Florida Atlantic vs North Texas Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Oct 29, 2026)

Florida Atlantic5-2 · 4-3 ATS

FINAL41 – 48

North Texas5-2 · 5-2 ATS

College Football · Thursday, October 29, 2026 · 7:30 PM ET · DATCU Stadium

Final score by quarter

Team	1	2	3	4	T
Florida Atlantic	10	14	7	10	41
North Texas	3	21	17	7	48

How the bets settled

MoneylineNorth Texas wonClosed at -625

SpreadFlorida Atlantic coveredFlorida Atlantic +15.5, by 8.5

TotalOver 78.589 scored, 10.5 over

Closing line, DraftKings.

Game review

North Texas beat Florida Atlantic 48-41, with the game swinging in the third quarter after a tied halftime. The Mean Green outscored FAU 17-7 in that period to build the cushion they needed.

Tayven Jackson threw for 404 yards and four touchdowns, Jahiem White ran for 193 yards and two scores, and Justin Stevenson added 119 receiving yards and a touchdown for North Texas. FAU’s Caden Veltkamp threw for 452 yards and five touchdowns with one interception, and Easton Messer caught 16 passes for 189 yards and three scores. North Texas won the ground battle 240 rushing yards to 71 and held possession for 35:05, which helped offset FAU’s 523 total yards.

For bettors, North Texas -15.5 did not cover, and Florida Atlantic covered by 8.5. The 78.5 total went over by 10.5.

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Against the spread, start to finish

North TexasFlorida Atlantic

The score margin against the closing spread (North Texas -15.5). Blue: North Texas covering. Orange: Florida Atlantic covering.

+22.5Largest FAU cover

100%FAU covering

+0Largest UNT cover

0%UNT covering

Win probability

North TexasFlorida Atlantic

Blue: North Texas favored. Orange: Florida Atlantic favored. ESPN’s in-game win probability, start to finish.

Top performers

Florida Atlantic

Passing YardsCaden Veltkamp37/56, 452 YDS, 5 TD, 1 INT
Rushing YardsLeonard Farrow14 CAR, 47 YDS
Receiving YardsEaston Messer16 REC, 189 YDS, 3 TD
TacklesJoseph Sipp Jr.8

North Texas

Passing YardsTayven Jackson33/46, 404 YDS, 4 TD
Rushing YardsJahiem White26 CAR, 193 YDS, 2 TD
Receiving YardsJustin Stevenson9 REC, 119 YDS, 1 TD
SacksCurlee Thomas IV1
TacklesJason Cross Jr.7

Team stats

Florida AtlanticNorth Texas

523Total yards644

452Passing yards404

71Rushing yards240

29First downs31

10-18Third downs8-14

2Turnovers2

7-58Penalties8-60

24:55Possession35:05

Box score

Florida Atlantic Owls

North Texas Mean Green

Florida Atlantic Owls

Passing

Player	C/ATT	YDS	AVG	TD	INT	QBR
Caden Veltkamp	37/56	452	8.1	5	1	67.6
Easton Messer	0/1	0	0.0	0	0	—
Total	37/57	452	7.9	5	1	—

Rushing

Player	CAR	YDS	AVG	LONG
Leonard Farrow	14	47	3.4	17
Kaden Shields-Dutton	3	31	10.3	21
Ethan Ervin	4	1	0.3	4
Caden Veltkamp	7	-8	-1.1	7
Total	28	71	2.5	21

Receiving

Player	REC	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG
Easton Messer	16	189	11.8	3	34
Dominique Henry	10	116	11.6	0	25
Kelby Valsin	6	73	12.2	0	26
Branden Hoch	3	37	12.3	1	18
Kaden Shields-Dutton	1	22	22.0	1	22
Leonard Farrow	1	15	15.0	0	15
Total	37	452	12.2	5	34

