Le Mans vs AS Monaco Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Nov 8, 2026)

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Ligue 1 prop picks: today's featured picks
Le Mans logo

Le Mans17th in Ligue 1
11:15 AM ETSun, Nov 8
AS Monaco logo

AS Monaco7th in Ligue 1

Ligue 1 · Sunday, November 8, 2026 · 11:15 AM ET

Result Moneyline
Le Mans +450
Draw +310
AS Monaco -160

Total goals 2.5: over -125 , under +104

Best price at bet365, BetRivers, Caesars, DraftKings, FanDuel and Fanatics, updated 11:14 AM ET.

Le Mans vs AS Monaco preview

Le Mans hosts AS Monaco on Sunday, November 8, 2026 at 11:15 AM ET in Ligue 1. Le Mans is +475 on the three-way moneyline, the draw is +310 and Monaco is the favorite at -160, with a total of 2.5.

Le Mans sits 17th with 7 points from 9 matches (W1 D4 L4) and recent form LDLLW. Monaco is 7th with 15 points (W4 D3 L2) and recent form LDLDW. Le Mans has conceded 2.00 per match with no clean sheets, and both teams scored in 78% of its matches while over 2.5 landed in 67%. Monaco concedes 1.11 per match and has kept clean sheets in 22%, and its confirmed XI lists Fati out with a hamstring injury and Salisu inactive.

A useful prop angle is Vanderson over 2.5 tackles at -130, which has cleared in 7 of his last 10. Le Mans also lists Bourabaa and Sidibe out with ankle and foot injuries in its confirmed XI.

Le Mans vs AS Monaco prediction

30%Le Mans
25%Draw
45%AS Monaco

The books imply 17% / 24% / 59%

1-1Most likely score12% chance
1.3 – 1.6Expected goals
54%Over 2.5 goals
57%Both teams to score

The numbers lean Monaco: the model gives Monaco 45% and Le Mans 30%, while the books imply 59% and 17%, so both favor Monaco but the books are stronger. Le Mans sit 17th with 7 points and concede 2.00 per match, and they are missing Bourabaa and Sidibe; Monaco are 7th with 15 points and concede 1.11.

A Poisson estimate from each club’s scoring and conceding rates this season, overall and at home or away (9 and 9 matches). It does not know about lineups or injuries, and it is a research estimate, not a guarantee.

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this match. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Top Le Mans vs AS Monaco player props

Player Prop Best price Last 10 Last 5
Vanderson Monaco Over 2.5 tackles -130 DraftKings 70% (7/10) 100%
Mohammed Salisu Monaco Over 1.5 tackles -145 DraftKings 70% (7/10) 60%
Denis Zakaria Monaco Over 0.5 shots -175 bet365 70% (7/10) 60%
L. Mafouta Le Mans Over 0.5 shots on target -145 Fanatics 66.7% (6/9) 60%
Aleksandr Golovin Monaco Over 1.5 tackles -145 DraftKings 60% (6/10) 60%

Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent matches. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 11:14 AM ET.

The rest of the Le Mans vs AS Monaco propsHit rates, matchups and the best price across 30+ books. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
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J. TezeOver 0.5 shots5/10
Mamadou CoulibalyOver 1.5 fouls won5/10
N. BoisséOver 0.5 yellow card4/8

Key matchups

From the confirmed lineups: each winger against the full-back he faces, the strikers against the centre-backs. Each white tick marks the league average per match. The lower bars show how often the player cleared the line over his recent matches, green at 70% or better.

Buades vs Nazinho

BuadesWinger, Le Mans
VS
NazinhoFull-back, AS Monaco
0.8Shots vs tackles1.4
Shots over 0.52/5avg 0.8 · -118BetRivers
Shots on target over 0.52/5avg 0.4 · +333bet365
Fouls committed over 0.57/9avg 1.4 · -350DraftKings
Tackles over 1.55/9avg 1.4 · -205DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.53/9avg 0.3 · +225Fanatics

Nazinho has the edge in fouls committed with a 1.4 average and frequent clears, while Buades’ low shot volume points the matchup toward Nazinho’s fouls prop rather than Buades’ shooting props.

