Fiorentina vs Juventus Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Nov 8, 2026)

by
Serie A prop picks: today's featured picks
Fiorentina logo

Fiorentina15th in Serie A
2:45 PM ETSun, Nov 8
Juventus logo

Juventus7th in Serie A

Serie A · Sunday, November 8, 2026 · 2:45 PM ET

Result Moneyline
Fiorentina +240
Draw +245
Juventus +125

Total goals 2.5: over -110 , under +104

Best price at bet365, BetRivers, Caesars, DraftKings, FanDuel and Fanatics, updated 10:06 AM ET.

Fiorentina vs Juventus preview

Fiorentina hosts Juventus in Serie A on Sunday, November 8, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET. The three-way moneyline makes Juventus the favorite at +110, with the draw at +260 and Fiorentina at +255, while the total is 2.5. The last meeting was Juventus 0-2 Fiorentina on May 17, 2026.

Fiorentina’s league form most recent first is W D L L L, with a 2-2-6 record and 8 points from 10 matches; Juventus is W L W L D, with a 5-2-3 record and 17 points. Fiorentina has scored 15 and conceded 23, while Juventus has scored 13 and conceded 10. The pace profile splits: Fiorentina saw over 2.5 in 90% and both teams score in 80%, while Juventus saw over 2.5 in 20% and kept clean sheets in 50%.

Among props, Radu Matei Drăgușin over 0.5 fouls at -185 cleared in 8 of his last 10, and Bremer over 0.5 shots at -110 cleared in 7 of his last 10. Injuries leave Juventus without Kenan Yildiz, Khéphren Thuram, Manuel Locatelli, Kamil Grabara, Nico González and others; Fiorentina is missing Fabiano Parisi and Marin Pongracic.

Fiorentina vs Juventus prediction

26%Fiorentina
23%Draw
51%Juventus

The books imply 29% / 28% / 43%

1-1Most likely score11% chance
1.2 – 1.8Expected goals
56%Over 2.5 goals
57%Both teams to score

The numbers lean toward a Juventus win: the model has Juventus at 51% versus 46% implied by the books, with the draw lower at 23% versus 27%. Fiorentina’s home record of 0-2-3 and 2.30 goals conceded per match support that lean, while Juventus concede 1.00 per match and keep clean sheets in 50%. Juventus are missing several players, but the listed model still favors them.

A Poisson estimate from each club’s scoring and conceding rates this season, overall and at home or away (10 and 10 matches). It does not know about lineups or injuries, and it is a research estimate, not a guarantee.

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this match. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Top Fiorentina vs Juventus player props

Player Prop Best price Last 10 Last 5
Radu Matei Drăgușin Fiorentina Over 0.5 fouls -185 DraftKings 80% (8/10) 60%
Bremer Juventus Over 0.5 shots -115 DraftKings 70% (7/10) 80%
Franco Mastantuono Fiorentina Over 1.5 fouls won -150 bet365 70% (7/10) 80%
Alieu Njie Fiorentina Over 0.5 shots on target +135 BetRivers 60% (6/10) 60%
Douglas Luiz Juventus Over 1.5 fouls -155 DraftKings 60% (6/10) 60%

Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent matches. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 10:06 AM ET.

The rest of the Fiorentina vs Juventus propsHit rates, matchups and the best price across 30+ books. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
Open the Serie A board →
Francisco ConceiçãoOver 0.5 shots on target6/10
Nicolò FagioliOver 0.5 shots6/10
Álex JiménezOver 0.5 shots5/9

Key matchups

From the predicted lineups: each winger against the full-back he faces, the strikers against the centre-backs. Each white tick marks the league average per match. The lower bars show how often the player cleared the line over his recent matches, green at 70% or better.

