Brest vs Lyon Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Nov 8, 2026)

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Ligue 1 prop picks: today's featured picks
Brest logo

Brest11th in Ligue 1
11:15 AM ETSun, Nov 8
Lyon logo

Lyon4th in Ligue 1

Ligue 1 · Sunday, November 8, 2026 · 11:15 AM ET

Result Moneyline
Brest +175
Draw +255
Lyon +155

Total goals 2.5: over -118 , under +100

Best price at bet365, BetRivers, Caesars, DraftKings, FanDuel and Fanatics, updated 11:13 AM ET.

Brest vs Lyon preview

Brest hosts Lyon on Sunday in Ligue 1, with the three-way moneyline showing Brest +175, the draw +255 and Lyon +160 alongside a 2.5 total. Brest sit 11th with 12 points from nine matches and league form WLDWL, while Lyon are 4th with 17 points and form WLWLW. The last meeting went Lyon’s way 2-1 on Jan. 18, 2026.

Brest have scored 1.78 and conceded 1.33 per match, with both teams scoring in 78% and over 2.5 landing in 67%. Lyon concede 0.78 per match and keep clean sheets 44% of the time, though their away record is 1-1-2. Among recent prop hit rates, Magnetti over 0.5 shots is -190 and cleared in 8 of last 10, while Mboup over 0.5 shots on target is -185 and also cleared in 8 of last 10.

Brest vs Lyon prediction

39%Brest
26%Draw
35%Lyon

The books imply 35% / 27% / 38%

1-1Most likely score12% chance
1.4 – 1.3Expected goals
51%Over 2.5 goals
55%Both teams to score

The model leans slightly to Brest at 39% versus Lyon 35%, but the books disagree and make Lyon a 38% favorite to Brest’s 35%. Lyon’s fourth-place 17 points and 0.78 goals conceded per match support the market, while Brest’s 1.78 scoring rate and 67% over 2.5 rate keep the model close. Missing: Openda, Morton, Kango, Ouedraogo and Sulc for Lyon; Chardonnet and Le Guen for Brest.

A Poisson estimate from each club’s scoring and conceding rates this season, overall and at home or away (9 and 9 matches). It does not know about lineups or injuries, and it is a research estimate, not a guarantee.

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this match. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Top Brest vs Lyon player props

Player Prop Best price Last 10 Last 5
Hugo Magnetti Brest Over 0.5 shots -180 Fanatics 80% (8/10) 60%
Kamory Doumbia Brest Over 0.5 shots on target -125 Fanatics 70% (7/10) 40%
Kenny Lala Brest Over 0.5 fouls won -180 DraftKings 70% (7/10) 60%
Ludovic Ajorque Brest Over 0.5 shots on target -180 Fanatics 70% (7/10) 60%
F. Bacher Olympique Lyonnais Over 0.5 shots +115 DraftKings 66.7% (6/9) 60%

Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent matches. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 11:13 AM ET.

The rest of the Brest vs Lyon propsHit rates, matchups and the best price across 30+ books. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
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Z. AthekameOver 2.5 tackles6/9
M. BidstrupOver 0.5 shots5/8
Pathé MboupOver 2.5 shots6/10

Key matchups

From the confirmed lineups: each winger against the full-back he faces, the strikers against the centre-backs. Each white tick marks the league average per match. The lower bars show how often the player cleared the line over his recent matches, green at 70% or better.

Balde vs Tagliafico

BaldeWinger, Brest
VS
TagliaficoFull-back, Lyon
Good matchup for BaldeTagliafico gives away 1.4 fouls a match, 62% more than the average defender (0.9). Balde only draws 0.6, which points to about 1.0 fouls drawn here, against a line of 1.5.
0.6Fouls drawn vs given1.4
1.1Shots vs tackles1.4
Fouls won over 1.51/10avg 0.6 · +110DraftKings
Shots over 2.51/10avg 1.1 · +160BetRivers
Shots on target over 0.53/10avg 0.3 · -122BetRivers
Fouls committed over 1.55/10avg 1.4 · -140DraftKings
Tackles over 2.51/10avg 1.4 · -125DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.52/10avg 0.2 · +275bet365

Edjouma vs Athekame

EdjoumaWinger, Brest
VS
AthekameFull-back, Lyon
Good matchup for EdjoumaAthekame gives away 1.2 fouls a match, 38% more than the average defender (0.9). Edjouma only draws 0.3, which points to about 0.4 fouls drawn here, against a line of 1.5.
0.3Fouls drawn vs given1.2
1.1Shots vs tackles2.9
Fouls won over 1.50/10avg 0.3 · -105DraftKings
Shots over 1.54/10avg 1.1 · +100BetRivers
Shots on target over 0.52/10avg 0.2 · +115BetRivers
Fouls committed over 1.53/9avg 1.2 · -120DraftKings
Tackles over 2.56/9avg 2.9 · +100DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.51/9avg 0.1 · +333bet365

