D.C. United vs New York City FC Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Nov 7, 2026)

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MLS prop picks: today's featured picks
D.C. United logo

D.C. United14th in MLS
4:00 PM ETSat, Nov 7
New York City FC logo

New York City FC11th in MLS

MLS · Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 4:00 PM ET

Result Moneyline
D.C. United +250
Draw +256
New York City FC +125

Total goals 2.5: over -118 , under +116

Best price at bet365, BetRivers, Caesars, DraftKings, FanDuel and Fanatics, updated 3:24 PM ET.

D.C. United vs New York City FC preview

D.C. United hosts New York City FC, and NYC is the moneyline favorite at +125, with the draw at +256 and D.C. at +250; the total is 2.5. The last meeting was a 2-0 D.C. United win over NYC on May 3, 2026. D.C. enters with league form LLLLL, while NYC shows DWDDL.

The defensive split is a notable season-level angle. D.C. has conceded 60 goals in 33 league matches, 1.82 per match, with 18% clean sheets and a 33% failed-to-score rate; NYC has conceded 45 and 1.36 per match.

On the prop side, Raul Gustavo over 0.5 fouls is -170 and cleared in 7 of his last 10, while Brandon Servania over 1.5 tackles is -130 and cleared in 7 of his last 10.

D.C. United vs New York City FC prediction

32%D.C. United
25%Draw
43%New York City FC

The books imply 28% / 28% / 44%

1-1Most likely score12% chance
1.3 – 1.5Expected goals
53%Over 2.5 goals
57%Both teams to score

The numbers lean New York City FC: the model has NYC at 43% and D.C. United at 32%, while the books imply 44% and 28%. The model is slightly less bullish on NYC and gives D.C. more credit, despite D.C.’s LLLLL form and 1.18 goals scored versus 1.82 conceded per match. NYC’s 1.45 scoring rate and DWDDL form support the favorite.

A Poisson estimate from each club’s scoring and conceding rates this season, overall and at home or away (33 and 33 matches). It does not know about lineups or injuries, and it is a research estimate, not a guarantee.

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this match. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Top D.C. United vs New York City FC player props

Player Prop Best price Last 10 Last 5
Peglow DC United Over 1.5 tackles -115 DraftKings 70% (7/10) 80%
Brandon Servania DC United Over 1.5 tackles -130 DraftKings 70% (7/10) 80%
Andre Dozzell DC United Over 0.5 shots -155 Fanatics 70% (7/10) 80%
K. Nono DC United Over 1.5 tackles -165 DraftKings 70% (7/10) 80%
Raul Gustavo New York City Over 0.5 fouls -170 DraftKings 70% (7/10) 60%

Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent matches. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 3:24 PM ET.

The rest of the D.C. United vs New York City FC propsHit rates, matchups and the best price across 30+ books. Free daily preview, no account needed. Pro unlocks the full board.
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Andrés PereaOver 0.5 shots on target6/10
Keisuke KurokawaOver 0.5 fouls won6/10
Nico CavalloOver 1.5 tackles6/10

Key matchups

From the confirmed lineups: each winger against the full-back he faces, the strikers against the centre-backs. Each white tick marks the league average per match. The lower bars show how often the player cleared the line over his recent matches, green at 70% or better.

Avilez vs O’Toole

AvilezWinger, D.C. United
VS
O’TooleFull-back, New York City FC
Even matchupO’Toole gives away 0.9 fouls a match, 13% more than the average defender (0.8). Avilez only draws 0.4, which points to about 0.5 fouls drawn here, against a line of 0.5.
0.4Fouls drawn vs given0.9
0.4Shots vs tackles1.6
Fouls won over 0.52/5avg 0.4 · -240DraftKings
Shots over 1.50/5avg 0.4 · -120bet365
Shots on target over 0.52/5avg 0.4 · +110bet365
Fouls committed over 0.56/10avg 0.9 · -290DraftKings
Tackles over 1.53/10avg 1.6 · -185DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.53/10avg 0.3 · +265Stake