Mastantuono vs Cabal

MastantuonoWinger, Fiorentina
VS
CabalFull-back, Juventus
Tough matchup for MastantuonoCabal gives away 0.4 fouls a match, 41% less than the average defender (0.7). Mastantuono draws plenty himself, at 2.2, which points to about 1.3 fouls drawn here, against a line of 1.5.
2.2Fouls drawn vs given0.4
3.3Shots vs tackles1.2
Fouls won over 1.57/10avg 2.2 · -150bet365
Shots over 2.56/10avg 3.3 · -125Fanatics
Shots on target over 0.56/10avg 1.1 · -133BetRivers
Fouls committed over 1.50/10avg 0.4 · +100DraftKings
Tackles over 1.54/10avg 1.2 · -185DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.50/10avg 0 · +225Fanatics

Njie vs Kalulu

NjieWinger, Fiorentina
VS
KaluluFull-back, Juventus
Tough matchup for NjieKalulu gives away 0.5 fouls a match, 26% less than the average defender (0.7). Njie draws plenty himself, at 1.4, which points to about 1.0 fouls drawn here, against a line of 2.5.
1.4Fouls drawn vs given0.5
1.6Shots vs tackles2.2
Fouls won over 2.51/10avg 1.4 · -150bet365
Shots over 2.52/10avg 1.6 · +220BetRivers
Shots on target over 0.56/10avg 0.7 · +135BetRivers
Fouls committed over 1.50/10avg 0.5 · +225bet365
Tackles over 1.57/10avg 2.2 · -235DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.50/10avg 0 · +450DraftKings

Pellegrino vs Gatti and Bremer and Lucumi

PellegrinoStriker, Fiorentina
VS
GattiCentre-back, Juventus
BremerCentre-back, Juventus
LucumiCentre-back, Juventus
Good matchup for PellegrinoGatti and Bremer and Lucumi give away 0.9 fouls a match, 29% more than the average defender (0.7). Pellegrino draws plenty himself, at 1.4, which points to about 1.8 fouls drawn here, against a line of 1.5.
1.4Fouls drawn vs given0.9
1.3Shots vs tackles1.0
Fouls won over 1.54/10avg 1.4 · -130DraftKings
Shots over 2.51/10avg 1.3 · +105Fanatics
Shots on target over 0.54/10avg 0.5 · -162bet365
Fouls committed over 1.51/10avg 0.6 · +163bet365
Tackles over 1.51/10avg 0.6 · -120DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.51/10avg 0.1 · +285DraftKings
Fouls committed over 1.54/10avg 1.2 · +150bet365
Tackles over 1.54/10avg 1.5 · -175DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.50/10avg 0 · +380DraftKings
Fouls committed over 0.54/10avg 0.8 · -162bet365
Tackles over 1.52/10avg 1 · -120DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.53/10avg 0.3 · +330DraftKings

Kolo Muani vs Joao Mario

Kolo MuaniWinger, Juventus
VS
Joao MarioFull-back, Fiorentina
Even matchupJoao Mario gives away 0.8 fouls a match, 19% more than the average defender (0.7). Kolo Muani draws plenty himself, at 1.2, which points to about 1.4 fouls drawn here, against a line of 1.5.
1.2Fouls drawn vs given0.8
1.3Shots vs tackles1.1
Fouls won over 1.54/10avg 1.2 · -105DraftKings
Shots over 3.50/10avg 1.3 · +425Fanatics
Shots on target over 0.54/10avg 0.4 · -145Fanatics
Fouls committed over 0.56/10avg 0.8 · -300bet365
Tackles over 1.53/10avg 1.1 · -115DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.51/10avg 0.1 · +400DraftKings

Alajbegovic vs Jimenez

AlajbegovicWinger, Juventus
VS
JimenezFull-back, Fiorentina
Tough matchup for AlajbegovicJimenez gives away 0.3 fouls a match, 55% less than the average defender (0.7). Alajbegovic only draws 0.3, which points to about 0.1 fouls drawn here, against a line of 1.5.
0.3Fouls drawn vs given0.3
1.8Shots vs tackles2.4
Fouls won over 1.50/9avg 0.3 · -140DraftKings
Shots over 2.53/9avg 1.8 · -133BetRivers
Shots on target over 0.54/9avg 0.8 · -127BetRivers
Fouls committed over 1.50/9avg 0.3 · +150bet365
Tackles over 2.54/9avg 2.4 · -135DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.51/9avg 0.1 · +225bet365