Ajorque vs Kluivert and Niakhate

AjorqueStriker, Brest
VS
KluivertCentre-back, Lyon
NiakhateCentre-back, Lyon
Even matchupKluivert and Niakhate give away 0.8 fouls a match, 8% less than the average defender (0.9). Ajorque draws plenty himself, at 1.3, which points to about 1.2 fouls drawn here, against a line of 1.5.
1.3Fouls drawn vs given0.8
2.5Shots vs tackles0.9
Fouls won over 1.54/10avg 1.3 · -145DraftKings
Shots over 2.55/10avg 2.5 · +110Fanatics
Shots on target over 0.57/10avg 0.8 · -180Fanatics
Fouls committed over 1.51/10avg 0.4 · +125DraftKings
Tackles over 1.55/10avg 1 · -150DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.53/10avg 0.3 · +333bet365
Fouls committed over 1.53/10avg 1.2 · +115DraftKings
Tackles over 1.53/10avg 0.8 · -125DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.51/10avg 0.1 · +400DraftKings

Boudache vs Locko

BoudacheWinger, Lyon
VS
LockoFull-back, Brest
Even matchupLocko gives away 0.9 fouls a match, about the same as the average defender (0.9). Boudache draws plenty himself, at 1.1, which points to about 1.1 fouls drawn here, against a line of 1.5.
1.1Fouls drawn vs given0.9
1.0Shots vs tackles1.9
Fouls won over 1.52/10avg 1.1 · -140DraftKings
Shots over 2.51/10avg 1 · +220BetRivers
Shots on target over 0.51/10avg 0.1 · -105BetRivers
Fouls committed over 1.52/10avg 0.9 · -130DraftKings
Tackles over 2.54/10avg 1.9 · -120DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.53/10avg 0.3 · +450bet365

Nakamura vs Lala

NakamuraWinger, Lyon
VS
LalaFull-back, Brest
Tough matchup for NakamuraLala gives away 0.4 fouls a match, 54% less than the average defender (0.9). Nakamura only draws 0.0, which points to about 0.0 fouls drawn here, against a line of 1.5.
0.0Fouls drawn vs given0.4
0.4Shots vs tackles1.3
Fouls won over 1.50/5avg 0 · +100DraftKings
Shots over 2.50/5avg 0.4 · +130Fanatics
Shots on target over 0.51/5avg 0.2 · -140Fanatics
Fouls committed over 1.50/10avg 0.4 · +120DraftKings
Tackles over 1.54/10avg 1.3 · -125DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.51/10avg 0.1 · +500bet365

Merah vs Tousart and Lloris

MerahStriker, Lyon
VS
TousartCentre-back, Brest
LlorisCentre-back, Brest
Tough matchup for MerahTousart and Lloris give away 0.6 fouls a match, 31% less than the average defender (0.9). Merah only draws 0.6, which points to about 0.4 fouls drawn here, against a line of 1.5.
0.6Fouls drawn vs given0.6
0.5Shots vs tackles0.9
Fouls won over 1.52/10avg 0.6 · +100DraftKings
Shots over 1.51/10avg 0.5 · +120BetRivers
Shots on target over 0.51/10avg 0.1 · +150bet365
Fouls committed over 1.51/10avg 0.5 · -165DraftKings
Tackles over 1.51/10avg 0.9 · -165DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.50/10avg 0 · +400bet365
Fouls committed over 1.52/10avg 0.7 · -105DraftKings
Tackles over 1.51/10avg 0.8 · -135DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.50/10avg 0 · +400DraftKings
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Confirmed lineups

The official starting XIs. The badge on each player: how often he cleared his strongest prop line (named under him) over his recent matches; green at 70% or better.

Brest 4-2-3-1Lyon 4-3-3

5/91 SelvikSaves 2.5+
7/1070 LalaFouls won 0.5+
29 Tousart
4 Lloris
2 Locko
5/1013 ChotardShots 0.5+
8/108 Magnetti (C)Shots 0.5+
17 Balde
7/1023 DoumbiaSOT 0.5+
11 Edjouma
7/1019 AjorqueSOT 0.5+
5/101 GreifSaves 3.5+
6/913 AthekameTackles 2.5+
5/1021 KluivertTackles 1.5+
19 Niakhate
5/103 TagliaficoShots 0.5+
99 Nartey
6 Tessmann
5/108 Tolisso (C)SOT 0.5+
26 Boudache
6/1018 MerahTackles 1.5+
11 Nakamura

