Islanders vs Stars Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Oct 25, 2026)

by
NHL Prop Picks Today, October 23, 2026 (Data-Backed)
New York Islanders logo

Islanders5-5 · 6-4 ATS12th in the East
FINAL3 – 6
Dallas Stars logo

Stars6-4 · 4-6 ATS7th in the West

NHL · Sunday, October 25, 2026 · 6:00 PM ET · American Airlines Center

Final score by period

Team 1 2 3 T
Islanders 1 2 0 3
Stars 2 1 3 6

How the bets settled

MoneylineStars wonClosed at -185
SpreadStars coveredStars -1.5, by 1.5
TotalOver 5.59 scored, 3.5 over

Closing line, DraftKings.

Game review

Dallas beat the New York Islanders 6-3, and the game was decided in the third period when the Stars scored all three goals after the teams were tied through two. Jason Robertson led Dallas with two goals and two points, and Roope Hintz added two assists. Matthew Schaefer scored for New York, while Bo Horvat had two assists and two points.

Dallas controlled the shot count and won the special teams battle, converting half its power plays while New York did not score on three chances. The Islanders had more hits, takeaways and faceoff wins, but those edges did not offset Dallas’s shot advantage and power-play goal.

For bettors, the closing spread of Stars -1.5 covered by 1.5, and the closing total of 5.5 went over by 3.5.

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Against the spread, start to finish

StarsIslanders
The score margin against the closing spread (Stars -1.5). Blue: Stars covering. Orange: Islanders covering.
+1.5Largest NYI cover
83%NYI covering
+1.5Largest DAL cover
17%DAL covering

Top performers

Islanders

  • GoalsMatthew Schaefer1
  • AssistsBo Horvat2
  • PointsBo Horvat2

Stars

  • GoalsJason Robertson2
  • AssistsRoope Hintz2
  • PointsJason Robertson2

Team stats

IslandersStars
19Shots38
55.0%Faceoffs won45.0%
0Power play goals1
29Hits9
13Blocked shots13
4Takeaways1
17Giveaways13
6Penalty minutes8

Box score

New York IslandersDallas Stars

New York Islanders

Forwards

Player G A SOG S +/- TOI SHFT HT BS TK GV PIM FO%
Mitchell Chaffee RW 0 0 0 0 0 11:22 18 2 0 0 1 2 0.0
Casey Cizikas C 0 0 0 0 0 11:27 18 2 0 0 1 0 50.0
Anthony Duclair LW 0 1 0 1 -1 14:37 23 1 0 0 0 0 0.0
Victor Eklund RW 0 0 0 0 0 14:23 20 4 1 0 0 0 0.0
Emil Heineman LW 0 1 0 0 -2 15:00 22 4 2 0 0 0 0.0
Simon Holmstrom RW 0 0 0 1 0 18:57 23 0 1 0 2 0 0.0
Bo Horvat C 0 2 0 2 0 19:18 24 0 2 0 0 0 58.3
Kyle MacLean C 0 0 0 0 0 10:37 16 3 0 0 0 0 0.0
Jean-Gabriel Pageau C 0 0 0 2 0 13:21 22 1 0 0 1 0 50.0
Ondrej Palat LW 0 0 0 2 0 15:17 21 2 0 0 2 0 0.0
Kyle Palmieri C 1 0 0 3 -1 16:58 19 0 1 0 2 0 0.0
Brayden Schenn C 1 0 0 2 -2 16:10 22 5 1 0 1 0 62.5

Defenses

Player G A SOG S +/- TOI SHFT HT BS TK GV PIM FO%
Tony DeAngelo D 0 0 0 0 -2 17:14 23 0 0 3 2 0 0.0
Matthew Kessel D 0 0 0 2 0 14:02 18 0 0 1 0 0 0.0
Adam Pelech D 0 0 0 2 0 19:23 28 2 1 0 1 2 0.0
Ryan Pulock D 0 1 0 0 -1 19:06 26 2 2 0 1 0 0.0
Matthew Schaefer D 1 0 0 1 0 26:16 25 0 1 0 3 0 0.0
Logan Stanley D 0 0 0 1 -1 20:51 24 1 1 0 0 2 0.0

