San Diego FC vs Sporting Kansas City Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Nov 7, 2026)

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MLS prop picks: today's featured picks
San Diego FC logo

San Diego FC13th in MLS
7:00 PM ETSat, Nov 7
Sporting Kansas City logo

Sporting Kansas City15th in MLS

MLS · Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 7:00 PM ET

Result Moneyline
San Diego FC -167
Draw +400
Sporting Kansas City +390

Total goals 3.5: over -140 , under +124

Best price at bet365, BetRivers, Caesars, DraftKings, FanDuel and Fanatics, updated 4:08 PM ET.

San Diego FC vs Sporting Kansas City preview

San Diego FC hosts Sporting Kansas City on Saturday, November 7, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. San Diego is -200 on the three-way moneyline, the draw is +440, SKC is +450, and the total is 3.5.

San Diego has 38 points from 33 matches (W9 D11 L13), while SKC has 23 from 33 (W6 D5 L22). San Diego won the last meeting 1-0 at SKC on March 8, 2026. Recent league form is WLDDD for San Diego and DLLLL for SKC.

The main statistical angles are SKC’s defensive and availability profile and San Diego’s save prop. SKC concedes 2.45 per match, has a 3% clean-sheet rate and a 3-0-13 away record, with Diego Borges, Justin Reynolds, Seymour Reid, Kwaku Agyabeng and Or Blorian listed out and Zorhan Bassong day-to-day. Sisniega over 2.5 saves at -130 cleared in 8 of his last 10, and SKC matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 79%.

San Diego FC vs Sporting Kansas City prediction

57%San Diego FC
20%Draw
23%Sporting Kansas City

The books imply 61% / 19% / 20%

2-1Most likely score9% chance
2.3 – 1.5Expected goals
73%Over 2.5 goals
69%Both teams to score

The numbers lean San Diego FC. The model makes San Diego a 57% favorite and projects 2.34 to 1.45 expected goals, while the books are stronger at 64%; the books also price Sporting KC at 18% versus the model’s 23%. Sporting KC’s DLLLL form and 2.45 conceded per match support the lean.

A Poisson estimate from each club’s scoring and conceding rates this season, overall and at home or away (33 and 33 matches). It does not know about lineups or injuries, and it is a research estimate, not a guarantee.

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this match. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Top San Diego FC vs Sporting Kansas City player props

Player Prop Best price Last 10 Last 5
Pablo Sisniega San Diego Over 2.5 saves -150 DraftKings 80% (8/10) 80%
Oscar Verhoeven San Diego Over 0.5 fouls won -190 DraftKings 80% (8/10) 80%
André Luiz Sporting KC Over 0.5 score or assist +165 Fanatics 70% (7/10) 40%
Taylor Calheira Sporting KC Over 0.5 tackles -125 DraftKings 70% (7/10) 80%
Ethan Bartlow Sporting KC Over 0.5 fouls -145 DraftKings 70% (7/10) 80%

Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent matches. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 4:08 PM ET.

The rest of the San Diego FC vs Sporting Kansas City propsHit rates, matchups and the best price across 30+ books. Free daily preview, no account needed. Pro unlocks the full board.
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Jansen MillerOver 0.5 fouls won7/10
Stefan ClevelandOver 3.5 saves7/10
Kieran SargeantOver 0.5 shots6/10

Key matchups

From the predicted lineups: each winger against the full-back he faces, the strikers against the centre-backs. Each white tick marks the league average per match. The lower bars show how often the player cleared the line over his recent matches, green at 70% or better.

