Michigan vs Rutgers Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Oct 31, 2026)

by
College Football prop picks: today's featured picks
Michigan Wolverines logo

Michigan4-3 · 3-4 ATS
FINAL28 – 21
Rutgers Scarlet Knights logo

Rutgers2-5 · 3-4 ATS

College Football · Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 12:30 PM ET · SHI Stadium

Final score by quarter

Team 1 2 3 4 T
Michigan 7 7 7 7 28
Rutgers 3 10 0 8 21

How the bets settled

MoneylineMichigan wonClosed at -800
SpreadRutgers coveredRutgers +16.5, by 9.5
TotalOver 47.549 scored, 1.5 over

Closing line, DraftKings.

Game review

Michigan beat Rutgers 28-21, with the game swinging in the third quarter when the Wolverines added a touchdown while holding Rutgers scoreless, then answering Rutgers’ eight fourth-quarter points with seven. Rutgers stayed within reach into halftime, but Michigan scored in every quarter and never let the Scarlet Knights sustain enough drives.

Tommy Carr led Michigan with 266 passing yards and a touchdown, Savion Hiter added 76 rushing yards, and JJ Buchanan caught five passes for 63 yards and a score. Rutgers got an 80-yard touchdown catch from Jourdin Houston and 85 rushing yards from Antwan Raymond, but Michigan’s 427 total yards, 23 first downs, 12-of-16 third downs and 39:06 possession told the control story. Rutgers had only 9 first downs and went 3-of-10 on third down.

For bettors, Rutgers covered the 16.5-point closing spread by 9.5 in the seven-point loss, and the game went over the 47.5 closing total by 1.5.

The next College Football slate is on the boardLines, hit rates and the best price across 30+ books for the games still to come. Free daily preview, no account needed. Pro unlocks the full board.
Open the College Football board →

Against the spread, start to finish

RutgersMichigan
The score margin against the closing spread (Rutgers +16.5). Blue: Rutgers covering. Orange: Michigan covering.
+0Largest MICH cover
0%MICH covering
+16.5Largest RUTG cover
100%RUTG covering

Win probability

RutgersMichigan
Blue: Rutgers favored. Orange: Michigan favored. ESPN’s in-game win probability, start to finish.

Top performers

Michigan

  • Passing YardsTommy Carr22/27, 266 YDS, 1 TD
  • Rushing YardsSavion Hiter20 CAR, 76 YDS
  • Receiving YardsJJ Buchanan5 REC, 63 YDS, 1 TD
  • SacksEnow Etta1
  • TacklesBenny Patterson III7

Rutgers

  • Passing YardsAJ Surace3/12, 123 YDS, 1 TD
  • Rushing YardsAntwan Raymond11 CAR, 85 YDS
  • Receiving YardsJourdin Houston1 REC, 80 YDS, 1 TD
  • SacksSekou Kromah1
  • TacklesMoses Walker9

Team stats

MichiganRutgers
427Total yards249
266Passing yards123
161Rushing yards126
23First downs9
12-16Third downs3-10
0Turnovers0
7-90Penalties5-35
39:06Possession20:54

Box score

Michigan WolverinesRutgers Scarlet Knights

Michigan Wolverines

Passing

Player C/ATT YDS AVG TD INT QBR
Tommy Carr 22/27 266 9.9 1 0 92.1
Total 22/27 266 9.9 1 0 —

Rushing

Player CAR YDS AVG TD LONG
Savion Hiter 20 76 3.8 0 11
Tommy Carr 12 54 4.5 2 15
Bryson Kuzdzal 6 37 6.2 0 12
Jordan Marshall 5 0 0.0 1 3
Team 2 -6 -3.0 0 0
Total 45 161 3.6 3 15

Receiving

Player REC YDS AVG TD LONG
JJ Buchanan 5 63 12.6 1 30
Andrew Marsh 7 51 7.3 0 13
Salesi Moa 1 44 44.0 0 44
Hogan Hansen 3 42 14.0 0 16
Mason Bonner 1 27 27.0 0 27
Jalen Hoffman 2 17 8.5 0 9
Jordan Marshall 1 15 15.0 0 15
Savion Hiter 1 4 4.0 0 4
Bryson Kuzdzal 1 3 3.0 0 3
Total 22 266 12.1 1 44