Goalies

Player GA SA SOS SOSA SV SV% ESSV PPSV SHSV TOI YTDG PIM
Ilya Sorokin G 6 38 0 0 32 .842 31 0 1 59:56 0 0

Dallas Stars

Forwards

Player G A SOG S +/- TOI SHFT HT BS TK GV PIM FO%
Jamie Benn LW 0 1 0 1 1 12:15 17 0 0 0 2 0 0.0
Colin Blackwell C 0 0 0 4 0 10:18 14 2 0 0 0 0 100.0
Roope Hintz C 0 2 0 2 2 16:17 22 0 0 0 0 0 16.7
Justin Hryckowian C 1 0 0 2 0 13:54 17 0 0 0 0 0 40.0
Dylan Hryckowian RW 0 0 0 1 1 10:03 13 0 0 0 0 0 0.0
Arttu Hyry RW 0 0 0 3 1 16:01 22 0 0 0 0 0 54.5
Wyatt Johnston C 1 1 0 2 -1 20:15 20 2 1 0 1 0 40.0
Joel Kiviranta LW 0 1 0 2 1 13:08 17 2 1 0 0 0 0.0
Mikko Rantanen RW 1 0 0 2 1 18:52 18 0 0 0 0 0 100.0
Jason Robertson LW 2 0 0 3 0 18:58 21 0 2 0 1 0 0.0
Tyler Seguin C 1 1 0 2 0 14:52 19 0 0 0 2 0 60.0
Matthew Seminoff RW 0 0 0 2 0 8:53 13 1 0 0 0 0 0.0

Defenses

Player G A SOG S +/- TOI SHFT HT BS TK GV PIM FO%
Lian Bichsel D 0 1 0 0 4 18:10 20 1 1 0 2 2 0.0
Kyle Capobianco D 0 0 0 2 0 15:01 22 0 1 0 0 2 0.0
Thomas Harley D 0 1 0 3 -1 24:43 26 1 4 0 3 0 0.0
Miro Heiskanen D 0 0 0 4 -2 21:56 26 0 0 0 0 2 0.0
Nils Lundkvist D 0 1 0 0 4 18:20 21 0 1 0 2 2 0.0
Tyler Myers D 0 0 0 3 -1 20:04 24 0 2 1 0 0 0.0

Goalies

Player GA SA SOS SOSA SV SV% ESSV PPSV SHSV TOI YTDG PIM
Jake Oettinger G 3 19 0 0 16 .842 13 1 2 60:00 0 0

Attendance 18,532 · Officials: Kelly Sutherland, Jonny Murray, Joe Mahon, Graedy Hamilton

Recap: Jason Robertson scores twice to help the Stars beat the Islanders 6-3 (ESPN)

Highlights

Play-by-play on ESPN

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this game. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Betting trends

  • The under has hit in 5 straight Islanders games.
  • The over is 3-7 in Islanders’ last 10 games.
  • The under has hit in 10 straight Stars games.
  • The over is 0-10 in Stars’ last 10 games.

From each team’s last 10 games and recent meetings, against the closing line.

Trade Islanders vs Stars on PolymarketPrediction-market prices on the game and player props, often sharper than a sportsbook’s.

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Islanders vs Stars pre-game preview

The betting market makes Dallas a -198 moneyline favorite, with the Stars at -1.5 and the total at 5.5. The opening line was also Dallas -1.5 with a 5.5 total.

The last meeting went to New York, 2-1 at home on March 26, 2026. Over their last 10, the Islanders are 5-5 and 6-4 against the spread, while Dallas is 6-4 and 4-6 against the spread. Dallas has gone 0-10 on the over/under in that span.

