Lakers vs Warriors Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Oct 30, 2026)

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NBA prop picks: today's featured picks
Los Angeles Lakers logo

Lakers4-1 · 3-2 ATS4th in the West
FINAL95 – 112
Golden State Warriors logo

Warriors2-3 · 3-2 ATS7th in the West

NBA · Friday, October 30, 2026 · 10:00 PM ET · Chase Center

Final score by quarter

Team 1 2 3 4 T
Lakers 38 15 27 15 95
Warriors 15 38 32 27 112

How the bets settled

MoneylineWarriors wonClosed at +124
SpreadWarriors coveredWarriors +2.5, by 19.5
TotalUnder 234.5207 scored, 27.5 under

Closing line, DraftKings.

Game review

Golden State beat Los Angeles 112-95 on October 30, flipping the game after trailing 38-15 through the first quarter. The Warriors erased that lead by halftime and pulled away in the second half, with the decisive swing coming in the second quarter and the finish controlled after the break.

Stephen Curry led Golden State with 31 points, Draymond Green had 9 assists and Brandin Podziemski grabbed 5 rebounds. Luka Doncic scored 37 with 5 assists for Los Angeles, and Walker Kessler pulled down 13 rebounds. The Warriors shot 48% from three to the Lakers’ 28% and posted 31 assists to 18, which explains the separation despite Los Angeles blocking more shots and scoring more in the paint.

Golden State covered the closing 2.5-point spread by 19.5, and the 234.5 total settled under by 27.5.

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Against the spread, start to finish

WarriorsLakers
The score margin against the closing spread (Warriors +2.5). Blue: Warriors covering. Orange: Lakers covering.
+22.5Largest LAL cover
66%LAL covering
+19.5Largest GS cover
34%GS covering

Win probability

WarriorsLakers
Blue: Warriors favored. Orange: Lakers favored. ESPN’s in-game win probability, start to finish.

Top performers

Lakers

  • PointsLuka Doncic37
  • AssistsLuka Doncic5
  • ReboundsWalker Kessler13

Warriors

  • PointsStephen Curry31
  • AssistsDraymond Green9
  • ReboundsBrandin Podziemski5

Team stats

LakersWarriors
40%FG%43%
28%3P%48%
75%FT%82%
45Rebounds44
18Assists31
36Points in the paint28
9Fast break points18
22Turnovers17
8Steals11
11Blocks5
25Biggest lead17

Box score

Los Angeles LakersGolden State Warriors

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN PTS FG 3PT FT REB AST TO STL BLK OREB DREB PF +/-
Jake LaRavia F 28 10 3-7 2-5 2-4 2 0 3 1 1 1 1 4 -11
Walker Kessler C 31 10 4-7 0-0 2-3 13 2 1 0 5 5 8 0 +3
Matisse Thybulle G 28 10 2-6 1-3 5-5 3 0 1 3 0 2 1 4 -1
Luka Doncic G 37 37 12-27 6-16 7-8 7 5 3 1 2 1 6 2 +9
Austin Reaves G 37 21 9-19 1-6 2-2 4 5 8 1 1 2 2 4 -13
Bench
Jarred Vanderbilt F 13 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 1 0 0 2 1 1 -8
Sandro Mamukelashvili F 20 4 2-6 0-2 0-0 7 0 1 1 1 1 6 1 -23
Collin Sexton G 16 0 0-6 0-3 0-0 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 4 -19
Quentin Grimes G 26 3 1-3 1-3 0-2 3 2 1 0 0 1 2 1 -13
Bronny James G 1 0 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3
Chris Manon G 1 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3
Jaden Hardy G 1 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3
Kevon Looney Did not play: Coach’s decision
AK Okereke Did not play: Coach’s decision
Total 95 33-82 11-39 18-24 45 18 20 8 11 16 29 21

Team shooting: FG 40% · 3PT 28% · FT 75%

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN PTS FG 3PT FT REB AST TO STL BLK OREB DREB PF +/-
Draymond Green F 32 2 1-3 0-2 0-0 4 9 1 3 1 1 3 1 +17
Gui Santos F 16 2 1-4 0-1 0-0 5 1 2 0 0 2 3 2 +9
Yaxel Lendeborg F 24 6 2-3 1-2 1-2 1 0 5 0 0 0 1 6 -20
Stephen Curry G 31 31 11-23 8-14 1-1 4 6 2 1 1 0 4 0 +19
Brandin Podziemski G 33 21 7-15 4-9 3-5 5 6 1 2 1 2 3 1 +7
Bench
Georges Niang F 19 11 4-5 3-3 0-0 5 1 1 0 1 2 3 2 +21
Malevy Leons F 0 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +2
Al Horford C 17 3 1-6 1-4 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -14
Charles Bassey C 9 6 2-4 0-1 2-2 4 1 1 0 1 2 2 1 +14
Gary Payton II G 8 2 1-5 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 2 0 3 1 1 0
De’Anthony Melton G 21 16 5-10 4-6 2-2 5 3 1 2 0 1 4 2 +9
Brandon Williams G 17 9 2-8 0-2 5-5 2 1 0 1 0 1 1 2 -1
LJ Cryer G 0 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 +2
Will Richard G 13 3 1-3 1-1 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 1 2 1 +20
Total 112 38-89 22-46 14-17 44 31 15 11 5 15 29 21