Ordaz vs Gray

OrdazWinger, D.C. United
VS
GrayFull-back, New York City FC
Good matchup for OrdazGray gives away 1.1 fouls a match, 38% more than the average defender (0.8). Ordaz only draws 0.5, which points to about 0.7 fouls drawn here, against a line of 0.5.
0.5Fouls drawn vs given1.1
0.8Shots vs tackles1.5
Fouls won over 0.53/10avg 0.5 · -180DraftKings
Shots over 2.50/10avg 0.8 · +140Fanatics
Shots on target over 0.51/10avg 0.1 · +105BetRivers
Fouls committed over 1.53/10avg 1.1 · -120DraftKings
Tackles over 1.55/10avg 1.5 · -195DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.51/10avg 0.1 · +175Stake

Peglow vs Thiago Martins and Raul Gustavo

PeglowStriker, D.C. United
VS
Thiago MartinsCentre-back, New York City FC
Raul GustavoCentre-back, New York City FC
Even matchupThiago Martins and Raul Gustavo give away 0.7 fouls a match, 18% less than the average defender (0.8). Peglow draws 0.9, which points to about 0.7 fouls drawn here, against a line of 0.5.
0.9Fouls drawn vs given0.7
1.2Shots vs tackles0.8
Fouls won over 0.57/10avg 0.9 · -225DraftKings
Shots over 2.52/10avg 1.2 · +175bet365
Shots on target over 0.53/10avg 0.4 · +105BetRivers
Fouls committed over 0.54/10avg 0.4 · -115DraftKings
Tackles over 0.55/10avg 0.5 · -195DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.50/10avg 0 · +520Stake
Fouls committed over 0.57/10avg 0.9 · -170DraftKings
Tackles over 1.52/10avg 1 · +100DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.51/10avg 0.1 · +265Stake

Servania vs Thiago Martins and Raul Gustavo

ServaniaStriker, D.C. United
VS
Thiago MartinsCentre-back, New York City FC
Raul GustavoCentre-back, New York City FC
Even matchupThiago Martins and Raul Gustavo give away 0.7 fouls a match, 18% less than the average defender (0.8). Servania draws 0.7, which points to about 0.6 fouls drawn here, against a line of 0.5.
0.7Fouls drawn vs given0.7
1.3Shots vs tackles0.8
Fouls won over 0.55/10avg 0.7 · -165DraftKings
Shots over 1.53/10avg 1.3 · +175bet365
Shots on target over 0.52/10avg 0.2 · +225bet365
Fouls committed over 0.54/10avg 0.4 · -115DraftKings
Tackles over 0.55/10avg 0.5 · -195DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.50/10avg 0 · +520Stake
Fouls committed over 0.57/10avg 0.9 · -170DraftKings
Tackles over 1.52/10avg 1 · +100DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.51/10avg 0.1 · +265Stake

Wolf vs Kurokawa

WolfWinger, New York City FC
VS
KurokawaFull-back, D.C. United
Tough matchup for WolfKurokawa gives away 0.5 fouls a match, 37% less than the average defender (0.8). Wolf draws plenty himself, at 1.2, which points to about 0.8 fouls drawn here, against a line of 0.5.
1.2Fouls drawn vs given0.5
0.6Shots vs tackles1.0
Fouls won over 0.56/10avg 1.2 · -330DraftKings
Shots over 2.50/10avg 0.6 · +150Fanatics
Shots on target over 0.53/10avg 0.3 · -120BetRivers
Fouls committed over 0.53/10avg 0.5 · -220DraftKings
Tackles over 1.54/10avg 1 · -120DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.50/10avg 0 · +520Stake

