| Result | Moneyline |
|---|---|
| +240 |
|
| Draw | +245 |
| +125 |
Total goals 2.5: over -110
, under +104 ![]()
Best price at bet365, BetRivers, Caesars, DraftKings, FanDuel and Fanatics, updated 10:06 AM ET.
Fiorentina vs Juventus preview
Fiorentina hosts Juventus in Serie A on Sunday, November 8, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET. The three-way moneyline makes Juventus the favorite at +110, with the draw at +260 and Fiorentina at +255, while the total is 2.5. The last meeting was Juventus 0-2 Fiorentina on May 17, 2026.
Fiorentina’s league form most recent first is W D L L L, with a 2-2-6 record and 8 points from 10 matches; Juventus is W L W L D, with a 5-2-3 record and 17 points. Fiorentina has scored 15 and conceded 23, while Juventus has scored 13 and conceded 10. The pace profile splits: Fiorentina saw over 2.5 in 90% and both teams score in 80%, while Juventus saw over 2.5 in 20% and kept clean sheets in 50%.
Among props, Radu Matei Drăgușin over 0.5 fouls at -185 cleared in 8 of his last 10, and Bremer over 0.5 shots at -110 cleared in 7 of his last 10. Injuries leave Juventus without Kenan Yildiz, Khéphren Thuram, Manuel Locatelli, Kamil Grabara, Nico González and others; Fiorentina is missing Fabiano Parisi and Marin Pongracic.
Fiorentina vs Juventus prediction
The books imply 29% / 28% / 43%
The numbers lean toward a Juventus win: the model has Juventus at 51% versus 46% implied by the books, with the draw lower at 23% versus 27%. Fiorentina’s home record of 0-2-3 and 2.30 goals conceded per match support that lean, while Juventus concede 1.00 per match and keep clean sheets in 50%. Juventus are missing several players, but the listed model still favors them.
A Poisson estimate from each club’s scoring and conceding rates this season, overall and at home or away (10 and 10 matches). It does not know about lineups or injuries, and it is a research estimate, not a guarantee.
StatsBench picks
No StatsBench pick posted for this match. Today’s posted picks are graded live.
Top Fiorentina vs Juventus player props
| Player | Prop | Best price | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Radu Matei Drăgușin Fiorentina | Over 0.5 fouls | -185 |
80% (8/10) | 60% |
| Bremer Juventus | Over 0.5 shots | -115 |
70% (7/10) | 80% |
| Franco Mastantuono Fiorentina | Over 1.5 fouls won | -150 |
70% (7/10) | 80% |
| Alieu Njie Fiorentina | Over 0.5 shots on target | +135 |
60% (6/10) | 60% |
| Douglas Luiz Juventus | Over 1.5 fouls | -155 |
60% (6/10) | 60% |
Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent matches. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 10:06 AM ET.
Key matchups
From the predicted lineups: each winger against the full-back he faces, the strikers against the centre-backs. Each white tick marks the league average per match. The lower bars show how often the player cleared the line over his recent matches, green at 70% or better.
Mastantuono vs Cabal
Mastantuono
CabalNjie vs Kalulu
Njie
KaluluPellegrino vs Gatti and Bremer and Lucumi
Pellegrino
Gatti
Bremer
LucumiKolo Muani vs Joao Mario
Kolo Muani
Joao MarioAlajbegovic vs Jimenez
Alajbegovic
JimenezWoltemade vs Dragusin
Woltemade
DragusinAffiliate link: StatsBench may earn a commission if you sign up. 18+ (21+ where required); availability depends on where you live.
Predicted lineups
Predicted XIs; the official lineups post about an hour before kickoff and this page updates then. The badge on each player: how often he cleared his strongest prop line (named under him) over his recent matches; green at 70% or better.
