Panthers vs Packers Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Oct 29, 2026)

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NFL prop picks: today's featured picks
Carolina Panthers logo

Panthers3-3 · 3-3 ATS4th in the NFC
FINAL19 – 27
Green Bay Packers logo

Packers4-3 · 4-3 ATS7th in the NFC

NFL · Thursday, October 29, 2026 · 8:15 PM ET · Lambeau Field

Final score by quarter

Team 1 2 3 4 T
Panthers 3 7 3 6 19
Packers 6 14 7 0 27

How the bets settled

MoneylinePackers wonClosed at -185
SpreadPackers coveredPackers -3.5, by 4.5
TotalUnder 47.546 scored, 1.5 under

Closing line, DraftKings.

Game review

Green Bay beat Carolina 27-19, and the game was decided in the middle periods: after a 6-3 first-quarter lead, the Packers outscored the Panthers 14-7 in the second and 7-3 in the third. Jordan Love threw for 288 yards and three touchdowns with one interception, Christian Watson caught eight passes for 113 yards, Josh Jacobs added a rushing score, and Brenton Cox Jr. had a sack. Green Bay’s 354 total yards, 5.3 yards per play, 9-of-16 third-down rate and 3-for-3 red-zone success explained the separation; Carolina had 258 yards, 3.7 per play, 5-of-18 on third down and 1-for-2 in the red zone. Bryce Young threw for 209 yards and a touchdown, Chuba Hubbard ran for 81 yards and a score, and Tetairoa McMillan caught six for 58.

Packers -3.5 covered by 4.5, and the 47.5 total went under by 1.5. StatsBench’s posted picks split: John Metchie III over 1.5 receptions won with three receptions, while Tetairoa McMillan over 69.5 receiving yards lost with 58 receiving yards.

How our picks did

  • John Metchie III OVER 1.5 RECEPTIONS (-117): WON (3)
  • Tetairoa McMillan OVER 69.5 REC YDS (-110): LOST (58)

The poster on X · Every posted pick, graded

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Against the spread, start to finish

PackersPanthers
The score margin against the closing spread (Packers -3.5). Blue: Packers covering. Orange: Panthers covering.
+7.5Largest CAR cover
47%CAR covering
+13.5Largest GB cover
53%GB covering

Win probability

PackersPanthers
Blue: Packers favored. Orange: Panthers favored. ESPN’s in-game win probability, start to finish.

Top performers

Panthers

  • Passing YardsBryce Young23/41, 209 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
  • Rushing YardsChuba Hubbard22 CAR, 81 YDS, 1 TD
  • Receiving YardsTetairoa McMillan6 REC, 58 YDS
  • TacklesMarco Wilson8

Packers

  • Passing YardsJordan Love30/41, 288 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
  • Rushing YardsJosh Jacobs21 CAR, 39 YDS, 1 TD
  • Receiving YardsChristian Watson8 REC, 113 YDS
  • SacksBrenton Cox Jr.1
  • TacklesIsaiah McDuffie10

Team stats

PanthersPackers
258Total yards354
176Passing yards288
82Rushing yards66
3.7Yards per play5.3
14First downs21
5-18Third downs9-16
1-2Red zone3-3
2Turnovers3
5-41Penalties6-45
28:57Possession31:03

Box score

Carolina PanthersGreen Bay Packers

Carolina Panthers

Passing

Player C/ATT YDS AVG TD INT SACKS QBR RTG
Bryce Young 23/41 209 5.1 1 1 6-33 36.0 68.0
Total 23/41 176 5.1 1 1 6-33 — 68.0

Rushing

Player CAR YDS AVG TD LONG
Chuba Hubbard 22 81 3.7 1 18
Trevor Etienne 1 1 1.0 0 1
Total 23 82 3.6 1 18

Receiving

Player REC YDS AVG TD LONG TGTS
Tetairoa McMillan 6 58 9.7 0 14 11
Chuba Hubbard 7 38 5.4 0 11 8
Jalen Coker 2 36 18.0 1 26 5
Mitchell Evans 2 22 11.0 0 17 2
Tommy Tremble 1 19 19.0 0 19 3
John Metchie III 3 14 4.7 0 6 3
Darren Waller 1 11 11.0 0 11 2
Brycen Tremayne 1 11 11.0 0 11 1
Total 23 209 9.1 1 26 35