Defense

Player	TOT	SOLO	TFL	PD	QB HUR
Joseph Sipp Jr.	8	6	0	0	0
Travis Jackson	7	5	0	0	0
Amar Reynolds	6	5	1	0	0
Damon Allen	6	5	0	0	0
Leon Hart Jr.	5	5	0	0	0
Tyson Rooks	5	5	1	0	0
Jayden Sweeney	4	2	0	0	0
CJ Doggette Jr.	4	1	0	0	1
Chris Tooley III	2	2	0	0	0
Wilky Denaud	2	2	1	0	0
Nate Fischer	2	2	0	0	0
Damarius McGhee	2	1	0	0	0
Jonathan Bax	2	1	0	0	0
Derrick Rogers	2	1	0	0	0
Bo Simpson-Nealy	2	1	0	1	0
Khmari Johnson	2	1	0	0	0
Tucker Holloway	1	1	0	0	0
Kelby Valsin	1	1	0	0	0
JK Johnson	1	1	0	0	0
Josh Roberts	1	1	0	0	2
Earl Miller Jr.	1	0	0	0	0
Ahlston Ware	1	0	0	0	0
Total	67	49	3	1	3

North Texas Mean Green

Passing

Player	C/ATT	YDS	AVG	TD	INT	QBR
Tayven Jackson	33/46	404	8.8	4	0	58.9
Total	33/46	404	8.8	4	0	—

Rushing

Player	CAR	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG
Jahiem White	26	193	7.4	2	59
Tayven Jackson	5	41	8.2	0	28
Brendon Haygood	1	7	7.0	0	7
Josiah Martin	1	5	5.0	0	5
Team	2	-3	-1.5	0	0
Max Reese	1	-3	-3.0	0	0
Total	36	240	6.7	2	59

Receiving

Player	REC	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG
Justin Stevenson	9	119	13.2	1	37
Max Reese	7	85	12.1	0	33
Kyle Koch	9	78	8.7	2	20
Dalton Carnes	3	66	22.0	0	30
Jahiem White	2	27	13.5	0	14
Brec Long	2	21	10.5	0	20
Baron Tipton	1	8	8.0	1	8
Total	33	404	12.2	4	37

Defense

Player	TOT	SOLO	SACKS	TFL	PD	QB HUR
Peyton Taylor	7	7	0	0	0	0
Jason Cross Jr.	7	5	0	0.5	0	0
Zakye Barker	5	4	0	0	0	2
Brenden Reese	5	4	0	1	0	0
Taye Seymore	4	4	0	0	1	0
Brayden Knox	4	3	1	1	0	1
BJ Allen Jr.	3	3	0	0	0	0
Justin Benton	3	3	0	0	0	0
Cameren Jenkins	3	3	0	0	0	0
Tyson Wilson	3	3	0	0	0	0
CJ Coombes	3	2	0	1	0	0
Cedric Roberts	3	1	0	0	0	0
Keshawn Davila	3	0	0	0	0	0
Jaden Allen	2	2	0	0	0	0
David Onuoha	2	2	0	0	1	0
Brandon Jones	2	2	0	0	1	0
Curlee Thomas IV	2	1	1	1.5	0	0
Wesley Hudson	2	1	0	0	0	0
Davion Rhodes	1	1	0	1	0	1
Chase Canada	1	1	0	0	1	0
Michael Taylor II	1	0	0	0	0	0
Udoka Ezeani	0	0	0	0	0	1
Total	66	52	2	6	4	5

Attendance 22,092

Recap: Tayven Jackson, Jahiem White propel North Texas to 48-41 victory over Florida Atlantic (ESPN)

Highlights

Dominic De Freitas kicks 24-yard field goal (ESPN)
Caden Veltkamp throws 18-yard touchdown (ESPN)
Collin Rogers makes 30-yard field goal (ESPN)
Tayven Jackson throws 8-yard TD pass to Baron Tipton (ESPN)

Play-by-play on ESPN

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this game. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Betting trends

The over has hit in 4 straight Florida Atlantic games.
The over is 6-1 in Florida Atlantic’ last 7 games.
The over has hit in 5 straight North Texas games.
The over is 6-2 in North Texas’ last 8 games.

From each team’s last 10 games and recent meetings, against the closing line.

Trade Florida Atlantic vs North Texas on PolymarketPrediction-market prices on the game and player props, often sharper than a sportsbook’s.