Woltemade vs Dragusin

WoltemadeStriker, Juventus
VS
DragusinCentre-back, Fiorentina
Good matchup for WoltemadeDragusin gives away 1.1 fouls a match, 63% more than the average defender (0.7). Woltemade draws plenty himself, at 1.6, which points to about 2.6 fouls drawn here, against a line of 1.5.
1.6Fouls drawn vs given1.1
1.1Shots vs tackles0.8
Fouls won over 1.53/8avg 1.6 · +125DraftKings
Shots over 2.51/8avg 1.1 · +163bet365
Shots on target over 0.52/8avg 0.3 · -155Fanatics
Fouls committed over 0.58/10avg 1.1 · -185DraftKings
Tackles over 0.56/10avg 0.8 · -300DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.52/10avg 0.2 · +400DraftKings
Trade Fiorentina vs Juventus on PolymarketPrediction-market prices on the match and player props, often sharper than a sportsbook’s.

Polymarket

Affiliate link: StatsBench may earn a commission if you sign up. 18+ (21+ where required); availability depends on where you live.

Predicted lineups

Predicted XIs; the official lineups post about an hour before kickoff and this page updates then. The badge on each player: how often he cleared his strongest prop line (named under him) over his recent matches; green at 70% or better.

Fiorentina 4-3-3Juventus 3-4-3

43 de Gea
5/920 JimenezShots 0.5+
8/103 DragusinFouls 0.5+
33 Viery
17 Joao Mario
27 Ndour
6/1044 FagioliShots 0.5+
4 Brescianini
7/1030 MastantuonoFouls won 1.5+
32 Pellegrino
6/1025 NjieSOT 0.5+
25 Vicario
4 Gatti
7/103 BremerShots 0.5+
26 Lucumi
15 Kalulu
22 McKennie
6/1012 Douglas LuizFouls 1.5+
32 Cabal
9 Kolo Muani
27 Woltemade
17 Alajbegovic

Fiorentina missing: A. Atta (abdominal strain), F. Parisi (knee), M. Pongracic (muscle), R. Sottil (back)

Juventus missing: A. Cambiaso (muscle), F. Conceicao (shoulder), N. Gonzalez (calf), K. Grabara (knee), M. Locatelli (knee), A. Milik (inactive), K. Thuram (knee), K. Yildiz (foot)

The props behind these lineupsLines and hit rates for Serie A players. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
Open the Serie A board →

Form and head to head

Fiorentina15th in the tableWDLLL2W 2D 6L · 0.80 points a match
4meetings

2 wins2 draws0 wins
Juventus7th in the tableWLWLD5W 2D 3L · 1.70 points a match
100%Over 1.54/4
50%Over 2.52/4
25%Over 3.51/4
50%Both scored2/4
  • May 2026JUV 0-2 FIO
  • Nov 2025FIO 1-1 JUV
  • Mar 2025FIO 3-0 JUV
  • Dec 2024JUV 2-2 FIO

Clean sheets and goal trends

Fiorentina

0%

Clean sheet0/10

20%

Failed to score2/10

80%

Both scored8/10

90%

Over 2.59/10

Juventus

50%

Clean sheet5/10

20%

Failed to score2/10

30%

Both scored3/10

20%

Over 2.52/10

Attack and defense

Attacking

FiorentinaJuventus
20%Win %50%
47%Possession %58%
80%Both teams scored %30%
20%Scored first %50%
  • 1.5Scored per match1.3
  • 14.8Shots per match13.7
  • 5.0Shots on target per match5.1
  • 1.5Big chances per match1.6

Defensive

FiorentinaJuventus
60%Loss %30%
20%Failed to score %20%
0%Clean sheet %50%
80%Conceded first %50%
  • 2.3Conceded per match1.0
  • 11.9Shots against per match7.6
  • 16.2Tackles per match15.4
  • 11.6Fouls per match11.8

Per-match rates this season. Each spoke of the charts is scaled to the higher of the two clubs.