Calodat vs Vanderson

CalodatWinger, Le Mans
VS
VandersonFull-back, AS Monaco
Good matchup for CalodatVanderson gives away 1.5 fouls a match, 73% more than the average defender (0.9). Calodat draws 0.7, which points to about 1.2 fouls drawn here, against a line of 0.5.
0.7Fouls drawn vs given1.5
0.6Shots vs tackles3.3
Fouls won over 0.54/9avg 0.7 · -230DraftKings
Shots over 0.54/9avg 0.6 · +105BetRivers
Shots on target over 0.54/9avg 0.6 · +350BetRivers
Fouls committed over 1.54/10avg 1.5 · -135DraftKings
Tackles over 2.57/10avg 3.3 · -130DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.53/10avg 0.3 · +285DraftKings

Mafouta vs Sane and Dier

MafoutaStriker, Le Mans
VS
SaneCentre-back, AS Monaco
DierCentre-back, AS Monaco
Even matchupSane and Dier give away 0.8 fouls a match, 13% less than the average defender (0.9). Mafouta draws 1.0, which points to about 0.9 fouls drawn here, against a line of 0.5.
1.0Fouls drawn vs given0.8
2.0Shots vs tackles0.9
Fouls won over 0.56/9avg 1 · -230DraftKings
Shots over 2.53/9avg 2 · +155Fanatics
Shots on target over 0.56/9avg 1.2 · -145Fanatics
Fouls committed over 0.56/10avg 0.7 · -220DraftKings
Tackles over 1.52/10avg 1 · -175DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.50/10avg 0 · +330DraftKings
Fouls committed over 0.56/10avg 0.8 · -270DraftKings
Tackles over 1.54/10avg 0.9 · +115DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.50/10avg 0 · +500DraftKings

Gueye vs Sane and Dier

GueyeStriker, Le Mans
VS
SaneCentre-back, AS Monaco
DierCentre-back, AS Monaco
Even matchupSane and Dier give away 0.8 fouls a match, 13% less than the average defender (0.9). Gueye only draws 0.3, which points to about 0.3 fouls drawn here, against a line of 1.5.
0.3Fouls drawn vs given0.8
1.1Shots vs tackles0.9
Fouls won over 1.50/9avg 0.3 · +125DraftKings
Shots over 1.54/9avg 1.1 · -115Fanatics
Shots on target over 0.52/9avg 0.2 · -105FanDuel
Fouls committed over 0.56/10avg 0.7 · -220DraftKings
Tackles over 1.52/10avg 1 · -175DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.50/10avg 0 · +330DraftKings
Fouls committed over 0.56/10avg 0.8 · -270DraftKings
Tackles over 1.54/10avg 0.9 · +115DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.50/10avg 0 · +500DraftKings

Abline vs Bamba and Yohou and Voyer

AblineStriker, AS Monaco
VS
BambaCentre-back, Le Mans
YohouCentre-back, Le Mans
VoyerCentre-back, Le Mans
Good matchup for AblineBamba and Yohou and Voyer give away 1.2 fouls a match, 35% more than the average defender (0.9). Abline draws 1.0, which points to about 1.3 fouls drawn here, against a line of 1.5.
1.0Fouls drawn vs given1.2
Fouls won over 1.54/10avg 1 · -135DraftKings
Shots over 4.51/10avg 2.3 · +300bet365
Shots on target over 1.50/10avg 0.5 · +200bet365
Fouls committed over 0.54/7avg 1.3 · -333bwin
Yellow card over 0.51/7avg 0.1 · +360DraftKings
Fouls committed over 1.53/7avg 1.4 · +100DraftKings
Tackles over 1.53/7avg 1.1 · -135DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.52/7avg 0.3 · +260Fanatics
Fouls committed over 1.51/6avg 0.8 · +115DraftKings
Tackles over 1.51/6avg 1 · -165DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.51/6avg 0.2 · +260DraftKings
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Confirmed lineups

The official starting XIs. The badge on each player: how often he cleared his strongest prop line (named under him) over his recent matches; green at 70% or better.

