The Rams enter as -225 moneyline favorites, with Washington at +4.5 and the total at 47.5. The opening DraftKings total was 50.5 and has moved to 47.5 while the spread stayed WSH +4.5.
The last meeting was Dec. 17, 2023, when the Rams won 28-20 at home. Los Angeles is 4-4 and 3-5 ATS this season, 5-5 and 4-6 ATS over its last 10, and most recently beat the Chargers 24-9 on Nov. 1. Washington is 2-4 and 4-3 ATS this season, 3-7 and 6-4 ATS over its last 10, and most recently beat Philadelphia 27-10 on Nov. 1.
The clearest matchup angle is pass defense. Los Angeles allows 201 passing yards per game, rank 4, while Washington allows 260, rank 26. Washington also lists multiple players on IR, including Terry McLaurin, Laremy Tunsil and Daron Payne. Among props, John Bates over 3.5 longest reception at -118 has cleared in 9 of his last 10, and Van Jefferson over 8.5 longest reception at -125 has cleared in 9 of his last 10.
Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent games. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 12:08 PM ET.
The rest of the Rams vs Commanders propsHit rates, matchups and the best price across 30+ books. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
Each player’s lines against what this defense allows to his position this season. The ranks run from the defense allowing the fewest to the one allowing the most. Bars show how often he cleared the line over his recent games, green at 70% or better.
Jayden Daniels vs Rams
Jayden DanielsQB, WSH
VS
RamsDefense vs quarterbacks
Good matchup for Jayden DanielsRams allow 24.9 rushing yards a game to quarterbacks, 3rd most in the league. Daniels averages 42.9 against a line of 38.5.
Toughest30th of 32, rushing yardsSoftest
Rushing yards over 38.55/10avg 42.9 · 30th of 32 vs QB · -109
Passing yards over 215.53/10avg 180.5 · 4th of 32 vs QB · -110
Passing tds over 1.53/10avg 1.1 · 9th of 32 vs QB · +136
Matthew Stafford vs Commanders
Matthew StaffordQB, LAR
VS
CommandersDefense vs quarterbacks
Good matchup for Matthew StaffordCommanders allow 2.1 passing touchdowns a game to quarterbacks, 5th most in the league. Stafford averages 1.8 against a line of 1.5.
Toughest28th of 32, passing touchdownsSoftest
Passing tds over 1.56/10avg 1.8 · 28th of 32 vs QB · -150
Passing yards over 245.56/10avg 277.8 · 26th of 32 vs QB · -110
Rushing yards over 19.50/10avg 3.3 · 28th of 32 vs QB · +1150
Austin Ekeler vs Rams
AuAustin EkelerRB, WSH
VS
RamsDefense vs running backs
Good matchup for Austin EkelerRams allow 5.5 receptions a game to running backs, 5th most in the league. Ekeler averages 2.3 against a line of 1.5.
Toughest28th of 32, receptionsSoftest
Receptions over 1.57/10avg 2.3 · 28th of 32 vs RB · +139
Receiving yards over 7.57/10avg 17.2 · 28th of 32 vs RB · -109
Rushing yards over 24.55/10avg 21.1 · 10th of 32 vs RB · -110
Blake Corum vs Commanders
Blake CorumRB, LAR
VS
CommandersDefense vs running backs
Good matchup for Blake CorumCommanders allow 5.1 receptions a game to running backs, 9th most in the league. Corum averages 1.3 against a line of 0.5.
Toughest24th of 32, receptionsSoftest
Receptions over 0.57/10avg 1.3 · 24th of 32 vs RB · -220
Receiving yards over 5.56/10avg 12.3 · 21st of 32 vs RB · -109
Rushing yards over 50.55/10avg 46.3 · 8th of 32 vs RB · -110
Kyren Williams vs Commanders
Kyren WilliamsRB, LAR
VS
CommandersDefense vs running backs
Even matchupCommanders allow 36.1 receiving yards a game to running backs, 12th most in the league. Williams averages 29.4 against a line of 21.5.
