Panthers vs Capitals Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Nov 7, 2026)

Florida Panthers logo

Panthers9-7 · 6-10 ATS7th in the East
FINAL3 – 4
Washington Capitals logo

Capitals8-6 · 5-9 ATS12th in the East

NHL · Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 12:30 PM ET · Capital One Arena

Final score by period

Team 1 2 3 T
Panthers 2 0 1 3
Capitals 1 2 1 4

How the bets settled

MoneylineCapitals wonClosed at -130
SpreadPanthers coveredPanthers +1.5, by 0.5
TotalOver 6.57 scored, 0.5 over

Closing line, DraftKings.

Game review

Washington beat Florida 4-3 on November 7, and the game swung in the second period after the Panthers carried a lead out of the first. The Capitals scored twice in the middle frame, then matched Florida’s single goal in the third to close it out.

Pierre-Luc Dubois led Washington with a goal and an assist, while Brady Tkachuk scored twice for Florida and Matthew Tkachuk added three assists. The Capitals blocked more shots and won despite a heavy hits disadvantage and a big penalty-minute gap; Florida’s power play clicked once on five chances, while Washington’s went 0 for 3. Faceoffs were close, with Florida slightly ahead.

For bettors, Washington’s one-goal win meant the Capitals did not cover the closing -1.5 spread, and Florida covered by 0.5. The closing total of 6.5 went over by 0.5.

How the props finished

7 of 12 cleared

Player Line Price Result
Ryan Leonard Over 1.5 shots on goal -161 BetMGM 3 Cleared
Seth Jones Over 0.5 points -117 Kalshi 1 Cleared
Carter Verhaeghe Over 0.5 points -127 Kalshi 0 Missed
Jordan Kyrou Over 0.5 points -132 ESPN BET 0 Missed
Brady Tkachuk Over 0.5 points -150 ESPN BET 2 Cleared
Martin Fehérváry Over 1.5 blocks -150 William Hill 3 Cleared
Sam Reinhart Over 0.5 points -160 ESPN BET 1 Cleared
Matthew Tkachuk Over 0.5 points -180 ESPN BET 3 Cleared
Tom Wilson Over 2.5 hits -139 Stake 0 Missed
Cole Hutson Over 0.5 points +138 BetMGM 0 Missed
Jakob Chychrun Over 0.5 assists +138 Kalshi 0 Missed
Aaron Ekblad Over 1.5 shots on goal +100 BetMGM 3 Cleared

Each player’s top line by recent hit rate before the game, graded against the box score. These are research lines, not posted picks.

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Against the spread, start to finish

CapitalsPanthers
The score margin against the closing spread (Capitals -1.5). Blue: Capitals covering. Orange: Panthers covering.
+2.5Largest FLA cover
76%FLA covering
+0.5Largest WSH cover
24%WSH covering

Top performers

Panthers

  • GoalsBrady Tkachuk2
  • AssistsMatthew Tkachuk3
  • PointsMatthew Tkachuk3

Capitals

  • GoalsPierre-Luc Dubois1
  • AssistsPierre-Luc Dubois1
  • PointsPierre-Luc Dubois2

Team stats

PanthersCapitals
30Shots31
51.8%Faceoffs won48.2%
1Power play goals0
31Hits8
13Blocked shots15
7Takeaways6
21Giveaways19
8Penalty minutes23

Box score

Florida Panthers

Forwards

Player G A SOG S +/- TOI SHFT HT BS TK GV PIM FO%
Sam Bennett C 1 0 0 4 0 18:43 21 3 1 0 3 0 61.9
Lars Eller C 0 0 0 1 0 16:11 18 0 0 0 1 0 44.4
Garnet Hathaway RW 0 0 0 0 0 10:08 12 6 2 1 0 0 0.0
Bokondji Imama LW 0 0 0 1 -1 5:13 6 3 1 0 0 0 0.0
Eetu Luostarinen C 0 0 0 1 0 16:38 20 1 2 1 1 0 50.0
Cole Reinhardt LW 0 0 0 3 0 12:59 15 4 0 2 0 0 0.0
Sam Reinhart C 0 1 0 2 -2 24:45 24 0 0 1 2 2 40.0
Cole Schwindt RW 0 0 0 0 -1 8:24 12 2 0 0 0 0 50.0
Matthew Tkachuk LW 0 3 0 3 1 23:55 23 2 0 1 1 2 0.0
Brady Tkachuk LW 2 0 0 7 1 21:29 22 2 0 0 2 0 42.9
Carter Verhaeghe C 0 0 0 2 -1 21:22 21 3 1 0 0 2 100.0
Sandis Vilmanis LW 0 0 0 0 -1 2:07 4 0 1 0 1 0 0.0

