Parma vs Bologna Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Nov 7, 2026)

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this match. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Top Parma vs Bologna player props

Player	Prop	Best price	Last 10	Last 5
Lewis Ferguson Bologna	Over 1.5 tackles	-130 DraftKings	80% (8/10)	60%
Federico Bernardeschi Bologna	Over 0.5 shots on target	-149 BetRivers	70% (7/10)	60%
Mandela Keita Parma	Over 1.5 fouls won	-150 DraftKings	70% (7/10)	40%
Christian Ordóñez Parma	Over 0.5 shots	-175 DraftKings	70% (7/10)	60%
Edoardo Corvi Parma	Over 2.5 saves	-180 DraftKings	70% (7/10)	80%

Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent matches. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 9:23 AM ET.

Key matchups

From the predicted lineups: each winger against the full-back he faces, the strikers against the centre-backs. Each white tick marks the league average per match. The lower bars show how often the player cleared the line over his recent matches, green at 70% or better.

Romero vs Darmian and Casale and Theate

RomeroStriker, Parma

VS

DarmianCentre-back, Bologna

CasaleCentre-back, Bologna

TheateCentre-back, Bologna

Even matchupDarmian and Casale and Theate give away 0.9 fouls a match, 8% more than the average defender (0.8). Romero draws plenty himself, at 1.0, which points to about 1.1 fouls drawn here, against a line of 1.5.

1.0Fouls drawn vs given0.9

2.0Shots vs tackles1.1

Fouls won over 1.53/8avg 1 · -145

Shots over 2.53/8avg 2 · +125

Shots on target over 0.55/8avg 1.3 · -125

Fouls committed over 0.54/10avg 0.5 · -240

Tackles over 1.52/10avg 0.7 · -120

Yellow card over 0.50/10avg 0 · +550

Fouls committed over 1.54/10avg 1.4 · -110

Tackles over 1.54/10avg 1.2 · +120

Yellow card over 0.50/10avg 0 · +450

Fouls committed over 0.54/7avg 0.7 · -265

Tackles over 1.53/7avg 1.3 · +100

Yellow card over 0.51/7avg 0.1 · +400

Odgaard vs Delprato and Troilo and Ndiaye

OdgaardStriker, Bologna

VS

DelpratoCentre-back, Parma

TroiloCentre-back, Parma

NdiayeCentre-back, Parma

Even matchupDelprato and Troilo and Ndiaye give away 0.8 fouls a match, about the same as the average defender (0.8). Odgaard draws plenty himself, at 1.4, which points to about 1.5 fouls drawn here, against a line of 1.5.

1.4Fouls drawn vs given0.8

1.3Shots vs tackles1.3

Fouls won over 1.55/10avg 1.4 · +105

Shots over 2.52/10avg 1.3 · +120

Shots on target over 0.54/10avg 0.4 · +120

Fouls committed over 1.51/10avg 0.4 · +115

Tackles over 1.53/10avg 1.1 · -170

Yellow card over 0.52/10avg 0.2 · +550

Fouls committed over 1.51/10avg 0.8 · +100

Tackles over 1.54/10avg 1.4 · -115

Yellow card over 0.53/10avg 0.3 · +265

Fouls committed over 1.55/10avg 1.3 · -125

Tackles over 1.54/10avg 1.5 · -200

Yellow card over 0.53/10avg 0.3 · +500

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Predicted lineups

Predicted XIs; the official lineups post about an hour before kickoff and this page updates then. The badge on each player: how often he cleared his strongest prop line (named under him) over his recent matches; green at 70% or better.

Parma 3-4-2-1Bologna 3-4-2-1

30 Daffara

6/1015 DelpratoShots 0.5+

37 Troilo

5/103 NdiayeFouls 1.5+

27 Britschgi

4/74 SierroFouls 1.5+

7/1016 KeitaFouls won 1.5+

5/1014 ValeriTackles 1.5+

80 Fabbian

6/1019 ToureSOT 0.5+

5/89 RomeroSOT 0.5+

1 Skorupski

5/1036 DarmianFouls won 0.5+

6/1016 CasaleFouls won 0.5+

3 Theate

5/1020 ZorteaTackles 1.5+

8/1019 FergusonTackles 1.5+

5/104 PobegaSOT 0.5+

6/1033 MirandaTackles 1.5+

7/1010 BernardeschiSOT 0.5+

28 Cambiaghi

5/1021 OdgaardFouls won 1.5+

Parma missing: A. Bernabe (thigh), L. Valenti (coach’s decision)

Bologna missing: E. Holm (thigh), R. Piccoli (hamstring)

Form and head to head

Parma15th in the tableWDLLL2W 2D 6L · 0.80 points a match

4meetings

2 wins1 draw1 win

Bologna9th in the tableWWWLW4W 2D 4L · 1.40 points a match

50%Over 1.52/4

25%Over 2.51/4

25%Over 3.51/4

25%Both scored1/4

• Feb 2026BOL 0-1 PRM
• Nov 2025PRM 1-3 BOL
• Feb 2025PRM 2-0 BOL
• Oct 2024BOL 0-0 PRM

Clean sheets and goal trends

Attack and defense

Attacking

ParmaBologna

20%Win %40%

41%Possession %48%

40%Both teams scored %60%

20%Scored first %50%

• 0.8Scored per match1.4
• 9.4Shots per match10.7
• 3.3Shots on target per match4.0
• 1.0Big chances per match2.2

Defensive

ParmaBologna

60%Loss %40%

50%Failed to score %30%

20%Clean sheet %10%

70%Conceded first %50%

• 1.5Conceded per match1.3
• 15.7Shots against per match10.1
• 14.7Tackles per match17.0
• 10.5Fouls per match13.1

Per-match rates this season. Each spoke of the charts is scaled to the higher of the two clubs.

Recent results

Last five Serie A results, most recent first.

Season numbers

This season, 10 and 10 matches.

Referee

Luca Zufferli averages 2.7 yellow cards and 22.6 fouls per match over 10 matches this season (league average 3.1 and 21.6), lighter with cards than most.

Injury report

Parma

• Adrián Bernabé (M): Out, Muscle Injury
• Dominik Drobnic (D): Day-To-Day, Leg Injury

Bologna

• Emil Holm (D): Out, Hamstring Injury
• Jay Enem (F): Day-To-Day, Muscle Injury
• Lorenzo De Silvestri (D): Day-To-Day, Thigh Injury

Parma vs Bologna odds by sportsbook

Book	PAR ML	BOL ML	Over	Under
bet365	+350	-120	O 2.5 +110	U 2.5 -137
BetRivers	+330	-118	O 2.25 -116	U 2.25 -114
DraftKings	+330	-120	O 2.5 +110	U 2.5 -140
FanDuel	+360	-125	O 2.5 +110	U 2.5 -134
Fanatics	+350	-120	O 2.5 +110	U 2.5 -145

Highlighted: the best price in each column as of 9:23 AM ET. Prices move; check the book before you bet.

Line movement since we first listed this match (Fri 6:08 AM ET): Parma moneyline +370 → +360.

Goal lines and both teams to score

Both teams to score: yes -105, no -120

Line movement chart