Canadiens vs Maple Leafs Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Nov 7, 2026)

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NHL prop picks: today's featured picks
Montreal Canadiens logo

Canadiens10-6 · 6-10 ATS3rd in the East
7:00 PM ETSat, Nov 7
Toronto Maple Leafs logo

Maple Leafs8-9 · 9-8 ATS11th in the East

NHL · Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 7:00 PM ET · Scotiabank Arena

Team Moneyline Spread Total
Montreal Canadiens -116 -1.5 +205 O 6.5 -113
Toronto Maple Leafs +103 +1.5 -240 U 6.5 +100

Best price at bet365, BetRivers, Caesars, DraftKings, FanDuel and Fanatics, updated 4:05 PM ET.

Canadiens vs Maple Leafs preview

Montreal visits Toronto on Saturday at 7:00 PM ET. Montreal is a slight moneyline favorite at -111, Toronto is +1.5 on the spread, and the total is 6.5, unchanged from the DraftKings opener.

The last meeting, September 29, 2026, went to Montreal 3-2 on the road. Montreal’s last 10 is 7-3 straight up and 5-5 ATS, with a 5-4 win over Utah on November 5; Toronto’s last 10 is 5-5 straight up and 6-4 ATS, with a 2-3 loss to Utah on November 3. This season Montreal is 10-6 straight up and 6-10 ATS, while Toronto is 8-9 straight up and 9-8 ATS.

Useful angles include Toronto’s pace rank (57.9, first) against Montreal’s 55.9 (eighth), and Toronto’s power-play points allowed (1.18, fifth) versus Montreal’s 2.63 (26th). Toronto’s injury list is long, including John Tavares and Max Domi on IR, while Montreal has Ivan Demidov on IR. Nick Suzuki’s over 1.5 shots on goal at -270 has cleared in 9 of his last 10, and the StatsBench model projects Auston Matthews at 1.2 points against a -290 line for over 0.5.

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this game. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Top Canadiens vs Maple Leafs player props

Player Prop Best price Last 10 Last 5 Projection
Josh Anderson MTL Over 1.5 shots on goal -112 Caesars 80% (8/10) 60% –
Jack Roslovic TOR Over 0.5 points -120 Hard Rock 80% (8/10) 100% 0.8
Brandon Duhaime TOR Over 1.5 hits -149 Stake 80% (8/10) 100% –
Alexandre Carrier MTL Over 1.5 blocks -170 Fliff 80% (8/10) 80% 1.9
Nick Suzuki MTL Over 0.5 points -223 Kalshi 80% (8/10) 100% 1.1

Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent games. Projection = StatsBench’s model estimate for tonight. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 4:05 PM ET.

The rest of the Canadiens vs Maple Leafs propsHit rates, matchups and the best price across 30+ books. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
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Easton CowanOver 0.5 points7/10
Dakota JoshuaOver 2.5 hits7/10
Sergei BobrovskyOver 24.5 saves7/10

Key matchups

Each player’s lines against what this defense allows to his position this season. The ranks run from the defense allowing the fewest to the one allowing the most. Bars show how often he cleared the line over his recent games, green at 70% or better.

Josh Anderson vs Maple Leafs

Josh AndersonF, MTL
VS
Maple LeafsDefense vs forwards
Good matchup for Josh AndersonMaple Leafs allow 20.7 shots a game to forwards, 11th most in the league. Anderson averages 2.1 against a line of 1.5.
Toughest22nd of 32, shotsSoftest
Shots on goal over 1.58/10avg 2.1 · 22nd of 32 vs F · -112Caesars
Hits over 1.57/10avg 2 · 30th of 32 vs F · -254Stake
Points over 0.53/10avg 0.6 · 14th of 32 vs F · +170BetRivers

Jack Roslovic vs Canadiens

Jack RoslovicF, TOR
VS
CanadiensDefense vs forwards
Even matchupCanadiens allow 6.4 points a game to forwards, 16th fewest in the league. Roslovic averages 1.3 against a line of 0.5.
Toughest16th of 32, pointsSoftest
Points over 0.58/10avg 1.3 · 16th of 32 vs F · -120Hard Rock
Assists over 0.57/10avg 0.8 · 16th of 32 vs F · +170Hard Rock
Goals over 0.54/10avg 0.5 · 17th of 32 vs F · +257Kalshi