The most useful angle is Dallas’s defense: the Stars rank first in goals allowed (1.6), shots allowed (22) and points allowed (4.3), while New York ranks third in goals allowed (2.2). Dallas also lists Matt Duchene out approximately three months after core surgery, plus Esa Lindell, Cameron Hughes and Oskar Bäck on injured reserve. Pace is another factor, as Dallas ranks 32nd at 48.7 and New York 26th at 52.2.

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Records

Team Record ATS O/U Home Away
Islanders 5-5 6-4 3-7 4-2 1-3
Stars 6-4 4-6 0-10 3-2 3-2

This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.

Islanders vs Stars head-to-head

Islanders are 4-2, 2-1 ATS, O/U 0-3 in the last 6 meetings. Last time: Islanders won 2-1 on March 26, 2026.

Date Venue Islanders result ATS O/U
Mar 26, 26 Islanders home W 2-1 W +1.5 U 5.5
Nov 18, 25 Stars home W 3-2 – –
Feb 23, 25 Islanders home L 3-4 – –
Oct 12, 24 Stars home L 0-3 – –
Feb 26, 24 Stars home W 3-2 W +1.5 U 5.5
Jan 21, 24 Islanders home W 3-2 L -1.5 U 5.5

Recent form

New York Islanders: last 10 (5-5, 6-4 ATS, O/U 3-7)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Oct 22, 26 vs LA L 2-3 W +1.5 U 5.5
Oct 20, 26 vs ANA W 3-2 L -1.5 U 5.5
Oct 17, 26 @ TOR W 4-1 W +1.5 U 6.5
Oct 15, 26 @ OTT L 1-2 W +1.5 U 5.5
Oct 13, 26 vs VAN W 3-2 L -1.5 U 5.5
Oct 10, 26 vs TB L 3-5 L +1.5 O 5.5
Oct 8, 26 vs CHI W 4-1 W -1.5 U 5.5
Oct 6, 26 @ NYR L 2-5 L +1.5 O 5.5
Oct 3, 26 vs NJ W 6-0 W +1.5 O 5.5
Sep 30, 26 @ TOR L 1-2 W +1.5 U 5.5

Dallas Stars: last 10 (6-4, 4-6 ATS, O/U 0-10)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Oct 22, 26 vs WPG W 3-2 L -1.5 U 5.5
Oct 20, 26 vs BOS W 3-2 L -1.5 U 5.5
Oct 17, 26 @ CHI W 4-0 W -1.5 U 5.5
Oct 14, 26 @ COL W 3-2 W +1.5 U 5.5
Oct 13, 26 vs COL L 2-3 L -1.5 U 5.5
Oct 10, 26 @ PIT L 1-2 L -1.5 U 6.5
Oct 8, 26 @ BUF W 4-0 W -1.5 U 6.5
Oct 5, 26 vs SJ W 5-0 W -1.5 U 6.5
Oct 3, 26 @ NSH L 1-2 L -1.5 U 6.5
Oct 2, 26 vs STL L 0-4 L -1.5 U 5.5

Injury report

No injuries listed for either team in our data as of 5:00 PM ET.

Matchup ranks

What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.

Islanders defense Stars defense
Goals allowed per game 2.71 (5th of 32) 2.14 (1st of 32)
Shots on goal allowed per game 26.21 (11th of 32) 22.29 (1st of 32)
Points allowed per game 7.29 (6th of 32) 5.93 (2nd of 32)
Power-play points allowed per game 1.5 (7th of 32) 0.64 (1st of 32)

Venue and weather

American Airlines Center · Dallas, TXIndoor, weather won’t matter
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Islanders vs Stars odds

Line movement from the open

Line Open Close Move
Stars spread -1.5 -1.5 –
Total 5.5 5.5 –
Islanders moneyline +170 +154 +2.3% win chance
Stars moneyline -205 -185 -2.3% win chance

DraftKings opening and closing numbers via ESPN.

Line movement chart

Stars spread -1.5 → -1.5
Total 5.5 → 5.5
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More on these teams: New Jersey Devils vs Dallas Stars Oct 27 · New York Islanders vs Nashville Predators Oct 27 · All NHL prop picks

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