Raptors vs Nuggets Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Nov 4, 2026)

Final score by quarter

Team	1	2	3	4	T
Raptors	35	32	15	27	109
Nuggets	33	31	41	23	128

How the bets settled

Closing line, DraftKings.

Game review

Denver beat Toronto 128-109, and the game swung in the third quarter. Toronto led at halftime and by as many as 10, but Denver took control after the break and kept it.

Nikola Jokic led Denver with 32 points, 11 assists and 10 rebounds. RJ Barrett paced Toronto with 22 points, Immanuel Quickley had 7 assists and Scottie Barnes grabbed 6 rebounds. The team stats show why Denver pulled away: the Nuggets shot 62 percent from the field to Toronto’s 49, won the rebound battle 36-28, held a 35-29 assist edge and owned points in the paint 76-46.

For bettors, Denver covered the closing 4.5-point spread by 14.5, and the game went over the closing 230.5 total by 6.5.

How the props finished

3 of 7 cleared

Player	Line	Price	Result
Ja’Kobe Walter	Over 0.5 steals	-286 BetRivers	0 Missed
Jamal Shead	Over 6.5 rebounds + assists	-114 BetRivers	9 Cleared
RJ Barrett	Over 7.5 field goals made	-160 Fanatics	7 Missed
Trevon Brazile	Over 5.5 points	-104 bet105	6 Cleared
Immanuel Quickley	Over 0.5 steals	-250 Fanatics	2 Cleared
Scottie Barnes	Over 29.5 points + assists	+108 BetRivers	23 Missed
DeMar DeRozan	Over 4.5 rebounds + assists	-115 prophetexchange	Did not play
Aaron Gordon	Over 7.5 rebounds + assists	-134 prophetexchange	1 Missed

Each player’s top line by recent hit rate before the game, graded against the box score. These are research lines, not posted picks.

Against the spread, start to finish

Win probability

Top performers

Team stats

RaptorsNuggets

49%FG%62%

35%3P%39%

68%FT%85%

28Rebounds36

29Assists35

46Points in the paint76

11Fast break points12

16Turnovers15

10Steals11

1Blocks1

10Biggest lead27

Box score

Toronto RaptorsDenver Nuggets

Toronto Raptors

Player	MIN	PTS	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	TO	STL	BLK	OREB	DREB	PF	+/-
RJ Barrett F	33	22	7-17	3-7	5-8	5	3	0	0	0	2	3	4	-15
Scottie Barnes F	32	17	7-15	1-2	2-4	6	6	5	3	0	1	5	1	-23
Collin Murray-Boyles F	23	13	6-10	1-2	0-0	3	2	2	0	0	2	1	3	-4
Immanuel Quickley G	32	13	5-12	2-8	1-1	1	7	1	2	0	0	1	2	-29
Ja’Kobe Walter G	27	8	3-8	1-6	1-2	1	2	2	0	0	1	0	1	-9
Bench
Kyle Anderson F	4	2	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	+7
Trayce Jackson-Davis F	4	1	0-0	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	+7
Jamison Battle F	19	9	3-5	2-4	1-1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	-14
Allen Graves F	14	5	2-4	1-3	0-0	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	2	+5
Jakob Poeltl C	19	8	4-5	0-0	0-0	5	1	0	0	0	1	4	4	-11
Jamal Shead G	20	3	1-3	1-2	0-0	3	6	3	1	0	1	2	2	-17
Jaden Bradley G	4	2	0-0	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	+7
Alijah Martin G	9	6	2-3	0-0	2-2	1	0	2	0	1	1	0	1	+1
Total		109	41-84	12-34	15-22	28	29	15	10	1	10	18	23

