The market makes San Francisco a 9.5-point favorite with a 52.5 total, while the DraftKings line has moved from SF -8.5 and 46.5 to SF -10 and 51.5. Las Vegas is 4-4 and 6-2 ATS this season, with a 5-5 straight-up and 7-3 ATS last 10 plus a most recent 38-33 win at the Jets. San Francisco is 6-1 and 4-3 ATS, with an 8-2 straight-up and 5-5 ATS last 10 and a most recent 20-29 loss at Atlanta.
The clearest defensive split is on the ground and on the scoreboard: Las Vegas allows 28.8 points and 146.4 rushing yards per game, both 31st, while San Francisco allows 19.9 points and 89 rushing yards, fifth in both. San Francisco also lists Aiyuk out, Guerendo PUP-R and several IR placements, adding personnel uncertainty.
Prop angles worth tracking include Jack Bech over 8.5 longest reception at -108, cleared it 9 of last 10, and Brock Purdy over 15.5 rushing yards at -105, cleared it 8 of last 10.
Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent games. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 11:38 AM ET.
The rest of the Raiders vs 49ers propsHit rates, matchups and the best price across 30+ books. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
Each player’s lines against what this defense allows to his position this season. The ranks run from the defense allowing the fewest to the one allowing the most. Bars show how often he cleared the line over his recent games, green at 70% or better.
Ashton Jeanty vs 49ers
Ashton JeantyRB, LV
VS
49ersDefense vs running backs
Good matchup for Ashton Jeanty49ers allow 50.6 receiving yards a game to running backs, the most in the league. Jeanty averages 39.6 against a line of 35.5.
Toughest32nd of 32, receiving yardsSoftest
Receiving yards over 35.57/10avg 39.6 · 32nd of 32 vs RB · -112
Rushing yards over 26.57/10avg 48.4 · 9th of 32 vs RB · -110
Receptions over 4.53/10avg 4.2 · 32nd of 32 vs RB · +122
George Kittle vs Raiders
George KittleTE, SF
VS
RaidersDefense vs tight ends
Good matchup for George KittleRaiders allow 1.0 receiving touchdowns a game to tight ends, 3rd most in the league. Kittle averages 0.6 against a line of 0.5.
Toughest30th of 32, receiving touchdownsSoftest
Receiving tds over 0.55/10avg 0.6 · 30th of 32 vs TE · -121
Receiving yards over 70.54/10avg 57.5 · 18th of 32 vs TE · -110
Receptions over 5.53/10avg 4.7 · 30th of 32 vs TE · -127
Christian McCaffrey vs Raiders
Christian McCaffreyRB, SF
VS
RaidersDefense vs running backs
Good matchup for Christian McCaffreyRaiders allow 1.0 rushing touchdowns a game to running backs, 5th most in the league. McCaffrey averages 0.8 against a line of 0.5.
Toughest28th of 32, rushing touchdownsSoftest
Rushing tds over 0.56/10avg 0.8 · 28th of 32 vs RB · -153
Receiving yards over 39.55/10avg 39 · 18th of 32 vs RB · +100
Receptions over 5.54/10avg 5.1 · 9th of 32 vs RB · +125
Brock Bowers vs 49ers
Brock BowersTE, LV
VS
49ersDefense vs tight ends
Even matchup49ers allow 0.3 receiving touchdowns a game to tight ends, 13th fewest in the league. Bowers averages 0.9 against a line of 0.5.
Toughest13th of 32, receiving touchdownsSoftest
Receiving tds over 0.57/10avg 0.9 · 13th of 32 vs TE · +116
Receiving yards over 76.54/10avg 71.7 · 7th of 32 vs TE · -105
Receptions over 6.53/10avg 6 · 22nd of 32 vs TE · -115
Brock Purdy vs Raiders
Brock PurdyQB, SF
VS
RaidersDefense vs quarterbacks
Even matchupRaiders allow 13 rushing yards a game to quarterbacks, 11th fewest in the league. Purdy averages 24.3 against a line of 15.5.
