Benfica vs Lech Poznan Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Nov 5, 2026)

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this match. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Top Benfica vs Lech Poznan player props

Player	Prop	Best price	Last 10	Last 5
Michal Gurgul Lech Poznań	Over 0.5 shots on target	+525 BetRivers	80% (4/5)	80%
Leo Bengtsson Lech Poznań	Over 1.5 shots	+175 bet365	60% (3/5)	60%
Luis Palma Lech Poznań	Over 1.5 shots	+100 bet365	60% (3/5)	60%

Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent matches. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 7:43 AM ET.

Key matchups

From the predicted lineups: each winger against the full-back he faces, the strikers against the centre-backs. Each white tick marks the league average per match. The lower bars show how often the player cleared the line over his recent matches, green at 70% or better.

Rafa Silva vs Gurgul

Rafa SilvaWinger, Benfica

VS

GurgulFull-back, Lech Poznan

No lines posted

Fouls committed over 0.50/5avg 0 · -139

Tackles over 1.53/5avg 1.6 · -141

Yellow card over 0.50/5avg 0 · +350

Rafa Silva has no posted line, and Gurgul’s low foul and card clearance gives no edge for a winger foul-drawing or card angle; Gurgul’s tackles line is the only defensive prop with some support.

Schjelderup vs Pereira

SchjelderupWinger, Benfica

VS

PereiraFull-back, Lech Poznan

1.0Shots vs tackles3.7

Shots over 2.50/3avg 1 · -300

Shots on target over 1.50/3avg 0.3 · +180

Fouls committed over 0.50/3avg 0 · -182

Tackles over 2.52/3avg 3.7 · -130

Yellow card over 0.50/3avg 0 · +400

Pereira’s tackle volume gives him the defensive edge and points to his tackles line; Schjelderup’s shot props look short given how rarely he clears.

Duran vs Skrzypczak and Yegbe

DuranStriker, Benfica

VS

SkrzypczakCentre-back, Lech Poznan

YegbeCentre-back, Lech Poznan

No lines posted

Fouls committed over 0.52/4avg 0.5 · -182

Tackles over 0.52/4avg 0.5 · -233

Yellow card over 0.51/4avg 0.3 · +260

Fouls committed over 0.52/3avg 1 · -192

Tackles over 0.51/3avg 0.3 · -179

Yellow card over 0.50/3avg 0 · +350

Duran has no posted line, so there is no direct attacking prop angle; Skrzypczak and Yegbe’s low foul and card output leaves little support for a card or foul angle.

Walemark vs El Karouani

WalemarkWinger, Lech Poznan

VS

El KarouaniFull-back, Benfica

2.3Shots vs tackles2.3

Shots over 1.51/3avg 2.3 · +100

Shots on target over 0.53/3avg 1.3 · +120

Fouls committed over 0.53/3avg 1.3 · -227

Tackles over 2.51/3avg 2.3 · -130

Yellow card over 0.52/3avg 0.7 · +600

Walemark’s shot output gives him the attacking edge and points to his shots on target line, while El Karouani’s 3 of 3 foul clearance supports his fouls line.

Bengtsson vs Bah

BengtssonWinger, Lech Poznan

VS

BahFull-back, Benfica

1.2Shots vs tackles3.0

Shots over 1.53/5avg 1.2 · +175

Shots on target over 0.53/5avg 0.6 · +175

Fouls committed over 0.52/2avg 1.5 · -200

Tackles over 2.52/2avg 3 · -110

Yellow card over 0.51/2avg 0.5 · +450

Bah’s tackle volume gives him the defensive edge and points to his tackles line; Bengtsson’s modest shot output keeps his shot props less compelling.

Agnero vs Araujo and Circati

AgneroStriker, Lech Poznan

VS

AraujoCentre-back, Benfica

CircatiCentre-back, Benfica

0.3Shots vs tackles2.0

Shots over 1.50/3avg 0.3 · -154

Shots on target over 0.50/3avg 0 · +100

Fouls committed over 0.52/3avg 1.7 · -161

Tackles over 1.52/3avg 3.3 · -164

Yellow card over 0.51/3avg 0.3 · +500

Fouls committed over 0.51/3avg 0.7 · -159

Tackles over 1.50/3avg 0.7 · -145

Yellow card over 0.50/3avg 0 · +500

Agnero’s 0 of 3 shot clearance makes his shot props look aggressive against the centre-backs’ tackle coverage, with Araujo’s tackle volume the stronger defensive signal.

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Predicted lineups

Predicted XIs; the official lineups post about an hour before kickoff and this page updates then. The badge on each player: how often he cleared his strongest prop line (named under him) over his recent matches; green at 70% or better.

Benfica 4-2-3-1Lech Poznan 4-2-3-1

1 Trubin

6 Bah

44 Araujo

3 Circati

34 El Karouani

8 Aursnes

16 Manu Silva

27 Rafa Silva

30 Echeverri

21 Schjelderup

22 Duran

1 Lis

2 Pereira

72 Skrzypczak

59 Yegbe

4/515 GurgulShots 0.5+

22 Murawski

43 Kozubal

10 Walemark

21 Rodriguez

3/514 BengtssonShots 1.5+

7 Agnero

Benfica missing: L. Barreiro (inactive), C. Lenglet (inactive)

Lech Poznan missing: A. Douglas (ankle), A. Gholizadeh (knee), M. Ishak (inactive), W. Monka (injury), J. Moutinho (inactive), A. Sayyadmanesh (groin)

Form and head to head

Benfica2nd in the tableWWW3W 0D 0L · 3.00 points a match

No recent meetings

Lech Poznan32nd in the tableDLLWL1W 1D 3L · 0.80 points a match

Clean sheets and goal trends

Attack and defense

Attacking

BenficaLech Poznan

100%Win %20%

52%Possession %41%

67%Both teams scored %60%

100%Scored first %0%

• 3.3Scored per match0.8
• 18.7Shots per match13.0
• 7.0Shots on target per match5.0
• 0.0Big chances per match0.2

Defensive

BenficaLech Poznan

0%Loss %60%

0%Failed to score %40%

33%Clean sheet %0%

0%Conceded first %100%

• 0.7Conceded per match3.0
• 11.7Shots against per match21.0
• 19.3Tackles per match13.2
• 9.7Fouls per match7.2

Per-match rates this season. Each spoke of the charts is scaled to the higher of the two clubs.

Recent results

Last five Europa League results, most recent first.

Season numbers

This season, 3 and 5 matches.

Injury report

No injuries listed for either team in our data as of 7:43 AM ET.

Benfica vs Lech Poznan odds by sportsbook

Book	SLB ML	LECH ML	Over	Under
bet365	-800	+1600	O 3.5 -137	U 3.5 +110
BetRivers	-833	+1500	O 3.75 -116	U 3.75 -112

Highlighted: the best price in each column as of 7:43 AM ET. Prices move; check the book before you bet.

Line movement since we first listed this match (Wed 9:29 AM ET): Benfica moneyline -700 → -800.

Goal lines and both teams to score

Both teams to score: yes -111, no -130

Line movement chart