Defense

Player TOT SOLO SACKS TFL PD QB HTS TD
Marco Wilson 8 6 0 0 2 0 0
Zakee Wheatley 7 4 0 0 1 0 0
Devin Lloyd 7 3 0 0 0 0 0
Tre’von Moehrig 5 4 0 0 0 0 0
Nick Scott 5 3 0 0 1 0 0
Bobby Okereke 5 3 0 0 0 0 0
Will Lee III 4 4 0 0 0 0 0
Tershawn Wharton 4 0 0 0 0 0 0
Patrick Jones II 3 3 0 1 0 0 0
Chau Smith-Wade 3 2 0 0 0 0 0
Derrick Brown 3 1 0 1 0 0 0
Aaron Hall 3 1 0 0 0 0 0
Jackson Kuwatch 2 2 0 0 0 0 0
Trevis Gipson 2 1 0 0 0 0 0
Princely Umanmielen 2 1 0 0 0 0 0
Lee Hunter 2 1 0 0 0 0 0
Tyrel Dodson 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
Brycen Tremayne 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
TeRah Edwards 1 1 0 0 1 0 0
Bryce Young 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
Jalen Coker 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
Malcolm DeWalt IV 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
Isaiah Simmons 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
Nick Hampton 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
Lathan Ransom 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
Bam Martin-Scott 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
Total 75 45 0 2 5 0 0

Green Bay Packers

Passing

Player C/ATT YDS AVG TD INT SACKS QBR RTG
Jordan Love 30/41 288 7.0 3 1 0-0 79.9 106.6
Total 30/41 288 7.0 3 1 0-0 — 106.6

Rushing

Player CAR YDS AVG TD LONG
Josh Jacobs 21 39 1.9 1 6
Savion Williams 1 18 18.0 0 18
MarShawn Lloyd 3 7 2.3 0 5
Pierre Strong Jr. 1 2 2.0 0 2
Total 26 66 2.5 1 18

Receiving

Player REC YDS AVG TD LONG TGTS
Christian Watson 8 113 14.1 0 53 10
Matthew Golden 7 79 11.3 1 24 13
Tucker Kraft 6 53 8.8 1 14 6
J. Michael Sturdivant 1 16 16.0 0 16 1
Josh Jacobs 6 13 2.2 1 5 6
MarShawn Lloyd 1 9 9.0 0 9 1
Savion Williams 1 5 5.0 0 5 2
Total 30 288 9.6 3 53 39

Defense

Player TOT SOLO SACKS TFL PD QB HTS TD
Evan Williams 10 7 0 0 0 0 0
Isaiah McDuffie 10 3 0 0 0 0 0
Ty’Ron Hopper 8 6 1 0 3 2 0
Lukas Van Ness 6 3 1 1 1 1 0
Chris McClellan 6 2 0 0 0 0 0
Barryn Sorrell 4 4 1 1 0 1 0
Javon Bullard 4 2 0 0 0 0 0
Dani Dennis-Sutton 3 2 1 2 1 1 0
Xavier McKinney 3 2 0 0 1 0 0
Brenton Cox Jr. 2 2 1 1 0 2 0
Devonte Wyatt 2 2 1 2 0 1 0
Keisean Nixon 2 2 0 0 0 0 0
Kamal Hadden 2 1 0 0 0 0 0
Brandon Cisse 2 0 0 0 2 0 0
Nick Niemann 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
Pierre Strong Jr. 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
Bo Melton 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
Anthony Campbell 1 1 0 0 0 1 0
Kristian Welch 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
Arron Mosby 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
Kitan Oladapo 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
Total 71 42 6 7 8 9 0

Attendance 76,957 · Officials: Scott Novak, John Jenkins, Mike Morton, Tony Josselyn, Mark Stewart, Don Willard, Brian Sakowski

Recap: Love throws 3 TD passes as the Packers beat the Panthers 27-19 (ESPN)

Play-by-play on ESPN

Betting trends

  • The over is 3-7 in Panthers’ last 10 games.
  • Packers have covered the spread in 4 straight games.
  • The under has hit in 4 straight Packers games.
  • The over is 3-7 in Packers’ last 10 games.