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Florida Atlantic vs North Texas pre-game preview

The betting market has North Texas at -13.5 with a total of 77.5; the DraftKings opener was UNT -12.5 with a total of 69.5. The last meeting went to North Texas, 41-37 at Florida Atlantic on October 12, 2024, and FAU is 0-1 in the last one meeting.

Florida Atlantic is 5-2 straight up and 4-3 against the spread this season, with an O/U of 6-1; its last 10 is 5-5 SU, 4-3 ATS, 6-1 O/U, and its most recent game was a 51-49 win over Rice. North Texas is 5-2 SU and 5-2 ATS with a 6-1 O/U; its last 10 is 7-3 SU, 6-3 ATS, 6-2 O/U, and it most recently won 49-39 at Navy.

The defensive ranks are notable: FAU allows 258.1 rushing yards per game, ranked 135th of 136, and UNT allows 172.7, ranked 107th. Jahiem White’s anytime touchdown prop is priced at -700 and has cleared in 9 of his last 9, a notable market detail given FAU’s rushing defense rank.

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Player stats and form

Season averages and each player’s last 5 games, newest first. Splits: per-game averages (games in brackets); vs the opponent covers this season and last, newest game first.

Florida Atlantic Owls

Caden Veltkamp QB306.4 pass yds · 2.3 TD per game

Date	Opp	CMP/ATT	YDS	TD	INT	RUSH
10/24	vs RICE	29/37	339	3	1	5
10/17	@ ARMY	33/48	318	3	1	-17
10/3	vs TXSO	13/16	247	4	0	2
9/27	@ ULM	30/39	313	2	0	2
9/19	vs FIU	24/36	202	0	0	-23

Splits	Season	Road	2025	vs UNT
Pass yds	297.3 (7)	302.3 (3)	304.0 (12)	–
Pass TD	2.6 (7)	2.0 (3)	2.0 (12)	–

Leonard Farrow RB45.3 rush yds · 2.0 rec per game

Date	Opp	ATT	YDS	TD	REC	REC YDS
10/24	vs RICE	17	86	0	4	28
10/17	@ ARMY	6	41	0	1	1
10/3	vs TXSO	2	13	0	–	–
9/27	@ ULM	14	75	1	–	–
9/19	vs FIU	5	17	1	1	9

Splits	Season	Road	2025	vs UNT
Rush yds	45.3 (7)	55.7 (3)	–	–
Rec	2.0 (4)	1.5 (2)	–	–

Easton Messer WR8.3 rec · 99.7 yds per game

Date	Opp	TGT	REC	YDS	TD
10/24	vs RICE	–	12	162	2
10/17	@ ARMY	–	14	102	1
10/3	vs TXSO	–	4	88	1
9/27	@ ULM	–	4	15	0
9/19	vs FIU	–	7	83	0

Splits	Season	Road	2025	vs UNT
Rec	8.0 (7)	8.3 (3)	8.7 (12)	–
Rec yds	100.3 (7)	63.3 (3)	87.7 (12)	–

Kelby Valsin WR6.2 rec · 77.3 yds per game

Date	Opp	TGT	REC	YDS	TD
10/24	vs RICE	–	7	78	0
10/17	@ ARMY	–	7	89	1
10/3	vs TXSO	–	7	126	3
9/27	@ ULM	–	9	123	0
9/19	vs FIU	–	6	56	0

Splits	Season	Road	2025	vs UNT
Rec	7.7 (7)	8.7 (3)	1.0 (3)	–
Rec yds	97.0 (7)	101.3 (3)	11.7 (3)	–

North Texas Mean Green

Tayven Jackson QB268.5 pass yds · 2.1 TD per game

Date	Opp	CMP/ATT	YDS	TD	INT	RUSH
10/24	@ NAVY	17/23	305	3	1	-8
10/10	vs CLT	24/31	349	5	0	8
10/2	@ TLSA	23/38	310	4	2	-1
9/26	vs HCU	16/18	270	1	0	-1
9/19	@ TXST	43/57	483	3	1	-2

Splits	Season	Home	2025	vs FAU
Pass yds	306.0 (7)	284.0 (3)	195.5 (11)	–
Pass TD	2.6 (7)	2.7 (3)	0.9 (11)	–

