Sassuolo vs Fiorentina Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Nov 2, 2026)

Sassuolo17th in Serie A

FINAL2 – 4

Fiorentina16th in Serie A

Serie A · Monday, November 2, 2026 · 12:30 PM ET

Table of Contents

How the bets settled

ResultFiorentina winFinished 2-4

Total goalsOver 3.56 goals, 2.5 over

Both teams to scoreYesSassuolo 2, Fiorentina 4

Match report

Sassuolo 2-4 Fiorentina. A. Lauriente put Sassuolo ahead in the 25th minute, but M. Pellegrino levelled in first-half stoppage time and A. Njie made it 2-1 early in the second half. Lauriente struck again on 65, only for F. Mastantuono to restore Fiorentina’s lead on 79 and V. Valdepenas to seal it in stoppage time. Yellow cards were Sassuolo 2, Fiorentina 3.

Fiorentina’s 2.53 expected goals dwarfed Sassuolo’s 0.86, and they had 15 shots to 7, six on target to two and three big chances to two despite holding only 42% possession. Sassuolo had 58% of the ball and five corners to three.

The result fit the pre-match numbers. Sassuolo arrived on LLLDL and Fiorentina on DLLLD, while both teams to score was priced at -220. Sassuolo’s both-teams-to-score rate was 89% and over 2.5 rate 78%; Fiorentina’s were 78% and 89%. Lauriente’s double and Njie’s goal and assist were the standout individual contributions.

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Goals

25′ A. Lauriente, assist Esposito Se. Sassuolo
45+2′ M. Pellegrino, assist A. Njie Fiorentina
50′ A. Njie, assist M. Brescianini Fiorentina
65′ A. Lauriente, assist N. Matic Sassuolo
79′ F. Mastantuono, assist Pote Fiorentina
90+3′ V. Valdepenas, assist C. Ndour Fiorentina

Match stats	Sassuolo	Fiorentina
Expected goals (xG)	0.98	2.39
Ball possession	58%	42%
Total shots	7	15
Shots on target	2	6
Big chances	2	2
Corner kicks	5	3
Passes	88% (495/561)	83% (334/404)
Yellow cards	2	3

How the key matchups went

Berardi: 1 shot, 0 shots on target, 3 fouls won. Joao Mario: 0 fouls committed, 1 tackle, 0 yellow cards.
Lauriente: 3 shots, 2 shots on target, 3 fouls won. Jimenez: 1 foul committed, 2 tackles, 0 yellow cards.
Esposito Se.: 1 shot, 0 shots on target, 0 fouls won. Dragusin: 1 foul committed, 1 tackle, 1 yellow card. Viery: 0 fouls committed, 2 tackles, 0 yellow cards.
Mastantuono: 5 shots, 2 shots on target, 0 fouls won. Doig: 0 fouls committed, 2 tackles, 0 yellow cards.
Njie: 2 shots, 1 shot on target, 0 fouls won. Walukiewicz: 0 fouls committed, 0 tackles, 0 yellow cards.
Pellegrino: 2 shots, 2 shots on target, 2 fouls won. Idzes: 1 foul committed, 0 tackles, 0 yellow cards. Cande: 4 fouls committed, 2 tackles, 0 yellow cards.

Box score

Sassuolo

Fiorentina

Sassuolo

Player	MIN	G	A	SH	SOT	xG	KP	PAS	TKL	FC	FS	YC	SV	RAT
Cande F.	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	64/68	2	4	1	0	0	6.1
Adzic V.	59	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	21/21	0	1	0	0	0	6.0
Sulemana I.	45	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	14/14	0	1	0	1	0	5.9
Esposito Se.	89	0	1	1	0	0.02	2	29/35	2	1	0	0	0	7.4
Matic N.	90	0	1	0	0	0.00	3	93/101	3	0	2	0	0	8.2
Idzes J.	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	60/62	0	1	1	0	0	6.1
Lauriente A.	90	2	0	3	2	0.83	0	33/43	4	1	3	0	0	9.2
Doig J.	77	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	35/35	2	0	0	0	0	6.1
Walukiewicz S.	77	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	26/28	0	0	2	0	0	6.0
Berardi D.	90	0	0	1	0	0.02	0	34/42	3	1	3	0	0	6.8
Turati S.	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	30/43	0	0	0	0	2	5.6
Bowie K.	31	0	0	1	0	0.09	1	6/9	0	2	0	0	0	6.4
Cinquegrano S.	13	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	3/5	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
Kulla G.	1	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1/1	0	0	1	1	0	–
Obrador R.	13	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	6/9	1	0	0	0	0	6.4
Bakola D.	45	0	0	1	0	0.03	0	40/45	1	0	2	0	0	6.5