From each team’s last 10 games and recent meetings, against the closing line.

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Panthers vs Packers pre-game preview

The Thursday night market lists Green Bay as a 3.5-point favorite with a 47.5 total, down from the opener of Packers -7 and 45.5. The last meeting went to Carolina 16-13 on the road on November 2, 2025, and the last two head-to-head meetings are split 1-1. Carolina is 3-3 straight up and 3-3 against the spread this season, 4-6 and 5-5 ATS over its last 10, and most recently lost 13-43 to Tampa Bay. Green Bay is 4-3 straight up and 4-3 ATS, 4-6 and 5-5 ATS over its last 10, and most recently lost 17-20 at Detroit.

The clearest defensive split is on the ground: Carolina allows 153.2 rushing yards per game, ranked 32nd, while Green Bay allows 115, ranked 17th. Carolina’s pass defense is stronger at 208.2 yards allowed, ranked sixth, against Green Bay’s 222.6 ranked ninth. Among props, Darren Waller’s over 12.5 longest reception at -115 has cleared in 9 of his last 10, and MarShawn Lloyd’s over 5.5 rushing attempts at -110 has cleared in 6 of his last 7.

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Player stats and form

Season averages and each player’s last 5 games, newest first. Splits: per-game averages (games in brackets); vs the opponent covers this season and last, newest game first.

Carolina Panthers

Bryce Young QB233.5 pass yds · 1.6 TD per game
Date Opp CMP/ATT YDS TD INT RUSH
10/25 vs TB 14/27 163 1 2 9
10/18 @ PHI 20/39 281 2 0 6
10/5 vs DET 29/41 329 2 0 3
9/27 @ CLE 26/48 291 1 1 0
9/20 @ ATL 23/36 287 3 0 6
Splits Season Road 2025 vs GB
Pass yds 285.3 (6) 286.3 (3) 192.6 (17) 102.0 (1)
102
Pass TD 2.0 (6) 2.0 (3) 1.4 (17) 0.0 (1)
0

Chuba Hubbard RB49.3 rush yds · 2.0 rec per game
Date Opp ATT YDS TD REC REC YDS
10/25 vs TB 7 33 0 4 27
10/18 @ PHI 28 120 1 1 1
10/5 vs DET 20 122 2 1 7
9/27 @ CLE 19 82 0 4 28
9/20 @ ATL 12 53 0 2 11
Splits Season Road 2025 vs GB
Rush yds 76.5 (6) 85.0 (3) 34.8 (16) 17.0 (1)
17
Rec 2.5 (6) 2.3 (3) 2.0 (16) 0.0 (1)
0

Tetairoa McMillan WR4.9 rec · 72.1 yds per game
Date Opp TGT REC YDS TD
10/25 vs TB 6 4 40 0
10/18 @ PHI 9 6 86 0
10/5 vs DET 16 14 192 2
9/27 @ CLE 5 2 17 0
9/20 @ ATL 10 5 101 0
Splits Season Road 2025 vs GB
Rec 6.0 (6) 4.3 (3) 4.2 (18) 4.0 (1)
4
Rec yds 85.2 (6) 68.0 (3) 60.8 (18) 46.0 (1)
46

Jalen Coker WR4.1 rec · 52.1 yds per game
Date Opp TGT REC YDS TD
10/25 vs TB 4 1 9 0
10/18 @ PHI 13 6 97 0
9/27 @ CLE 4 2 18 0
9/20 @ ATL 9 8 66 0
9/13 vs CHI 9 8 138 2
Splits Season Road 2025 vs GB
Rec 5.0 (5) 5.3 (3) 3.5 (12) 1.0 (1)
1
Rec yds 65.6 (5) 60.3 (3) 44.0 (12) 9.0 (1)
9

