Kings vs Pelicans Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Oct 29, 2026)

Sacramento Kings logo

Kings0-4 · 1-3 ATS15th in the West
FINAL120 – 132
New Orleans Pelicans logo

Pelicans0-4 · 2-2 ATS11th in the West

NBA · Thursday, October 29, 2026 · 8:00 PM ET · Smoothie King Center

Final score by quarter

Team 1 2 3 4 T
Kings 30 31 27 32 120
Pelicans 24 39 39 30 132

How the bets settled

MoneylinePelicans wonClosed at -238
SpreadPelicans coveredPelicans -6.5, by 5.5
TotalOver 234.5252 scored, 17.5 over

Closing line, DraftKings.

Game review

New Orleans beat Sacramento 132-120 on October 29, taking control in the second quarter and pulling away in the third. The game swung after the opening period, when the Pelicans outscored the Kings in each of the next two quarters and built a lead that held.

Jeremiah Fears led New Orleans with 22 points, 13 assists and 8 rebounds. Darius Acuff Jr. had 34 points and 14 assists for Sacramento, while Domantas Sabonis grabbed 15 rebounds. The team stats explain the result: New Orleans shot 59 percent from the field to Sacramento’s 52, scored 80 paint points to 62, and used 18 steals and 25 Kings turnovers for 40 points off turnovers.

For bettors, Pelicans -6.5 covered by 5.5, and the 234.5 total went over by 17.5. StatsBench’s posted picks both won: Precious Achiuwa’s OVER 18.5 PTS+REB hit with 33, and Trey Murphy III’s OVER 4.5 REB hit with 5.

How our picks did

  • Precious Achiuwa OVER 18.5 PTS+REB (-110): WON (33)
  • Trey Murphy III OVER 4.5 REB (-115): WON (5)

The poster on X · Every posted pick, graded

The next NBA slate is on the boardLines, hit rates and the best price across 30+ books for the games still to come. Free daily preview, no account needed. Pro unlocks the full board.

Against the spread, start to finish

PelicansKings
The score margin against the closing spread (Pelicans -6.5). Blue: Pelicans covering. Orange: Kings covering.
+14.5Largest SAC cover
53%SAC covering
+12.5Largest NO cover
47%NO covering

Win probability

PelicansKings
Blue: Pelicans favored. Orange: Kings favored. ESPN’s in-game win probability, start to finish.

Top performers

Kings

  • PointsDarius Acuff Jr.34
  • AssistsDarius Acuff Jr.14
  • ReboundsDomantas Sabonis15

Pelicans

  • PointsJeremiah Fears22
  • AssistsJeremiah Fears13
  • ReboundsJeremiah Fears8

Team stats

KingsPelicans
52%FG%59%
32%3P%34%
80%FT%69%
40Rebounds38
31Assists32
62Points in the paint80
29Fast break points34
25Turnovers20
11Steals18
2Blocks6
8Biggest lead19

Box score

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN PTS FG 3PT FT REB AST TO STL BLK OREB DREB PF +/-
Domantas Sabonis F 40 9 4-7 0-0 1-2 15 7 7 2 1 2 13 4 -12
De’Andre Hunter F 37 24 7-13 4-8 6-6 5 1 3 0 0 0 5 1 -9
Precious Achiuwa F 41 24 12-17 0-2 0-1 9 2 1 4 0 2 7 5 +1
Zach LaVine G 39 21 7-17 3-10 4-6 3 5 3 3 1 2 1 2 -25
Darius Acuff Jr. G 41 34 13-26 3-11 5-5 6 14 6 0 0 1 5 4 +3
Bench
Alex Karaban F 12 6 2-3 2-3 0-0 0 0 3 1 0 0 0 3 -10
Malik Monk G 8 2 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 2 0 0 0 1 0 -13
Nique Clifford G 4 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -8
Emanuel Sharp G 18 0 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 2 +13
Leaky Black Did not play: Coach’s decision
Jonathan Mogbo Did not play: Coach’s decision
Daeqwon Plowden Did not play: Coach’s decision
Total 120 46-88 12-37 16-20 40 31 25 11 2 7 33 22