Toughest21st of 32, receiving yardsSoftest
Receiving yards over 21.57/10avg 29.4 · 21st of 32 vs RB · -105
Receptions over 2.56/10avg 3.9 · 24th of 32 vs RB · -135
Rushing tds over 0.56/10avg 0.8 · 17th of 32 vs RB · -101
Van Jefferson vs Rams
Van JeffersonWR, WSH
VS
RamsDefense vs wide receivers
Tough matchup for Van JeffersonRams allow 112 receiving yards a game to wide receivers, 2nd fewest in the league. Jefferson averages 20.4 against a line of 8.5.
Toughest2nd of 32, receiving yardsSoftest
Receiving yards over 8.58/10avg 20.4 · 2nd of 32 vs WR · -110
Receptions over 0.58/10avg 1.6 · 1st of 32 vs WR · -220
Receiving tds over 0.51/10avg 0.1 · 23rd of 32 vs WR · +571
Betting trends
The over is 7-3 in Commanders’ last 10 games.
From each team’s last 10 games and recent meetings, against the closing line.
Trade Rams vs Commanders on PolymarketPrediction-market prices on the game and player props, often sharper than a sportsbook’s.
Affiliate link: StatsBench may earn a commission if you sign up. 18+ (21+ where required); availability depends on where you live.
Rams vs Commanders defense vs position
What each defense allows per game this season to everyone listed at a position, combined, so a row covers more than the starter. The small number is the rank across 32 teams: 1st allows the fewest. Green is the softest third of the league, red the toughest.
Rams defense facing the Commanders
Pos
Pass yds
Rush yds
Rec yds
Catches
TDs
QB
199.44th
24.930th
–
–
1.39th
RB
–
81.110th
43.328th
5.528th
0.31st
WR
–
–
112.02nd
8.81st
1.023rd
TE
–
–
45.59th
5.012th
0.13rd
Softest spot: 24.9 rushing yards a game to quarterbacks, 3rd most in the league.
Toughest spot: 0.3 rushing touchdowns a game to running backs, the fewest in the league.
Commanders defense facing the Rams
Pos
Pass yds
Rush yds
Rec yds
Catches
TDs
QB
258.026th
23.028th
–
–
2.128th
RB
–
75.78th
36.121st
5.124th
0.717th
WR
–
–
149.018th
12.626th
1.024th
TE
–
–
74.930th
6.324th
1.131st
Softest spot: 1.1 receiving touchdowns a game to tight ends, 2nd most in the league.
Toughest spot: 75.7 rushing yards a game to running backs, 8th fewest in the league.
The props these matchups touchEvery NFL line beside its hit rate and matchup. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
Season averages and each player’s last 5 games, newest first. Splits: per-game averages (games in brackets); vs the opponent covers this season and last, newest game first.
Los Angeles Rams
Matthew Stafford QB287.8 pass yds · 2.1 TD per game
Date
Opp
CMP/ATT
YDS
TD
INT
RUSH
11/1
vs LAC
17/25
157
1