Jahiem White RB112.0 rush yds · 3.5 rec per game

Date	Opp	ATT	YDS	TD	REC	REC YDS
10/24	@ NAVY	20	174	2	4	58
10/10	vs CLT	12	105	1	2	37
10/2	@ TLSA	30	217	1	2	12
9/26	vs HCU	11	133	4	3	17
9/19	@ TXST	16	34	1	7	56

Splits	Season	Home	2025	vs FAU
Rush yds	121.1 (7)	120.7 (3)	66.5 (2)	–
Rec	3.9 (7)	2.3 (3)	1.5 (2)	–

Justin Stevenson WR5.9 rec · 94.6 yds per game

Date	Opp	TGT	REC	YDS	TD
10/24	@ NAVY	–	8	209	2
10/10	vs CLT	–	9	122	2
10/2	@ TLSA	–	5	50	2
9/26	vs HCU	–	5	69	1
9/19	@ TXST	–	10	122	0

Splits	Season	Home	2025	vs FAU
Rec	5.9 (7)	5.3 (3)	–	–
Rec yds	94.6 (7)	78.0 (3)	–	–

Corri Milliner WR4.3 rec · 66.3 yds per game

Date	Opp	TGT	REC	YDS	TD
10/2	@ TLSA	–	3	49	0
9/26	vs HCU	–	3	65	0
9/19	@ TXST	–	7	80	1
9/12	vs UNLV	–	3	65	0
9/5	@ IU	–	4	66	0

Splits	Season	Home	2025	vs FAU
Rec	4.0 (5)	3.0 (2)	4.8 (5)	–
Rec yds	65.0 (5)	65.0 (2)	68.2 (5)	–

Records

Team	Record	ATS	O/U	Home	Away
Florida Atlantic	5-2	4-3	6-1	4-0	1-2
North Texas	5-2	5-2	6-1	3-0	2-2

This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.

Florida Atlantic vs North Texas head-to-head

Florida Atlantic are 0-1 in the last 1 meeting. Last time: Florida Atlantic lost 37-41 on October 12, 2024.

Date	Venue	Florida Atlantic result	ATS	O/U
Oct 12, 24	Florida Atlantic home	L 37-41	–	–

Recent form

Florida Atlantic Owls: last 10 (5-5, 4-3 ATS, O/U 6-1)

Date	Opponent	Result	ATS	O/U
Oct 24, 26	vs RICE	W 51-49	L -9.5	O 55.5
Oct 17, 26	@ ARMY	L 24-56	L +2.5	O 55.5
Oct 3, 26	vs TXSO	W 66-10	W -47.5	O 62.5
Sep 26, 26	@ ULM	W 45-17	W -11.5	O 58.5
Sep 19, 26	vs FIU	W 16-10	W -5.5	U 62.5
Sep 12, 26	vs NAVY	W 38-30	W +4.5	O 59.5
Sep 5, 26	@ FLA	L 21-66	L +26.5	O 59.5
Nov 29, 25	vs ECU	L 3-42	–	–
Nov 22, 25	vs CONN	L 45-48	–	–
Nov 15, 25	@ TULN	L 24-35	–	–

North Texas Mean Green: last 10 (7-3, 6-3 ATS, O/U 6-2)

Date	Opponent	Result	ATS	O/U
Oct 24, 26	@ NAVY	W 49-39	W -3	O 60.5
Oct 10, 26	vs CLT	W 50-10	W -27.5	O 58.5
Oct 1, 26	@ TLSA	W 45-44	L -3	O 56.5
Sep 26, 26	vs HCU	W 63-14	W -38.5	O 60.5
Sep 19, 26	@ TXST	L 35-49	L +3	O 62.5
Sep 12, 26	vs UNLV	W 44-6	W +3	U 58.5
Sep 5, 26	@ IU	L 16-52	W +39.5	O 57.5
Dec 5, 25	@ TULN	L 21-34	L -1.5	U 66.5
Nov 28, 25	vs TEM	W 52-25	W -20.5	–
Nov 22, 25	@ RICE	W 56-24	–	–

Injury report

No injuries listed for either team in our data as of 2:19 PM ET.

Matchup ranks

What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.

