Toulouse vs Strasbourg Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Nov 6, 2026)

Toulouse logo

Toulouse12th in Ligue 1
2:45 PM ETFri, Nov 6
Strasbourg logo

Strasbourg13th in Ligue 1

Ligue 1 · Friday, November 6, 2026 · 2:45 PM ET

Result Moneyline
Toulouse +125
Draw +280
Strasbourg +210

Total goals 2.5: over -150 , under +132

Best price at bet365, BetRivers, Caesars, DraftKings, FanDuel and Fanatics, updated 9:53 AM ET.

Toulouse vs Strasbourg preview

Toulouse hosts Strasbourg in Ligue 1 on Friday, November 6, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET. Toulouse is the home favorite at +105, with the draw at +285 and Strasbourg at +235, while the total is 2.5. Both sides sit on 10 points from nine matches, Toulouse 12th and Strasbourg 13th.

The last meeting went Strasbourg 1-2 Toulouse on May 3, 2026. Toulouse’s league form is LDWDW most recent first, and Strasbourg’s is WLLLL. Strasbourg has scored 1.89 and conceded 2.11 per match, with both teams scoring in 78% and over 2.5 in 89%, while Toulouse has scored 1.33 and conceded 1.44, with over 2.5 in 56%.

Injury notes include Joaquín Panichelli and Maximillian Oyedele out for Strasbourg, plus Rafik Messali out for Toulouse. A relevant prop angle is Cristian Cásseres Jr. over 2.5 tackles at -165, cleared in 8 of his last 10.

Toulouse vs Strasbourg prediction

42%Toulouse
23%Draw
35%Strasbourg

The books imply 43% / 26% / 31%

1-1Most likely score10% chance
1.7 – 1.5Expected goals
63%Over 2.5 goals
64%Both teams to score

The model leans Toulouse at 42% to Strasbourg’s 35%, while the books imply a stronger Toulouse edge at 47% to 29%. Strasbourg’s WLLLL form and 2.11 goals conceded per match support the lean, with a 1-1 most likely score and both teams to score at 64%.

A Poisson estimate from each club’s scoring and conceding rates this season, overall and at home or away (9 and 9 matches). It does not know about lineups or injuries, and it is a research estimate, not a guarantee.

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this match. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Top Toulouse vs Strasbourg player props

Player Prop Best price Last 10 Last 5
Cristian Cásseres Jr. Toulouse Over 2.5 tackles -165 DraftKings 80% (8/10) 80%
Conrad Harder Weibel Schandorf Strasbourg Over 0.5 shots on target -125 bet365 71.4% (5/7) 80%
Y. Azizi Toulouse Over 1.5 fouls -145 DraftKings 66.7% (4/6) 80%
Gessime Yassine Strasbourg Over 0.5 shots on target +110 Fanatics 60% (6/10) 40%
Sebastian Nanasi Strasbourg Over 0.5 shots on target +100 Fanatics 60% (6/10) 60%

Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent matches. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 9:53 AM ET.

The rest of the Toulouse vs Strasbourg propsHit rates, matchups and the best price across 30+ books. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
Martial GodoOver 1.5 shots6/10
Casper TengstedtAnytime goalscorer4/7
Dário Cassia Luís EssugoOver 0.5 shots4/7

Key matchups

From the predicted lineups: each winger against the full-back he faces, the strikers against the centre-backs. Each white tick marks the league average per match. The lower bars show how often the player cleared the line over his recent matches, green at 70% or better.

Jorgensen vs Oso

JorgensenWinger, Toulouse
VS
OsoFull-back, Strasbourg

No lines posted

Fouls committed over 1.50/7avg 0.6 · -115DraftKings
Tackles over 1.53/7avg 1.6 · -210DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.51/7avg 0.1 · +475Fanatics

Oso’s low foul output gives him the cleaner defensive profile, and his fouls committed line has cleared 0 of 7, so the duel points away from fouls and cards.

Azizi vs Antwi

AziziWinger, Toulouse
VS
AntwiFull-back, Strasbourg

No lines posted

Fouls committed over 0.54/8avg 0.8 · -350DraftKings
Tackles over 1.56/8avg 2 · -255DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.50/8avg 0 · +425DraftKings

Antwi’s tackles line has cleared 6 of 8, so with Azizi unlined the duel points to Antwi’s tackle volume rather than a card.

