Bowling Green vs Western Michigan Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Oct 31, 2026)

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College Football prop picks: today's featured picks
Bowling Green Falcons logo

Bowling Green2-6 · 3-5 ATS
FINAL10 – 23
Western Michigan Broncos logo

Western Michigan5-3 · 3-5 ATS

College Football · Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 12:00 PM ET · Waldo Stadium

Final score by quarter

Team 1 2 3 4 T
Bowling Green 7 3 0 0 10
Western Michigan 7 7 3 6 23

How the bets settled

MoneylineWestern Michigan wonClosed at -625
SpreadBowling Green coveredBowling Green +14, by 1
TotalUnder 44.533 scored, 11.5 under

Closing line, DraftKings.

Game review

Western Michigan beat Bowling Green 23-10 on October 31, taking a 14-10 halftime lead and closing with a 9-0 second half to decide the game.

Broc Lowry threw for 146 yards and a touchdown, Cole Cabana ran for 110 yards and a score, and Aveion Chenault caught five passes for 109 yards for the Broncos. Bowling Green’s Jay Kastantin passed for 149 yards and a touchdown, while Dorian Pringle made 12 tackles. Western Michigan’s 190 rushing yards and 8.1 yards per pass explained the separation, while Bowling Green turned it over three times and was flagged five times for 41 yards.

Against the closing line, Western Michigan won by 13, so Bowling Green covered the 14-point spread by one. The game’s 33 points fell under the 44.5 total by 11.5.

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Against the spread, start to finish

Western MichiganBowling Green
The score margin against the closing spread (Western Michigan -14). Blue: Western Michigan covering. Orange: Bowling Green covering.
+21Largest BGSU cover
100%BGSU covering
+0Largest WMU cover
0%WMU covering

Win probability

Western MichiganBowling Green
Blue: Western Michigan favored. Orange: Bowling Green favored. ESPN’s in-game win probability, start to finish.

Top performers

Bowling Green

  • Passing YardsJay Kastantin20/31, 149 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
  • Rushing YardsNakai Amachree11 CAR, 61 YDS
  • Receiving YardsEli Jacon-Duffy4 REC, 41 YDS
  • SacksMyles Bradley1
  • TacklesDorian Pringle12

Western Michigan

  • Passing YardsBroc Lowry9/18, 146 YDS, 1 TD
  • Rushing YardsCole Cabana7 CAR, 110 YDS, 1 TD
  • Receiving YardsAveion Chenault5 REC, 109 YDS
  • SacksDeJuan Echoles Jr.2
  • TacklesDaeh McCullough8

Team stats

Bowling GreenWestern Michigan
274Total yards336
149Passing yards146
125Rushing yards190
16First downs15
7-16Third downs4-14
3Turnovers2
5-41Penalties2-20
32:18Possession27:42

Box score

Bowling Green FalconsWestern Michigan Broncos

Bowling Green Falcons

Passing

Player C/ATT YDS AVG TD INT QBR
Jay Kastantin 20/31 149 4.8 1 2 42.3
Brennan Ridley 0/1 0 0.0 0 1 —
Total 20/32 149 4.7 1 3 —

Rushing

Player CAR YDS AVG TD LONG
Nakai Amachree 11 61 5.5 0 19
Jay Kastantin 10 41 4.1 0 22
Ke’Marion Baldwin 5 18 3.6 0 8
Leo Kemp 4 5 1.3 0 2
Total 30 125 4.2 0 22

Receiving

Player REC YDS AVG TD LONG
Eli Jacon-Duffy 4 41 10.3 0 19
Brennan Ridley 3 36 12.0 0 24
Jeremiah Scoby 2 22 11.0 0 17
Nakai Amachree 3 17 5.7 0 9
Kal-El Pascal 2 15 7.5 0 13
Winn Sharp 3 9 3.0 0 6
Kentrell White 1 7 7.0 1 7
Joseph Saffold 1 4 4.0 0 4
Ke’Marion Baldwin 1 -2 -2.0 0 0
Total 20 149 7.5 1 24

