| Result | Moneyline |
|---|---|
| +140 |
|
| Draw | +280 |
| +188 |
Total goals 2.5: over -150
, under +126 ![]()
Best price at bet365, BetRivers, Caesars, DraftKings, FanDuel and Fanatics, updated 8:34 AM ET.
Málaga vs Racing Santander preview
Málaga hosts Racing Santander on Saturday in La Liga. On the three-way moneyline, Málaga is the home favorite at +140, the draw is +280 and Racing Santander is +188, while the total is 2.5. Málaga is 20th with 5 points from 11 matches (0-5-6) and its league form is LDLDL. Racing is 16th with 11 points from 11 (3-2-6) and its form is LWLDL. Málaga has scored 0.73 and conceded 1.91 per match; Racing has scored 1.36 and conceded 2.64, with over 2.5 goals in 82% of its matches and no clean sheets.
The totals angle is supported by both teams’ 64% both-teams-to-score rate, with both teams to score priced at -195. The goalkeeper prop is also notable: Málaga’s Alfonso Herrero has cleared over 2.5 saves in 9 of his last 10 at -170.
Málaga vs Racing Santander prediction
The books imply 41% / 25% / 34%
The numbers lean Málaga, with the model at 49% to Racing Santander’s 30%, though the books are less convinced at 41% and 34%. Málaga sit 20th with 5 points and form LDLDL, while Racing Santander concede 2.64 per match, have no clean sheets, and are 0-0-5 away. Both teams to score is 64% for each side and 67% in the model.
A Poisson estimate from each club’s scoring and conceding rates this season, overall and at home or away (11 and 11 matches). It does not know about lineups or injuries, and it is a research estimate, not a guarantee.
StatsBench picks
No StatsBench pick posted for this match. Today’s posted picks are graded live.
Top Málaga vs Racing Santander player props
| Player | Prop | Best price | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alfonso Herrero Málaga | Over 2.5 saves | -170 |
90% (9/10) | 80% |
| Manu Hernando Racing Santander | Over 0.5 fouls | -150 |
80% (4/5) | 80% |
| Facundo González Racing Santander | Over 0.5 fouls | -188 |
80% (4/5) | 80% |
| Einar Galilea Málaga | Over 0.5 fouls | -150 |
75% (6/8) | 80% |
| Adrián Niño Heredia Málaga | Anytime goalscorer | +215 |
71.4% (5/7) | 80% |
Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent matches. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 8:34 AM ET.
Key matchups
From the predicted lineups: each winger against the full-back he faces, the strikers against the centre-backs. Each white tick marks the league average per match. The lower bars show how often the player cleared the line over his recent matches, green at 70% or better.
Larrubia vs Salinas
Larrubia
SalinasLorenzo vs Ramon
Lorenzo
RamonNino vs Belocian
Nino
BelocianNo lines posted
Luque vs Rafita
Luque
RafitaNo lines posted
Vicente vs Puga
Vicente
PugaZabiri vs Recio and Galilea
Zabiri
Recio
GalileaNo lines posted
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Predicted lineups
Predicted XIs; the official lineups post about an hour before kickoff and this page updates then. The badge on each player: how often he cleared his strongest prop line (named under him) over his recent matches; green at 70% or better.