Defense

Player TOT SOLO SACKS TFL PD QB HUR TD
Benny Patterson III 7 3 0 1 0 0 0
Chris Bracy 6 4 1 1 0 0 0
Mason Curtis 4 3 0 0 1 0 0
Jyaire Hill 3 3 0 0 0 0 0
Zeke Berry 2 2 0 0 0 0 0
Nathaniel Staehling 2 2 0 0 0 0 0
Enow Etta 2 1 1 1 1 0 0
Troy Bowles 2 1 0 1 0 1 0
Trey Pierce 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
Lugard Edokpayi Jr. 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
Smith Snowden 1 0 0 0 1 0 0
Nate Marshall 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
Nathaniel Owusu-Boateng 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
Total 33 21 2 4 3 1 0

Rutgers Scarlet Knights

Passing

Player C/ATT YDS AVG TD INT QBR
AJ Surace 3/12 123 10.3 1 0 65.1
Total 3/12 123 10.3 1 0 —

Rushing

Player CAR YDS AVG TD LONG
Antwan Raymond 11 85 7.7 0 54
Clay Thevenin 7 30 4.3 1 20
Dyzier Carter 1 6 6.0 0 6
AJ Surace 7 5 0.7 0 6
Total 26 126 4.8 1 54

Receiving

Player REC YDS AVG TD LONG
Jourdin Houston 1 80 80.0 1 80
Antwan Raymond 1 32 32.0 0 32
Logan Blake 1 11 11.0 0 11
Total 3 123 41.0 1 80

Defense

Player TOT SOLO SACKS TFL PD QB HUR TD
JJ Conyers 9 7 0 0 0 0 0
Moses Walker 9 3 0 0 0 0 0
Devonte Anderson 8 7 0 0 1 0 0
Sean Allison 8 4 0 0 0 0 0
Chris Joines 7 3 0 0 0 0 0
Malachi Davis 7 0 0 0 1 0 0
Tariq Hayer 6 5 0 0 1 0 0
Rondo Porter 6 1 0 1 0 0 0
Keshon Griffin 5 1 0 0 0 0 0
DK Gilley 4 3 0 0 0 0 0
Abram Wright 3 2 0 0 0 1 0
Sekou Kromah 2 2 1 1 0 1 0
Jesse Ofurie 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
Kevyn Humes 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
Trent Osborn 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
Zaire Angoy 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
Jaedin Lee 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
Total 79 41 1 2 3 2 0

Attendance 39,540

Recap: Tommy Carr runs for two TDs, passes for one in Michigan’s 28-21 win over Rutgers (ESPN)

Highlights

Play-by-play on ESPN

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this game. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Betting trends

  • The under has hit in 4 straight Michigan games.
  • The over is 1-7 in Michigan’ last 8 games.
  • The over is 6-2 in Rutgers’ last 8 games.

From each team’s last 10 games and recent meetings, against the closing line.

Trade Michigan vs Rutgers on PolymarketPrediction-market prices on the game and player props, often sharper than a sportsbook’s.

Polymarket

Affiliate link: StatsBench may earn a commission if you sign up. 18+ (21+ where required); availability depends on where you live.

Michigan vs Rutgers pre-game preview

The market makes Michigan a -700 moneyline favorite, with Rutgers at +15.5 and the total at 45.5 after opening at Rutgers +14 and 47.5. The last meeting was Sept. 23, 2023, a 31-7 Michigan home win. Michigan is 4-3 this season and 3-4 ATS with a 1-6 O/U, and its last 10 shows 6-4 straight up, 3-5 ATS and 1-7 O/U after a 6-13 loss to Indiana on Oct. 24. Rutgers is 2-5 and 3-4 ATS with a 5-2 O/U; its last 10 is 3-7 straight up, 4-4 ATS and 6-2 O/U after a 14-42 loss at Northwestern.

The defensive ranks are the clearest angle: Michigan allows 15.7 points (14th), 244.3 total yards (2nd), 149.3 passing yards (4th) and 95 rushing yards (15th), while Rutgers allows 33.3 points (127th), 417.7 total yards (121st), 217.6 passing yards (82nd) and 200.1 rushing yards (127th). On the Rutgers side, Antwan Raymond’s over 13.5 rush attempts at -120 has cleared in 9 of his last 10.

