Málaga vs Racing Santander Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Nov 7, 2026)

Málaga logo

Málaga20th in La Liga
8:00 AM ETSat, Nov 7
Racing Santander logo

Racing Santander16th in La Liga

La Liga · Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 8:00 AM ET

Result Moneyline
Málaga +140
Draw +280
Racing Santander +188

Total goals 2.5: over -150 , under +126

Best price at bet365, BetRivers, Caesars, DraftKings, FanDuel and Fanatics, updated 8:34 AM ET.

Málaga vs Racing Santander preview

Málaga hosts Racing Santander on Saturday in La Liga. On the three-way moneyline, Málaga is the home favorite at +140, the draw is +280 and Racing Santander is +188, while the total is 2.5. Málaga is 20th with 5 points from 11 matches (0-5-6) and its league form is LDLDL. Racing is 16th with 11 points from 11 (3-2-6) and its form is LWLDL. Málaga has scored 0.73 and conceded 1.91 per match; Racing has scored 1.36 and conceded 2.64, with over 2.5 goals in 82% of its matches and no clean sheets.

The totals angle is supported by both teams’ 64% both-teams-to-score rate, with both teams to score priced at -195. The goalkeeper prop is also notable: Málaga’s Alfonso Herrero has cleared over 2.5 saves in 9 of his last 10 at -170.

Málaga vs Racing Santander prediction

49%Málaga
21%Draw
30%Racing Santander

The books imply 41% / 25% / 34%

1-1Most likely score9% chance
2.0 – 1.5Expected goals
68%Over 2.5 goals
67%Both teams to score

The numbers lean Málaga, with the model at 49% to Racing Santander’s 30%, though the books are less convinced at 41% and 34%. Málaga sit 20th with 5 points and form LDLDL, while Racing Santander concede 2.64 per match, have no clean sheets, and are 0-0-5 away. Both teams to score is 64% for each side and 67% in the model.

A Poisson estimate from each club’s scoring and conceding rates this season, overall and at home or away (11 and 11 matches). It does not know about lineups or injuries, and it is a research estimate, not a guarantee.

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this match. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Top Málaga vs Racing Santander player props

Player Prop Best price Last 10 Last 5
Alfonso Herrero Málaga Over 2.5 saves -170 DraftKings 90% (9/10) 80%
Manu Hernando Racing Santander Over 0.5 fouls -150 bet365 80% (4/5) 80%
Facundo González Racing Santander Over 0.5 fouls -188 bet365 80% (4/5) 80%
Einar Galilea Málaga Over 0.5 fouls -150 bet365 75% (6/8) 80%
Adrián Niño Heredia Málaga Anytime goalscorer +215 BetRivers 71.4% (5/7) 80%

Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent matches. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 8:34 AM ET.

The rest of the Málaga vs Racing Santander propsHit rates, matchups and the best price across 30+ books. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
Pablo RamónOver 1.5 tackles6/9
RafitaOver 1.5 fouls won6/10
Sergio CanalesOver 1.5 fouls won6/10

Key matchups

From the predicted lineups: each winger against the full-back he faces, the strikers against the centre-backs. Each white tick marks the league average per match. The lower bars show how often the player cleared the line over his recent matches, green at 70% or better.

Larrubia vs Salinas

LarrubiaWinger, Málaga
VS
SalinasFull-back, Racing Santander
Tough matchup for LarrubiaSalinas gives away 0.6 fouls a match, 28% less than the average defender (0.8). Larrubia draws plenty himself, at 1.0, which points to about 0.7 fouls drawn here, against a line of 1.5.
1.0Fouls drawn vs given0.6
0.8Shots vs tackles1.2
Fouls won over 1.52/10avg 1 · -125DraftKings
Shots over 2.50/10avg 0.8 · +105BetRivers
Shots on target over 0.52/10avg 0.3 · -118BetRivers
Fouls committed over 1.51/10avg 0.6 · -110DraftKings
Tackles over 1.55/10avg 1.2 · -160DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.51/10avg 0.1 · +190Fanatics