Team shooting: FG 52% · 3PT 32% · FT 80%

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN PTS FG 3PT FT REB AST TO STL BLK OREB DREB PF +/-
Herbert Jones F 32 16 7-12 0-3 2-3 4 1 3 2 0 0 4 4 +27
Zion Williamson F 31 22 10-12 0-0 2-4 6 2 3 5 1 0 6 0 +5
Trey Murphy III F 32 19 6-12 2-7 5-8 5 3 0 1 0 1 4 2 +4
Karlo Matkovic F 28 12 4-7 1-4 3-4 4 1 2 3 1 0 4 2 +5
Jeremiah Fears G 29 22 9-16 3-5 1-3 8 13 3 2 4 1 7 2 +3
Bench
Saddiq Bey F 24 10 3-7 1-2 3-3 4 3 1 0 0 2 2 0 -8
Trendon Watford F 17 8 2-3 0-1 4-5 1 2 1 3 0 0 1 3 +7
Derik Queen C 22 9 4-7 1-2 0-0 2 3 4 1 0 0 2 0 +8
Bryce McGowens G 6 4 2-3 0-1 0-0 1 2 1 1 0 0 1 0 0
Bennedict Mathurin G 19 10 3-6 2-4 2-2 3 2 2 0 0 1 2 0 +9
Julian Reese Did not play: Coach’s decision
DeAndre Jordan Did not play: Coach’s decision
AJ Johnson Did not play: Coach’s decision
Total 132 50-85 10-29 22-32 38 32 20 18 6 5 33 13

Team shooting: FG 59% · 3PT 34% · FT 69%

Attendance 15,442 · Officials: Josh Tiven, Gediminas Petraitis, Chelisa Painter

Recap: Jeremiah Fears leads Pelicans past Kings for first win of the season (ESPN)

Highlights

Play-by-play on ESPN

Betting trends

From each team’s last 10 games and recent meetings, against the closing line.

Trade Kings vs Pelicans on PolymarketPrediction-market prices on the game and player props, often sharper than a sportsbook’s.

Polymarket

Affiliate link: StatsBench may earn a commission if you sign up. 18+ (21+ where required); availability depends on where you live.

Kings vs Pelicans pre-game preview

The market makes New Orleans a -210 moneyline favorite, laying 5.5 points with a 237.5 total. The teams last met April 3, 2026, when Sacramento won 117-113 at home.

Sacramento is 0-4 straight up and 1-3 ATS this season, and 3-7 straight up and 6-4 ATS over its last 10. Its most recent game was a 103-130 loss at San Antonio. New Orleans is 0-4 straight up and 2-2 ATS this season, and 1-9 straight up and 4-6 ATS over its last 10. It most recently lost 91-104 to Denver.

The defense and pace matchup is the main angle: Sacramento allows 125.5 points (28th) and New Orleans allows 128 (29th), and New Orleans plays at the third-fastest pace (105.4). In the props market, StatsBench projects Trey Murphy III for 5.8 rebounds against a 4.5 line, though he has cleared that number in 33.3% of three games against Sacramento.

The next NBA slate is on the boardLines, hit rates and the best price across 30+ books for the games still to come. Free daily preview, no account needed. Pro unlocks the full board.

Player stats and form

Season averages and each player’s last 4 games, newest first. Splits: per-game averages (games in brackets); vs the opponent covers this season and last, newest game first.

Sacramento Kings

Zach LaVine SG27.3 PTS · 3.5 REB · 3.3 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
10/27 @ SAS 30 22 3 3 3
10/25 vs MEM 40 37 2 5 3
10/23 vs POR 39 22 5 1 3
10/21 @ LAC 34 28 4 4 3
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs NO
PTS 27.3 (4) 25.0 (2) 19.2 (39) –
REB 3.5 (4) 3.5 (2) 2.8 (39) –
AST 3.3 (4) 3.5 (2) 2.3 (39) –