1
0
10/25
@ LV
23/29
195
3
1
-3
10/18
vs ARI
25/33
222
2
0
0
10/13
vs BUF
40/54
383
3
0
0
10/4
@ PHI
32/51
317
0
2
10
Splits
Season
Road
2025
vs WSH
Pass yds
268.3 (8)
300.7 (3)
282.2 (20)
–
Pass TD
1.9 (8)
1.7 (3)
2.6 (20)
–
Kyren Williams RB69.6 rush yds · 3.3 rec per game
Date
Opp
ATT
YDS
TD
REC
REC YDS
11/1
vs LAC
16
56
1
1
3
10/25
@ LV
16
99
1
2
22
10/18
vs ARI
10
50
0
3
17
10/13
vs BUF
16
49
1
6
27
10/4
@ PHI
16
80
2
10
67
Splits
Season
Road
2025
vs WSH
Rush yds
68.5 (8)
89.0 (3)
71.8 (20)
–
Rec
4.1 (8)
6.0 (3)
2.2 (20)
–
Puka Nacua WR8.5 rec · 106.2 yds per game
Date
Opp
TGT
REC
YDS
TD
11/1
vs LAC
12
11
80
1
10/25
@ LV
10
8
68
1
10/18
vs ARI
7
6
80
0
10/13
vs BUF
24
17
138
1
10/4
@ PHI
12
9
125
0
Splits
Season
Road
2025
vs WSH
Rec
9.3 (6)
8.5 (2)
8.1 (19)
–
Rec yds
94.2 (6)
96.5 (2)
107.7 (19)
–
Davante Adams WR4.5 rec · 64.6 yds per game
Date
Opp
TGT
REC
YDS
TD
10/18
vs ARI
4
3
39
0
10/13
vs BUF
7
5
51
2
10/4
@ PHI
9
4
32
0
9/28
@ DEN
13
7
137
0
9/22
vs NYG
10
8
195
2
Splits
Season
Road
2025
vs WSH
Rec
5.0 (6)
5.5 (2)
4.2 (17)
–
Rec yds
80.0 (6)
84.5 (2)
57.3 (17)
–
Washington Commanders
Jayden Daniels QB187.8 pass yds · 1.2 TD per game
Date
Opp
CMP/ATT
YDS
TD
INT
RUSH
11/2
vs PHI
16/29
217
1
0
23
10/20
@ SF
29/40
300
2
0
10
10/11
vs NYG
17/25
199
0
0
103
9/20
@ DAL
11/17
96
1
0
69
9/13
@ PHI
18/34
164
2
0
31
Splits
Season
Home
2025
vs LAR
Pass yds
195.2 (5)
208.0 (2)
180.3 (7)
–
Pass TD
1.2 (5)
0.5 (2)
1.1 (7)
–
Jacory Croskey-Merritt RB45.1 rush yds · 0.6 rec per game
Date
Opp
ATT
YDS
TD
REC
REC YDS
10/11
vs NYG
11
82
1
0
0
10/4
vs IND
9
15
0
2
35
9/27
vs SEA
19
36
0
1
7
9/20
@ DAL
12
43
0
1
5
9/13
@ PHI
16
63
1
1
-7
Splits
Season
Home
2025
vs LAR
Rush yds
47.8 (5)
44.3 (3)
47.4 (17)
–
Rec
1.0 (5)
1.0 (3)
0.5 (17)
–
Terry McLaurin WR3.5 rec · 53.1 yds per game
Date
Opp
TGT
REC
YDS
TD
10/20
@ SF
1
1
27
0
10/11
vs NYG
4
4
62
0
9/27
vs SEA
9
6
77
1
9/20
@ DAL
9
2
50
0
9/13
@ PHI
4
2
14
0
Splits
Season
Home
2025
vs LAR
Rec
3.0 (5)
5.0 (2)
3.8 (10)
–
Rec yds
46.0 (5)
69.5 (2)
58.2 (10)
–
Stefon Diggs WR4.5 rec · 47.5 yds per game
Date
Opp
TGT
REC
YDS
TD
11/2
vs PHI
6
3
38
1
10/20
@ SF
7
6
44
1
10/4
vs IND
9
5
35
0
9/27
vs SEA
7
4
33
0
9/20
@ DAL
6
5
47
2
Splits
Season
Home
2025
vs LAR
Rec
4.5 (6)
4.0 (3)
4.7 (21)
–
Rec yds
42.0 (6)
35.3 (3)
53.5 (21)
–
Records
Team
Record
ATS
O/U
Home
Away
Rams
4-4
3-5
4-4
2-3
2-1
Commanders
2-4-1
4-3
4-3
2-1
0-3
This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.
Rams vs Commanders head-to-head
Rams are 1-0 in the last 1 meeting. Last time: Rams won 28-20 on December 17, 2023.