Fiorentina

Player	MIN	G	A	SH	SOT	xG	KP	PAS	TKL	FC	FS	YC	RAT
Dragusin R.	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	48/57	1	1	1	1	6.9
Joao Mario	90	0	0	1	0	0.06	1	22/25	1	0	3	0	6.5
de Gea D.	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	12/17	0	0	0	0	5.8
Brescianini M.	77	0	1	0	0	0.00	1	17/22	1	0	1	0	6.8
Njie A.	63	1	1	2	1	0.19	1	11/15	3	3	0	1	8.1
Pellegrino M.	77	1	0	2	2	0.35	1	10/16	2	4	2	0	7.5
Fagioli N.	63	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	33/35	0	0	1	0	5.8
Ndour C.	90	0	1	0	0	0.00	1	35/48	2	3	0	0	7.2
Viery	90	0	0	2	0	0.05	1	61/67	2	0	1	0	6.9
Mastantuono F.	89	1	0	5	2	0.48	1	17/26	3	1	0	0	7.6
Jimenez A.	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	41/45	2	1	1	0	6.5
Gnonto W.	27	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	11/11	2	2	0	1	6.6
Pote	13	0	1	0	0	0.00	2	4/5	0	0	0	0	7.2
Inao Oulai C.	27	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	10/12	1	0	1	0	6.9
Beto	13	0	0	2	0	0.31	0	2/3	0	0	0	0	6.6
Valdepenas V.	1	1	0	1	1	0.95	0	0/0	0	0	0	0	–

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this match. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

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Sassuolo vs Fiorentina pre-game preview

Sassuolo hosts Fiorentina in Serie A on Monday, November 2, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET. On the three-way moneyline, Fiorentina is +145, Sassuolo +190 and the draw +285, with the total at 3.5. Sassuolo sits 15th with 8 points from 9 matches, while Fiorentina is 17th with 5 points from 9. Sassuolo’s most recent league form is LLLDL; Fiorentina’s is DLLLD. The last meeting finished 0-0 in April 2026, and Sassuolo won 3-1 in December 2025.

The total and both-teams-to-score markets have support in the season profiles: Sassuolo has seen both teams score in 89% of matches and over 2.5 goals in 78%, while Fiorentina has both teams scoring in 78% and over 2.5 in 89%. Neither side has a clean sheet. Among props, Franco Mastantuono over 1.5 fouls won at -135 cleared in 7 of his last 9, a useful StatsBench research angle given the matchup notes.

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Confirmed lineups

The official starting XIs. The badge on each player: how often he cleared his strongest prop line (named under him) over his recent matches; green at 70% or better.

Sassuolo 4-3-3Fiorentina 4-3-3

80 Turati

6 Walukiewicz

21 Idzes

5 Cande

3 Doig

17 Adzic

18 Matic

55 Sulemana

10 Berardi (C)

94 Esposito Se.

45 Lauriente

43 de Gea

20 Jimenez

3 Dragusin

33 Viery

17 Joao Mario

27 Ndour

44 Fagioli

4 Brescianini

30 Mastantuono

32 Pellegrino

25 Njie

Sassuolo missing: D. Boloca (muscle), I. Kone (broken leg), F. Leysen (knee), Y. Paz (knee), K. Thorstvedt (red card)

Fiorentina missing: A. Atta (abdominal strain), F. Parisi (knee), M. Pongracic (muscle), L. Ranieri (leg), R. Sottil (back)

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Form and head to head

Sassuolo15th in the tableLLLDL2W 2D 5L · 0.89 points a match

2meetings

1 win1 draw0 wins

Fiorentina17th in the tableDLLLD1W 2D 6L · 0.56 points a match

50%Over 1.51/2

50%Over 2.51/2

50%Over 3.51/2

50%Both scored1/2

Apr 2026FIO 0-0 SAS
Dec 2025SAS 3-1 FIO

Clean sheets and goal trends

Sassuolo

Clean sheet0/9

11%

Failed to score1/9

89%

Both scored8/9

78%

Over 2.57/9

Fiorentina

Clean sheet0/9

22%

Failed to score2/9

78%

Both scored7/9

89%

Over 2.58/9

Attack and defense

Attacking

SassuoloFiorentina

22%Win %11%

47%Possession %47%

89%Both teams scored %78%

33%Scored first %22%

1.6Scored per match1.2
12.4Shots per match14.8
5.2Shots on target per match4.9
1.8Big chances per match1.3

Defensive

SassuoloFiorentina

56%Loss %67%

11%Failed to score %22%

0%Clean sheet %0%

67%Conceded first %78%

2.4Conceded per match2.3
13.3Shots against per match12.4
16.2Tackles per match15.8
9.8Fouls per match11.2

Per-match rates this season. Each spoke of the charts is scaled to the higher of the two clubs.