Darius Acuff Jr. PG21.5 PTS · 2.8 REB · 4.8 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
10/27 @ SAS 33 19 3 5 3
10/25 vs MEM 36 22 3 7 2
10/23 vs POR 36 33 2 4 2
10/21 @ LAC 34 12 3 3 0
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs NO
PTS 21.5 (4) 15.5 (2) – –
REB 2.8 (4) 3.0 (2) – –
AST 4.8 (4) 4.0 (2) – –

Domantas Sabonis C19.0 PTS · 16.5 REB · 7.3 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
10/27 @ SAS 37 20 14 8 0
10/25 vs MEM 34 15 15 3 0
10/23 vs POR 38 27 19 10 1
10/21 @ LAC 33 14 18 8 0
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs NO
PTS 19.0 (4) 17.0 (2) 15.8 (19) –
REB 16.5 (4) 16.0 (2) 11.4 (19) –
AST 7.3 (4) 8.0 (2) 4.1 (19) –

New Orleans Pelicans

Zion Williamson PF21.8 PTS · 3.5 REB · 2.3 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
10/28 vs DEN 31 25 5 2 1
10/24 @ DEN 32 17 1 2 0
10/23 @ UTA 33 23 5 2 0
10/21 vs IND 32 22 3 3 2
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs SAC
PTS 21.8 (4) 23.5 (2) 21.0 (62) 18.0 (3)
13 · 23 · 18
REB 3.5 (4) 4.0 (2) 5.7 (62) 6.7 (3)
6 · 9 · 5
AST 2.3 (4) 2.5 (2) 3.2 (62) 4.7 (3)
3 · 5 · 6

Dejounte Murray SG17.8 PTS · 5.8 REB · 6.0 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
10/28 vs DEN 30 10 8 5 0
10/24 @ DEN 34 22 6 6 1
10/23 @ UTA 30 16 6 6 0
10/21 vs IND 34 23 3 7 2
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs SAC
PTS 17.8 (4) 16.5 (2) 16.7 (14) –
REB 5.8 (4) 5.5 (2) 5.4 (14) –
AST 6.0 (4) 6.0 (2) 6.4 (14) –

Saddiq Bey SF14.0 PTS · 3.0 REB · 1.8 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
10/28 vs DEN 25 9 0 3 1
10/24 @ DEN 25 14 4 3 2
10/23 @ UTA 22 20 3 1 3
10/21 vs IND 23 13 5 0 2
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs SAC
PTS 14.0 (4) 11.0 (2) 17.7 (72) 17.3 (3)
20 · 20 · 12
REB 3.0 (4) 2.5 (2) 5.6 (72) 2.0 (3)
1 · 1 · 4
AST 1.8 (4) 1.5 (2) 2.5 (72) 1.3 (3)
3 · 0 · 1

Records

Team Record ATS O/U Home Away
Kings 0-4 1-3 3-1 0-2 0-2
Pelicans 0-4 2-2 3-1 0-2 0-2

This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.

Kings vs Pelicans head-to-head

Kings are 4-6, 1-2 ATS, O/U 1-2 in the last 10 meetings. Last time: Kings won 117-113 on April 3, 2026.

Date Venue Kings result ATS O/U
Apr 3, 26 Kings home W 117-113 W +6.5 U 232.5
Mar 5, 26 Kings home L 123-133 L +6.5 O 236.5
Feb 9, 26 Pelicans home L 94-120 L +9.5 U 229.5
Feb 13, 25 Pelicans home L 133-140 – –
Feb 12, 25 Pelicans home W 119-111 – –
Feb 8, 25 Kings home W 123-118 – –
Dec 12, 24 Pelicans home W 111-109 – –
Apr 11, 24 Kings home L 123-135 – –
Jan 7, 24 Kings home L 100-133 – –
Dec 4, 23 Kings home L 117-127 – –