Lorenzo vs Ramon

LorenzoWinger, Málaga
VS
RamonFull-back, Racing Santander
Tough matchup for LorenzoRamon gives away 0.6 fouls a match, 28% less than the average defender (0.8). Lorenzo draws plenty himself, at 1.1, which points to about 0.8 fouls drawn here, against a line of 1.5.
1.1Fouls drawn vs given0.6
0.3Shots vs tackles2.0
Fouls won over 1.54/10avg 1.1 · -130DraftKings
Shots over 1.50/10avg 0.3 · +175bet365
Shots on target over 0.50/10avg 0 · +225bet365
Fouls committed over 0.55/9avg 0.6 · -120bet365
Tackles over 1.56/9avg 2 · -185DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.54/9avg 0.4 · +270Fanatics

Nino vs Belocian

NinoStriker, Málaga
VS
BelocianCentre-back, Racing Santander

No lines posted

Fouls committed over 1.53/7avg 1.4 · +105DraftKings
Tackles over 2.50/7avg 0.1 · -105DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.52/7avg 0.3 · +225Fanatics

Luque vs Rafita

LuqueWinger, Racing Santander
VS
RafitaFull-back, Málaga

No lines posted

Fouls committed over 0.55/10avg 0.7 · -205DraftKings
Tackles over 1.54/10avg 1.2 · -170DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.52/10avg 0.2 · +340Fanatics

Vicente vs Puga

VicenteWinger, Racing Santander
VS
PugaFull-back, Málaga
Good matchup for VicentePuga gives away 1.4 fouls a match, 68% more than the average defender (0.8). Vicente draws plenty himself, at 1.9, which points to about 3.2 fouls drawn here, against a line of 1.5.
1.9Fouls drawn vs given1.4
0.6Shots vs tackles2.9
Fouls won over 1.55/10avg 1.9 · +105DraftKings
Shots over 1.52/10avg 0.6 · +140Fanatics
Shots on target over 0.53/10avg 0.3 · +150Fanatics
Fouls committed over 2.52/10avg 1.4 · -120bet365
Tackles over 3.54/10avg 2.9 · +100DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.53/10avg 0.3 · +185Fanatics

Zabiri vs Recio and Galilea

ZabiriStriker, Racing Santander
VS
RecioCentre-back, Málaga
GalileaCentre-back, Málaga

No lines posted

Fouls committed over 1.51/10avg 0.6 · +110DraftKings
Tackles over 1.53/10avg 1.1 · -125DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.50/10avg 0 · +375Fanatics
Fouls committed over 0.56/8avg 0.9 · -150bet365
Tackles over 1.52/8avg 1.1 · -200DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.52/8avg 0.3 · +270Fanatics
Trade Málaga vs Racing Santander on PolymarketPrediction-market prices on the match and player props, often sharper than a sportsbook’s.

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Predicted lineups

Predicted XIs; the official lineups post about an hour before kickoff and this page updates then. The badge on each player: how often he cleared his strongest prop line (named under him) over his recent matches; green at 70% or better.

Málaga 4-1-4-1Racing Santander 4-2-3-1

9/101 HerreroSaves 2.5+
3 Puga
5/1015 RecioShots 0.5+
6/84 GalileaFouls 0.5+
6/1031 RafitaFouls won 1.5+
6 Enriquez
5/1010 LarrubiaTackles 2.5+
8 Dotor
14 Rodriguez
22 Lorenzo
21 Nino
13 Agirrezabala
6/95 RamonTackles 1.5+
22 Pedro Felipe
4/724 BelocianShots 0.5+
6/1017 SalinasTackles 2.5+
5/923 MartinTackles 1.5+
18 Prati
19 Luque
6/1020 CanalesFouls won 1.5+
5/1010 VicenteFouls won 1.5+
21 Zabiri

Málaga missing: J. Cruz (muscle), J. Lobete (knee), A. Ochoa (knee)

Racing Santander missing: A. Mantilla (knee), A. Martin (muscle)

The props behind these lineupsLines and hit rates for La Liga players. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.