Talles Magno vs Nono

Talles MagnoWinger, New York City FC
VS
NonoFull-back, D.C. United
Good matchup for Talles MagnoNono gives away 1.1 fouls a match, 38% more than the average defender (0.8). Talles Magno draws plenty himself, at 1.4, which points to about 1.9 fouls drawn here, against a line of 1.5.
1.4Fouls drawn vs given1.1
1.8Shots vs tackles1.7
Fouls won over 1.53/10avg 1.4 · -130DraftKings
Shots over 2.55/10avg 1.8 · -115DraftKings
Shots on target over 0.52/10avg 0.4 · -235DraftKings
Fouls committed over 0.55/10avg 1.1 · -250DraftKings
Tackles over 1.57/10avg 1.7 · -165DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.54/10avg 0.4 · +310Stake

Luighi vs Hefti and Nealis

LuighiStriker, New York City FC
VS
HeftiCentre-back, D.C. United
NealisCentre-back, D.C. United

No lines posted

Fouls committed over 0.57/10avg 1 · -285DraftKings
Tackles over 1.55/10avg 2.6 · -280DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.50/10avg 0 · +220Stake
Fouls committed over 0.53/10avg 0.4 · -215DraftKings
Tackles over 0.55/10avg 0.7 · -340DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.50/10avg 0 · +220Stake
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Confirmed lineups

The official starting XIs. The badge on each player: how often he cleared his strongest prop line (named under him) over his recent matches; green at 70% or better.

D.C. United 4-4-2New York City FC 4-3-3

24 Farr
7/102 NonoTackles 1.5+
5 Hefti
5/1013 NealisFouls won 0.5+
6/106 KurokawaFouls won 0.5+
32 Avilez
6/104 PeltolaShots 0.5+
7/1021 DozzellShots 0.5+
22 Ordaz
7/107 PeglowTackles 1.5+
7/1023 ServaniaTackles 1.5+
5/1049 FreeseSaves 2.5+
5/1024 GrayTackles 1.5+
5/1013 Thiago Martins (C)Tackles 0.5+
7/1034 Raul GustavoFouls 0.5+
22 O’Toole
55 Parks
5/107 MercauG+A 0.5+
6 Sands
17 Wolf
20 Luighi
5/1011 Talles MagnoShots 2.5+

D.C. United missing: T. Baribo (hip), L. Bartlett (leg), J. Hopkins (leg), S. Johnson (knee), H. Kijima (leg), L. Munteanu (leg), K. Rowles (yellow cards), G. Segal (ankle)

New York City FC missing: D. Baiera (knee), A. Farnos (leg), A. Martinez (thigh), M. Miazga (leg), M. Moralez (knee), A. O’Neill (injury), A. Perea (leg), K. Trewin (ankle)

The props behind these lineupsLines and hit rates for MLS players. Free daily preview, no account needed. Pro unlocks the full board.
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Form and head to head

D.C. United28th in the tableLLLLL7W 12D 14L · 1.00 points a match
5meetings

2 wins2 draws1 win
New York City FC22nd in the tableDWDDL9W 12D 12L · 1.18 points a match
80%Over 1.54/5
20%Over 2.51/5
0%Over 3.50/5
40%Both scored2/5
  • May 2026NYC 0-2 DCU
  • Aug 2025NYC 1-2 DCU
  • May 2025DCU 0-0 NYC
  • Sep 2024DCU 1-1 NYC
  • Apr 2024NYC 2-0 DCU

Clean sheets and goal trends

D.C. United

18%

Clean sheet6/33

33%

Failed to score11/33

61%

Both scored20/33

64%

Over 2.521/33

New York City FC

15%

Clean sheet5/33

18%

Failed to score6/33

70%

Both scored23/33

52%

Over 2.517/33

Attack and defense

Attacking

D.C. UnitedNew York City FC
21%Win %27%
39%Possession %54%
61%Both teams scored %70%
39%Scored first %52%
  • 1.2Scored per match1.5
  • 10.2Shots per match9.5
  • 4.1Shots on target per match4.7
  • 0.6Big chances per match1.0

Defensive

D.C. UnitedNew York City FC
42%Loss %36%
33%Failed to score %18%
18%Clean sheet %15%
49%Conceded first %46%
  • 1.8Conceded per match1.4
  • 11.2Shots against per match9.8
  • 18.2Tackles per match15.6
  • 13.1Fouls per match11.8

Per-match rates this season. Each spoke of the charts is scaled to the higher of the two clubs.