Nick Suzuki vs Maple Leafs

Nick SuzukiF, MTL
VS
Maple LeafsDefense vs forwards
Even matchupMaple Leafs allow 6.3 points a game to forwards, 14th fewest in the league. Suzuki averages 1.5 against a line of 0.5.
Toughest14th of 32, pointsSoftest
Points over 0.58/10avg 1.5 · 14th of 32 vs F · -223Kalshi
Goals over 0.56/10avg 0.6 · 11th of 32 vs F · +203Kalshi
Assists over 0.56/10avg 0.9 · 18th of 32 vs F · -117Kalshi

Brandon Duhaime vs Canadiens

Brandon DuhaimeF, TOR
VS
CanadiensDefense vs forwards
Tough matchup for Brandon DuhaimeCanadiens allow 14.4 hits a game to forwards, 10th fewest in the league. Duhaime averages 2.8 against a line of 1.5.
Toughest10th of 32, hitsSoftest
Hits over 1.58/10avg 2.8 · 10th of 32 vs F · -149Stake
Goals over 0.51/10avg 0.1 · 17th of 32 vs F · +1329Kalshi

Dakota Joshua vs Canadiens

Dakota JoshuaF, TOR
VS
CanadiensDefense vs forwards
Tough matchup for Dakota JoshuaCanadiens allow 14.4 hits a game to forwards, 10th fewest in the league. Joshua averages 3.8 against a line of 2.5.
Toughest10th of 32, hitsSoftest
Hits over 2.57/10avg 3.8 · 10th of 32 vs F · -107Stake
Points over 0.53/10avg 0.4 · 16th of 32 vs F · +145BetMGM
Assists over 0.53/10avg 0.3 · 16th of 32 vs F · +250BetMGM

Alexandre Carrier vs Maple Leafs

Alexandre CarrierD, MTL
VS
Maple LeafsDefense vs defensemen
Tough matchup for Alexandre CarrierMaple Leafs allow 6.4 blocks a game to defensemen, the fewest in the league. Carrier averages 2.2 against a line of 1.5.
Toughest1st of 32, blocksSoftest
Blocks over 1.58/10avg 2.2 · 1st of 32 vs D · -170Fliff
Points over 0.53/10avg 0.4 · 26th of 32 vs D · +250BetRivers
Assists over 0.53/10avg 0.4 · 21st of 32 vs D · +290Fanatics

Betting trends

  • The over has hit in 4 straight Canadiens games.
  • Canadiens are 3-0 ATS as underdogs in their last 10 games.
  • The over is 7-3 in Canadiens’ last 10 games.
  • Maple Leafs are 4-0 ATS as underdogs in their last 10 games.

From each team’s last 10 games and recent meetings, against the closing line.

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Projected lines

Projected forward lines, defense pairs and goalies, updated 4:05 PM ET; this page updates whenever they change. The goalies are listed in projected order, which doesn’t confirm the starter. Under each player: his strongest prop line and how often he cleared it over his recent games; green at 70% or better.

Montreal CanadiensProjected

Forwards

L1Cole CaufieldOver 0.5 points 6/10Nick SuzukiOver 0.5 goals 6/10Juraj SlafkovskýOver 0.5 points 6/10
L2Chris KreiderJake EvansAlex Newhook
L3Zachary BolducOver 1.5 hits 5/10Phillip DanaultAlexandre Texier
L4Oliver KapanenOwen BeckKirby Dach

Defense

D1Lane HutsonOver 0.5 points 7/10Noah DobsonOver 1.5 SOG 7/10
D2Kaiden GuhleOver 1.5 blocks 7/10Alexandre CarrierOver 1.5 blocks 8/10
D3Arber XhekajAdam Engstrom

Goalies

GJacob FowlerJakub Dobes

Scratched: Florian Xhekaj, Josh Anderson
Injured or in doubt: Mike Matheson, Ivan Demidov, Samuel Montembeault, Josh Anderson

