| Result | Moneyline |
|---|---|
| -161 |
|
| Draw | +350 |
| +400 |
Total goals 3.5: over +130
, under -150 ![]()
Best price at bet365, BetRivers, Caesars, DraftKings, FanDuel and Fanatics, updated 10:47 AM ET.
TSG Hoffenheim vs Schalke 04 preview
Sunday’s Bundesliga match has TSG Hoffenheim hosting Schalke 04. TSG Hoffenheim are the moneyline favorite at -161, with the draw +350 and Schalke +400, and the total is 3.5. Hoffenheim are 13th with 9 points from 8 matches (W3 D0 L5), while Schalke are 17th with 6 points (W1 D3 L4).
Form from the league table has Hoffenheim at LWWLL and Schalke at LDLLD. Hoffenheim score 1.75 and concede 2.00 per match, with both teams scored in 75% and over 2.5 goals in 88%. Schalke score 0.50 and concede 1.13, with both teams scored in 25% and failed to score in 75%.
Injury and prop angles stand out. Hoffenheim list Hajdari, De Cat, Coufal and Gendrey out; Schalke list Sylla, Wöber and Bachmann out, with El-Faouzi day-to-day. Éric Junior Dina Ebimbe’s over 2.5 tackles at +100 has cleared in 5 of his last 7, and Junior Chukwubuike Adamu’s over 1.5 shots at -111 has cleared in 4 of his last 6.
TSG Hoffenheim vs Schalke 04 prediction
The books imply 59% / 22% / 19%
The numbers lean toward a TSG Hoffenheim win, with the model at 46% and Schalke at 30%, though the books show Hoffenheim as a stronger 59% favorite and Schalke at 19%. Hoffenheim’s 1.75 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per match, plus Schalke’s 0.50 scoring rate and 75% failed-to-score mark, support the lean. The model also makes both teams to score 59% and over 2.5 goals 57%.
A Poisson estimate from each club’s scoring and conceding rates this season, overall and at home or away (8 and 8 matches). It does not know about lineups or injuries, and it is a research estimate, not a guarantee.
StatsBench picks
No StatsBench pick posted for this match. Today’s posted picks are graded live.
Top TSG Hoffenheim vs Schalke 04 player props
| Player | Prop | Best price | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Éric Junior Dina Ebimbe FC Schalke 04 | Over 2.5 tackles | +100 |
71.4% (5/7) | 80% |
| Junior Chukwubuike Adamu FC Schalke 04 | Over 1.5 shots | -111 |
66.7% (4/6) | 60% |
| Hwang Hee-Chan FC Schalke 04 | Over 0.5 fouls | -155 |
66.7% (4/6) | 60% |
| Ozan Kabak TSG Hoffenheim | Over 1.5 fouls | -130 |
60% (6/10) | 60% |
| Fisnik Asllani TSG Hoffenheim | Over 0.5 tackles | -200 |
60% (6/10) | 60% |
Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent matches. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 10:47 AM ET.
Key matchups
From the predicted lineups: each winger against the full-back he faces, the strikers against the centre-backs. Each white tick marks the league average per match. The lower bars show how often the player cleared the line over his recent matches, green at 70% or better.
Kramaric vs Becker
Kramaric
BeckerDaghim vs Becker
Daghim
BeckerAsllani vs Kurucay
Asllani
KurucayLemperle vs Kurucay
Lemperle
KurucayLjubicic vs Rots
Ljubicic
RotsAouchiche vs Abraha
Aouchiche
AbrahaDzeko vs Kabak and Machida
Dzeko
Kabak
MachidaAffiliate link: StatsBench may earn a commission if you sign up. 18+ (21+ where required); availability depends on where you live.
Predicted lineups
Predicted XIs; the official lineups post about an hour before kickoff and this page updates then. The badge on each player: how often he cleared his strongest prop line (named under him) over his recent matches; green at 70% or better.