Green Bay Packers

Jordan Love QB253.2 pass yds · 1.8 TD per game
Date Opp CMP/ATT YDS TD INT RUSH
10/25 @ DET 27/45 274 2 1 0
10/19 vs DAL 23/41 276 1 1 12
10/11 vs CHI 25/31 367 2 0 6
10/4 @ TB 22/30 197 2 1 -8
9/25 vs ATL 28/53 312 2 1 0
Splits Season Home 2025 vs CAR
Pass yds 279.7 (7) 318.3 (3) 231.5 (16) 273.0 (1)
273
Pass TD 1.9 (7) 1.7 (3) 1.7 (16) 0.0 (1)
0

Josh Jacobs RB59.4 rush yds · 2.5 rec per game
Date Opp ATT YDS TD REC REC YDS
10/25 @ DET 11 36 0 5 55
Splits Season Home 2025 vs CAR
Rush yds 36.0 (1) – 61.5 (16) 87.0 (1)
87
Rec 5.0 (1) – 2.3 (16) 4.0 (1)
4

Christian Watson WR4.1 rec · 70.6 yds per game
Date Opp TGT REC YDS TD
10/25 @ DET 8 5 57 0
10/19 vs DAL 8 3 64 0
10/11 vs CHI 8 6 143 2
10/4 @ TB 3 3 47 0
9/25 vs ATL 10 7 96 1
Splits Season Home 2025 vs CAR
Rec 4.9 (7) 5.3 (3) 3.5 (11) 2.0 (1)
2
Rec yds 85.0 (7) 101.0 (3) 58.8 (11) 58.0 (1)
58

Tucker Kraft TE4.1 rec · 50.7 yds per game
Date Opp TGT REC YDS TD
10/25 @ DET 6 4 48 1
10/19 vs DAL 8 5 37 0
10/11 vs CHI 5 5 64 0
10/4 @ TB 7 6 42 1
9/25 vs ATL 8 4 26 0
Splits Season Home 2025 vs CAR
Rec 4.1 (7) 4.7 (3) 4.0 (8) 2.0 (1)
2
Rec yds 42.4 (7) 42.3 (3) 61.1 (8) 20.0 (1)
20

Records

Team Record ATS O/U Home Away
Panthers 3-3 3-3 3-3 1-2 2-1
Packers 4-3 4-3 2-5 2-1 2-2

This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.

Panthers vs Packers head-to-head

Panthers are 1-1 in the last 2 meetings. Last time: Panthers won 16-13 on November 2, 2025.

Date Venue Panthers result ATS O/U
Nov 2, 25 Packers home W 16-13 – –
Dec 24, 23 Panthers home L 30-33 – –

Recent form

Carolina Panthers: last 10 (4-6, 5-5 ATS, O/U 3-7)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Oct 25, 26 vs TB L 13-43 L -3 O 44.5
Oct 18, 26 @ PHI W 25-14 W -3 U 39.5
Oct 4, 26 vs DET W 32-26 W +3.5 O 52.5
Sep 27, 26 @ CLE L 18-21 L -2.5 U 41.5
Sep 20, 26 @ ATL W 34-3 W -2.5 U 43.5
Sep 13, 26 vs CHI L 37-59 L +3 O 47.5
Jan 3, 26 @ TB L 14-16 W +3 U 42.5
Dec 28, 25 vs SEA L 10-27 L +6.5 U 42.5
Dec 21, 25 vs TB W 23-20 W +3 U 44.5
Dec 14, 25 @ NO L 17-20 L -2.5 U 41.5

Green Bay Packers: last 10 (4-6, 5-5 ATS, O/U 3-7)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Oct 25, 26 @ DET L 17-20 W +3.5 U 55.5
Oct 18, 26 vs DAL W 23-13 W +1.5 U 54.5
Oct 11, 26 vs CHI W 31-7 W +1.5 U 46.5
Oct 4, 26 @ TB W 17-14 W -2.5 U 38.5
Sep 24, 26 vs ATL L 14-35 L -4.5 O 43.5
Sep 20, 26 @ NYJ W 20-17 L -3.5 U 44.5
Sep 13, 26 @ MIN L 22-39 L +2.5 O 46.5
Jan 4, 26 @ MIN L 3-16 W +13.5 U 37.5
Dec 27, 25 vs BAL L 24-41 L -2.5 O 37.5
Dec 20, 25 @ CHI L 16-22 L +1.5 U 44.5