Russell-Rowe vs Mitchell and Coulibaly

Russell-RoweStriker, Toulouse
VS
MitchellCentre-back, Strasbourg
CoulibalyCentre-back, Strasbourg
Fouls won over 0.52/10avg 0.3 · -180DraftKings
Shots over 2.52/10avg 1.5 · +100bet365
Shots on target over 1.53/10avg 1.1 · +275bet365

Russell-Rowe’s fouls won line has cleared only 2 of 10, so with the centre-backs unlined the duel points away from that fouls-won prop.

Tengstedt vs Mitchell and Coulibaly

TengstedtStriker, Toulouse
VS
MitchellCentre-back, Strasbourg
CoulibalyCentre-back, Strasbourg
Fouls won over 0.55/7avg 0.9 · -275DraftKings
Shots over 3.52/7avg 3 · +120bet365
Shots on target over 1.53/7avg 1.1 · +140DraftKings

Tengstedt’s fouls won line has cleared 5 of 7, so with the centre-backs unlined the duel points to that prop more than his high shot line.

Yassine vs Tape

YassineWinger, Strasbourg
VS
TapeFull-back, Toulouse
Good matchup for YassineTape gives away 1.7 fouls a match, 91% more than the average defender (0.9). Yassine draws plenty himself, at 2.6, which points to about 5.0 fouls drawn here, against a line of 1.5.
2.6Fouls drawn vs given1.7
1.5Shots vs tackles0.8
Fouls won over 1.58/10avg 2.6 · -280DraftKings
Shots over 1.56/10avg 1.5 · -105Fanatics
Shots on target over 0.56/10avg 0.9 · +110Fanatics
Fouls committed over 0.57/9avg 1.7 · -330DraftKings
Tackles over 0.54/9avg 0.8 · -340DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.51/9avg 0.1 · +300bet365

Godo vs Diallo

GodoWinger, Strasbourg
VS
DialloFull-back, Toulouse
Tough matchup for GodoDiallo gives away 0.5 fouls a match, 44% less than the average defender (0.9). Godo draws plenty himself, at 1.3, which points to about 0.7 fouls drawn here, against a line of 1.5.
1.3Fouls drawn vs given0.5
1.9Shots vs tackles1.2
Fouls won over 1.55/10avg 1.3 · -115DraftKings
Shots over 1.56/10avg 1.9 · -140Fanatics
Shots on target over 0.54/10avg 0.5 · -115Fanatics
Fouls committed over 1.51/6avg 0.5 · +125DraftKings
Tackles over 1.52/6avg 1.2 · -230DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.50/6avg 0 · +270DraftKings

Harder vs McKenzie and Nicolaisen

HarderStriker, Strasbourg
VS
McKenzieCentre-back, Toulouse
NicolaisenCentre-back, Toulouse

No lines posted

Fouls committed over 1.55/10avg 1.6 · +110DraftKings
Tackles over 1.53/10avg 1.3 · -250DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.52/10avg 0.2 · +360DraftKings
Fouls committed over 0.56/10avg 1.2 · -275DraftKings
Tackles over 1.53/10avg 0.9 · -120DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.52/10avg 0.2 · +340Fanatics

Harder has no posted lines, but Nicolaisen’s fouls committed line has cleared 6 of 10, so the duel points more to Nicolaisen’s fouls than McKenzie’s higher fouls threshold.

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Predicted lineups

Predicted XIs; the official lineups post about an hour before kickoff and this page updates then. The badge on each player: how often he cleared his strongest prop line (named under him) over his recent matches; green at 70% or better.

Toulouse 4-4-2Strasbourg 4-3-3

16 Restes
94 Diallo
5/103 McKenzieFouls 1.5+
2 Nicolaisen
5/912 TapeFouls won 0.5+
8 Jorgensen
23 Casseres
3/614 SigurShots 0.5+
37 Azizi
13 Russell-Rowe
4/720 TengstedtGoal 0.5+
1 Jorgensen
16 Antwi
4 Mitchell
31 Coulibaly
36 Oso
4/714 EssugoShots 0.5+
29 El Mourabet
10 Reyna
6/1080 YassineSOT 0.5+
40 Harder
6/1020 GodoShots 1.5+

Toulouse missing: M. Amougou (loan agreement), A. Donnum (yellow cards), R. Messali (thigh)

Strasbourg missing: F. Balde (leg), J. Panichelli (knee)

The props behind these lineupsLines and hit rates for Ligue 1 players. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.