Defenses

Player G A SOG S +/- TOI SHFT HT BS TK GV PIM FO%
Uvis Balinskis D 0 0 0 1 -1 13:22 19 0 0 0 2 2 0.0
Aaron Ekblad D 0 0 0 3 -1 22:16 25 1 3 0 1 0 0.0
Gustav Forsling D 0 0 0 1 -1 19:13 23 1 1 0 0 0 0.0
Seth Jones D 0 1 0 1 0 26:31 26 2 1 1 2 0 0.0
Dmitry Kulikov D 0 0 0 0 -1 12:02 16 1 0 0 1 0 0.0
Niko Mikkola D 0 0 0 0 -1 17:43 20 0 0 0 0 0 0.0

Goalies

Player GA SA SOS SOSA SV SV% ESSV PPSV SHSV TOI YTDG PIM
Akira Schmid G 4 31 0 0 27 .871 20 5 2 58:59 0 0

Washington Capitals

Forwards

Player G A SOG S +/- TOI SHFT HT BS TK GV PIM FO%
Anthony Beauvillier LW 0 0 0 0 -1 13:50 17 1 0 0 0 0 0.0
Pierre-Luc Dubois LW 1 1 0 3 3 15:15 21 0 0 0 1 0 43.8
Boone Jenner C 0 0 0 4 0 14:42 20 0 0 0 1 0 63.6
Jordan Kyrou RW 0 0 0 1 -1 16:38 19 0 0 0 1 0 0.0
Ryan Leonard RW 0 1 0 3 2 14:32 20 0 1 0 1 0 0.0
Alex Ovechkin LW 0 0 0 3 0 14:16 15 0 0 0 0 0 0.0
Aliaksei Protas C 1 1 0 2 3 15:44 25 1 0 1 3 0 0.0
Ilya Protas LW 0 0 0 1 1 6:24 11 0 0 1 0 0 0.0
Justin Sourdif RW 0 0 0 1 0 16:10 19 0 1 2 3 0 60.0
Dylan Strome C 0 0 0 3 -1 17:59 20 0 1 1 2 0 44.4
Alex Tuch RW 1 0 0 3 -1 24:01 27 0 1 1 2 0 66.7
Tom Wilson RW 0 0 0 0 1 2:13 4 0 0 0 0 15 0.0

Defenses

Player G A SOG S +/- TOI SHFT HT BS TK GV PIM FO%
Jakob Chychrun D 0 0 0 2 2 21:57 25 0 2 0 1 0 0.0
Martin Fehervary D 0 0 0 0 -1 22:35 25 2 3 0 3 2 0.0
Cole Hutson D 0 0 0 2 1 16:19 23 1 1 0 0 4 0.0
Timothy Liljegren D 0 0 0 0 0 15:57 19 0 2 0 0 0 0.0
Matt Roy D 0 0 0 1 1 24:38 27 2 0 0 0 2 0.0
Jack St. Ivany D 1 0 0 2 1 13:50 17 1 3 0 1 0 0.0

Goalies

Player GA SA SOS SOSA SV SV% ESSV PPSV SHSV TOI YTDG PIM
Logan Thompson G 3 30 0 0 27 .900 16 11 0 60:00 0 0

Attendance 18,347 · Officials: Carter Sandlak, Jake Brenk, Tyson Baker, Travis Toomey

Highlights

Play-by-play on ESPN

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this game. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Top Panthers vs Capitals player props

Player Prop Best price Last 10 Last 5 Projection
Ryan Leonard WSH Over 1.5 shots on goal -175 BetMGM 100% (10/10) 100% –
Seth Jones FLA Over 0.5 points -117 Kalshi 80% (8/10) 80% 0.9
Carter Verhaeghe FLA Over 0.5 points -120 DraftKings 80% (8/10) 100% 0.9
Jordan Kyrou WSH Over 0.5 points -132 ESPN BET 80% (8/10) 80% 0.8
Brady Tkachuk FLA Over 0.5 points -150 ESPN BET 80% (8/10) 80% 0.8

Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent games. Projection = StatsBench’s model estimate for tonight. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 3:20 PM ET.

Betting trends

From each team’s last 10 games and recent meetings, against the closing line.

Trade Panthers vs Capitals on PolymarketPrediction-market prices on the game and player props, often sharper than a sportsbook’s.