Defense

Player TOT SOLO SACKS TFL PD QB HUR TD
Dorian Pringle 12 7 1 1.5 0 0 0
Josira Andrews 7 6 0 1 0 0 0
D’kyah Banks 6 4 0 0 0 1 0
Eriq George 6 2 0 0 0 1 0
Dior Garner 6 2 0 0 0 0 0
Myles Bradley 4 2 1 1.5 0 0 0
Kal-El Pascal 3 3 0 0 0 0 0
Jaimion Olverson 2 2 1 1 0 0 0
Cameron Simmons 2 2 0 0 0 0 0
Drey Braxton 2 1 0 0 0 0 0
Andrew Hines III 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
Sanders Ellis 2 0 0 0 1 1 0
Kade Kostus 1 1 0 0 0 1 0
Nick Sawyer 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
Winn Sharp 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
Chris Newell Jr. 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
Cashmire Lewis 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
Mike Wright III 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
Total 60 36 3 5 1 4 0

Western Michigan Broncos

Passing

Player C/ATT YDS AVG TD INT QBR
Broc Lowry 9/18 146 8.1 1 0 22.8
Total 9/18 146 8.1 1 0 —

Rushing

Player CAR YDS AVG TD LONG
Cole Cabana 7 110 15.7 1 82
Jalen Buckley 24 77 3.2 0 10
Broc Lowry 7 4 0.6 0 5
Team 1 -1 -1.0 0 0
Total 39 190 4.9 1 82

Receiving

Player REC YDS AVG TD LONG
Aveion Chenault 5 109 21.8 0 37
Baylin Brooks 1 13 13.0 0 13
Enese Tonga 1 12 12.0 0 12
Ryan Brotherton 1 6 6.0 1 6
Cole Cabana 1 6 6.0 0 6
Total 9 146 16.2 1 37

Defense

Player TOT SOLO SACKS TFL PD QB HUR TD
Daeh McCullough 8 6 0 0 1 0 0
Justyce Betts 7 3 0 1 0 0 0
Joey Pope 6 6 0 2 0 0 0
Braden Steely 5 2 0 0 0 0 0
Micah Davis 4 4 0 0 1 0 0
Joshua Franklin 4 3 0 0.5 1 0 0
Austin Alexander 4 1 1 1 1 1 0
Jarvarius Sims 3 3 0 0 0 0 0
Ahmed Tounkara 3 2 1 1 0 0 0
Brenden Anes 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
DeJuan Echoles Jr. 2 2 2 2 0 2 0
Jordon Thomas 2 2 0 0 0 0 0
Amarian Louis 2 2 0 1 0 0 0
Dalton Gustwiller 2 1 0 0 0 0 0
Scoop Gardner Jr. 2 1 0 0.5 0 0 0
Domanick Moon 2 0 0 0 0 1 0
KJ Burley 2 0 0 0 0 1 0
Dillon Moore 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
Broc Lowry 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
Gabe Welch 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
Cam’ron Barber 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
Kouri Crump 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
Zak Zeman 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
Enese Tonga 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
Total 68 42 4 9 4 5 0

Attendance 20,179

Recap: Cabana’s long TD run, Kelly’s 3 FGs help Western Michigan beat Bowling Green 23-10 (ESPN)

Highlights

Play-by-play on ESPN

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this game. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Betting trends

  • The over has hit in 4 straight Bowling Green games.
  • The over is 7-2 in Bowling Green’ last 9 games.

From each team’s last 10 games and recent meetings, against the closing line.

Trade Bowling Green vs Western Michigan on PolymarketPrediction-market prices on the game and player props, often sharper than a sportsbook’s.

