| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| +134 |
+2.5 +101 |
O 44.5 -108 |
|
| -149 |
-2.5 -116 |
U 44.5 -105 |
Best price at bet365, BetRivers, Caesars, DraftKings, FanDuel and Fanatics, updated 7:12 AM ET.
Buccaneers vs Panthers preview
The market has Carolina as a 2.5-point favorite at -149 on the moneyline, with Tampa Bay at +134 and the total at 44.5. The last meeting went to Tampa Bay, 16-14 at home on January 3, 2026, and the Buccaneers are 5-1 straight up in the last six head-to-head meetings while going 0-2 against the spread in the available split.
Recent form favors Carolina. The Panthers are 3-2 straight up and against the spread this season and 5-5 straight up with a 6-4 ATS mark over their last 10, most recently winning 25-14 at Philadelphia. Tampa Bay is 1-5 straight up and ATS this season and 2-8 straight up with a 1-9 ATS mark over its last 10, most recently losing 19-26 to Pittsburgh.
The defensive ranks point to a clear rushing split: Tampa Bay allows 75.5 rushing yards per game (rank 2) while Carolina allows 132.2 (rank 27). Tampa Bay lists Baker Mayfield as questionable and Emeka Egbuka as out, and Mayfield’s over 0.5 interception prop at -110 has cleared in 8 of his last 10, including 75% against this opponent over four games.
Top Buccaneers vs Panthers player props
| Player | Prop | Best price | Last 10 | Last 5 | vs this opponent |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Lloyd CAR | Over 0.5 def interceptions | +900 |
100% (5/5) | 100% | – |
| Sean Tucker TB | Over 1.5 longest reception | +168 |
90% (9/10) | 80% | – |
| John Metchie III CAR | Over 1.5 receptions | +115 |
80% (8/10) | 80% | – |
| Baker Mayfield TB | Over 0.5 interceptions | -110 |
80% (8/10) | 80% | 75% (4) |
| Nick Scott CAR | Over 3.5 solo tackles | -130 |
80% (8/10) | 60% | – |
Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent games. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 7:12 AM ET. See every prop for this game on StatsBench.
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Buccaneers vs Panthers odds by sportsbook
| Book | TB spread | CAR spread | TB ML | CAR ML | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +2.5 +101 | -2.5 -121 | +130 | -155 | O 44.5 -109 | U 44.5 -111 | |
| +2.5 -104 | -2.5 -116 | +125 | -149 | O 44.5 -110 | U 44.5 -110 | |
| +3 -127 | -3 +108 | +129 | -152 | O 44.5 -110 | U 44.5 -110 | |
| +3 -115 | -3 -105 | +130 | -155 | O 44.5 -108 | U 44.5 -112 | |
| +2.5 +100 | -2.5 -122 | +134 | -158 | O 44.5 -110 | U 44.5 -110 | |
| +2.5 +100 | -2.5 -120 | +130 | -155 | O 44.5 -115 | U 44.5 -105 |
Highlighted: the best price in each column as of 7:12 AM ET. Prices move; check the book before you bet.
Line movement since we first listed this game (Sat 7:12 AM ET): no change in the main lines yet.
Records
| Team | Record | ATS | O/U | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-5 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 0-4 | 1-1 | |
| 3-2 | 3-2 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2-1 |
This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.
Buccaneers vs Panthers head-to-head
Buccaneers are 5-1, 0-2 ATS, O/U 0-2 in the last 6 meetings. Last time: Buccaneers won 16-14 on January 3, 2026.
| Date | Venue | Buccaneers result | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 26 | Buccaneers home | W 16-14 | L -3 | U 42.5 |
| Dec 21, 25 | Panthers home | L 20-23 | L -3 | U 44.5 |
| Dec 29, 24 | Buccaneers home | W 48-14 | – | – |
| Dec 1, 24 | Panthers home | W 26-23 | – | – |
| Jan 7, 24 | Panthers home | W 9-0 | – | – |
| Dec 3, 23 | Buccaneers home | W 21-18 | – | – |
Recent form
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: last 10 (2-8, 1-9 ATS, O/U 4-6)
| Date | Opponent | Result | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 26 | vs PIT | L 19-26 | L +2.5 | O 37.5 |
| Oct 8, 26 | @ DAL | W 24-16 | W +8.5 | U 49.5 |
| Oct 4, 26 | vs GB | L 14-17 | L +2.5 | U 38.5 |
| Sep 27, 26 | vs MIN | L 16-23 | L -1.5 | U 42.5 |
| Sep 20, 26 | vs CLE | L 19-23 | L -8.5 | O 41.5 |
| Sep 13, 26 | @ CIN | L 27-33 | L +3.5 | O 50.5 |
| Jan 3, 26 | vs CAR | W 16-14 | L -3 | U 42.5 |
| Dec 28, 25 | @ MIA | L 17-20 | L -5.5 | U 44.5 |
| Dec 21, 25 | @ CAR | L 20-23 | L -3 | U 44.5 |
| Dec 11, 25 | vs ATL | L 28-29 | L -6 | O 43.5 |
Carolina Panthers: last 10 (5-5, 6-4 ATS, O/U 3-7)
| Date | Opponent | Result | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 26 | @ PHI | W 25-14 | W -3 | U 39.5 |
| Oct 4, 26 | vs DET | W 32-26 | W +3.5 | O 52.5 |
| Sep 27, 26 | @ CLE | L 18-21 | L -2.5 | U 41.5 |
| Sep 20, 26 | @ ATL | W 34-3 | W -2.5 | U 43.5 |
| Sep 13, 26 | vs CHI | L 37-59 | L +3 | O 47.5 |
| Jan 3, 26 | @ TB | L 14-16 | W +3 | U 42.5 |
| Dec 28, 25 | vs SEA | L 10-27 | L +6.5 | U 42.5 |
| Dec 21, 25 | vs TB | W 23-20 | W +3 | U 44.5 |
| Dec 14, 25 | @ NO | L 17-20 | L -2.5 | U 41.5 |
| Nov 30, 25 | vs LAR | W 31-28 | W +10 | O 44.5 |
Injury report
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- Baker Mayfield (QB): questionable
- Emeka Egbuka (WR): out
Carolina Panthers: none listed.
Matchup ranks
What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.
| Buccaneers defense | Panthers defense | |
|---|---|---|
| Points allowed per game | 23 (18th of 32) | 24.6 (21st of 32) |
| Passing yards allowed per game | 237.7 (17th of 32) | 237 (16th of 32) |
| Rushing yards allowed per game | 75.5 (2nd of 32) | 132.2 (27th of 32) |
| Receptions allowed per game | 23.8 (28th of 32) | 22.8 (24th of 32) |
StatsBench picks
No StatsBench pick posted for this game. Today’s posted picks are graded live.
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