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Panthers vs Capitals pre-game preview

Florida Panthers visit Washington Capitals on Saturday, November 7 at 12:30 PM ET. Below: the best available lines, the injury report, how each defense ranks, and the player props with the strongest recent hit rates for this game.

The next NHL slate is on the boardLines, hit rates and the best price across 30+ books for the games still to come. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.

Player stats and form

Season averages and each player’s last 5 games, newest first. Splits: per-game averages (games in brackets); vs the opponent covers this season and last, newest game first.

Florida Panthers

Matthew Tkachuk L1.4 PTS · 2.1 SOG · 0.3 G per game
Date Opp TOI G A SOG HIT
11/4 vs CHI 15:12 0 1 3 1
11/2 vs DET 20:31 0 1 1 3
10/30 vs WPG 16:53 0 0 2 1
10/27 @ WPG 16:45 0 4 1 0
10/25 @ CHI 18:27 1 0 3 2
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs WSH
PTS 1.4 (16) 1.5 (10) 1.1 (31) –
SOG 2.1 (16) 1.8 (10) 2.8 (31) –

Seth Jones D1.2 PTS · 2.6 SOG · 0.2 G per game
Date Opp TOI G A SOG HIT
11/4 vs CHI 21:36 1 0 4 0
11/2 vs DET 27:23 0 0 0 1
10/30 vs WPG 24:16 1 2 1 0
10/27 @ WPG 25:02 0 3 3 2
10/25 @ CHI 24:55 0 1 4 2
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs WSH
PTS 1.2 (16) 1.2 (10) 0.6 (52) 2.0 (2)
2 · 2
SOG 2.6 (16) 2.7 (10) 1.7 (52) 3.0 (2)
1 · 5

Brady Tkachuk L1.1 PTS · 3.2 SOG · 0.5 G per game
Date Opp TOI G A SOG HIT
11/4 vs CHI 16:57 0 1 3 8
11/2 vs DET 19:20 0 1 2 7
10/30 vs WPG 14:58 0 0 6 3
10/27 @ WPG 16:17 1 2 1 2
10/25 @ CHI 14:48 0 1 1 5
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs WSH
PTS 1.1 (16) 1.0 (10) 0.9 (64) 0.0 (2)
0 · 0
SOG 3.2 (16) 2.6 (10) 3.6 (64) 3.0 (2)
3 · 3

Washington Capitals

Jordan Kyrou R1.0 PTS · 1.6 SOG · 0.4 G per game
Date Opp TOI G A SOG HIT
11/3 vs DAL 17:03 1 2 1 0
11/1 vs MIN 14:56 0 0 0 0
10/29 @ NSH 14:31 0 1 4 1
10/28 vs PHI 15:34 2 0 3 1
10/24 vs BUF 16:51 0 2 3 0
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs FLA
PTS 1.0 (14) 1.3 (10) 0.6 (72) 3.0 (1)
3
SOG 1.6 (14) 1.5 (10) 2.4 (72) 3.0 (1)
3

Dylan Strome C1.0 PTS · 2.1 SOG · 0.2 G per game
Date Opp TOI G A SOG HIT
11/3 vs DAL 17:48 0 2 3 0
11/1 vs MIN 18:28 0 0 0 0
10/29 @ NSH 15:54 0 0 0 0
10/28 vs PHI 15:48 0 3 2 0
10/24 vs BUF 20:59 2 1 5 0
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs FLA
PTS 1.0 (14) 1.1 (10) 0.7 (80) 1.0 (3)
0 · 3 · 0
SOG 2.1 (14) 2.5 (10) 1.8 (80) 2.3 (3)
2 · 4 · 1

Alex Tuch R0.9 PTS · 2.8 SOG · 0.7 G per game
Date Opp TOI G A SOG HIT
11/3 vs DAL 18:34 0 0 2 2
11/1 vs MIN 18:15 0 0 4 1
10/29 @ NSH 17:18 1 0 1 2
10/28 vs PHI 18:41 2 0 5 1
10/24 vs BUF 22:32 2 0 3 2
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs FLA
PTS 0.9 (14) 0.9 (10) 0.8 (92) 1.3 (4)
2 · 1 · 1 · 1
SOG 2.8 (14) 3.2 (10) 2.6 (92) 2.8 (4)
6 · 1 · 2 · 2

Records

Team Record ATS O/U Home Away
Panthers 9-7 6-10 8-8 4-2 5-5
Capitals 8-6 5-9 9-5 6-4 2-2

This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.