	Florida Atlantic defense	North Texas defense
Points allowed per game	35.8 (130th of 136)	31.9 (121st of 136)
Passing yards allowed per game	212.9 (70th of 136)	234.8 (98th of 136)
Rushing yards allowed per game	255.9 (135th of 136)	160 (95th of 136)
Total yards allowed per game	468.8 (134th of 136)	394.8 (107th of 136)

Venue and weather

DATCU Stadium · Denton, TXOutdoor

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Florida Atlantic vs North Texas odds

Line movement from the open

Line	Open	Close	Move
North Texas spread	-12.5	-15.5	-3
Total	69.5	78.5	+9
Florida Atlantic moneyline	+425	+455	-1% win chance
North Texas moneyline	-575	-625	+1% win chance

DraftKings opening and closing numbers via ESPN.

Line movement chart

North Texas spread -13.5 → -14.5

Total 77.5 → 77.5

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More on these teams: All College Football prop picks

21+. Research, not a guarantee: every bet can lose. Bet within your means; if gambling stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

#	Team	W-L	PCT	GB
1	PHI	8-1	.889	-
2	DET	6-2	.750	1.5
3	BOS	6-2	.750	1.5
4	ATL	5-4	.556	3
5	TOR	4-4	.500	3.5
6	CLE	4-4	.500	3.5
7	NY	4-4	.500	3.5
8	WSH	4-4	.500	3.5
9	MIA	3-5	.375	4.5
10	CHA	3-6	.333	5
11	IND	3-6	.333	5
12	ORL	2-5	.286	5
13	BKN	2-6	.250	5.5
14	CHI	1-7	.125	6.5
15	MIL	1-7	.125	6.5

#	Team	W-L	PCT	GB
1	POR	6-1	.857	-
2	LAL	7-2	.778	-
3	HOU	7-2	.778	-
4	OKC	6-2	.750	0.5
5	SA	6-2	.750	0.5
6	MEM	6-2	.750	0.5
7	MIN	6-3	.667	1
8	GS	5-3	.625	1.5
9	DEN	4-3	.571	2
10	NO	4-4	.500	2.5
11	DAL	4-4	.500	2.5
12	PHX	1-5	.167	4.5
13	LAC	1-7	.125	5.5
14	UTAH	1-7	.125	5.5
15	SAC	1-7	.125	5.5

#	Team	W-L	PCT	STRK
1	BUF	6-1	.857	W3
2	DEN	6-2	.750	W4
3	PIT	6-2	.750	W4
4	JAX	5-2	.714	W1
5	KC	5-2	.714	L2
6	CIN	5-2	.714	W3
7	NE	5-3	.625	W1
8	CLE	5-3	.625	L1
9	LV	4-4	.500	W1
10	BAL	4-4	.500	L3
11	HOU	2-5	.286	L1
12	NYJ	2-6	.250	L3
13	IND	2-6	.250	L4
14	MIA	1-6	.143	L1
15	TEN	1-7	.125	L2
16	LAC	0-7	.000	L7

#	Team	W-L	PCT	STRK
1	SF	6-1	.857	L1
2	MIN	6-1	.857	L1
3	NYG	4-2-1	.643	W1
4	CAR	3-4	.429	L2
5	CHI	6-2	.750	W3
6	DET	5-2	.714	W3
7	GB	5-3	.625	W1
8	SEA	4-4	.500	L1
9	LAR	4-4	.500	W2
10	TB	3-5	.375	W2
11	ATL	3-5	.375	L1
12	ARI	3-5	.375	W1
13	DAL	3-5	.375	L1
14	WSH	2-4-1	.357	W1
15	NO	2-5	.286	L1
16	PHI	2-6	.250	L6

#	Team	W-L	PTS	STRK
1	CAR	12-3-0	26	L1
2	BOS	11-4-0	23	W2
3	MTL	9-3-0	21	L1
4	OTT	10-6-0	21	W1
5	TB	9-3-0	20	W1
6	NJ	10-5-0	20	W2
7	FLA	9-5-0	20	W1
8	TOR	8-7-0	18	L1
9	BUF	7-5-0	17	L1
10	NYR	8-7-0	17	W1
11	DET	7-6-0	17	L1
12	WSH	8-6-0	16	L2
13	NYI	7-5-0	16	L1
14	CBJ	6-7-0	12	W1
15	PIT	5-8-0	12	L3
16	PHI	4-9-0	12	L1