Fiorentina 4-3-3
Juventus 3-4-3
43 de Gea
5/920 JimenezShots 0.5+
8/103 DragusinFouls 0.5+
33 Viery
17 Joao Mario
27 Ndour
6/1044 FagioliShots 0.5+
4 Brescianini
7/1030 MastantuonoFouls won 1.5+
32 Pellegrino
6/1025 NjieSOT 0.5+
25 Vicario
4 Gatti
7/103 BremerShots 0.5+
26 Lucumi
15 Kalulu
22 McKennie
6/1012 Douglas LuizFouls 1.5+
32 Cabal
9 Kolo Muani
27 Woltemade
17 AlajbegovicFiorentina missing: A. Atta (abdominal strain), F. Parisi (knee), M. Pongracic (muscle), R. Sottil (back)
Juventus missing: A. Cambiaso (muscle), F. Conceicao (shoulder), N. Gonzalez (calf), K. Grabara (knee), M. Locatelli (knee), A. Milik (inactive), K. Thuram (knee), K. Yildiz (foot)
Form and head to head
Fiorentina15th in the tableWDLLL2W 2D 6L · 0.80 points a match
Juventus7th in the tableWLWLD5W 2D 3L · 1.70 points a match- May 2026JUV 0-2 FIO
- Nov 2025FIO 1-1 JUV
- Mar 2025FIO 3-0 JUV
- Dec 2024JUV 2-2 FIO
Clean sheets and goal trends
Fiorentina
Clean sheet0/10
Failed to score2/10
Both scored8/10
Over 2.59/10
Juventus
Clean sheet5/10
Failed to score2/10
Both scored3/10
Over 2.52/10
Attack and defense
Attacking
- 1.5Scored per match1.3
- 14.8Shots per match13.7
- 5.0Shots on target per match5.1
- 1.5Big chances per match1.6
Defensive
- 2.3Conceded per match1.0
- 11.9Shots against per match7.6
- 16.2Tackles per match15.4
- 11.6Fouls per match11.8
Per-match rates this season. Each spoke of the charts is scaled to the higher of the two clubs.
Recent results
| Fiorentina | WDLLL | W 4-2 at SAS · D 2-2 vs ATA · L 1-2 at INT · L 1-3 vs COM · L 1-2 at GEN |
|---|---|---|
| Juventus | WLWLD | W 2-0 vs NAP · L 0-2 at GEN · W 2-0 at LEC · L 0-3 vs LAZ · D 1-1 at CAG |
Last five Serie A results, most recent first.
Season numbers
| Fiorentina | Juventus | |
|---|---|---|
| Table | 15 (8 pts) | 7 (17 pts) |
| Record (W-D-L) | 2-2-6 | 5-2-3 |
| Home / away record | 0-2-3 (5-11) home | 2-1-2 (6-6) away |
| Goals scored per match | 1.50 | 1.30 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.30 | 1.00 |
| Shots / on target per match | 14.80 / 5.00 | 13.70 / 5.10 |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 30% |
| Over 1.5 / 2.5 / 3.5 goals | 100% / 90% / 50% | 90% / 20% / 10% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 50% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 20% |
| Yellow cards per match | 2.30 | 1.30 |
| Corners per match | 4.90 | 8.10 |
This season, 10 and 10 matches.
Referee
Andrea Colombo averages 3.5 yellow cards and 25.0 fouls per match over 10 matches this season (league average 3.1 and 21.7).
Injury report
Fiorentina
- Fabiano Parisi (D): Out, Cruciate Ligament Injury
- Marin Pongracic (D): Out, Thigh Injury
Juventus
- Kenan Yildiz (F): Out, Broken Foot
- Khéphren Thuram (M): Out, Knee Surgery
- Manuel Locatelli (M): Out, Meniscus Injury
- Kamil Grabara (G): Out, Cruciate Ligament Injury
- Nico González (M): Out, Calf Injury
- Andrea Cambiaso (M): Out, Muscle Injury
Fiorentina vs Juventus odds by sportsbook
| Book | FIO ML | JUV ML | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| +230 | +120 | O 2.5 -110 | U 2.5 -110 | |
| +230 | +108 | O 2.75 -105 | U 2.75 -125 | |
| +225 | +115 | O 2.5 -110 | U 2.5 -115 | |
| +240 | +115 | O 2.5 -120 | U 2.5 +104 | |
| +220 | +125 | O 2.5 -115 | U 2.5 -115 |
Highlighted: the best price in each column as of 10:06 AM ET. Prices move; check the book before you bet.
Line movement since we first listed this match (Sat 9:00 AM ET): Fiorentina moneyline +255 → +240.
Goal lines and both teams to score
Both teams to score: yes -145, no +115
| Total goals | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | -375 | +285 |
| 2.5 | -120 | +104 |
| 3.5 | +210 | -265 |
| 4.5 | +570 | -900 |
Line movement chart
More on these teams: Sassuolo vs Fiorentina Nov 2 · Juventus vs Napoli Nov 1 · All Serie A prop picks · All Serie A predictions
Betting guides: yellow card betting tips · football player props guide · how parlays work
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