Panthers vs Capitals head-to-head

Panthers are 6-3, 3-2 ATS, O/U 4-1 in the last 9 meetings. Last time: Panthers won 5-2 on January 17, 2026.

Date Venue Panthers result ATS O/U
Jan 17, 26 Capitals home W 5-2 W +1.5 O 6.5
Dec 29, 25 Panthers home W 5-3 W -1.5 O 5.5
Nov 13, 25 Panthers home W 6-3 – –
Mar 22, 25 Capitals home L 3-6 – –
Feb 4, 25 Capitals home L 3-6 – –
Nov 25, 24 Panthers home L 1-4 – –
Feb 24, 24 Panthers home W 3-2 L -1.5 U 5.5
Feb 8, 24 Panthers home W 4-2 W -1.5 O 5.5
Nov 8, 23 Capitals home W 4-3 L -1.5 O 5.5

Recent form

Florida Panthers: last 10 (7-3, 5-5 ATS, O/U 6-4)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Nov 4, 26 vs CHI W 5-3 W -1.5 O 5.5
Nov 2, 26 vs DET L 3-5 L -1.5 O 5.5
Oct 30, 26 vs WPG W 5-2 W -1.5 O 6.5
Oct 27, 26 @ WPG W 5-1 W -1.5 U 6.5
Oct 25, 26 @ CHI W 3-2 L -1.5 U 6.5
Oct 22, 26 @ PIT L 0-4 L +1.5 U 6.5
Oct 21, 26 @ OTT L 1-5 L +1.5 O 5.5
Oct 17, 26 vs SEA W 8-3 W -1.5 O 6.5
Oct 15, 26 vs VAN W 3-2 L -1.5 U 6.5
Oct 13, 26 @ CBJ W 7-3 W +1.5 O 5.5

Washington Capitals: last 10 (5-5, 2-8 ATS, O/U 7-3)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Nov 3, 26 vs DAL L 5-6 L -1.5 O 5.5
Nov 1, 26 vs MIN L 1-5 L +1.5 U 6.5
Oct 29, 26 @ NSH W 4-3 L -1.5 O 6.5
Oct 28, 26 vs PHI W 5-2 W -1.5 O 5.5
Oct 24, 26 vs BUF W 4-3 L -1.5 O 6.5
Oct 20, 26 vs LA L 2-5 L -1.5 O 5.5
Oct 17, 26 vs NJ W 4-2 W -1.5 U 6.5
Oct 14, 26 vs MTL W 5-4 L -1.5 O 6.5
Oct 13, 26 @ CAR L 2-4 L +1.5 U 6.5
Oct 11, 26 vs SEA L 3-5 L -1.5 O 6.5

Injury report

Florida Panthers

  • Jonah Gadjovich (L): Injured Reserve, Gadjovich
  • Brad Marchand (L): Injured Reserve, Head coach Paul Maurice said Friday that Marchand
  • Anton Lundell (C): Out, Lundell
  • Aleksander Barkov (C): Injured Reserve, Head coach Paul Maurice said Friday that Barkov

Washington Capitals

  • Vincent Desharnais (D): Injured Reserve, Abdomen
  • Rasmus Sandin (D): Injured Reserve, Sandin

Matchup ranks

What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.

Panthers defense Capitals defense
Goals allowed per game 2.94 (9th of 32) 3.43 (23rd of 32)
Shots on goal allowed per game 24.19 (3rd of 32) 27.64 (19th of 32)
Points allowed per game 7.69 (8th of 32) 9.29 (25th of 32)
Power-play points allowed per game 1.88 (12th of 32) 2 (15th of 32)
Pace (possessions) 52.9 (26th) 55.2 (14th)

Venue and weather

Capital One Arena · Washington, DCIndoor, weather won’t matter
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Panthers vs Capitals odds

Line movement from the open

Line Open Close Move
Capitals spread -1.5 -1.5 –
Total 6.5 6.5 –
Panthers moneyline +105 +110 -1.2% win chance
Capitals moneyline -125 -130 +1% win chance

DraftKings opening and closing numbers via ESPN.

Line movement chart

Capitals spread -1.5 → -1.5
Total 6.5 → 6.5
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More on these teams: Chicago Blackhawks vs Florida Panthers Nov 4 · Dallas Stars vs Washington Capitals Nov 3 · All NHL prop picks

Betting guides: NHL player props guide · NHL shots on goal strategy · NHL points props guide · how parlays work

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