Form and head to head

Málaga20th in the tableLDLDL0W 5D 6L · 0.45 points a match
No recent meetings
Racing Santander16th in the tableLWLDL3W 2D 6L · 1.00 points a match

Clean sheets and goal trends

Málaga

9%

Clean sheet1/11

36%

Failed to score4/11

64%

Both scored7/11

36%

Over 2.54/11

Racing Santander

0%

Clean sheet0/11

36%

Failed to score4/11

64%

Both scored7/11

82%

Over 2.59/11

Attack and defense

Attacking

MálagaRacing Santander
0%Win %27%
49%Possession %50%
64%Both teams scored %64%
18%Scored first %27%
  • 0.7Scored per match1.4
  • 8.6Shots per match10.7
  • 3.2Shots on target per match4.6
  • 0.6Big chances per match0.9

Defensive

MálagaRacing Santander
55%Loss %55%
36%Failed to score %36%
9%Clean sheet %0%
73%Conceded first %73%
  • 1.9Conceded per match2.6
  • 13.0Shots against per match14.2
  • 17.5Tackles per match17.6
  • 11.9Fouls per match12.8

Per-match rates this season. Each spoke of the charts is scaled to the higher of the two clubs.

Recent results

Málaga LDLDL L 1-2 at BET · D 1-1 at ALA · L 2-5 vs RSO · D 1-1 vs ESY · L 0-1 at GET
Racing Santander LWLDL L 0-3 vs RMA · W 2-1 vs ESY · L 0-2 at OSA · D 2-2 vs VAL · L 0-5 at CEL

Last five La Liga results, most recent first.

Season numbers

Málaga Racing Santander
Table 20 (5 pts) 16 (11 pts)
Record (W-D-L) 0-5-6 3-2-6
Home / away record 0-3-2 (5-10) home 0-0-5 (4-18) away
Goals scored per match 0.73 1.36
Goals conceded per match 1.91 2.64
Shots / on target per match 8.55 / 3.18 10.73 / 4.55
Both teams scored 64% 64%
Over 1.5 / 2.5 / 3.5 goals 82% / 36% / 27% 91% / 82% / 55%
Clean sheets 9% 0%
Failed to score 36% 36%
Yellow cards per match 2.36 2.55
Corners per match 5.00 4.91

This season, 11 and 11 matches.

Injury report

Málaga

  • Julen Lobete (F): Out, Cruciate Ligament Injury
  • Aarón Moloney (M): Out, Meniscus Injury
  • Diego Murillo (D): Out, Cruciate Ligament Injury

Racing Santander

  • Andrés Martín (M): Out, Hamstring Injury
  • Alvaro Mantilla (D): Out, Cruciate Ligament Injury
  • Maguette Gueye (M): Day-To-Day, Muscle Injury
Compare La Liga playersHit rates, matchups and the best price across 30+ books, side by side. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.

Málaga vs Racing Santander odds by sportsbook

Book MCF ML RAC ML Over Under
bet365 +135 +188 O 2.5 -150 U 2.5 +120
BetRivers +138 +185 O 2.75 -128 U 2.75 -102
DraftKings +140 +185 O 2.5 -150 U 2.5 +120
FanDuel +140 +185 O 2.5 -154 U 2.5 +126
Fanatics +140 +185 O 2.5 -160 U 2.5 +120

Highlighted: the best price in each column as of 8:34 AM ET. Prices move; check the book before you bet.

Line movement since we first listed this match (Fri 2:14 AM ET): no change in the main lines yet.

Goal lines and both teams to score

Both teams to score: yes -195, no +155

Total goals Over Under
1.5 -520 +370
2.5 -154 +126
3.5 +172 -215
4.5 +410 -590

Line movement chart

Total 2.5 → 2.5
Shop the player props tooProp prices across 30+ sportsbooks and pick’em apps, with hit rates beside them. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.

More on these teams: Racing Santander vs Real Madrid Nov 1 · All La Liga prop picks · All La Liga predictions

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