TSG Hoffenheim 4-4-2
Schalke 04 4-2-3-1
1 Baumann
29 Abraha
6/105 KabakFouls 1.5+
28 Machida
4/739 RotsTackles 1.5+
27 Kramaric
7 Avdullahu
5/1018 BurgerShots 1.5+
14 Daghim
6/1011 AsllaniTackles 0.5+
5/1019 LemperleTackles 0.5+
1 Karius
5 Becker
4 Kurucay
25 Katic
33 Becker
13 Tanaka
4/723 El-FaouziShots 0.5+
21 Ljubicic
3/619 KaramanFouls 0.5+
24 Aouchiche
3/610 DzekoFouls 0.5+TSG Hoffenheim missing: B. Conte (groin), N. De Cat (knee), V. Gendrey (ankle), A. Hajdari (foot), R. Hranac (knee), P. Wimmer (thigh)
Schalke 04 missing: J. Bachmann (hip), A. Gantenbein (muscle), R. Schallenberg (leg), M. Sylla (leg), M. Wober (muscle)
Form and head to head
TSG Hoffenheim13th in the tableLWWLL3W 0D 5L · 1.13 points a match
Schalke 0417th in the tableLDLLD1W 3D 4L · 0.75 points a matchClean sheets and goal trends
TSG Hoffenheim
Clean sheet1/8
Failed to score1/8
Both scored6/8
Over 2.57/8
Schalke 04
Clean sheet3/8
Failed to score6/8
Both scored2/8
Over 2.53/8
Attack and defense
Attacking
- 1.8Scored per match0.5
- 13.6Shots per match7.5
- 5.0Shots on target per match2.9
- 2.4Big chances per match1.1
Defensive
- 2.0Conceded per match1.1
- 10.5Shots against per match12.1
- 14.8Tackles per match20.3
- 12.9Fouls per match9.6
Per-match rates this season. Each spoke of the charts is scaled to the higher of the two clubs.
Recent results
| TSG Hoffenheim | LWWLL | L 0-2 at SVW · W 3-0 vs B04 · W 2-1 at BMG · L 2-3 vs HSV · L 1-3 at SC Paderborn 07 |
|---|---|---|
| FC Schalke 04 | LDLLD | L 0-2 vs RBL · D 0-0 at KOE · L 0-1 vs M05 · L 1-2 at SCF · D 0-0 vs SV Elversberg |
Last five Bundesliga results, most recent first.
Season numbers
| TSG Hoffenheim | FC Schalke 04 | |
|---|---|---|
| Table | 13 (9 pts) | 17 (6 pts) |
| Record (W-D-L) | 3-0-5 | 1-3-4 |
| Home / away record | 2-0-2 (9-7) home | 1-1-2 (4-6) away |
| Goals scored per match | 1.75 | 0.50 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.00 | 1.13 |
| Shots / on target per match | 13.63 / 5.00 | 7.50 / 2.88 |
| Both teams scored | 75% | 25% |
| Over 1.5 / 2.5 / 3.5 goals | 100% / 88% / 50% | 50% / 38% / 13% |
| Clean sheets | 13% | 38% |
| Failed to score | 13% | 75% |
| Yellow cards per match | 1.88 | 1.00 |
| Corners per match | 6.06 | 3.25 |
This season, 8 and 8 matches.
Referee
Martin Petersen averages 3.3 yellow cards and 22.5 fouls per match over 6 matches this season (league average 3.5 and 22.2).
Injury report
TSG Hoffenheim
- Albian Hajdari (D): Out, Meniscus Injury
- Nathan De Cat (M): Out, Meniscus Injury
- Vladimír Coufal (D): Out, Physical Discomfort
- Valentin Gendrey (D): Out, Broken Ankle
- Bambasé Conté (M): Out, Muscle Injury
- Patrick Wimmer (M): Out, Hamstring Injury
- Robin Hranác (D): Out, Knee Injury
- Adam Hlozek (F): Out, Unknown
- Max Moerstedt (F): Out, Concussion
Schalke 04
- Moussa Sylla (F): Out, Leg Injury
- Maximilian Wöber (D): Out, Thigh Injury
- Soufian El-Faouzi (M): Day-To-Day, Broken Nose
- Janik Bachmann (M): Out, Hip Injury
- Luca Vozar (M): Out, Illness
TSG Hoffenheim vs Schalke 04 odds by sportsbook
| Book | TSG ML | S04 ML | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| -167 | +400 | O 3.5 +130 | U 3.5 -162 | |
| -161 | +360 | O 3.25 -114 | U 3.25 -115 | |
| -170 | +370 | O 3.5 +125 | U 3.5 -160 | |
| -180 | +400 | O 3.5 +122 | U 3.5 -150 | |
| -170 | +400 | O 3.5 +120 | U 3.5 -160 |
Highlighted: the best price in each column as of 10:47 AM ET. Prices move; check the book before you bet.
Line movement since we first listed this match (Sat 7:44 AM ET): no change in the main lines yet.
Goal lines and both teams to score
Both teams to score: yes -180, no +140
| Total goals | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | -750 | +490 |
| 2.5 | -210 | +168 |
| 3.5 | +122 | -150 |
| 4.5 | +290 | -385 |
Line movement chart
More on these teams: Werder Bremen vs TSG Hoffenheim Oct 31 · Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig Oct 31 · All Bundesliga prop picks · All Bundesliga predictions
Betting guides: yellow card betting tips · football player props guide · how parlays work
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