The next College Football slate is on the boardLines, hit rates and the best price across 30+ books for the games still to come. Free daily preview, no account needed. Pro unlocks the full board.
Open the College Football board →

Player stats and form

Season averages and each player’s last 5 games, newest first. Splits: per-game averages (games in brackets); vs the opponent covers this season and last, newest game first.

Michigan Wolverines

Bryce Underwood QB163.7 pass yds · 0.8 TD per game
Date Opp CMP/ATT YDS TD INT RUSH
10/24 vs IU –/– – – – -1
10/17 vs PSU 5/11 43 0 2 11
10/3 @ MINN 10/21 101 0 2 20
9/26 vs IOWA 17/28 276 2 1 36
9/19 vs UTEP 19/25 223 2 0 22
Splits Season Road 2025 vs RUTG
Pass yds 154.0 (6) 101.0 (1) 186.8 (13) –
Pass TD 0.8 (6) 0.0 (1) 0.8 (13) –

Jordan Marshall RB72.4 rush yds · 1.4 rec per game
Date Opp ATT YDS TD REC REC YDS
10/24 vs IU 12 26 0 1 -1
10/17 vs PSU 14 49 1 – –
10/3 @ MINN 10 50 1 – –
9/26 vs IOWA 11 59 0 – –
9/19 vs UTEP 12 59 1 1 16
Splits Season Road 2025 vs RUTG
Rush yds 45.6 (7) 50.0 (1) 84.7 (11) –
Rec 1.3 (3) – 1.3 (7) –

JJ Buchanan WR4.0 rec · 69.4 yds per game
Date Opp TGT REC YDS TD
10/24 vs IU – 6 57 0
10/17 vs PSU – 3 36 0
10/3 @ MINN – 4 50 0
9/26 vs IOWA – 5 130 2
9/19 vs UTEP – 7 92 1
Splits Season Road 2025 vs RUTG
Rec 4.7 (7) 4.0 (1) 2.4 (11) –
Rec yds 77.0 (7) 50.0 (1) 38.8 (11) –

Andrew Marsh WR4.8 rec · 53.0 yds per game
Date Opp TGT REC YDS TD
10/24 vs IU – 3 20 0
10/17 vs PSU – 3 21 0
10/3 @ MINN – 3 29 0
9/26 vs IOWA – 7 106 0
9/19 vs UTEP – 10 105 1
Splits Season Road 2025 vs RUTG
Rec 4.4 (7) 3.0 (1) 5.0 (9) –
Rec yds 44.1 (7) 29.0 (1) 72.3 (9) –

Rutgers Scarlet Knights

Athan Kaliakmanis QB260.3 pass yds · 1.7 TD per game
Splits Season Home 2025 vs MICH
Pass yds – – 260.3 (12) –
Pass TD – – 1.7 (12) –

Antwan Raymond RB103.4 rush yds · 2.0 rec per game
Date Opp ATT YDS TD REC REC YDS
10/24 @ NU 18 150 1 2 27
10/17 @ MD 16 29 1 2 29
10/4 vs IU 11 31 0 2 7
9/25 vs HOW 16 140 3 – –
9/19 vs USC 21 122 1 3 39
Splits Season Home 2025 vs MICH
Rush yds 92.6 (7) 83.8 (4) 103.4 (12) –
Rec 2.2 (6) 2.3 (3) 2.3 (8) –

KJ Duff WR5.9 rec · 111.3 yds per game
Date Opp TGT REC YDS TD
10/24 @ NU – 3 33 0
10/17 @ MD – 9 113 2
10/4 vs IU – 4 78 0
9/25 vs HOW – 5 131 1
9/19 vs USC – 7 86 1
Splits Season Home 2025 vs MICH
Rec 6.4 (7) 6.3 (4) 5.0 (12) –
Rec yds 110.6 (7) 122.8 (4) 90.3 (12) –
DT Sheffield WR3.7 rec · 48.1 yds per game
Splits Season Home 2025 vs MICH
Rec – – 3.7 (12) –
Rec yds – – 48.1 (12) –

Records

Team Record ATS O/U Home Away
Michigan 4-3 3-4 1-6 4-2 0-1
Rutgers 2-5 3-4 5-2 1-3 1-2

This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.