Le Mans 3-1-4-2AS Monaco 4-2-3-1

98 Kocik
26 Bamba
17 Yohou (C)
5 Voyer
29 Bretelle
18 Buades
23 Traore
10 Vercruysse
22 Calodat
6/914 MafoutaSOT 0.5+
25 Gueye
1 Hradecky
7/102 VandersonTackles 2.5+
72 Sane
15 Dier
20 Nazinho
8 Camara
7/106 Zakaria (C)Shots 0.5+
5/1028 CoulibalyFouls won 1.5+
6/1010 GolovinTackles 1.5+
7 Detourbet
11 Abline

Le Mans missing: A. Bourabaa (ankle), D. Sidibe (foot)

AS Monaco missing: A. Fati (hamstring), S. Idumbo (groin), M. Salisu (inactive)

The props behind these lineupsLines and hit rates for Ligue 1 players. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
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Form and head to head

Le Mans17th in the tableLDLLW1W 4D 4L · 0.78 points a match
No recent meetings
AS Monaco7th in the tableLDLDW4W 3D 2L · 1.67 points a match

Clean sheets and goal trends

Le Mans

0%

Clean sheet0/9

22%

Failed to score2/9

78%

Both scored7/9

67%

Over 2.56/9

AS Monaco

22%

Clean sheet2/9

11%

Failed to score1/9

67%

Both scored6/9

44%

Over 2.54/9

Attack and defense

Attacking

Le MansAS Monaco
11%Win %44%
46%Possession %51%
78%Both teams scored %67%
44%Scored first %44%
  • 1.2Scored per match1.3
  • 8.9Shots per match10.7
  • 3.6Shots on target per match4.3
  • 1.4Big chances per match0.8

Defensive

Le MansAS Monaco
44%Loss %22%
22%Failed to score %11%
0%Clean sheet %22%
56%Conceded first %56%
  • 2.0Conceded per match1.1
  • 14.7Shots against per match9.9
  • 16.9Tackles per match19.0
  • 14.8Fouls per match12.8

Per-match rates this season. Each spoke of the charts is scaled to the higher of the two clubs.

Recent results

Le Mans LDLLW L 0-2 at Troyes · D 1-1 at AUX · L 0-3 vs TOU · L 1-3 at PSG · W 2-1 vs LOR
Monaco LDLDW L 1-3 at PFC · D 1-1 vs LOSC · L 0-1 at LOR · D 2-2 vs TOU · W 2-1 vs LEN

Last five Ligue 1 results, most recent first.

Season numbers

Le Mans Monaco
Table 17 (7 pts) 7 (15 pts)
Record (W-D-L) 1-4-4 4-3-2
Home / away record 1-2-1 (6-8) home 2-1-2 (5-6) away
Goals scored per match 1.22 1.33
Goals conceded per match 2.00 1.11
Shots / on target per match 8.89 / 3.56 10.67 / 4.33
Both teams scored 78% 67%
Over 1.5 / 2.5 / 3.5 goals 100% / 67% / 44% 78% / 44% / 22%
Clean sheets 0% 22%
Failed to score 22% 11%
Yellow cards per match 2.44 2.22
Corners per match 2.33 3.91

This season, 9 and 9 matches.

Referee

Bastein Dechepy averages 4.6 yellow cards and 22.0 fouls per match over 7 matches this season (league average 3.5 and 24.7), a card-heavy referee.

Injury report

Le Mans

  • Adil Bourabaa (F): Out, Ankle Injury
  • Théo Eyoum (D): Out, Unknown
  • Djibril Sidibé (M): Out, Foot Injury
  • Erwan Colas (F): Out, Unknown
  • Martin Rossignol (M): Out, Unknown

AS Monaco

  • Ansu Fati (F): Out, Hamstring Injury
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Le Mans vs AS Monaco odds by sportsbook

Book MNS ML MON ML Over Under
bet365 +450 -162 O 2.5 -125 U 2.5 +100
BetRivers +425 -167 O 2.75 -108 U 2.75 -122
DraftKings +450 -160 O 2.5 -125 U 2.5 +100
FanDuel +440 -170 O 2.5 -128 U 2.5 +104
Fanatics +450 -160 O 2.5 -130 U 2.5 -110

Highlighted: the best price in each column as of 11:14 AM ET. Prices move; check the book before you bet.

Line movement since we first listed this match (Sat 5:28 AM ET): Le Mans moneyline +375 → +450.

Goal lines and both teams to score

Both teams to score: yes -120, no -105

Total goals Over Under
1.5 -420 +310
2.5 -124 +102
3.5 +210 -265
4.5 +520 -800

Line movement chart

Total 2.5 → 2.5
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More on these teams: Paris FC vs AS Monaco Nov 1 · Troyes vs Le Mans Oct 31 · All Ligue 1 prop picks · All Ligue 1 predictions

Betting guides: yellow card betting tips · football player props guide · how parlays work

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