Málaga 4-1-4-1
Racing Santander 4-2-3-1
9/101 HerreroSaves 2.5+
3 Puga
5/1015 RecioShots 0.5+
6/84 GalileaFouls 0.5+
6/1031 RafitaFouls won 1.5+
6 Enriquez
5/1010 LarrubiaTackles 2.5+
8 Dotor
14 Rodriguez
22 Lorenzo
21 Nino
13 Agirrezabala
6/95 RamonTackles 1.5+
22 Pedro Felipe
4/724 BelocianShots 0.5+
6/1017 SalinasTackles 2.5+
5/923 MartinTackles 1.5+
18 Prati
19 Luque
6/1020 CanalesFouls won 1.5+
5/1010 VicenteFouls won 1.5+
21 ZabiriMálaga missing: J. Cruz (muscle), J. Lobete (knee), A. Ochoa (knee)
Racing Santander missing: A. Mantilla (knee), A. Martin (muscle)
Form and head to head
Málaga20th in the tableLDLDL0W 5D 6L · 0.45 points a match
Racing Santander16th in the tableLWLDL3W 2D 6L · 1.00 points a matchClean sheets and goal trends
Málaga
Clean sheet1/11
Failed to score4/11
Both scored7/11
Over 2.54/11
Racing Santander
Clean sheet0/11
Failed to score4/11
Both scored7/11
Over 2.59/11
Attack and defense
Attacking
- 0.7Scored per match1.4
- 8.6Shots per match10.7
- 3.2Shots on target per match4.6
- 0.6Big chances per match0.9
Defensive
- 1.9Conceded per match2.6
- 13.0Shots against per match14.2
- 17.5Tackles per match17.6
- 11.9Fouls per match12.8
Per-match rates this season. Each spoke of the charts is scaled to the higher of the two clubs.
Recent results
| Málaga | LDLDL | L 1-2 at BET · D 1-1 at ALA · L 2-5 vs RSO · D 1-1 vs ESY · L 0-1 at GET |
|---|---|---|
| Racing Santander | LWLDL | L 0-3 vs RMA · W 2-1 vs ESY · L 0-2 at OSA · D 2-2 vs VAL · L 0-5 at CEL |
Last five La Liga results, most recent first.
Season numbers
| Málaga | Racing Santander | |
|---|---|---|
| Table | 20 (5 pts) | 16 (11 pts) |
| Record (W-D-L) | 0-5-6 | 3-2-6 |
| Home / away record | 0-3-2 (5-10) home | 0-0-5 (4-18) away |
| Goals scored per match | 0.73 | 1.36 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.91 | 2.64 |
| Shots / on target per match | 8.55 / 3.18 | 10.73 / 4.55 |
| Both teams scored | 64% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 / 2.5 / 3.5 goals | 82% / 36% / 27% | 91% / 82% / 55% |
| Clean sheets | 9% | 0% |
| Failed to score | 36% | 36% |
| Yellow cards per match | 2.36 | 2.55 |
| Corners per match | 5.00 | 4.91 |
This season, 11 and 11 matches.
Injury report
Málaga
- Julen Lobete (F): Out, Cruciate Ligament Injury
- Aarón Moloney (M): Out, Meniscus Injury
- Diego Murillo (D): Out, Cruciate Ligament Injury
Racing Santander
- Andrés Martín (M): Out, Hamstring Injury
- Alvaro Mantilla (D): Out, Cruciate Ligament Injury
- Maguette Gueye (M): Day-To-Day, Muscle Injury
Málaga vs Racing Santander odds by sportsbook
| Book | MCF ML | RAC ML | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| +135 | +188 | O 2.5 -150 | U 2.5 +120 | |
| +138 | +185 | O 2.75 -128 | U 2.75 -102 | |
| +140 | +185 | O 2.5 -150 | U 2.5 +120 | |
| +140 | +185 | O 2.5 -154 | U 2.5 +126 | |
| +140 | +185 | O 2.5 -160 | U 2.5 +120 |
Highlighted: the best price in each column as of 8:34 AM ET. Prices move; check the book before you bet.
Line movement since we first listed this match (Fri 2:14 AM ET): no change in the main lines yet.
Goal lines and both teams to score
Both teams to score: yes -195, no +155
| Total goals | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | -520 | +370 |
| 2.5 | -154 | +126 |
| 3.5 | +172 | -215 |
| 4.5 | +410 | -590 |
Line movement chart
More on these teams: Racing Santander vs Real Madrid Nov 1 · All La Liga prop picks · All La Liga predictions
Betting guides: yellow card betting tips · football player props guide · how parlays work
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