Toronto Maple LeafsProjected

Forwards

L1Easton CowanOver 0.5 points 7/10Auston MatthewsOver 0.5 goals 6/10Jack RoslovicOver 0.5 points 8/10
L2John TavaresOver 0.5 points 7/10Nick PaulWilliam NylanderOver 0.5 points 6/10
L3Dakota JoshuaOver 2.5 hits 7/10Colton SissonsGavin McKennaOver 1.5 SOG 5/10
L4Brandon DuhaimeOver 1.5 hits 8/10Teddy BluegerZack MacEwen

Defense

D1Morgan RiellyOver 0.5 points 6/10Chris TanevOver 1.5 blocks 6/10
D2Jake McCabeOver 1.5 blocks 7/10Darren RaddyshOver 0.5 points 5/10
D3Oliver Ekman-LarssonTroy Stecher

Goalies

GSergei BobrovskyOver 24.5 saves 7/10Artur Akhtyamov

Scratched: Dakota Mermis, Vinni Lettieri, Anthony Stolarz
Injured or in doubt: Max Domi, Kirill Marchenko, Marshall Rifai, Nick Blankenburg

The props behind these lineupsLines and hit rates for NHL players. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
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Canadiens vs Maple Leafs defense vs position

What each defense allows per game this season to everyone listed at a position, combined, so a row covers more than the starter. The small number is the rank across 32 teams: 1st allows the fewest. Green is the softest third of the league, red the toughest.

Canadiens defense facing the Maple Leafs

Pos Goals Assists Points Shots Hits Blocks
F 2.717th 3.716th 6.416th 20.723rd 14.410th 6.118th
D 0.518th 1.822nd 2.320th 7.618th 5.913th 7.69th

Softest spot: 20.7 shots a game to forwards, 10th most in the league.

Toughest spot: 7.6 blocks a game to defensemen, 9th fewest in the league.

Maple Leafs defense facing the Canadiens

Pos Goals Assists Points Shots Hits Blocks
F 2.511th 3.818th 6.314th 20.622nd 19.330th 4.33rd
D 0.730th 1.821st 2.526th 9.132nd 6.218th 6.41st

Softest spot: 9.1 shots a game to defensemen, the most in the league.

Toughest spot: 6.4 blocks a game to defensemen, the fewest in the league.

The props these matchups touchEvery NHL line beside its hit rate and matchup. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
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Player stats and form

Season averages and each player’s last 5 games, newest first. Splits: per-game averages (games in brackets); vs the opponent covers this season and last, newest game first.

Montreal Canadiens

Nick Suzuki C1.5 PTS · 3.0 SOG · 0.6 G per game
Date Opp TOI G A SOG HIT
11/5 vs UTA 20:04 1 2 4 2
10/20 vs SJS 21:03 1 1 4 0
10/17 vs BUF 20:49 0 1 2 3
10/14 @ WSH 20:15 1 0 3 1
10/13 vs BUF 23:32 0 1 5 1
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs TOR
PTS 1.5 (10) 1.7 (3) 1.2 (101) 0.2 (5)
0 · 0 · 0 · 1 · 0
SOG 3.0 (10) 3.0 (3) 2.2 (101) 1.8 (5)
2 · 1 · 3 · 1 · 2

Ivan Demidov R1.0 PTS · 2.0 SOG · 0.5 G per game
Date Opp TOI G A SOG HIT
10/3 @ PIT 16:03 1 1 3 1
9/29 @ TOR 15:11 0 0 1 2
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs TOR
PTS 1.0 (2) 1.0 (2) 0.7 (101) 0.8 (5)
0 · 1 · 1 · 2 · 0
SOG 2.0 (2) 2.0 (2) 1.6 (101) 1.0 (5)
1 · 1 · 2 · 1 · 0