Team shooting: FG 43% · 3PT 48% · FT 82%

Attendance 18,064 · Officials: Tony Brothers, Jenna Schroeder, John Butler

Recap: Stephen Curry scores 31 points and outduels Luka Doncic as Warriors come back to beat Lakers 112-95 (ESPN)

Highlights

Play-by-play on ESPN

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this game. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Betting trends

  • Warriors have covered the spread in 3 straight games.
  • The over has hit in 3 straight Warriors games.
  • Warriors are 0-4 ATS as favorites in their last 10 games.
  • Lakers are 7-3 in the last 10 meetings with the Warriors.

From each team’s last 10 games and recent meetings, against the closing line.

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Lakers vs Warriors pre-game preview

Los Angeles is the moneyline favorite at -128, with Golden State at +115 and receiving 2.5 points in a game carrying a 234.5 total. The last meeting went to the Lakers, 127-105 at home on October 21. Los Angeles is 4-1 straight up and 3-2 against the spread this season, with a 7-3 and 6-4 ATS mark over its last 10. Golden State is 2-3 straight up and 3-2 ATS this season, and 3-7 with a 4-6 ATS record over its last 10. The Lakers are 7-3 straight up and 4-0 ATS in the last 10 head-to-head meetings.

The most useful angle may be Golden State’s injury list: Kristaps Porzingis, Jimmy Butler and Moses Moody are out, while Gui Santos is doubtful. On the prop side, Brandin Podziemski’s over 16.5 points has cleared in 8 of his last 10, and the StatsBench model projects 21.7.

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Player stats and form

Season averages and each player’s last 5 games, newest first. Splits: per-game averages (games in brackets); vs the opponent covers this season and last, newest game first.

Los Angeles Lakers

Luka Doncic PG36.0 PTS · 6.8 REB · 8.3 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
10/27 vs POR 36 41 5 9 6
10/25 @ UTA 38 52 8 10 8
10/23 vs LAC 37 23 6 7 2
10/21 vs GSW 29 28 8 7 5
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs GS
PTS 36.0 (4) 52.0 (1) 33.5 (64) 32.3 (3)
28 · 26 · 43
REB 6.8 (4) 8.0 (1) 7.7 (64) 8.7 (3)
8 · 6 · 12
AST 8.3 (4) 10.0 (1) 8.3 (64) 8.0 (3)
7 · 8 · 9

Austin Reaves SG24.4 PTS · 3.4 REB · 5.4 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
10/28 @ LAC 30 16 6 1 1
10/27 vs POR 39 26 4 7 4
10/25 @ UTA 35 29 1 4 4
10/23 vs LAC 38 28 2 9 3
10/21 vs GSW 31 23 4 6 1
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs GS
PTS 24.4 (5) 22.5 (2) 22.9 (57) 20.8 (4)
23 · 18 · 16 · 26
REB 3.4 (5) 3.5 (2) 4.6 (57) 3.8 (4)
4 · 1 · 5 · 5
AST 5.4 (5) 2.5 (2) 5.5 (57) 6.5 (4)
6 · 3 · 8 · 9

Walker Kessler C14.8 PTS · 8.2 REB · 1.0 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
10/28 @ LAC 26 11 9 1 0
10/27 vs POR 32 13 8 0 0
10/25 @ UTA 28 2 7 0 0
10/23 vs LAC 34 22 8 3 0
10/21 vs GSW 29 26 9 1 0
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs GS
PTS 14.8 (5) 6.5 (2) 14.4 (5) 26.0 (1)
26
REB 8.2 (5) 8.0 (2) 10.8 (5) 9.0 (1)
9
AST 1.0 (5) 0.5 (2) 3.0 (5) 1.0 (1)
1

Golden State Warriors

Stephen Curry PG28.8 PTS · 3.8 REB · 3.5 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
10/28 @ MIN 31 44 8 6 6
10/26 @ DEN 26 24 3 3 3
10/23 vs MEM 29 24 2 4 3
10/21 @ LAL 21 23 2 1 2
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs LAL
PTS 28.8 (4) 24.0 (1) 26.5 (45) 23.0 (2)
23 · 23
REB 3.8 (4) 2.0 (1) 3.5 (45) 1.5 (2)
2 · 1
AST 3.5 (4) 4.0 (1) 4.7 (45) 2.5 (2)
1 · 4

Yaxel Lendeborg SF22.6 PTS · 9.2 REB · 4.0 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
10/28 @ MIN 34 26 9 1 2
10/26 @ DEN 30 31 12 6 1
10/24 @ PHX 36 26 9 5 6
10/23 vs MEM 37 18 13 6 1
10/21 @ LAL 28 12 3 2 1
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs LAL
PTS 22.6 (5) 18.0 (1) – 12.0 (1)
12
REB 9.2 (5) 13.0 (1) – 3.0 (1)
3
AST 4.0 (5) 6.0 (1) – 2.0 (1)
2

