26 1 1 0 3 0 0.0
Mikhail Sergachev D 0 2 0 1 0 25:52 32 0 1 0 3 0 0.0
Dmitri Simashev D 0 0 0 1 0 14:01 20 2 0 0 0 0 0.0
MacKenzie Weegar D 0 0 0 3 0 24:06 33 1 2 0 4 0 0.0

Goalies

Player GA SA SOS SOSA SV SV% ESSV PPSV SHSV TOI YTDG PIM
Sebastian Cossa G 2 29 0 0 27 .931 23 4 0 59:58 0 0

Toronto Maple Leafs

Forwards

Player G A SOG S +/- TOI SHFT HT BS TK GV PIM FO%
Teddy Blueger C 0 0 0 0 0 14:32 17 0 0 0 0 0 50.0
Easton Cowan RW 0 0 0 2 2 19:31 22 2 0 1 1 0 0.0
Brandon Duhaime RW 0 0 0 0 0 12:10 18 2 0 0 0 0 0.0
Dakota Joshua C 0 0 0 0 -1 11:47 17 5 0 0 0 0 0.0
Vinni Lettieri C 0 0 0 0 0 8:04 9 3 2 0 1 0 100.0
Zack MacEwen C 0 0 0 1 0 10:30 14 5 1 0 0 0 0.0
Auston Matthews C 0 2 0 5 2 20:01 21 0 1 0 0 0 78.6
Gavin McKenna LW 0 0 0 2 0 15:53 18 0 0 2 3 0 0.0
William Nylander RW 0 0 0 3 -1 21:24 23 0 2 0 0 0 0.0
Nick Paul LW 0 0 0 0 0 14:57 21 1 1 0 1 2 42.9
Jack Roslovic C 2 0 0 4 2 18:19 20 1 0 2 1 2 50.0
Colton Sissons C 0 0 0 1 -1 13:55 20 2 1 1 0 0 50.0

Defenses

Player G A SOG S +/- TOI SHFT HT BS TK GV PIM FO%
Oliver Ekman-Larsson D 0 0 0 3 0 17:24 25 1 0 0 1 0 0.0
Jake McCabe D 0 0 0 0 -1 22:08 25 1 2 0 0 0 0.0
Darren Raddysh D 0 0 0 6 -1 22:48 25 0 1 1 3 2 0.0
Morgan Rielly D 0 1 0 1 2 18:18 26 0 1 0 1 0 0.0
Troy Stecher D 0 0 0 0 2 14:24 22 0 1 0 1 0 0.0
Chris Tanev D 0 0 0 1 0 21:06 28 0 1 0 1 0 0.0

Goalies

Player GA SA SOS SOSA SV SV% ESSV PPSV SHSV TOI YTDG PIM
Sergei Bobrovsky G 3 36 0 0 33 .917 26 5 2 58:30 0 0

Attendance 18,889 · Officials: David Brisebois, Garrett Rank, Chris Schlenker, Brandon Grillo

Recap: Schmaltz scores on the power play late in regulation to lift Mammoth past Maple Leafs 3-2 (ESPN)

Highlights

Play-by-play on ESPN

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this game. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Betting trends

From each team’s last 10 games and recent meetings, against the closing line.

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Mammoth vs Maple Leafs pre-game preview

Utah is a -130 moneyline favorite, Toronto is +1.5 on the spread, and the total sits at 6.5. The last meeting went to Utah 5-4 at home on October 13. In the last five head-to-head meetings, Utah is 2-3 straight up, 1-1 against the spread, with an O/U mark of 2-0.

Utah is 9-6 overall and 5-10 against the spread this season. Its last 10 are 6-4 straight up and 2-8 against the spread, with a 3-6 loss at Philadelphia on November 1. Toronto is 8-8 straight up and 8-8 against the spread, with a 5-5 last 10 and 6-4 against the spread mark, most recently a 4-2 win at Vancouver on October 31.

