Mavericks vs Pacers Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Oct 23, 2026)

Dallas Mavericks logo

Mavericks0-1 · 0-1 ATS
FINAL121 – 105
Indiana Pacers logo

Pacers1-0 · 1-0 ATS

Final

Dallas Mavericks 121Indiana Pacers 105

Top performers

  • IND: Siakam P. 23 PTS, Haliburton T. 18 PTS, Nembhard A. 16 PTS
  • DAL: Irving K. 24 PTS, Washington P. J. 20 PTS, Christie M. 16 PTS

Highlights

Full box score and play-by-play on ESPN

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this game. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Pre-game preview

NBA · Friday, October 23, 2026 · 7:00 PM ET

Team Moneyline Spread Total
Dallas Mavericks – – –
Indiana Pacers – – –

Best available prices across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges before kickoff.

Mavericks vs Pacers preview

Dallas visits Indiana on Friday, October 23, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. The market lists Indiana as a 7.5-point favorite with a 240.5 total, and the moneyline is DAL +225 and IND -230.

The last meeting was February 22, 2026, when Dallas won 134-130 on the road. Dallas is 0-1 straight up and ATS this season and 3-7 SU, 4-6 ATS over its last 10, most recently losing 110-128 at Houston on October 21. Indiana is 1-0 straight up and ATS this season and 4-6 SU, 8-2 ATS over its last 10, most recently winning 123-120 at New Orleans on October 21.

The defensive ranks show both teams allow high point and rebound totals: Dallas allows 119.6 points (23rd) and 46.5 rebounds (29th), while Indiana allows 120.4 points (25th) and 46.2 rebounds (27th). Dallas also plays at the third-fastest pace (102.6). Indiana is without T.J. McConnell, Johnny Furphy and Ben Sheppard; Dallas is without Santi Aldama, Dereck Lively II, Tarik Biberovic and Caleb Martin, with Jett Howard doubtful. StatsBench projects Andrew Nembhard at 29.1 points plus rebounds plus assists against a 23.5 line, and Quenton Jackson at 11.3 points against a 4.5 line; Nembhard cleared it 9 of 10 and Jackson 10 of 10.

Top Mavericks vs Pacers player props

Player Prop Best price Last 10 Last 5 Projection
Quenton Jackson IND Over 4.5 points -210 bet365 100% (10/10) 100% 11.3
Jarace Walker IND Over 0.5 threes made -212 Kalshi 100% (10/10) 100% –
Andrew Nembhard IND Over 23.5 points + rebounds + assists -108 FanDuel 90% (9/10) 100% 29.1
Kelly Oubre Jr. IND Over 3.5 rebounds -108 Kalshi 90% (9/10) 80% 5.5
Pascal Siakam IND Over 0.5 steals -266 DraftKings 90% (9/10) 80% 0.9

Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent games. Projection = StatsBench’s model estimate for tonight. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 10:05 PM ET. See every prop for this game on StatsBench.

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Records

Team Record ATS O/U Home Away
Mavericks 0-1 0-1 1-0 0-0 0-1
Pacers 1-0 1-0 1-0 0-0 1-0

This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.

Mavericks vs Pacers head-to-head

Mavericks are 2-4, 1-0 ATS, O/U 1-0 in the last 6 meetings. Last time: Mavericks won 134-130 on February 22, 2026.

Date Venue Mavericks result ATS O/U
Feb 22, 26 Pacers home W 134-130 W -1.5 O 237.5
Oct 29, 25 Mavericks home W 107-105 – –
Mar 19, 25 Pacers home L 131-135 – –
Nov 4, 24 Mavericks home L 127-134 – –
Mar 5, 24 Mavericks home L 120-137 – –
Feb 25, 24 Pacers home L 111-133 – –

Recent form

Dallas Mavericks: last 10 (3-7, 4-6 ATS, O/U 5-5)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Oct 21, 26 @ HOU L 110-128 L +9.5 O 230.5
Apr 12, 26 vs CHI W 149-128 W -5.5 O 249.5
Apr 10, 26 @ SA L 120-139 L +18.5 O 236.5
Apr 8, 26 @ PHX L 107-112 W +12.5 U 234.5
Apr 7, 26 @ LAC L 103-116 L +11.5 U 235.5
Apr 5, 26 vs LAL W 134-128 W +1.5 O 234.5
Apr 3, 26 vs ORL L 127-138 L +6.5 O 239.5
Mar 31, 26 @ MIL L 99-123 L -2.5 U 231.5
Mar 30, 26 vs MIN L 94-124 L +8.5 U 236.5
Mar 27, 26 @ POR W 100-93 W +10.5 U 240.5

Indiana Pacers: last 10 (4-6, 8-2 ATS, O/U 5-5)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Oct 21, 26 @ NO W 123-120 W -2.5 O 238.5
Apr 12, 26 vs DET L 121-133 W +16.5 O 232.5
Apr 10, 26 vs PHI L 94-105 W +14.5 U 234.5
Apr 9, 26 @ BKN W 123-94 W -3.5 U 224.5
Apr 7, 26 vs MIN L 104-124 L +12.5 U 234.5
Apr 5, 26 @ CLE L 108-117 W +16.5 U 240.5
Apr 3, 26 @ CHA L 108-129 L +15.5 O 234.5
Apr 1, 26 @ CHI W 145-126 W +3.5 O 246.5
Mar 29, 26 vs MIA W 135-118 W +8.5 O 245.5
Mar 27, 26 vs LAC L 113-114 W +8.5 U 235.5

Injury report

Dallas Mavericks

  • Santi Aldama (PF): Out, Right Knee Surgery
  • Dereck Lively II (C): Out, Right Foot Surgery
  • Tarik Biberovic (SF): Out, Right Heel Bursitis
  • Caleb Martin (SG): Out, Right Thumb Sprain
  • Jett Howard (SF): Out, Right Calf Tightness / Soreness

Indiana Pacers

  • T.J. McConnell (PG): Out, Right Hamstring Strain
  • Johnny Furphy (SG): Out, Right ACL Repair / Surgery
  • Ben Sheppard (SG): Out, Left Meniscus Tear
  • Braden Smith (PG): Out, G League – Two-Way

Matchup ranks

What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.

Mavericks defense Pacers defense
Points allowed per game 119.6 (23rd of 30) 120.4 (25th of 30)
Rebounds allowed per game 46.5 (29th of 30) 46.2 (27th of 30)
Assists allowed per game 28 (27th of 30) 26.2 (14th of 30)
Threes allowed per game 12.7 (13th of 30) 12.1 (5th of 30)
Pace (possessions) 102.6 (3rd) 99.2 (19th)

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Today's NBA picks

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Jabari Smith Jr.pts rebs asts OVER 22.5 · @ SAS
100% L10
Collin Sextonpoints OVER 9.5 · vs LAC
100% L10
Saddiq Beypoints OVER 11.5 · @ UTA
100% L10
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