Injury report

Carolina Panthers

  • Ikem Ekwonu (OT): PUP-R, Coach Dave Canales said Monday that Ekwonu
  • Nic Scourton (LB): IR, The Panthers placed Scourton
  • Brady Christensen (G): IR, The Panthers placed Christensen
  • Cam Jackson (DT): IR, The Panthers placed Jackson
  • Jonathon Brooks (RB): IR, Brooks
  • Xavier Legette (WR): IR, The Panthers placed Legette
  • Mike Jackson (CB): IR, Head coach Dave Canales said Wednesday that Jackson
  • Jaycee Horn (CB): IR, The Panthers placed Horn
  • Thomas Incoom (LB): IR, The Panthers placed Incoom
  • Jaelan Phillips (LB): Out, Phillips
  • Taylor Moton (OT): IR, The Panthers placed Moton
  • Damien Lewis (G): Out, Lewis
  • Akayleb Evans (CB): IR, Evans
  • AJ Dillon (RB): Out, Dillon
  • Haynes King (QB): Out, King
  • Ja’Tavion Sanders (TE): Out, Sanders
  • Chris Brazzell II (WR): IR
  • Torricelli Simpkins III (G): Out, Simpkins
  • Bobby Brown III (DT): Out, Brown

Green Bay Packers

  • Luke Musgrave (TE): PUP-R, Packers head coach Matt Lafleur said Thursday it’s "tough to say" whether Musgrave
  • Micah Parsons (DE): PUP-R, Packers head coach Matt LaFleur said Tuesday that Parsons
  • Collin Oliver (DE): IR-R, Oliver is dealing with Achilles and calf injuries
  • Thomas Yassmin (TE): IR, Green Bay reverted Yassmin
  • Zach Bako-Bewele (OT): IR, The Packers placed Bako-Bewele
  • Edgerrin Cooper (LB): IR, Cooper
  • Chris Brooks (RB): IR, The Packers placed Brooks
  • Zaire Franklin (LB): Out, inactive
  • Sean Rhyan (G): Out, inactive
  • Kaleb Johnson (RB): Out, Johnson
  • Jonnu Smith (TE): Out, Smith
  • Johnathan Baldwin II (S): IR, ir
  • Warren Brinson (DT): IR, Green Bay placed Brinson
  • Jayden Reed (WR): IR, The Packers are expected to place Reed
  • Skyy Moore (WR): IR, The Packers placed Moore
  • Javon Hargrave (DT): IR, The Packers placed Hargrave
  • Jonathan Ford (DT): IR, The Packers placed Ford
  • Jacob Monk (C): IR, The Packers placed Monk
  • Travis Glover (OT): Out, inactive
  • Donovan Jennings (G): Out, inactive

Matchup ranks

What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.

Panthers defense Packers defense
Points allowed per game 27.6 (28th of 32) 20.5 (9th of 32)
Passing yards allowed per game 219.6 (8th of 32) 220.9 (9th of 32)
Rushing yards allowed per game 140.7 (30th of 32) 110.9 (16th of 32)
Receptions allowed per game 21.6 (16th of 32) 22.6 (22nd of 32)

Venue and weather

Lambeau Field · Green Bay, WIOutdoor
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Panthers vs Packers odds

Line movement from the open

Line Open Close Move
Packers spread -7 -3.5 +3.5
Total 45.5 47.5 +2
Panthers moneyline +260 +154 +11.6% win chance
Packers moneyline -325 -185 -11.6% win chance

DraftKings opening and closing numbers via ESPN.

Line movement chart

Packers spread -3.5 → -3.5
Total 47.5 → 47.5
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More on these teams: Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions Oct 25 · Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers Oct 25 · All NFL prop picks

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