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Bowling Green vs Western Michigan pre-game preview

The market has Western Michigan as a 13.5-point favorite with a 44.5 total, down from -15.5 and up from 43.5 at open. Bowling Green won the last meeting 31-13 at home on November 12, 2024, and the Falcons are 2-0 in the last two head-to-head meetings. Bowling Green is 2-6 straight up and 3-5 against the spread this season, with a 3-7 straight-up and 4-5 ATS mark over its last 10 after a 24-31 loss at Buffalo. Western Michigan is 5-3 straight up and 3-5 ATS, and 7-3 straight up with a 5-5 ATS record over its last 10 after a 38-45 loss at Toledo.

The defensive splits offer the clearest research angle. Bowling Green allows 165.9 passing yards per game, ranking 12th, but gives up 209.8 rushing yards per game, ranking 129th. Western Michigan allows 20.4 points per game, ranking 35th. On the prop side, Jalen Buckley’s anytime touchdown at -275 cleared in 7 of his last 10.

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Player stats and form

Season averages and each player’s last 5 games, newest first. Splits: per-game averages (games in brackets); vs the opponent covers this season and last, newest game first.

Bowling Green Falcons

Jay Kastantin QB178.9 pass yds · 1.3 TD per game
Date Opp CMP/ATT YDS TD INT RUSH
10/24 @ BUF 19/27 217 3 2 34
10/17 vs BALL 16/23 207 2 1 7
10/10 vs SAC 11/15 116 1 1 50
10/3 @ M-OH 25/37 305 2 0 13
9/26 vs USF 16/28 122 0 0 -7
Splits Season Road 2025 vs WMU
Pass yds 178.9 (8) 175.8 (4) – –
Pass TD 1.3 (8) 1.8 (4) – –

Austyn Dendy RB59.2 rush yds · 1.5 rec per game
Date Opp ATT YDS TD REC REC YDS
10/24 @ BUF 10 39 0 3 3
10/17 vs BALL 15 49 0 – –
10/10 vs SAC 15 86 2 – –
10/3 @ M-OH 7 11 0 1 1
9/26 vs USF 18 48 0 1 6
Splits Season Road 2025 vs WMU
Rush yds 44.9 (8) 29.0 (4) 98.6 (5) –
Rec 1.7 (3) 2.0 (2) 1.3 (3) –

Joseph Saffold WR3.0 rec · 47.0 yds per game
Date Opp TGT REC YDS TD
10/10 vs SAC – 3 47 1
Splits Season Road 2025 vs WMU
Rec 3.0 (1) – – –
Rec yds 47.0 (1) – – –
Jyrin Johnson TE3.1 rec · 38.8 yds per game
Splits Season Road 2025 vs WMU
Rec – – 3.1 (12) –
Rec yds – – 38.8 (12) –

Western Michigan Broncos

Broc Lowry QB139.4 pass yds · 1.1 TD per game
Date Opp CMP/ATT YDS TD INT RUSH
10/24 @ TOL 12/29 207 2 2 17
10/17 @ CMU 5/8 48 1 0 16
10/10 vs KENT 18/26 257 3 0 52
10/3 @ BUF 19/24 212 0 0 52
9/26 vs BOIS 15/28 110 0 1 2
Splits Season Home 2025 vs BGSU
Pass yds 156.4 (8) 193.0 (3) 128.8 (14) –
Pass TD 1.3 (8) 2.0 (3) 0.6 (14) –

Jalen Buckley RB95.6 rush yds · 1.9 rec per game
Date Opp ATT YDS TD REC REC YDS
10/24 @ TOL 18 92 1 – –
10/17 @ CMU 24 150 2 – –
10/10 vs KENT 16 105 0 2 40
10/3 @ BUF 15 62 1 2 15
9/26 vs BOIS 5 18 0 4 29
Splits Season Home 2025 vs BGSU
Rush yds 79.3 (8) 50.3 (3) 77.2 (13) –
Rec 2.3 (4) 2.3 (3) 1.5 (8) –
Talique Williams WR3.9 rec · 53.1 yds per game
Splits Season Home 2025 vs BGSU
Rec – – 3.9 (9) –
Rec yds – – 53.1 (9) –