Recent results

Sassuolo	LLLDL	L 2-6 vs LAZ · L 0-2 at COM · L 2-4 at Frosinone · D 1-1 vs MIL · L 1-2 at MON
Fiorentina	DLLLD	D 2-2 vs ATA · L 1-2 at INT · L 1-3 vs COM · L 1-2 at GEN · D 1-1 vs NAP

Last five Serie A results, most recent first.

Season numbers

	Sassuolo	Fiorentina
Table	15 (8 pts)	17 (5 pts)
Record (W-D-L)	2-2-5	1-2-6
Home / away record	2-1-1 (8-10) home	1-0-3 (6-10) away
Goals scored per match	1.56	1.22
Goals conceded per match	2.44	2.33
Shots / on target per match	12.44 / 5.22	14.78 / 4.89
Both teams scored	89%	78%
Over 1.5 / 2.5 / 3.5 goals	100% / 78% / 44%	100% / 89% / 44%
Clean sheets	0%	0%
Failed to score	11%	22%
Yellow cards per match	1.44	2.22
Corners per match	3.98	5.04

This season, 9 and 9 matches.

Referee

Matteo Marcenaro averages 3.5 yellow cards and 22.0 fouls per match over 8 matches this season (league average 3.1 and 21.6).

Injury report

Sassuolo

Fedde Leysen (D): Out, Cruciate Ligament Injury
Cristian Volpato (F): Out, Muscle Injury

Fiorentina

Fabiano Parisi (D): Out, Cruciate Ligament Injury
Marin Pongracic (D): Out, Thigh Injury

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Line movement chart

Total 3.5 → 3.5

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More on these teams: All Serie A prop picks

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#	Team	W-L	PCT	GB
1	PHI	8-1	.889	-
2	DET	6-2	.750	1.5
3	BOS	6-2	.750	1.5
4	ATL	5-4	.556	3
5	TOR	4-4	.500	3.5
6	CLE	4-4	.500	3.5
7	NY	4-4	.500	3.5
8	WSH	4-4	.500	3.5
9	MIA	3-5	.375	4.5
10	CHA	3-6	.333	5
11	IND	3-6	.333	5
12	ORL	2-5	.286	5
13	BKN	2-6	.250	5.5
14	CHI	1-7	.125	6.5
15	MIL	1-7	.125	6.5

#	Team	W-L	PCT	GB
1	POR	6-1	.857	-
2	LAL	7-2	.778	-
3	HOU	7-2	.778	-
4	OKC	6-2	.750	0.5
5	SA	6-2	.750	0.5
6	MEM	6-2	.750	0.5
7	MIN	6-3	.667	1
8	GS	5-3	.625	1.5
9	DEN	4-3	.571	2
10	NO	4-4	.500	2.5
11	DAL	4-4	.500	2.5
12	PHX	1-5	.167	4.5
13	LAC	1-7	.125	5.5
14	UTAH	1-7	.125	5.5
15	SAC	1-7	.125	5.5

#	Team	W-L	PCT	STRK
1	BUF	6-1	.857	W3
2	DEN	6-2	.750	W4
3	PIT	6-2	.750	W4
4	JAX	5-2	.714	W1
5	KC	5-2	.714	L2
6	CIN	5-2	.714	W3
7	NE	5-3	.625	W1
8	CLE	5-3	.625	L1
9	LV	4-4	.500	W1
10	BAL	4-4	.500	L3
11	HOU	2-5	.286	L1
12	NYJ	2-6	.250	L3
13	IND	2-6	.250	L4
14	MIA	1-6	.143	L1
15	TEN	1-7	.125	L2
16	LAC	0-7	.000	L7

#	Team	W-L	PCT	STRK
1	SF	6-1	.857	L1
2	MIN	6-1	.857	L1
3	NYG	4-2-1	.643	W1
4	CAR	3-4	.429	L2
5	CHI	6-2	.750	W3
6	DET	5-2	.714	W3
7	GB	5-3	.625	W1
8	SEA	4-4	.500	L1
9	LAR	4-4	.500	W2
10	TB	3-5	.375	W2
11	ATL	3-5	.375	L1
12	ARI	3-5	.375	W1
13	DAL	3-5	.375	L1
14	WSH	2-4-1	.357	W1
15	NO	2-5	.286	L1
16	PHI	2-6	.250	L6