Toughest11th of 32, rushing yardsSoftest
Rushing yards over 15.58/10avg 24.3 · 11th of 32 vs QB · -105
Passing yards over 241.55/10avg 227.7 · 25th of 32 vs QB · -104
Passing tds over 2.52/10avg 1.7 · 30th of 32 vs QB · +145
Michael Mayer vs 49ers
Michael MayerTE, LV
VS
49ersDefense vs tight ends
Tough matchup for Michael Mayer49ers allow 43.6 receiving yards a game to tight ends, 7th fewest in the league. Mayer averages 48.7 against a line of 29.5.
Toughest7th of 32, receiving yardsSoftest
Receiving yards over 29.58/10avg 48.7 · 7th of 32 vs TE · +104
Receptions over 3.55/10avg 4.8 · 22nd of 32 vs TE · +125
Receiving tds over 0.51/10avg 0.1 · 13th of 32 vs TE · +280
Betting trends
The over has hit in 6 straight Raiders games.
Raiders are 7-3 against the spread in their last 10.
The over is 7-3 in Raiders’ last 10 games.
From each team’s last 10 games and recent meetings, against the closing line.
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Raiders vs 49ers defense vs position
What each defense allows per game this season to everyone listed at a position, combined, so a row covers more than the starter. The small number is the rank across 32 teams: 1st allows the fewest. Green is the softest third of the league, red the toughest.
Raiders defense facing the 49ers
Pos
Pass yds
Rush yds
Rec yds
Catches
TDs
QB
250.825th
13.011th
–
–
2.330th
RB
–
129.532nd
33.518th
3.89th
1.028th
WR
–
–
161.524th
10.19th
1.328th
TE
–
–
55.818th
6.930th
1.030th
Softest spot: 129.5 rushing yards a game to running backs, the most in the league.
Toughest spot: 3.8 receptions a game to running backs, 9th fewest in the league.
49ers defense facing the Raiders
Pos
Pass yds
Rush yds
Rec yds
Catches
TDs
QB
223.910th
6.02nd
–
–
1.417th
RB
–
78.69th
50.632nd
7.032nd
0.32nd
WR
–
–
129.78th
10.715th
0.916th
TE
–
–
43.67th
6.022nd
0.313th
Softest spot: 50.6 receiving yards a game to running backs, the most in the league.
Toughest spot: 6.0 rushing yards a game to quarterbacks, 2nd fewest in the league.
The props these matchups touchEvery NFL line beside its hit rate and matchup. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
Season averages and each player’s last 5 games, newest first. Splits: per-game averages (games in brackets); vs the opponent covers this season and last, newest game first.
Las Vegas Raiders
Kirk Cousins QB231.4 pass yds · 1.8 TD per game
Date
Opp
CMP/ATT
YDS
TD
INT
RUSH
11/1
@ NYJ
19/26