Lane Hutson D1.0 PTS · 1.8 SOG · 0.2 G per game
Date Opp TOI G A SOG HIT
11/5 vs UTA 27:00 0 2 3 0
11/3 vs WPG 24:14 0 1 1 0
10/31 vs PIT 23:47 0 2 1 1
10/29 @ DAL 21:55 0 1 1 0
10/27 @ STL 22:04 0 0 1 0
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs TOR
PTS 1.0 (16) 1.0 (7) 0.9 (101) 0.4 (5)
0 · 1 · 0 · 1 · 0
SOG 1.8 (16) 1.3 (7) 1.5 (101) 2.2 (5)
0 · 4 · 1 · 3 · 3

Toronto Maple Leafs

Auston Matthews C1.5 PTS · 3.0 SOG · 0.7 G per game
Date Opp TOI G A SOG HIT
11/3 vs UTA 20:01 0 2 5 0
10/31 @ VAN 20:13 1 0 2 0
10/28 @ SEA 20:08 1 2 4 1
10/26 @ CGY 19:00 0 1 1 1
10/24 @ EDM 17:13 1 0 2 1
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs MTL
PTS 1.5 (17) 1.2 (9) 0.9 (60) 0.3 (4)
0 · 0 · 0 · 1
SOG 3.0 (17) 3.1 (9) 3.8 (60) 1.8 (4)
3 · 2 · 1 · 1

William Nylander R1.2 PTS · 2.9 SOG · 0.6 G per game
Date Opp TOI G A SOG HIT
11/3 vs UTA 21:24 0 0 3 0
10/31 @ VAN 19:43 1 1 2 0
10/28 @ SEA 22:13 0 0 3 3
10/26 @ CGY 19:14 1 0 4 1
10/24 @ EDM 15:59 2 0 3 1
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs MTL
PTS 1.2 (17) 0.9 (9) 1.2 (65) 1.6 (5)
2 · 1 · 0 · 2 · 3
SOG 2.9 (17) 2.4 (9) 2.4 (65) 3.0 (5)
5 · 3 · 4 · 2 · 1

Jack Roslovic C1.1 PTS · 2.5 SOG · 0.5 G per game
Date Opp TOI G A SOG HIT
11/3 vs UTA 18:19 2 0 4 1
10/31 @ VAN 17:42 0 1 1 2
10/28 @ SEA 17:28 1 1 1 0
10/26 @ CGY 18:43 0 1 1 0
10/24 @ EDM 15:37 1 1 1 0
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs MTL
PTS 1.1 (17) 0.8 (9) 0.5 (75) 0.0 (2)
0 · 0
SOG 2.5 (17) 3.0 (9) 2.0 (75) 2.5 (2)
2 · 3

Records

Team Record ATS O/U Home Away
Canadiens 10-6 6-10 11-5 5-4 5-2
Maple Leafs 8-9 9-8 10-7 4-5 4-4

This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.

Canadiens vs Maple Leafs head-to-head

Canadiens are 5-5, 3-1 ATS, O/U 1-3 in the last 10 meetings. Last time: Canadiens won 3-2 on September 29, 2026.

Date Venue Canadiens result ATS O/U
Sep 29, 26 Maple Leafs home W 3-2 W +1.5 U 6.5
Mar 10, 26 Canadiens home W 3-1 W -1.5 U 6.5
Dec 6, 25 Maple Leafs home W 2-1 W +1.5 U 6.5
Nov 22, 25 Canadiens home W 5-2 – –
Oct 8, 25 Maple Leafs home L 2-5 – –
Apr 12, 25 Maple Leafs home L 0-1 – –
Jan 18, 25 Canadiens home L 3-7 – –
Nov 9, 24 Maple Leafs home L 1-4 – –
Oct 9, 24 Canadiens home W 1-0 – –
Apr 6, 24 Canadiens home L 2-4 L +1.5 O 5.5

Recent form

Montreal Canadiens: last 10 (7-3, 5-5 ATS, O/U 7-3)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Nov 5, 26 vs UTA W 5-4 W +1.5 O 6.5
Nov 3, 26 vs WPG L 4-5 L -1.5 O 5.5
Oct 31, 26 vs PIT W 5-4 L -1.5 O 6.5
Oct 29, 26 @ DAL W 5-2 W +1.5 O 5.5
Oct 27, 26 @ STL W 2-0 W -1.5 U 6.5
Oct 25, 26 @ WPG W 2-1 L -1.5 U 5.5
Oct 23, 26 @ CHI W 4-1 W -1.5 U 6.5
Oct 20, 26 vs SJ L 3-4 L -1.5 O 6.5
Oct 17, 26 vs BUF W 4-3 L -1.5 O 6.5
Oct 14, 26 @ WSH L 4-5 W +1.5 O 6.5