Recent results

DC United LLLLL L 0-3 at COL · L 1-2 at TOR · L 0-2 vs CIN · L 1-2 at CIN · L 1-4 at ORL
New York City DWDDL D 1-1 vs CFM · W 2-1 vs ATL · D 2-2 at ORL · D 1-1 vs LAF · L 0-2 at MIA

Last five MLS results, most recent first.

Season numbers

DC United New York City
Table 28 (33 pts) 22 (39 pts)
Record (W-D-L) 7-12-14 9-12-12
Home / away record 5-5-6 (20-28) home 4-6-6 (18-21) away
Goals scored per match 1.18 1.45
Goals conceded per match 1.82 1.36
Shots / on target per match 10.18 / 4.06 9.48 / 4.70
Both teams scored 61% 70%
Over 1.5 / 2.5 / 3.5 goals 79% / 64% / 33% 88% / 52% / 24%
Clean sheets 18% 15%
Failed to score 33% 18%
Yellow cards per match 1.79 1.64
Corners per match 4.94 3.91

This season, 33 and 33 matches.

Injury report

D.C. United

  • Gabriel Segal (F): Out, Knock Injury
  • Hosei Kijima (M): Out, Knock Injury
  • Louis Munteanu (F): Out, Knock Injury
  • Tai Baribo (F): Day-To-Day, Hip Injury
  • Sean Johnson (G): Out, Knee Injury
  • Jackson Hopkins (M): Out, Leg Injury
  • Lucas Bartlett (D): Out, Leg Injury

New York City FC

  • Andrew Baiera (D): Out, Leg Injury
  • Arnau Farnós (M): Out, Leg Injury
  • Aiden O’Neill (M): Day-To-Day, Ankle Injury
  • Maxi Morález (M): Out, Knock Injury
  • Kai Trewin (M): Out, Leg Injury
  • Alonso Martínez (F): Out, Muscle Injury
  • Andrés Perea (M): Day-To-Day, Knock Injury
  • Matt Miazga (D): Out, Knock Injury
Compare MLS playersHit rates, matchups and the best price across 30+ books, side by side. Free daily preview, no account needed. Pro unlocks the full board.
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D.C. United vs New York City FC odds by sportsbook

Book DC ML NYC ML Over Under
bet365 +250 +105 O 2.5 -118 U 2.5 -105
BetRivers +200 +125 O 2.75 -108 U 2.75 -127
DraftKings +220 +110 O 2.5 -140 U 2.5 +110
FanDuel +230 +105 O 2.5 -142 U 2.5 +116
Fanatics +230 +115 O 2.5 -145 U 2.5 +110

Highlighted: the best price in each column as of 3:24 PM ET. Prices move; check the book before you bet.

Line movement since we first listed this match (Fri 10:38 AM ET): D.C. United moneyline +210 → +250.

Goal lines and both teams to score

Both teams to score: yes -160, no +125

Total goals Over Under
1.5 -385 +290
2.5 -118 -104
3.5 +220 -280
4.5 +520 -800

Line movement chart

Total 2.5 → 2.5
Shop the player props tooProp prices across 30+ sportsbooks and pick’em apps, with hit rates beside them. Free daily preview, no account needed. Pro unlocks the full board.
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More on these teams: Columbus Crew vs D.C. United Oct 31 · New York City FC vs CF Montréal Oct 31 · All MLS prop picks · All MLS predictions

Betting guides: yellow card betting tips · football player props guide · how parlays work

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