Date
Venue
Rams result
ATS
O/U
Dec 17, 23
Rams home
W 28-20
–
–
Recent form
Los Angeles Rams: last 10 (5-5, 4-6 ATS, O/U 6-4)
Date
Opponent
Result
ATS
O/U
Nov 1, 26
vs LAC
W 24-9
W -6.5
U 45.5
Oct 25, 26
@ LV
W 35-21
W -3.5
O 49.5
Oct 18, 26
vs ARI
L 16-18
L -13.5
U 51.5
Oct 12, 26
vs BUF
L 34-37
L -3.5
O 55.5
Oct 4, 26
@ PHI
W 24-20
L -4.5
O 42.5
Sep 27, 26
@ DEN
L 26-30
L +1.5
O 44.5
Sep 21, 26
vs NYG
W 28-6
W -7
U 47.5
Sep 10, 26
vs SF
L 7-27
L -3.5
U 47.5
Jan 4, 26
vs ARI
W 37-20
W -14.5
O 49.5
Dec 29, 25
@ ATL
L 24-27
L -7.5
O 48.5
Washington Commanders: last 10 (3-7, 6-4 ATS, O/U 7-3)
Date
Opponent
Result
ATS
O/U
Nov 1, 26
vs PHI
W 27-10
W -5.5
U 40.5
Oct 19, 26
@ SF
L 17-23
W +7.5
U 51.5
Oct 11, 26
vs NYG
T 27-27
L -3.5
O 41.5
Oct 4, 26
vs IND
L 13-30
L +4.5
U 46.5
Sep 27, 26
vs SEA
W 33-31
W +8.5
O 40.5
Sep 20, 26
@ DAL
L 20-37
L +4.5
O 51.5
Sep 13, 26
@ PHI
L 22-24
W +6
O 43.5
Jan 4, 26
@ PHI
W 24-17
W +3
O 38.5
Dec 25, 25
vs DAL
L 23-30
W +8.5
O 50.5
Dec 20, 25
vs PHI
L 18-29
L +7
O 43.5
Injury report
Los Angeles Rams
Justin Dedich (G): IR-R, Dedich
Matthew Caldwell (QB): IR, The Rams placed Caldwell
Daniel Rickert (DE): IR, Rickert
Terrance Ferguson (TE): IR-R, Ferguson
Blake Grupe (PK): IR, Rams head coach Sean McVay announced Monday that Grupe will miss the remainder of the season after sustaining a torn ACL in Sunday’s 18-16 loss to the Cardinals, Greg Beacham of the Associated Press reports
Davante Adams (WR): IR, Head coach Sean McVay said Wednesday that Adams had successful surgery on his left hamstring, and the Rams are hopeful that the wide receiver will be able to return on the early side of his 6-to-10-week recovery timetable, Adam Grosbard of The Orange County Register reports
Poona Ford (DT): IR, The Rams placed Ford
Colby Parkinson (TE): Questionable, Parkinson
Joe Cardona (LS): Doubtful, doubtful
Jaylen Watson (CB): IR, The Rams placed Watson
Trent McDuffie (CB): Questionable, McDuffie
Dean Connors (RB): IR, Connors
Grant Stuard (LB): Questionable, Stuard is battling a hamstring injury, Nate Atkins of The Athletic reports
Jordan Whittington (WR): Questionable, Whittington
Kam Curl (S): Questionable, Curl
Eddie Walls III (LB): IR
Kobie Turner (DE): IR, The Rams placed Turner
Washington Commanders
Laremy Tunsil (OT): IR, Tunsil
Jacory Croskey-Merritt (RB): IR, The Commanders placed Croskey-Merritt
Javontae Jean-Baptiste (LB): IR, The Commanders placed Jean-Baptiste
Terry McLaurin (WR): IR, McLaurin
Daron Payne (DT): IR, Payne
Jeremy McNichols (RB): IR, McNichols, who suffered a foot injury Sunday against the Eagles that may require surgery, is out for the season, Ian Rapoport of NFL Network reports
Treylon Burks (WR): Out, Burks
Jer’Zhan Newton (DT): Questionable, The Commanders activated Newton
Jaylin Lane (WR): IR, Lane underwent surgery Oct
Leo Chenal (LB): IR, The Commanders placed Chenal
Javon Kinlaw (DT): IR, Kinlaw underwent season-ending surgery Tuesday to repair his MCL, Nicki Jhabvala of The Athletic reports
Dyami Brown (WR): IR, The Commanders placed Brown
Matchup ranks
What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.