Dreyer vs Karic

DreyerWinger, San Diego FC
VS
KaricFull-back, Sporting Kansas City
Good matchup for DreyerKaric gives away 1.1 fouls a match, 31% more than the average defender (0.8). Dreyer draws 0.7, which points to about 0.9 fouls drawn here, against a line of 0.5.
0.7Fouls drawn vs given1.1
2.4Shots vs tackles1.8
Fouls won over 0.55/10avg 0.7 · -185DraftKings
Shots over 5.50/10avg 2.4 · +300DraftKings
Shots on target over 1.52/10avg 1 · +110Fanatics
Fouls committed over 0.58/10avg 1.1 · -210DraftKings
Tackles over 1.55/10avg 1.8 · -185DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.50/10avg 0 · +285Stake

Vazquez vs Davis

VazquezWinger, San Diego FC
VS
DavisFull-back, Sporting Kansas City
Good matchup for VazquezDavis gives away 1.2 fouls a match, 43% more than the average defender (0.8). Vazquez only draws 0.4, which points to about 0.6 fouls drawn here, against a line of 0.5.
0.4Fouls drawn vs given1.2
1.3Shots vs tackles1.5
Fouls won over 0.54/10avg 0.4 · -320DraftKings
Shots over 2.52/10avg 1.3 · -125Fanatics
Shots on target over 0.53/10avg 0.4 · -137BetRivers
Fouls committed over 0.58/10avg 1.2 · -285DraftKings
Tackles over 1.54/10avg 1.5 · -180DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.52/10avg 0.2 · +175Stake

Ingvartsen vs Miller and Meyer

IngvartsenStriker, San Diego FC
VS
MillerCentre-back, Sporting Kansas City
MeyerCentre-back, Sporting Kansas City
Good matchup for IngvartsenMiller and Meyer give away 1.1 fouls a match, 25% more than the average defender (0.8). Ingvartsen draws 0.7, which points to about 0.9 fouls drawn here, against a line of 0.5.
0.7Fouls drawn vs given1.1
2.1Shots vs tackles0.8
Fouls won over 0.55/10avg 0.7 · -255DraftKings
Shots over 5.50/10avg 2.1 · +350bet365
Shots on target over 1.51/10avg 0.7 · +100bet365
Fouls committed over 0.58/10avg 1.9 · -245DraftKings
Tackles over 0.55/10avg 0.9 · -285DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.52/10avg 0.2 · +300Stake
Fouls committed over 0.52/10avg 0.2 · +125DraftKings
Tackles over 0.54/10avg 0.6 · -310DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.50/10avg 0 · +285Stake

Andre Luiz vs Sargeant

Andre LuizWinger, Sporting Kansas City
VS
SargeantFull-back, San Diego FC
Tough matchup for Andre LuizSargeant gives away 0.6 fouls a match, 29% less than the average defender (0.8). Andre Luiz draws plenty himself, at 2.3, which points to about 1.6 fouls drawn here, against a line of 1.5.
2.3Fouls drawn vs given0.6
3.3Shots vs tackles2.1
Fouls won over 1.56/10avg 2.3 · +115DraftKings
Shots over 3.55/10avg 3.3 · +120DraftKings
Shots on target over 1.55/10avg 1.6 · +190BetRivers
Fouls committed over 0.55/10avg 0.6 · -150DraftKings
Tackles over 1.56/10avg 2.1 · -175DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.52/10avg 0.2 · +285Stake

Capita vs Verhoeven

CapitaWinger, Sporting Kansas City
VS
VerhoevenFull-back, San Diego FC
0.7Shots vs tackles1.0
Shots over 1.51/10avg 0.7 · -135Fanatics
Shots on target over 0.52/10avg 0.3 · -105Fanatics
Fouls committed over 0.57/10avg 0.8 · -150DraftKings
Tackles over 1.52/10avg 1 · -105DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.51/10avg 0.1 · +285Stake

Capita’s shot line has cleared only 1 of 10, so the matchup points to the line rarely clearing rather than a Capita attacking edge.