Brest missing: B. Chardonnet (calf), R. Le Guen (broken leg)

Lyon missing: R. Himbert (inactive), S. Kango (concussion), T. Morton (groin), L. Openda (leg), M. Ouedraogo (knee), P. Sulc (knee)

The props behind these lineupsLines and hit rates for Ligue 1 players. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
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Form and head to head

Brest11th in the tableWLDWL3W 3D 3L · 1.33 points a match
4meetings

1 win1 draw2 wins
Lyon4th in the tableWLWLW5W 2D 2L · 1.89 points a match
75%Over 1.53/4
75%Over 2.53/4
0%Over 3.50/4
75%Both scored3/4
  • Jan 2026LYO 2-1 B29
  • Nov 2025B29 0-0 LYO
  • Mar 2025LYO 2-1 B29
  • Jan 2025B29 2-1 LYO

Clean sheets and goal trends

Brest

11%

Clean sheet1/9

11%

Failed to score1/9

78%

Both scored7/9

67%

Over 2.56/9

Lyon

44%

Clean sheet4/9

22%

Failed to score2/9

44%

Both scored4/9

44%

Over 2.54/9

Attack and defense

Attacking

BrestLyon
33%Win %56%
47%Possession %51%
78%Both teams scored %44%
78%Scored first %44%
  • 1.8Scored per match1.7
  • 16.4Shots per match11.4
  • 5.7Shots on target per match4.9
  • 2.1Big chances per match2.0

Defensive

BrestLyon
33%Loss %22%
11%Failed to score %22%
11%Clean sheet %44%
22%Conceded first %44%
  • 1.3Conceded per match0.8
  • 12.0Shots against per match10.9
  • 16.1Tackles per match14.2
  • 14.4Fouls per match11.9

Per-match rates this season. Each spoke of the charts is scaled to the higher of the two clubs.

Recent results

Brest WLDWL W 2-0 at LOR · L 1-2 vs NCE · D 1-1 at LOSC · W 5-1 vs ANG · L 1-2 at AUX
Olympique Lyonnais WLWLW W 2-0 vs ANG · L 0-2 at PSG · W 2-1 vs NCE · L 1-2 at LEN · W 4-0 vs REN

Last five Ligue 1 results, most recent first.

Season numbers

Brest Olympique Lyonnais
Table 11 (12 pts) 4 (17 pts)
Record (W-D-L) 3-3-3 5-2-2
Home / away record 1-1-2 (8-6) home 1-1-2 (3-4) away
Goals scored per match 1.78 1.67
Goals conceded per match 1.33 0.78
Shots / on target per match 16.44 / 5.67 11.44 / 4.89
Both teams scored 78% 44%
Over 1.5 / 2.5 / 3.5 goals 89% / 67% / 33% 89% / 44% / 22%
Clean sheets 11% 44%
Failed to score 11% 22%
Yellow cards per match 1.44 1.11
Corners per match 3.69 4.29

This season, 9 and 9 matches.

Referee

Jeremy Stinat averages 3.5 yellow cards and 21.2 fouls per match over 10 matches this season (league average 3.5 and 24.7).

Injury report

Brest

  • Raphaël Le Guen (D): Out, Broken Ankle

Lyon

  • Mohamed Ouédraogo (M): Out, Cruciate Ligament Injury
  • Loïs Openda (F): Out, Leg Injury
  • Pavel Sulc (F): Out, Meniscus Injury
  • Tyler Morton (M): Out, Groin Injury
Compare Ligue 1 playersHit rates, matchups and the best price across 30+ books, side by side. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
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Brest vs Lyon odds by sportsbook

Book BRE ML LYON ML Over Under
bet365 +170 +155 O 2.5 -125 U 2.5 +100
BetRivers +170 +143 O 2.5 -128 U 2.5 -103
DraftKings +175 +155 O 2.5 -120 U 2.5 -105
FanDuel +175 +150 O 2.5 -118 U 2.5 -104
Fanatics +175 +150 O 2.5 -135 U 2.5 -105

Highlighted: the best price in each column as of 11:13 AM ET. Prices move; check the book before you bet.

Line movement since we first listed this match (Sat 5:44 AM ET): no change in the main lines yet.

Goal lines and both teams to score

Both teams to score: yes -155, no +125

Total goals Over Under
1.5 -385 +290
2.5 -115 -104
3.5 +225 -290
4.5 +540 -850

Line movement chart

Total 2.5 → 2.5
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More on these teams: Lorient vs Brest Nov 2 · All Ligue 1 prop picks · All Ligue 1 predictions

Betting guides: yellow card betting tips · football player props guide · how parlays work

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