#	Team	W-L	PTS	STRK
1	EDM	11-2-0	25	L1
2	MIN	11-3-0	25	W2
3	VGK	10-5-0	22	W1
4	UTA	10-6-0	20	W1
5	DAL	9-5-0	19	W2
6	SEA	9-5-0	19	W1
7	COL	9-6-0	19	L1
8	NSH	6-4-0	17	W2
9	STL	7-7-0	15	L1
10	ANA	7-7-0	15	W2
11	CGY	7-8-0	15	L1
12	SJ	7-9-0	15	L3
13	WPG	5-8-0	13	W1
14	LA	5-7-0	12	W1
15	CHI	4-11-0	9	L4
16	VAN	3-13-0	7	L3

#	Team	Record
1	MIA	8-0
2	UGA	7-1
3	UTAH	8-0
4	ND	7-1
5	UCLA	8-0
6	IU	8-1
7	BYU	7-1
8	UK	7-1
9	ALA	6-2
10	TEX	6-2
11	OSU	6-2
12	MISS	6-2
13	TTU	7-1
14	WAKE	7-1
15	LSU	6-2
16	TENN	6-2
17	HOU	6-2
18	USC	7-2
19	MIZ	6-2
20	BOIS	7-1
21	IOWA	6-2
22	UNM	7-1
23	SC	5-3
24	ARIZ	6-2
25	FLA	5-3

#	Club	W-D-L	Pts	GD
1	ARS	8-0-1	24	+9
2	MCI	7-0-2	21	+10
3	BHA	6-1-2	19	+17
4	CHE	5-1-3	16	+4
5	LIV	4-3-2	15	+2
6	BRE	3-5-1	14	+7
7	EVE	3-4-2	13	0
8	BOU	3-3-3	12	+1
9	TOT	3-3-3	12	0
10	AVL	3-3-3	12	-3
11	Hull City	2-5-2	11	+1
12	LEE	2-5-2	11	+1
13	NEW	3-2-4	11	-3
14	IPS	3-2-4	11	-4
15	FUL	2-3-4	9	-2
16	Coventry	3-0-6	9	-7
17	MUN	1-4-4	7	-5
18	CRY	2-1-6	7	-12
19	NFO	1-3-5	6	-6
20	SUN	1-2-6	5	-10

#	Club	W-D-L	Pts	GD
1	BAR	10-0-1	30	+34
2	ATM	9-1-1	28	+14
3	RMA	9-0-2	27	+18
4	BET	7-2-2	23	+3
5	RSO	6-1-4	19	0
6	SEV	5-2-4	17	-2
7	ATH	4-3-3	15	+4
8	DEP	3-5-3	14	+1
9	VIL	3-3-5	12	0
10	CEL	2-6-3	12	0
11	ALA	3-3-5	12	-2
12	RAY	3-3-4	12	-5
13	GET	3-3-5	12	-8
14	ESY	3-2-6	11	-1
15	OSA	3-2-6	11	-11
16	RAC	3-2-6	11	-14
17	ELC	2-4-5	10	-4
18	LVT	2-4-5	10	-5
19	VAL	2-3-6	9	-9
20	MAL	0-5-6	5	-13

Final score by quarter

How the bets settled

Game review

Against the spread, start to finish

Win probability

Top performers

Team stats

Box score

Florida Atlantic Owls

Passing

Rushing

Receiving

Defense

North Texas Mean Green

Passing

Rushing

Receiving

Defense

Highlights

StatsBench picks

Betting trends

Florida Atlantic vs North Texas pre-game preview

Player stats and form

Florida Atlantic Owls

North Texas Mean Green

Records

Florida Atlantic vs North Texas head-to-head

Recent form

Florida Atlantic Owls: last 10 (5-5, 4-3 ATS, O/U 6-1)

North Texas Mean Green: last 10 (7-3, 6-3 ATS, O/U 6-2)

Injury report

Matchup ranks

Venue and weather

Florida Atlantic vs North Texas odds

Line movement from the open

Line movement chart

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