Recent results

Fiorentina WDLLL W 4-2 at SAS · D 2-2 vs ATA · L 1-2 at INT · L 1-3 vs COM · L 1-2 at GEN
Juventus WLWLD W 2-0 vs NAP · L 0-2 at GEN · W 2-0 at LEC · L 0-3 vs LAZ · D 1-1 at CAG

Last five Serie A results, most recent first.

Season numbers

Fiorentina Juventus
Table 15 (8 pts) 7 (17 pts)
Record (W-D-L) 2-2-6 5-2-3
Home / away record 0-2-3 (5-11) home 2-1-2 (6-6) away
Goals scored per match 1.50 1.30
Goals conceded per match 2.30 1.00
Shots / on target per match 14.80 / 5.00 13.70 / 5.10
Both teams scored 80% 30%
Over 1.5 / 2.5 / 3.5 goals 100% / 90% / 50% 90% / 20% / 10%
Clean sheets 0% 50%
Failed to score 20% 20%
Yellow cards per match 2.30 1.30
Corners per match 4.90 8.10

This season, 10 and 10 matches.

Referee

Andrea Colombo averages 3.5 yellow cards and 25.0 fouls per match over 10 matches this season (league average 3.1 and 21.7).

Injury report

Fiorentina

  • Fabiano Parisi (D): Out, Cruciate Ligament Injury
  • Marin Pongracic (D): Out, Thigh Injury

Juventus

  • Kenan Yildiz (F): Out, Broken Foot
  • Khéphren Thuram (M): Out, Knee Surgery
  • Manuel Locatelli (M): Out, Meniscus Injury
  • Kamil Grabara (G): Out, Cruciate Ligament Injury
  • Nico González (M): Out, Calf Injury
  • Andrea Cambiaso (M): Out, Muscle Injury
Compare Serie A playersHit rates, matchups and the best price across 30+ books, side by side. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
Open the Serie A board →

Fiorentina vs Juventus odds by sportsbook

Book FIO ML JUV ML Over Under
bet365 +230 +120 O 2.5 -110 U 2.5 -110
BetRivers +230 +108 O 2.75 -105 U 2.75 -125
DraftKings +225 +115 O 2.5 -110 U 2.5 -115
FanDuel +240 +115 O 2.5 -120 U 2.5 +104
Fanatics +220 +125 O 2.5 -115 U 2.5 -115

Highlighted: the best price in each column as of 10:06 AM ET. Prices move; check the book before you bet.

Line movement since we first listed this match (Sat 9:00 AM ET): Fiorentina moneyline +255 → +240.

Goal lines and both teams to score

Both teams to score: yes -145, no +115

Total goals Over Under
1.5 -375 +285
2.5 -120 +104
3.5 +210 -265
4.5 +570 -900

Line movement chart

Total 2.5 → 2.5
Shop the player props tooProp prices across 30+ sportsbooks and pick’em apps, with hit rates beside them. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
Open the Serie A board →

More on these teams: Sassuolo vs Fiorentina Nov 2 · Juventus vs Napoli Nov 1 · All Serie A prop picks · All Serie A predictions

Betting guides: yellow card betting tips · football player props guide · how parlays work

18+, or the legal age where you live. Research, not a guarantee: every bet can lose. Bet within your means; if gambling stops being fun, contact a local support service.

Today's NBA picks

VJ EdgecombeOVER 9.5 field goal attempts · @ CHI
10/10
Daniel GaffordOVER 1.5 stls blks · vs BKN
10/10
Caleb WilsonOVER 0.5 steals · vs PHI
8/8
All of today's NBA picks →
Today's prop boardHit rates, matchups and the best price across 30+ books. Free preview of today's props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
Open the board →

Latest

1NHL Hits Props: How the Market Works
2Parlay Odds Explained: What Your Payout Means
3G2 Ares vs Inner Circle Academy Prediction
4What a Prop Finder App Should Actually Do
5What Are NCAAF Picks Against the Spread?

The morning slate, by email

Join the StatsBench DiscordPicks, results and prop talk, live on game days