247
3
0
3
10/25
vs LAR
26/44
295
2
0
6
10/18
vs BUF
23/41
313
2
1
0
10/11
@ NE
19/28
243
1
0
0
10/4
vs KC
31/52
365
2
1
0
Splits
Season
Road
2025
vs SF
Pass yds
265.5 (8)
247.8 (4)
172.1 (10)
–
Pass TD
2.4 (8)
2.5 (4)
1.0 (10)
–
Ashton Jeanty RB47.5 rush yds · 4.3 rec per game
Date
Opp
ATT
YDS
TD
REC
REC YDS
11/1
@ NYJ
2
9
0
3
64
10/25
vs LAR
8
15
0
8
61
10/18
vs BUF
10
22
1
4
36
10/11
@ NE
10
27
0
3
50
10/4
vs KC
15
58
0
6
68
Splits
Season
Road
2025
vs SF
Rush yds
42.1 (8)
35.0 (4)
57.4 (17)
–
Rec
4.6 (8)
3.3 (4)
3.2 (17)
–
Brock Bowers TE6.0 rec · 69.4 yds per game
Date
Opp
TGT
REC
YDS
TD
11/1
@ NYJ
10
7
92
2
10/25
vs LAR
8
6
73
0
10/18
vs BUF
9
4
70
0
10/11
@ NE
10
8
110
1
10/4
vs KC
11
6
86
1
Splits
Season
Road
2025
vs SF
Rec
6.8 (6)
8.3 (3)
5.3 (12)
–
Rec yds
91.2 (6)
106.0 (3)
56.7 (12)
–
Tre Tucker WR3.3 rec · 46.3 yds per game
Date
Opp
TGT
REC
YDS
TD
11/1
@ NYJ
1
0
0
0
10/25
vs LAR
12
5
103
1
10/18
vs BUF
7
5
97
2
10/11
@ NE
5
4
41
0
10/4
vs KC
8
4
44
0
Splits
Season
Road
2025
vs SF
Rec
3.6 (8)
3.3 (4)
3.4 (17)
–
Rec yds
59.3 (8)
50.8 (4)
40.9 (17)
–
San Francisco 49ers
Brock Purdy QB239.5 pass yds · 2.1 TD per game
Date
Opp
CMP/ATT
YDS
TD
INT
RUSH
10/25
@ ATL
27/40
288
1
2
5
10/20
vs WSH
21/29
264
1
0
28
10/11
@ SEA
19/29
189
2
1
6
10/4
vs DEN
19/30
218
2
0
29
9/27
vs ARI
15/27
297
4
0
34
Splits
Season
Home
2025
vs LV
Pass yds
249.7 (7)
266.5 (4)
233.5 (11)
–
Pass TD
2.1 (7)
2.3 (4)
2.0 (11)
–
Christian McCaffrey RB62.2 rush yds · 5.0 rec per game
Date
Opp
ATT
YDS
TD
REC
REC YDS
10/25
@ ATL
7
39
1
6
61
10/20
vs WSH
16
64
2
9
53
10/11
@ SEA
11
68
1
3
15
10/4
vs DEN
15
52
1
3
18
9/27
vs ARI
15
75
1
4
41
Splits
Season
Home
2025
vs LV
Rush yds
55.6 (7)
53.5 (4)
67.6 (19)
–
Rec
4.9 (7)
5.0 (4)
5.9 (19)
–
George Kittle TE5.1 rec · 60.8 yds per game
Date
Opp
TGT
REC
YDS
TD
10/25
@ ATL
10
8
88
0
10/20
vs WSH
8
5
69
1
10/11
@ SEA
6
5
24
0
10/4
vs DEN
6
4
70
1
9/27
vs ARI
7
6
82
2
Splits
Season
Home
2025
vs LV
Rec
4.9 (7)
4.8 (4)
4.8 (12)
–
Rec yds
60.7 (7)
75.3 (4)
52.8 (12)
–
Mike Evans WR4.1 rec · 58.4 yds per game
Date
Opp
TGT
REC
YDS
TD
10/20
vs WSH
5
3
94
0
10/11
@ SEA
10
7
113
1
10/4
vs DEN
8
5
76
0
9/27
vs ARI
6
3
34
1
9/20
vs MIA
3
3
54
0
Splits
Season
Home
2025
vs LV
Rec
4.5 (6)
3.5 (4)
3.8 (8)
–
Rec yds
70.0 (6)
64.5 (4)
46.0 (8)
–
Records
Team
Record
ATS
O/U
Home
Away
Raiders
4-4
6-2
6-2
1-3
3-1
49ers
6-1
4-3
3-4
4-0
2-1
This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.
