How the bets settled
Match report
Lillestrom lost 0-1 to Plzen, with P. Adu scoring the only goal in the 10th minute from a P. Hrosovsky assist. The early goal decided the match, and Plzen protected the lead despite having less possession.
The match stats show why Plzen’s advantage was deserved. Plzen recorded 1.70 expected goals compared with Lillestrom’s 0.53, had 17 shots to Lillestrom’s 14 and put 11 on target to four. Lillestrom had 64 percent possession and completed 84 percent of their passes to Plzen’s 78 percent, but they produced no big chances, while Plzen had one. Plzen also had six corners to Lillestrom’s three, and their shot accuracy reflected the expected goals gap.
How the props finished
3 of 8 cleared
| Player | Line | Price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 tackles | -149 |
1 Missed | |
| Over 1.5 fouls | +110 |
0 Missed | |
| Over 3.5 saves | -105 |
4 Cleared | |
| Over 0.5 shots on target | +115 |
3 Cleared | |
| Over 1.5 shots | -161 |
2 Cleared | |
| Cheick Souaré | Over 1.5 shots | -143 |
1 Missed |
| Over 1.5 fouls | -128 |
1 Missed | |
| Over 0.5 shots on target | +125 |
0 Missed |
Each player’s top line by recent hit rate before the match, graded against the box score. These are research lines, not posted picks.
Goals
- 10′ P. Adu, assist P. Hrosovsky Plzen
| Match stats | Lillestrom | Plzen |
|---|---|---|
| Expected goals (xG) | 0.53 | 1.70 |
| Ball possession | 64% | 36% |
| Total shots | 14 | 17 |
| Shots on target | 4 | 11 |
| Big chances | 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks | 3 | 6 |
| Passes | 84% (538/642) | 78% (276/354) |
| Yellow cards | 2 | 4 |
How the key matchups went
- Felix Va: 1 shot, 0 shots on target, 0 fouls won. Doski: 0 fouls committed, 3 tackles, 0 yellow cards.
- Kitolano: 1 shot, 0 shots on target, 0 fouls won. Gabriel: 0 fouls committed, 1 tackle, 0 yellow cards.
- Gulbrandsen: 2 shots, 0 shots on target, 0 fouls won. Paliscak: 1 foul committed, 1 tackle, 0 yellow cards. Dweh: 2 fouls committed, 1 tackle, 1 yellow card. Prebsl: 2 fouls committed, 1 tackle, 1 yellow card.
- Adu: 1 shot, 1 shot on target, 1 foul won. Gabrielsen: 0 fouls committed, 1 tackle, 0 yellow cards. Kristiansen: 0 fouls committed, 3 tackles, 0 yellow cards.
Box score
Lillestrom
| Player | MIN | G | A | SH | SOT | xG | KP | PAS | TKL | FC | FS | YC | SV | RAT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 26/41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7.8 | |
| 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.06 | 0 | 33/37 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6.4 | |
| 74 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.03 | 1 | 32/35 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6.4 | |
| 44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 30/36 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 | |
| 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.04 | 1 | 21/24 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.1 | |
| 74 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.06 | 1 | 14/19 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.0 | |
| 83 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.02 | 0 | 54/60 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.1 | |
| 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 91/110 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 | |
| 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.03 | 3 | 66/77 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.0 | |
| 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 100/119 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7.7 | |
| 83 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.04 | 0 | 23/28 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 | |
| Nordh G. | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 4/5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Olsen T. | 16 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.06 | 1 | 5/6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Elkaer F. | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 4/6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
| Ottesen S. | 46 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0.14 | 1 | 33/37 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Melland H. | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.04 | 0 | 2/2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
Plzen
| Player | MIN | G | A | SH | SOT | xG | KP | PAS | TKL | FC | FS | YC | SV | RAT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.20 | 2 | 16/22 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7.4 | |
| 70 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.28 | 1 | 8/10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7.5 | |
| 90 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0.20 | 2 | 26/34 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.1 | |
| 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 18/24 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 | |
| 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0.54 | 1 | 31/41 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.3 | |
| 78 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.12 | 2 | 10/13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.8 | |
| 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.14 | 0 | 24/30 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.3 | |
| 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 23/34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7.7 | |
| 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.09 | 0 | 40/47 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 | |
| 66 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.04 | 2 | 12/17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 | |
| 78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 34/37 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 | |
| Souare C. | 24 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.09 | 0 | 9/13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Vavro D. | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 6/8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Pirgic S. | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 4/5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Kabongo C. | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 9/10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.8 |
| Ladra T. | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 6/9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
StatsBench picks
No StatsBench pick posted for this match. Today’s posted picks are graded live.
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Lillestrom vs Plzen pre-game preview
Lillestrom hosts Viktoria Plzen in Europa League action on Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET. Viktoria Plzen is the moneyline favorite at +117, with Lillestrom +195 and the draw +295; the total is 3.5.
The confirmed lineups carry the main research angles. Lillestrom lists Bassi D. as inactive and Garnas E. B. with a knee injury, while Viktoria Plzen lists Jemelka V. with a knee injury and Tvrdon M. off the roster. Among the player markets, Sampson Dweh’s over 2.5 tackles at -141 has cleared in 7 of his last 10, and Patrik Hrosovsky’s over 1.5 tackles at -200 has cleared in 6 of his last 10. Florian Wiegele’s over 3.5 saves at -105 has cleared in 4 of his last 7.
The matchup notes add context on shot and foul tendencies: Kitolano averages 1 shot and has gone over 1.5 in 1 of 3, while Gabriel averages 1.2 fouls committed and has gone over 0.5 in 5 of 6. Gulbrandsen averages 0.7 shots and has gone over 3.5 in 0 of 3, and Paliscak averages 1 foul committed with over 1.5 in 0 of 2.
Confirmed lineups
The official starting XIs. The badge on each player: how often he cleared his strongest prop line (named under him) over his recent matches; green at 70% or better.
Lillestrom 4-3-3Plzen 3-4-2-1
12 Dahlberg
2 Ranger
28 Gabrielsen (C)
47 Kristiansen
26 Paintsil
29 Ibrahimaj
21 Ottosson
14 Nyheim
20 Felix Va
8 Gulbrandsen
17 Kitolano
44 Wiegele
2 Paliscak
40 Dweh
98 Prebsl
29 Gabriel
17 Hrosovsky (C)
6 Cerv
14 Doski
12 Sojka
99 Memic
80 AduLillestrom missing: D. Bassi (inactive), E. B. Garnas (knee)
Plzen missing: V. Jemelka (knee), M. Tvrdon (off the roster)
Injury report
No injuries listed for either team in our data as of 2:49 PM ET.
Lillestrom vs Plzen odds by sportsbook
| Book | LSK ML | P ML | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| – | – | O 4.5 +333 | U 4.5 -450 |
Highlighted: the best price in each column before kickoff. Prices move; check the book before you bet.
Line movement chart
More on these teams: All Europa League predictions
Betting guides: yellow card betting tips · football player props guide · how parlays work
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