Toronto Maple Leafs: last 10 (5-5, 6-4 ATS, O/U 6-4)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Nov 3, 26 vs UTA L 2-3 W +1.5 U 6.5
Oct 31, 26 @ VAN W 4-2 W -1.5 U 6.5
Oct 28, 26 @ SEA L 4-5 L -1.5 O 6.5
Oct 26, 26 @ CGY L 2-5 L -1.5 O 6.5
Oct 24, 26 @ EDM W 7-2 W +1.5 O 6.5
Oct 22, 26 vs NYR W 5-4 W +1.5 O 6.5
Oct 20, 26 @ CBJ W 6-2 W +1.5 O 6.5
Oct 19, 26 vs SJ W 3-1 W -1.5 U 6.5
Oct 17, 26 vs NYI L 1-4 L -1.5 U 6.5
Oct 15, 26 vs BUF L 4-5 L -1.5 O 6.5

Injury report

Montreal Canadiens

  • Ivan Demidov (R): Injured Reserve, Demidov
  • Mike Matheson (D): Out, Matheson
  • Josh Anderson (R): Out, Anderson

Toronto Maple Leafs

  • Kirill Marchenko (R): Injured Reserve, Lower Body
  • Miles Wood (L): Injured Reserve, Wood
  • Max Domi (C): Injured Reserve, Domi
  • Nick Blankenburg (D): Injured Reserve, Blankenburg
  • William Villeneuve (D): Injured Reserve, Knee
  • Marshall Rifai (D): Injured Reserve, Lower Body

Matchup ranks

What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.

Canadiens defense Maple Leafs defense
Goals allowed per game 3.19 (17th of 32) 3.24 (19th of 32)
Shots on goal allowed per game 28.31 (21st of 32) 29.71 (28th of 32)
Points allowed per game 8.69 (17th of 32) 8.76 (18th of 32)
Power-play points allowed per game 2.63 (26th of 32) 1.18 (5th of 32)
Pace (possessions) 55.9 (8th) 57.9 (2nd)

Venue and weather

Scotiabank Arena · Toronto, ONIndoor, weather won’t matter
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Canadiens vs Maple Leafs odds by sportsbook

Book MTL spread TOR spread MTL ML TOR ML Over Under
bet365 -1.5 +195 +1.5 -240 -122 +102 O 6.5 -117 U 6.5 -103
BetRivers -1.5 +200 +1.5 -250 -116 -102 O 6.5 -116 U 6.5 -105
Caesars -1.5 +200 +1.5 -245 -121 +103 O 6.5 -113 U 6.5 -109
DraftKings -1.5 +205 +1.5 -250 -122 +102 O 6.5 -115 U 6.5 -105
FanDuel -1.5 +190 +1.5 -240 -120 +100 O 6.5 -122 U 6.5 +100
Fanatics -1.5 +190 +1.5 -240 -120 +100 O 6.5 -120 U 6.5 +100

Highlighted: the best price in each column as of 4:05 PM ET. Prices move; check the book before you bet.

Line movement from the open

Line Open Now Move
Maple Leafs spread +1.5 +1.5 –
Total 6.5 6.5 –
Canadiens moneyline -115 -122 +1.5% win chance
Maple Leafs moneyline -105 +102 -1.7% win chance

DraftKings opening and current numbers via ESPN.

Line movement chart

Maple Leafs spread +1.5 → +1.5
Total 6.5 → 6.5
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More on these teams: Utah Mammoth vs Montreal Canadiens Nov 5 · Utah Mammoth vs Toronto Maple Leafs Nov 3 · All NHL prop picks

Betting guides: NHL player props guide · NHL shots on goal strategy · NHL points props guide · how parlays work

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