Calheira vs McVey and Duah

CalheiraStriker, Sporting Kansas City
VS
McVeyCentre-back, San Diego FC
DuahCentre-back, San Diego FC
Even matchupMcVey and Duah give away 0.7 fouls a match, 17% less than the average defender (0.8). Calheira draws plenty himself, at 1.1, which points to about 0.9 fouls drawn here, against a line of 0.5.
1.1Fouls drawn vs given0.7
1.8Shots vs tackles0.8
Fouls won over 0.58/10avg 1.1 · -235DraftKings
Shots over 2.52/10avg 1.8 · +150Fanatics
Shots on target over 0.56/10avg 0.8 · -170Fanatics
Fouls committed over 0.56/10avg 0.7 · -160DraftKings
Tackles over 0.55/10avg 0.5 · -265DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.51/10avg 0.1 · +240Stake
Fouls committed over 0.55/10avg 0.7 · +100DraftKings
Tackles over 0.57/10avg 1 · -275DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.52/10avg 0.2 · +285Stake

Afrifa vs McVey and Duah

AfrifaStriker, Sporting Kansas City
VS
McVeyCentre-back, San Diego FC
DuahCentre-back, San Diego FC
Even matchupMcVey and Duah give away 0.7 fouls a match, 17% less than the average defender (0.8). Afrifa draws 0.9, which points to about 0.7 fouls drawn here, against a line of 0.5.
0.9Fouls drawn vs given0.7
2.4Shots vs tackles0.8
Fouls won over 0.56/10avg 0.9 · -295DraftKings
Shots over 2.54/10avg 2.4 · +125Fanatics
Shots on target over 0.55/10avg 0.9 · -133BetRivers
Fouls committed over 0.56/10avg 0.7 · -160DraftKings
Tackles over 0.55/10avg 0.5 · -265DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.51/10avg 0.1 · +240Stake
Fouls committed over 0.55/10avg 0.7 · +100DraftKings
Tackles over 0.57/10avg 1 · -275DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.52/10avg 0.2 · +285Stake
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Predicted lineups

Predicted XIs; the official lineups post about an hour before kickoff and this page updates then. The badge on each player: how often he cleared his strongest prop line (named under him) over his recent matches; green at 70% or better.

San Diego FC 4-3-3Sporting Kansas City 4-4-2

8/1013 Sisniega FinkSaves 2.5+
8/1033 VerhoevenFouls won 0.5+
6/1097 McVeyFouls 0.5+
5/1026 DuahFouls 0.5+
6/105 SargeantShots 0.5+
6/106 TverskovFouls 0.5+
70 Alvarado Jr
6/1012 Gabriel PiraniTackles 1.5+
5/1010 DreyerGoal 0.5+
7 Ingvartsen
19 Vazquez
7/1030 ClevelandSaves 3.5+
8 Davis
7/1015 MillerFouls won 0.5+
28 Meyer
5/1018 KaricTackles 1.5+
7/1011 Andre LuizG+A 0.5+
4 Johnsen
33 Wolff
7 Capita
7/1019 CalheiraTackles 0.5+
5/1017 AfrifaSOT 0.5+

San Diego FC missing: E. Achouri (lower-body)

Sporting Kansas City missing: K. Agyabeng (ankle), J. Bartlett (ankle), Z. Bassong (hamstring), O. Blorian (chest), Diego Borges (groin), C. Harris (knee), M. Mosquera (hamstring), S. Reid (hamstring)

The props behind these lineupsLines and hit rates for MLS players. Free daily preview, no account needed. Pro unlocks the full board.
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Form and head to head

San Diego FC25th in the tableWLDDD9W 11D 13L · 1.15 points a match
3meetings

2 wins1 draw0 wins
Sporting Kansas City30th in the tableDLLLL6W 5D 22L · 0.70 points a match
33%Over 1.51/3
0%Over 2.50/3
0%Over 3.50/3
0%Both scored0/3
  • Mar 2026SKC 0-1 SDL
  • Aug 2025SKC 0-2 SDL
  • May 2025SDL 0-0 SKC