Team shooting: FG 49% · 3PT 35% · FT 68%

Denver Nuggets

Player	MIN	PTS	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	TO	STL	BLK	OREB	DREB	PF	+/-
Aaron Gordon F	25	17	7-9	1-2	2-2	1	0	1	2	1	0	1	2	+9
Cameron Johnson F	30	12	4-10	4-8	0-0	2	2	1	1	0	0	2	1	+20
Nikola Jokic C	30	32	13-19	0-1	6-7	10	11	2	3	0	3	7	3	+25
Jamal Murray G	28	14	4-11	2-5	4-4	5	7	3	1	0	1	4	2	+16
Christian Braun G	28	11	4-5	1-1	2-2	3	3	1	1	0	0	3	1	+22
Bench
Alpha Diallo F	4	0	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	-7
Marvin Bagley III F	14	10	4-5	0-1	2-2	2	2	1	0	0	1	1	1	+1
Zeke Nnaji F	4	2	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	-7
DaRon Holmes II F	4	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0	0	1	1	-7
Bryce Hopkins F	28	18	6-7	1-1	5-8	4	1	2	2	0	0	4	2	+11
Trevon Brazile F	23	6	3-6	0-2	0-0	7	1	0	1	0	2	5	2	+15
Tyus Jones G	18	6	3-4	0-1	0-0	1	8	1	0	0	0	1	0	+4
Ryan Nembhard G	4	0	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	-7
DeMar DeRozan	Did not play: Low back muscle spasms
Total		128	48-78	9-23	23-27	36	35	15	11	1	7	29	18

Team shooting: FG 62% · 3PT 39% · FT 85%

Attendance 19,520 · Officials: Kevin Cutler, Karl Lane, Dannica Baroody

Recap: Jokic scores 32 in 3rd triple-double this season as Nuggets roll to 128-109 win over Raptors (ESPN)

Highlights

• RJ Barrett gets the basket plus the foul (ESPN)
• Nikola Jokic with the and-1 bucket (ESPN)
• Nikola Jokic soars for big Dunk (ESPN)
• Nikola Jokic gets the and-1 to fall (ESPN)

Play-by-play on ESPN

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this game. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Betting trends

• The over has hit in 4 straight Raptors games.
• Raptors are 0-3 ATS as underdogs in their last 10 games.
• The over is 7-3 in Nuggets’ last 10 games.
• Raptors are 0-6 in the last 6 meetings with the Nuggets.

From each team’s last 10 games and recent meetings, against the closing line.

Trade Raptors vs Nuggets on PolymarketPrediction-market prices on the game and player props, often sharper than a sportsbook’s.

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Raptors vs Nuggets pre-game preview

The betting market prices Denver as a 5.5-point favorite with a 231.5 total, while the moneyline sits at TOR +172 and DEN -188; DraftKings opened at the same spread and total. The matchup sets Toronto’s pace (104.6, sixth) against Denver’s slower 99.3 (28th), a contrast worth tracking for tempo-dependent markets.

Last meeting: Toronto lost 115-121 on the road on March 20, 2026. Toronto is 4-3 straight up and 4-3 against the spread this season, 6-4 and 6-4 in its last 10, and most recently won 125-118 at the LA Clippers. Denver is 3-3 straight up and 2-4 against the spread, 7-3 and 4-6 in its last 10, and lost 110-118 to Portland in its most recent game.

The most useful angles are defensive and injury-related. Toronto allows fewer points, rebounds and assists than Denver by rank, while Denver is without Spencer Jones and Julian Strawther and lists Cameron Johnson probable. For props, Ja’Kobe Walter’s over 0.5 steals at -286 has cleared in 10 of 10, with the StatsBench model projecting 1.9.

Records

Team	Record	ATS	O/U	Home	Away
Raptors	4-3	4-3	4-3	2-1	2-2
Nuggets	3-3	2-4	3-3	1-2	2-1

This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.

Raptors vs Nuggets head-to-head

Raptors are 0-6, 1-1 ATS, O/U 0-2 in the last 6 meetings. Last time: Raptors lost 115-121 on March 20, 2026.

Recent form

Toronto Raptors: last 10 (6-4, 6-4 ATS, O/U 6-4)

Denver Nuggets: last 10 (7-3, 4-6 ATS, O/U 7-3)

Injury report

No injuries listed for either team in our data as of 2:32 AM ET.

Matchup ranks

What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.

Venue and weather

Raptors vs Nuggets odds

Line movement from the open

DraftKings opening and closing numbers via ESPN.

Line movement chart