Recent form
Las Vegas Raiders: last 10 (5-5, 7-3 ATS, O/U 7-3)
Date
Opponent
Result
ATS
O/U
Nov 1, 26
@ NYJ
W 38-33
W +1.5
O 46.5
Oct 25, 26
vs LAR
L 21-35
L +3.5
O 49.5
Oct 18, 26
vs BUF
L 30-33
W +5.5
O 54.5
Oct 11, 26
@ NE
L 17-45
L +3.5
O 45.5
Oct 4, 26
vs KC
L 27-30
W +3.5
O 47.5
Sep 27, 26
@ NO
W 35-27
W +3.5
O 44.5
Sep 20, 26
@ LAC
W 26-14
W +6.5
U 43.5
Sep 13, 26
vs MIA
W 27-13
W -3
U 40.5
Jan 4, 26
vs KC
W 14-12
W +3.5
U 35.5
Dec 28, 25
vs NYG
L 10-34
L +3
O 40.5
San Francisco 49ers: last 10 (8-2, 5-5 ATS, O/U 5-5)
Date
Opponent
Result
ATS
O/U
Oct 25, 26
@ ATL
L 20-29
L -2.5
U 49.5
Oct 19, 26
vs WSH
W 23-17
L -7.5
U 51.5
Oct 11, 26
@ SEA
W 32-29
W +3
O 46.5
Oct 4, 26
vs DEN
W 24-14
W -3
U 48.5
Sep 27, 26
vs ARI
W 36-30
L -7.5
O 48.5
Sep 20, 26
vs MIA
W 35-13
W -12.5
O 44.5
Sep 10, 26
@ LAR
W 27-7
W +3.5
U 47.5
Jan 3, 26
vs SEA
L 3-13
L +2.5
U 48.5
Dec 28, 25
vs CHI
W 42-38
L -4.5
O 51.5
Dec 22, 25
@ IND
W 48-27
W -4.5
O 46.5
Injury report
Las Vegas Raiders
Chris Collier (RB): IR, Collier
Chigozie Anusiem (CB): IR, The Raiders placed Anusiem
Brennan Jackson (LB): IR, ir
Darien Porter (CB): Questionable, Porter
Justin Pickett (G): IR
Keyron Crawford (DE): IR, The Raiders placed Crawford
Patrick Johnson (DE): IR, The Raiders placed Johnson
Thomas Booker IV (DT): Out, Booker
San Francisco 49ers
Isaac Guerendo (RB): PUP-R, Guerendo
Brandon Aiyuk (WR): Out, Prior to meeting with 49ers officials Friday, Aiyuk
Andrew Farmer II (DE): IR, San Francisco placed Farmer
Darrick Forrest (S): IR, San Francisco placed Forrest
Mikail Kamara (DE): IR
Sam Okuayinonu (DT): IR, Okuayinonu broke his foot in practice last week and is set to have surgery to repair the issue, Matt Barrows of The Athletic reports
Nate Hobbs (CB): IR-R, San Francisco didn’t activate Hobbs
Austen Pleasants (OT): IR-R, The 49ers placed Pleasants
Nick Zakelj (OT): IR, Zakelj
Alfred Collins (DT): IR, San Francisco placed Collins
De’Zhaun Stribling (WR): IR, Stribling
Jake Tonges (TE): IR, Tonges
C.J. West (DT): IR, The 49ers placed West
Deebo Samuel Sr. (WR): Out, Samuel
Mike Evans (WR): Out, Evans
Upton Stout (CB): Questionable, Stout
Christian Kirk (WR): IR, The 49ers placed Kirk
Ricky Pearsall (WR): IR, Pearsall announced Thursday in a post on his personal Instagram account that he underwent season-ending surgery to repair the PCL in his right knee, David Lombardi of SFStandard
Nick Martin (LB): IR, Head coach Kyle Shanahan said Monday that Martin’s
Siran Neal (S): Questionable, questionable
Matchup ranks
What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.
Raiders defense
49ers defense
Points allowed per game
28.8 (31st of 32)
19.9 (5th of 32)
Passing yards allowed per game
250.8 (25th of 32)
223.9 (10th of 32)
Rushing yards allowed per game
146.4 (31st of 32)
89 (5th of 32)
Receptions allowed per game
20.8 (12th of 32)
23.7 (27th of 32)
Venue and weather
Levi’s Stadium · Santa Clara, CAOutdoor
81°Fpartly cloudyWind 8 mphRain 63%
Forecast for the start time (Open-Meteo); it can change before the game.
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Line movement from the open
Line
Open
Now
Move
49ers spread
-8.5
-9.5
-1
Total
46.5
51.5
+5
Raiders moneyline
+330
+340
-0.5% win chance
49ers moneyline
-425
-440
+0.5% win chance
DraftKings opening and current numbers via ESPN.
Line movement chart
49ers spread -9.5 → -9.5Total 52.5 → 52.5
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Kalshi
Hard Rock
ESPN BET
Fanatics
Ashton JeantyRB, LV
George KittleTE, SF
Christian McCaffreyRB, SF
Brock BowersTE, LV
Brock PurdyQB, SF
Michael MayerTE, LV
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