Clean sheets and goal trends

San Diego FC

24%

Clean sheet8/33

15%

Failed to score5/33

61%

Both scored20/33

70%

Over 2.523/33

Sporting Kansas City

3%

Clean sheet1/33

30%

Failed to score10/33

67%

Both scored22/33

79%

Over 2.526/33

Attack and defense

Attacking

San Diego FCSporting Kansas City
27%Win %18%
59%Possession %45%
61%Both teams scored %67%
46%Scored first %33%
  • 1.7Scored per match1.2
  • 9.7Shots per match8.6
  • 4.6Shots on target per match4.2
  • 1.0Big chances per match0.6

Defensive

San Diego FCSporting Kansas City
39%Loss %67%
15%Failed to score %30%
24%Clean sheet %3%
55%Conceded first %67%
  • 1.9Conceded per match2.5
  • 11.6Shots against per match12.8
  • 14.4Tackles per match14.8
  • 10.9Fouls per match12.7

Per-match rates this season. Each spoke of the charts is scaled to the higher of the two clubs.

Recent results

San Diego WLDDD W 1-0 at LOU · L 1-4 at VAN · D 2-2 vs SEA · D 2-2 at LAG · D 3-3 vs HOU
Sporting KC DLLLL D 1-1 vs DAL · L 1-3 at MIN · L 1-2 vs ATX · L 1-3 vs RSL · L 0-4 at NSH

Last five MLS results, most recent first.

Season numbers

San Diego Sporting KC
Table 25 (38 pts) 30 (23 pts)
Record (W-D-L) 9-11-13 6-5-22
Home / away record 6-5-5 (37-29) home 3-0-13 (15-46) away
Goals scored per match 1.73 1.18
Goals conceded per match 1.88 2.45
Shots / on target per match 9.73 / 4.61 8.61 / 4.15
Both teams scored 61% 67%
Over 1.5 / 2.5 / 3.5 goals 79% / 70% / 58% 97% / 79% / 49%
Clean sheets 24% 3%
Failed to score 15% 30%
Yellow cards per match 1.91 1.85
Corners per match 4.76 4.00

This season, 33 and 33 matches.

Referee

Ramy Touchan averages 4.3 yellow cards and 26.7 fouls per match over 12 matches this season (league average 4.0 and 24.1).

Injury report

San Diego FC

  • Elias Achouri (M): Out, Knock Injury

Sporting Kansas City

  • Diego Borges (D): Out, Muscle Injury
  • Justin Reynolds (D): Out, Muscle Injury
  • Seymour Reid (F): Out, Hamstring Injury
  • Zorhan Bassong (M): Day-To-Day, Hamstring Injury
  • Kwaku Agyabeng (M): Out, Ankle Injury
  • Or Blorian (D): Out, Chest Injury
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San Diego FC vs Sporting Kansas City odds by sportsbook

Book SD ML SKC ML Over Under
bet365 -167 +375 O 3.5 -150 U 3.5 +110
BetRivers -185 +390 O 3.75 -116 U 3.75 -118
DraftKings -175 +340 O 3.5 -140 U 3.5 +110
FanDuel -185 +370 O 3.5 -152 U 3.5 +124
Fanatics -175 +375 O 3.5 -140 U 3.5 +105

Highlighted: the best price in each column as of 4:08 PM ET. Prices move; check the book before you bet.

Line movement since we first listed this match (Fri 5:26 PM ET): San Diego FC moneyline -200 → -167.

Goal lines and both teams to score

Both teams to score: yes -290, no +220

Total goals Over Under
1.5 -2000 +920
2.5 -420 +310
3.5 -152 +124
4.5 +152 -188

Line movement chart

Total 3.5 → 3.5
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More on these teams: St. Louis CITY SC vs San Diego FC Oct 31 · All MLS prop picks · All MLS predictions

Betting guides: yellow card betting tips · football player props guide · how parlays work

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