Brandin Podziemski SG14.7 PTS · 4.7 REB · 4.7 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
10/28 @ MIN 31 8 5 6 0
10/26 @ DEN 32 18 7 5 3
10/23 vs MEM 32 18 2 3 2
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs LAL
PTS 14.7 (3) 18.0 (1) 14.0 (84) 11.8 (4)
17 · 9 · 14 · 7
REB 4.7 (3) 2.0 (1) 5.2 (84) 5.3 (4)
1 · 7 · 6 · 7
AST 4.7 (3) 3.0 (1) 3.6 (84) 3.3 (4)
1 · 6 · 4 · 2

Records

Team Record ATS O/U Home Away
Lakers 4-1 3-2 3-2 2-1 2-0
Warriors 2-3 3-2 3-2 0-1 2-2

This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.

Lakers vs Warriors head-to-head

Lakers are 7-3, 4-0 ATS, O/U 1-3 in the last 10 meetings. Last time: Lakers won 127-105 on October 21, 2026.

Date Venue Lakers result ATS O/U
Oct 21, 26 Lakers home W 127-105 W -6.5 U 233.5
Apr 9, 26 Warriors home W 119-103 W +1.5 U 222.5
Feb 28, 26 Warriors home W 129-101 W -3.5 O 225.5
Feb 7, 26 Lakers home W 105-99 W -1.5 U 220.5
Oct 21, 25 Lakers home L 109-119 – –
Apr 3, 25 Lakers home L 116-123 – –
Feb 6, 25 Lakers home W 120-112 – –
Jan 25, 25 Warriors home W 118-108 – –
Dec 25, 24 Warriors home W 115-113 – –
Apr 9, 24 Lakers home L 120-134 – –

Recent form

Los Angeles Lakers: last 10 (7-3, 6-4 ATS, O/U 4-6)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Oct 28, 26 @ LAC W 103-87 W +1.5 U 224.5
Oct 27, 26 vs POR L 129-136 L -1.5 O 234.5
Oct 25, 26 @ UTAH W 132-123 W -6.5 O 237.5
Oct 23, 26 vs LAC W 125-117 L -8.5 O 225.5
Oct 21, 26 vs GS W 127-105 W -6.5 U 233.5
Apr 12, 26 vs UTAH W 131-107 W -14.5 U 239.5
Apr 10, 26 vs PHX W 101-73 W +2.5 U 217.5
Apr 9, 26 @ GS W 119-103 W +1.5 U 222.5
Apr 7, 26 vs OKC L 87-123 L +17.5 U 221.5
Apr 5, 26 @ DAL L 128-134 L -1.5 O 234.5

Golden State Warriors: last 10 (3-7, 4-6 ATS, O/U 5-5)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Oct 28, 26 @ MIN W 119-114 W +3.5 O 227.5
Oct 26, 26 @ DEN W 134-114 W +6.5 O 236.5
Oct 24, 26 @ PHX L 122-131 W +9.5 O 221.5
Oct 23, 26 vs MEM L 108-111 L -4.5 U 236.5
Oct 21, 26 @ LAL L 105-127 L +6.5 U 233.5
Apr 12, 26 @ LAC L 110-115 L +3.5 U 229.5
Apr 10, 26 @ SAC L 118-124 L -10.5 O 228.5
Apr 9, 26 vs LAL L 103-119 L -1.5 U 222.5
Apr 7, 26 vs SAC W 110-105 L -14.5 U 233.5
Apr 5, 26 vs HOU L 116-117 W +3.5 O 227.5

Injury report

Los Angeles Lakers

  • Cameron Carr (PG): Out, Right Oblique Strain
  • Adou Thiero (SF): Out, Left Knee Injury Management
  • Ziaire Williams (SF): Out, Left Foot / Heel Injury Management

Golden State Warriors

  • Kristaps Porzingis (C): Out, Not With Team
  • Jimmy Butler (SF): Out, Right ACL Repair / Surgery
  • Moses Moody (SG): Out, Left Patellar Tendon Repair / Surgery

Matchup ranks

What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.

Lakers defense Warriors defense
Pace (possessions) 102.2 (10th) 102 (12th)

Venue and weather

Chase Center · San Francisco, CAIndoor, weather won’t matter
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Lakers vs Warriors odds

Line movement from the open

Line Open Close Move
Warriors spread +1.5 +2.5 +1
Total 234.5 234.5 –
Lakers moneyline -115 -148 +6.2% win chance
Warriors moneyline -105 +124 -6.6% win chance

DraftKings opening and closing numbers via ESPN.

Line movement chart

Warriors spread +2.5 → +3.5
Total 234.5 → 234.5
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More on these teams: Toronto Raptors vs Los Angeles Lakers Nov 1 · LA Clippers vs Golden State Warriors Nov 1 · Los Angeles Lakers vs LA Clippers Oct 28 · Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves Oct 28 · All NBA prop picks

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