#	Team	W-L	PTS	STRK
1	CAR	12-3-0	26	L1
2	BOS	11-4-0	23	W2
3	MTL	9-3-0	21	L1
4	OTT	10-6-0	21	W1
5	TB	9-3-0	20	W1
6	NJ	10-5-0	20	W2
7	FLA	9-5-0	20	W1
8	TOR	8-7-0	18	L1
9	BUF	7-5-0	17	L1
10	NYR	8-7-0	17	W1
11	DET	7-6-0	17	L1
12	WSH	8-6-0	16	L2
13	NYI	7-5-0	16	L1
14	CBJ	6-7-0	12	W1
15	PIT	5-8-0	12	L3
16	PHI	4-9-0	12	L1

#	Team	W-L	PTS	STRK
1	EDM	11-2-0	25	L1
2	MIN	11-3-0	25	W2
3	VGK	10-5-0	22	W1
4	UTA	10-6-0	20	W1
5	DAL	9-5-0	19	W2
6	SEA	9-5-0	19	W1
7	COL	9-6-0	19	L1
8	NSH	6-4-0	17	W2
9	STL	7-7-0	15	L1
10	ANA	7-7-0	15	W2
11	CGY	7-8-0	15	L1
12	SJ	7-9-0	15	L3
13	WPG	5-8-0	13	W1
14	LA	5-7-0	12	W1
15	CHI	4-11-0	9	L4
16	VAN	3-13-0	7	L3

#	Team	Record
1	MIA	8-0
2	UGA	7-1
3	UTAH	8-0
4	ND	7-1
5	UCLA	8-0
6	IU	8-1
7	BYU	7-1
8	UK	7-1
9	ALA	6-2
10	TEX	6-2
11	OSU	6-2
12	MISS	6-2
13	TTU	7-1
14	WAKE	7-1
15	LSU	6-2
16	TENN	6-2
17	HOU	6-2
18	USC	7-2
19	MIZ	6-2
20	BOIS	7-1
21	IOWA	6-2
22	UNM	7-1
23	SC	5-3
24	ARIZ	6-2
25	FLA	5-3

#	Club	W-D-L	Pts	GD
1	ARS	8-0-1	24	+9
2	MCI	7-0-2	21	+10
3	BHA	6-1-2	19	+17
4	CHE	5-1-3	16	+4
5	LIV	4-3-2	15	+2
6	BRE	3-5-1	14	+7
7	EVE	3-4-2	13	0
8	BOU	3-3-3	12	+1
9	TOT	3-3-3	12	0
10	AVL	3-3-3	12	-3
11	Hull City	2-5-2	11	+1
12	LEE	2-5-2	11	+1
13	NEW	3-2-4	11	-3
14	IPS	3-2-4	11	-4
15	FUL	2-3-4	9	-2
16	Coventry	3-0-6	9	-7
17	MUN	1-4-4	7	-5
18	CRY	2-1-6	7	-12
19	NFO	1-3-5	6	-6
20	SUN	1-2-6	5	-10

#	Club	W-D-L	Pts	GD
1	BAR	10-0-1	30	+34
2	ATM	9-1-1	28	+14
3	RMA	9-0-2	27	+18
4	BET	7-2-2	23	+3
5	RSO	6-1-4	19	0
6	SEV	5-2-4	17	-2
7	ATH	4-3-3	15	+4
8	DEP	3-5-3	14	+1
9	VIL	3-3-5	12	0
10	CEL	2-6-3	12	0
11	ALA	3-3-5	12	-2
12	RAY	3-3-4	12	-5
13	GET	3-3-5	12	-8
14	ESY	3-2-6	11	-1
15	OSA	3-2-6	11	-11
16	RAC	3-2-6	11	-14
17	ELC	2-4-5	10	-4
18	LVT	2-4-5	10	-5
19	VAL	2-3-6	9	-9
20	MAL	0-5-6	5	-13

How the bets settled

Match report

Goals

How the key matchups went

Box score

Sassuolo

Fiorentina

StatsBench picks

Sassuolo vs Fiorentina pre-game preview

Confirmed lineups

Form and head to head

Clean sheets and goal trends

Attack and defense

Recent results

Season numbers

Referee

Injury report

Line movement chart

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