Recent form

Sacramento Kings: last 10 (3-7, 6-4 ATS, O/U 7-3)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Oct 27, 26 @ SA L 103-130 L +19.5 O 232.5
Oct 25, 26 vs MEM L 112-123 L +3.5 O 234.5
Oct 23, 26 vs POR L 120-128 W +9.5 O 231.5
Oct 21, 26 @ LAC L 96-121 L +5.5 U 226.5
Apr 12, 26 @ POR L 110-122 W +18.5 O 226.5
Apr 10, 26 vs GS W 124-118 W +10.5 O 228.5
Apr 7, 26 @ GS L 105-110 W +14.5 U 233.5
Apr 5, 26 vs LAC L 109-138 L +13.5 O 228.5
Apr 3, 26 vs NO W 117-113 W +6.5 U 232.5
Apr 1, 26 @ TOR W 123-115 W +12.5 O 227.5

New Orleans Pelicans: last 10 (1-9, 4-6 ATS, O/U 6-4)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Oct 28, 26 vs DEN L 91-104 L +4.5 U 241.5
Oct 24, 26 @ DEN L 135-141 W +11.5 O 239.5
Oct 23, 26 @ UTAH L 119-120 W +1.5 O 238.5
Oct 21, 26 vs IND L 120-123 L +2.5 O 238.5
Apr 12, 26 @ MIN L 126-132 L +3.5 O 239.5
Apr 10, 26 @ BOS L 118-144 L +18.5 O 227.5
Apr 7, 26 vs UTAH W 156-137 W -6.5 O 242.5
Apr 5, 26 vs ORL L 108-112 W +6.5 U 236.5
Apr 3, 26 @ SAC L 113-117 L -6.5 U 232.5
Apr 2, 26 @ POR L 106-118 L +5.5 U 235.5

Injury report

Sacramento Kings

  • Dylan Cardwell (C): Out, Left Calf Strain
  • Maxime Raynaud (C): Out, Right Patella subluxation
  • Ben Simmons (PG): Out, Right Achilles Tendon Repair / Surgery
  • Keegan Murray (PF): Out, Left Ankle capsulitis
  • Sean Pedulla (PG): Out, G League – Two-Way

New Orleans Pelicans

  • Dejounte Murray (SG): Out, Personal Reasons
  • Yves Missi (C): Out, Left Knee Contusion / Bone Bruise
  • Jordan Poole (SG): Out, Left Ankle Sprain
  • Malik Dia (SF): Out, G League – Two-Way
  • Jaron Pierre Jr. (PG): Out, G League – Two-Way

Matchup ranks

What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.

Kings defense Pelicans defense
Pace (possessions) 102.8 (14th) 104.4 (10th)

Venue and weather

Smoothie King Center · New Orleans, LAIndoor, weather won’t matter
The next NBA slate is on the boardLines, hit rates and the best price across 30+ books for the games still to come. Free daily preview, no account needed. Pro unlocks the full board.

Kings vs Pelicans odds

Line movement from the open

Line Open Close Move
Pelicans spread -5.5 -6.5 -1
Total 237.5 234.5 -3
Kings moneyline +160 +195 -4.6% win chance
Pelicans moneyline -192 -238 +4.7% win chance

DraftKings opening and closing numbers via ESPN.

Line movement chart

Pelicans spread -5.5 → -6.5
Total 237.5 → 230.5
The next NBA slate is on the boardLines, hit rates and the best price across 30+ books for the games still to come. Free daily preview, no account needed. Pro unlocks the full board.

More on these teams: Sacramento Kings vs Memphis Grizzlies Oct 31 · Atlanta Hawks vs New Orleans Pelicans Oct 31 · Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans Oct 28 · Sacramento Kings vs San Antonio Spurs Oct 27 · All NBA prop picks

21+. Research, not a guarantee: every bet can lose. Bet within your means; if gambling stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Today's NBA picks

Collin GillespieOVER 0.5 steals · vs ORL
10/10
Brandon WilliamsOVER 0.5 stls blks · vs MIA
9/10
Oso IghodaroOVER 1.5 assists · vs ORL
9/10
All of today's NBA picks →
Today's prop boardHit rates, matchups and the best price across 30+ books. A free account opens the board. Pro unlocks all of it.

The morning slate, by email

Join the StatsBench DiscordPicks, results and prop talk, live on game days