Rams defense
Commanders defense
Points allowed per game
21 (11th of 32)
26 (25th of 32)
Passing yards allowed per game
201 (4th of 32)
260 (26th of 32)
Rushing yards allowed per game
109.3 (15th of 32)
99.1 (13th of 32)
Receptions allowed per game
19.4 (7th of 32)
24 (28th of 32)
Venue and weather
Northwest Stadium · Landover, MDOutdoor
60°FclearWind 9 mphRain 0%
Forecast for the start time (Open-Meteo); it can change before the game.
Compare NFL playersHit rates, matchups and the best price across 30+ books, side by side. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
Highlighted: the best price in each column as of 12:08 PM ET. Prices move; check the book before you bet.
Line movement from the open
Line
Open
Now
Move
Commanders spread
+4.5
+4.5
–
Total
50.5
47.5
-3
Rams moneyline
-205
-225
+2% win chance
Commanders moneyline
+170
+185
-1.9% win chance
DraftKings opening and current numbers via ESPN.
Line movement chart
Commanders spread +4.5 → +4.5Total 47.5 → 47.5
Shop the player props tooProp prices across 30+ sportsbooks and pick’em apps, with hit rates beside them. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
Today's prop boardHit rates, matchups and the best price across 30+ books. Free preview of today's props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
Fanatics
Fliff
ESPN BET
Jayden DanielsQB, WSH
Matthew StaffordQB, LAR
Blake CorumRB, LAR
Kyren WilliamsRB, LAR
Van JeffersonWR, WSH
Polymarket
BetRivers
FanDuel
Today's NBA picks
Today's NFL picks
Today's NHL picks
Today's EPL picks
Today's La Liga picks
Today's Serie A picks
Today's Bundesliga picks
Today's Ligue 1 picks
Today's CS2 picks
Today's LoL picks
Today's Valorant picks
Today's Dota 2 picks
PHI
BOS
DET
ATL
NY
TOR
CLE
WSH
MIA
CHA
IND
ORL
BKN
CHI
MIL
OKC
SA
LAL
GS
MIN
HOU
MEM
POR
DEN
DAL
NO
PHX
LAC
UTAH
SAC
BUF
DEN
JAX
PIT
KC
CIN
NE
CLE
LV
BAL
HOU
NYJ
IND
MIA
TEN
LAC
SF
MIN
NYG
CAR
CHI
DET
GB
SEA
TB
ATL
ARI
DAL
NO
PHI
CAR
BOS
MTL
TB
NJ
OTT
NYR
FLA
BUF
WSH
TOR
NYI
DET
CBJ
PIT
PHI
MIN
EDM
VGK
DAL
COL
NSH
UTA
SEA
ANA
STL
CGY
WPG
SJ
LA
CHI
VAN
College Football standings
MIA
UGA
UTAH
ND
UCLA
IU
BYU
UK
ALA
TEX
OSU
MISS
TTU
WAKE
LSU
TENN
HOU
USC
MIZ
BOIS
IOWA
UNM
SC
ARIZ
FLA
ARS
MCI
BHA
CHE
EVE
LIV
BRE
LEE
BOU
TOT
NEW
AVL
Hull City
IPS
FUL
NFO
Coventry
MUN
CRY
SUN
BAR
RMA
ATM
BET
RSO
SEV
ATH
DEP
RAC
ALA
VIL
CEL
ESY
RAY
GET
OSA
ELC
LVT
VAL
MAL
LAZ
ROM
INT
COM
MIL
Frosinone
JUV
BOL
CAG
NAP
TOR
GEN
ATA
LEC
FIO
PRM
SAS
MON
VEN
UDI
FCB
BVB
RBL
SCF
SVW
B04
SV Elversberg
VFB
SGE
HSV
M05
SC Paderborn 07
FCA
TSG
KOE
FCU
FC Schalke 04
BMG
PSG
PFC
LOSC
LYO
REN
OM
ASM
NCE
LEN
TOU
B29
LOR
STR
AUX
ANG
Troyes
Le Mans
LEH