The main research angles are defense and pace. Utah allows 24.4 shots on goal per game (rank 4) but 3.47 goals allowed (rank 26). Toronto allows 29.31 shots (rank 25) and 3.25 goals (rank 20), and it ranks second in power-play points allowed at 0.88. Pace has Toronto at 57.4 (rank 4) and Utah at 54.1 (rank 20).

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Records

Team Record ATS O/U Home Away
Mammoth 9-6 5-10 10-5 4-2 5-4
Maple Leafs 8-8 8-8 10-6 4-4 4-4

This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.

Mammoth vs Maple Leafs head-to-head

Mammoth are 2-3, 1-1 ATS, O/U 2-0 in the last 5 meetings. Last time: Mammoth won 5-4 on October 13, 2026.

Date Venue Mammoth result ATS O/U
Oct 13, 26 Mammoth home W 5-4 L -1.5 O 6.5
Jan 13, 26 Mammoth home W 6-1 W -1.5 O 6.5
Nov 5, 25 Maple Leafs home L 3-5 – –
Mar 10, 25 Mammoth home L 3-4 – –
Nov 24, 24 Maple Leafs home L 2-3 – –

Recent form

Utah Mammoth: last 10 (6-4, 2-8 ATS, O/U 7-3)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Nov 1, 26 @ PHI L 3-6 L -1.5 O 6.5
Oct 29, 26 @ PIT W 4-3 L -1.5 O 6.5
Oct 27, 26 vs MIN L 1-3 L -1.5 U 6.5
Oct 24, 26 vs TB W 5-4 L -1.5 O 6.5
Oct 22, 26 @ SEA L 3-5 L -1.5 O 6.5
Oct 19, 26 vs PIT W 5-4 L -1.5 O 6.5
Oct 17, 26 vs EDM L 2-6 L -1.5 O 6.5
Oct 15, 26 @ EDM W 4-2 W -1.5 U 6.5
Oct 13, 26 vs TOR W 5-4 L -1.5 O 6.5
Oct 10, 26 @ BUF W 4-1 W -1.5 U 6.5

Toronto Maple Leafs: last 10 (5-5, 6-4 ATS, O/U 7-3)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Oct 31, 26 @ VAN W 4-2 W -1.5 U 6.5
Oct 28, 26 @ SEA L 4-5 L -1.5 O 6.5
Oct 26, 26 @ CGY L 2-5 L -1.5 O 6.5
Oct 24, 26 @ EDM W 7-2 W +1.5 O 6.5
Oct 22, 26 vs NYR W 5-4 W +1.5 O 6.5
Oct 20, 26 @ CBJ W 6-2 W +1.5 O 6.5
Oct 19, 26 vs SJ W 3-1 W -1.5 U 6.5
Oct 17, 26 vs NYI L 1-4 L -1.5 U 6.5
Oct 15, 26 vs BUF L 4-5 L -1.5 O 6.5
Oct 13, 26 @ UTA L 4-5 W +1.5 O 6.5

Injury report

No injuries listed for either team in our data as of 1:01 AM ET.

Matchup ranks

What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.

Mammoth defense Maple Leafs defense
Goals allowed per game 3.47 (26th of 32) 3.25 (20th of 32)
Shots on goal allowed per game 24.4 (3rd of 32) 29.31 (25th of 32)
Points allowed per game 8.93 (21st of 32) 8.75 (20th of 32)
Power-play points allowed per game 2.73 (26th of 32) 0.88 (2nd of 32)

Venue and weather

Scotiabank Arena · Toronto, ONIndoor, weather won’t matter
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Mammoth vs Maple Leafs odds

Line movement from the open

Line Open Close Move
Maple Leafs spread +1.5 +1.5 –
Total 6.5 6.5 –
Mammoth moneyline -125 -148 +4.1% win chance
Maple Leafs moneyline +105 +124 -4.1% win chance

DraftKings opening and closing numbers via ESPN.

Line movement chart

Maple Leafs spread +1.5 → +1.5
Total 6.5 → 6.5
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More on these teams: Utah Mammoth vs Philadelphia Flyers Nov 1 · Toronto Maple Leafs vs Vancouver Canucks Oct 31 · All NHL prop picks

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