Aveion Chenault WR3.3 rec · 47.7 yds per game
Date Opp TGT REC YDS TD
10/24 @ TOL – 6 105 1
10/17 @ CMU – 2 34 0
10/10 vs KENT – 2 20 0
10/3 @ BUF – 5 56 0
9/19 @ RICE – 3 62 1
Splits Season Home 2025 vs BGSU
Rec 4.0 (7) 3.0 (2) 1.9 (12) –
Rec yds 61.6 (7) 60.5 (2) 23.1 (12) –

Records

Team Record ATS O/U Home Away
Bowling Green 2-6 3-5 6-2 1-3 1-3
Western Michigan 5-3 3-5 4-4 2-1 3-2

This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.

Bowling Green vs Western Michigan head-to-head

Bowling Green are 2-0 in the last 2 meetings. Last time: Bowling Green won 31-13 on November 12, 2024.

Date Venue Bowling Green result ATS O/U
Nov 12, 24 Bowling Green home W 31-13 – –
Nov 21, 23 Western Michigan home W 34-10 – –

Recent form

Bowling Green Falcons: last 10 (3-7, 4-5 ATS, O/U 7-2)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Oct 24, 26 @ BUFF L 24-31 L +3 O 44.5
Oct 17, 26 vs BALL L 31-32 L -6 O 46.5
Oct 10, 26 vs SAC W 38-10 W -9.5 O 43.5
Oct 3, 26 @ M-OH W 24-20 W +10.5 O 41.5
Sep 26, 26 vs USF L 6-14 W +17.5 U 48.5
Sep 19, 26 @ ISU L 7-55 L +22.5 O 43.5
Sep 12, 26 @ NEB L 7-56 L +30.5 O 48.5
Sep 5, 26 vs TAR L 13-20 L -1.5 U 49.5
Nov 25, 25 @ MASS W 45-14 W -14 O 44.5
Nov 18, 25 vs AKR L 16-19 – –

Western Michigan Broncos: last 10 (7-3, 5-5 ATS, O/U 5-5)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Oct 24, 26 @ TOL L 38-45 L +2.5 O 48.5
Oct 17, 26 @ CMU W 21-14 L -7.5 U 42.5
Oct 10, 26 vs KENT W 38-7 W -13.5 O 43.5
Oct 3, 26 @ BUFF W 20-17 L -13.5 U 46.5
Sep 26, 26 vs BOIS L 7-32 L +8.5 U 50.5
Sep 19, 26 @ RICE W 28-21 L -8.5 O 43.5
Sep 12, 26 vs MONM W 49-14 W -29.5 O 54.5
Sep 5, 26 @ MICH L 12-13 W +27.5 U 50.5
Dec 6, 25 vs M-OH W 23-13 W -2.5 U 44.5
Nov 25, 25 @ EMU W 31-21 W -7 O 49.5

Injury report

No injuries listed for either team in our data as of 12:21 PM ET.

Matchup ranks

What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.

Bowling Green defense Western Michigan defense
Points allowed per game 29 (105th of 136) 19.2 (29th of 136)
Passing yards allowed per game 163.7 (8th of 136) 208.6 (62nd of 136)
Rushing yards allowed per game 207.6 (129th of 136) 149.2 (76th of 136)
Total yards allowed per game 371.2 (79th of 136) 357.8 (66th of 136)

Venue and weather

Waldo Stadium · Kalamazoo, MIOutdoor
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Bowling Green vs Western Michigan odds

Line movement from the open

Line Open Close Move
Western Michigan spread -15.5 -14 +1.5
Total 43.5 44.5 +1
Bowling Green moneyline +525 +455 +2% win chance
Western Michigan moneyline -750 -625 -2% win chance

DraftKings opening and closing numbers via ESPN.

Line movement chart

Western Michigan spread -13.5 → -14
Total 44.5 → 44.5
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