Form and head to head

Toulouse12th in the tableLDWDW2W 4D 3L · 1.11 points a match
4meetings

2 wins0 draws2 wins
Strasbourg13th in the tableWLLLL3W 1D 5L · 1.11 points a match
75%Over 1.53/4
75%Over 2.53/4
0%Over 3.50/4
75%Both scored3/4
  • May 2026STR 1-2 TOU
  • Dec 2025TOU 1-0 STR
  • Mar 2025STR 2-1 TOU
  • Jan 2025TOU 1-2 STR

Clean sheets and goal trends

Toulouse

22%

Clean sheet2/9

44%

Failed to score4/9

44%

Both scored4/9

56%

Over 2.55/9

Strasbourg

0%

Clean sheet0/9

22%

Failed to score2/9

78%

Both scored7/9

89%

Over 2.58/9

Attack and defense

Attacking

ToulouseStrasbourg
22%Win %33%
52%Possession %48%
44%Both teams scored %78%
33%Scored first %44%
  • 1.3Scored per match1.9
  • 11.3Shots per match11.3
  • 4.7Shots on target per match5.0
  • 1.9Big chances per match1.3

Defensive

ToulouseStrasbourg
33%Loss %56%
44%Failed to score %22%
22%Clean sheet %0%
56%Conceded first %56%
  • 1.4Conceded per match2.1
  • 12.3Shots against per match12.3
  • 15.2Tackles per match17.4
  • 15.8Fouls per match11.7

Per-match rates this season. Each spoke of the charts is scaled to the higher of the two clubs.

Recent results

Toulouse LDWDW L 0-2 at OM · D 0-0 vs Troyes · W 3-0 at Le Mans · D 2-2 at ASM · W 3-2 vs LEH
Strasbourg WLLLL W 5-1 vs AUX · L 0-3 at REN · L 1-3 vs PSG · L 1-2 at NCE · L 1-2 at PFC

Last five Ligue 1 results, most recent first.

Season numbers

Toulouse Strasbourg
Table 12 (10 pts) 13 (10 pts)
Record (W-D-L) 2-4-3 3-1-5
Home / away record 1-1-2 (3-5) home 1-0-4 (8-13) away
Goals scored per match 1.33 1.89
Goals conceded per match 1.44 2.11
Shots / on target per match 11.33 / 4.67 11.33 / 5.00
Both teams scored 44% 78%
Over 1.5 / 2.5 / 3.5 goals 78% / 56% / 44% 100% / 89% / 44%
Clean sheets 22% 0%
Failed to score 44% 22%
Yellow cards per match 2.00 1.56
Corners per match 4.05 2.83

This season, 9 and 9 matches.

Referee

Mathieu Vernice averages 3.7 yellow cards and 25.0 fouls per match over 10 matches this season (league average 3.4 and 24.6).

Injury report

Toulouse

  • Rafik Messali (M): Out, Thigh Injury

Strasbourg

  • Joaquín Panichelli (F): Out, Cruciate Ligament Injury
  • Maximillian Oyedele (M): Out, Unknown
Compare Ligue 1 playersHit rates, matchups and the best price across 30+ books, side by side. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.

Toulouse vs Strasbourg odds by sportsbook

Book TOU ML STR ML Over Under
bet365 +120 +200 O 2.5 -150 U 2.5 +120
BetRivers +125 +188 O 2.75 -120 U 2.75 -106
DraftKings +120 +210 O 2.5 -150 U 2.5 +120
FanDuel +115 +210 O 2.5 -162 U 2.5 +132
Fanatics +120 +200 O 2.5 -175 U 2.5 +125

Highlighted: the best price in each column as of 9:53 AM ET. Prices move; check the book before you bet.

Line movement since we first listed this match (Thu 8:58 AM ET): Toulouse moneyline +105 → +125.

Goal lines and both teams to score

Both teams to score: yes -180, no +140

Total goals Over Under
1.5 -500 +370
2.5 -158 +128
3.5 +168 -210
4.5 +410 -590

Line movement chart

Total 2.5 → 2.5
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More on these teams: Strasbourg vs AJ Auxerre Nov 1 · All Ligue 1 prop picks · All Ligue 1 predictions

Betting guides: yellow card betting tips · football player props guide · how parlays work

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