Michigan vs Rutgers head-to-head

Michigan are 1-0 in the last 1 meeting. Last time: Michigan won 31-7 on September 23, 2023.

Date Venue Michigan result ATS O/U
Sep 23, 23 Michigan home W 31-7 – –

Recent form

Michigan Wolverines: last 10 (6-4, 3-5 ATS, O/U 1-7)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Oct 24, 26 vs IU L 6-13 W +7.5 U 43.5
Oct 17, 26 vs PSU W 21-18 L -6 U 43.5
Oct 3, 26 @ MINN L 14-20 L -6.5 U 41.5
Sep 26, 26 vs IOWA L 19-20 L -4.5 U 39.5
Sep 19, 26 vs UTEP W 52-17 W -34.5 O 48.5
Sep 12, 26 vs OU W 17-10 W +5.5 U 43.5
Sep 5, 26 vs WMU W 13-12 L -27.5 U 50.5
Nov 29, 25 vs OSU L 9-27 L +10 U 42.5
Nov 22, 25 @ MD W 45-20 – –
Nov 15, 25 @ NU W 24-22 – –

Rutgers Scarlet Knights: last 10 (3-7, 4-4 ATS, O/U 6-2)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Oct 24, 26 @ NU L 14-42 L +15.5 U 58.5
Oct 17, 26 @ MD W 37-30 W +5.5 O 55.5
Oct 3, 26 vs IU L 15-47 L +24.5 O 56.5
Sep 25, 26 vs HOW W 58-7 W -42.5 O 57.5
Sep 19, 26 vs USC L 35-42 W +21 O 59.5
Sep 11, 26 @ BC L 21-28 L +3 U 53.5
Sep 3, 26 vs MASS L 21-37 L -29.5 O 55.5
Nov 29, 25 vs PSU L 36-40 W +12.5 O 55.5
Nov 22, 25 @ OSU L 9-42 – –
Nov 8, 25 vs MD W 35-20 – –

Injury report

No injuries listed for either team in our data as of 12:01 PM ET.

Matchup ranks

What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.

Michigan defense Rutgers defense
Points allowed per game 16.4 (17th of 136) 32.6 (125th of 136)
Passing yards allowed per game 146 (3rd of 136) 223.6 (89th of 136)
Rushing yards allowed per game 98.9 (17th of 136) 195.3 (125th of 136)
Total yards allowed per game 244.9 (2nd of 136) 418.9 (122nd of 136)

Venue and weather

SHI Stadium · Piscataway, NJOutdoor
The next College Football slate is on the boardLines, hit rates and the best price across 30+ books for the games still to come. Free daily preview, no account needed. Pro unlocks the full board.
Open the College Football board →

Michigan vs Rutgers odds

Line movement from the open

Line Open Close Move
Rutgers spread +14 +16.5 +2.5
Total 47.5 47.5 –
Michigan moneyline -625 -800 +2.7% win chance
Rutgers moneyline +455 +550 -2.6% win chance

DraftKings opening and closing numbers via ESPN.

Line movement chart

Rutgers spread +15.5 → +20.5
Total 45.5 → 45.5
The next College Football slate is on the boardLines, hit rates and the best price across 30+ books for the games still to come. Free daily preview, no account needed. Pro unlocks the full board.
Open the College Football board →

More on these teams: Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs Northwestern Wildcats Oct 24 · Indiana Hoosiers vs Michigan Wolverines Oct 24 · All College Football prop picks

21+. Research, not a guarantee: every bet can lose. Bet within your means; if gambling stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Today's NBA picks

Ziaire WilliamsOVER 9.5 points + assists · vs POR
10/10
Austin ReavesOVER 4.5 points · vs POR
10/10
Ziaire WilliamsOVER 7.5 points · vs POR
10/10
All of today's NBA picks →
Today's prop boardHit rates, matchups and the best price across 30+ books. Free preview of today's props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
Open the board →

Latest

1What Is a Ghost Leg Parlay?
2Goalkeeper Saves Betting: How Saves Props Work
3Is Esports a Sport? The Case Both Ways
4NCAAF Parlay Picks: Build Around Game Script
5Inner Circle Academy vs Gothic Prediction

The morning slate, by email

Join the StatsBench DiscordPicks, results and prop talk, live on game days