TSG Hoffenheim vs Schalke 04 Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Nov 8, 2026)

TSG Hoffenheim logo

TSG Hoffenheim13th in the Bundesliga
1:30 PM ETSun, Nov 8
Schalke 04 logo

Schalke 0417th in the Bundesliga

Bundesliga · Sunday, November 8, 2026 · 1:30 PM ET

Result Moneyline
TSG Hoffenheim -161
Draw +350
Schalke 04 +400

Total goals 3.5: over +130 , under -150

Best price at bet365, BetRivers, Caesars, DraftKings, FanDuel and Fanatics, updated 10:47 AM ET.

TSG Hoffenheim vs Schalke 04 preview

Sunday’s Bundesliga match has TSG Hoffenheim hosting Schalke 04. TSG Hoffenheim are the moneyline favorite at -161, with the draw +350 and Schalke +400, and the total is 3.5. Hoffenheim are 13th with 9 points from 8 matches (W3 D0 L5), while Schalke are 17th with 6 points (W1 D3 L4).

Form from the league table has Hoffenheim at LWWLL and Schalke at LDLLD. Hoffenheim score 1.75 and concede 2.00 per match, with both teams scored in 75% and over 2.5 goals in 88%. Schalke score 0.50 and concede 1.13, with both teams scored in 25% and failed to score in 75%.

Injury and prop angles stand out. Hoffenheim list Hajdari, De Cat, Coufal and Gendrey out; Schalke list Sylla, Wöber and Bachmann out, with El-Faouzi day-to-day. Éric Junior Dina Ebimbe’s over 2.5 tackles at +100 has cleared in 5 of his last 7, and Junior Chukwubuike Adamu’s over 1.5 shots at -111 has cleared in 4 of his last 6.

TSG Hoffenheim vs Schalke 04 prediction

46%TSG Hoffenheim
24%Draw
30%Schalke 04

The books imply 59% / 22% / 19%

1-1Most likely score11% chance
1.7 – 1.3Expected goals
57%Over 2.5 goals
59%Both teams to score

The numbers lean toward a TSG Hoffenheim win, with the model at 46% and Schalke at 30%, though the books show Hoffenheim as a stronger 59% favorite and Schalke at 19%. Hoffenheim’s 1.75 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per match, plus Schalke’s 0.50 scoring rate and 75% failed-to-score mark, support the lean. The model also makes both teams to score 59% and over 2.5 goals 57%.

A Poisson estimate from each club’s scoring and conceding rates this season, overall and at home or away (8 and 8 matches). It does not know about lineups or injuries, and it is a research estimate, not a guarantee.

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this match. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Top TSG Hoffenheim vs Schalke 04 player props

Player Prop Best price Last 10 Last 5
Éric Junior Dina Ebimbe FC Schalke 04 Over 2.5 tackles +100 DraftKings 71.4% (5/7) 80%
Junior Chukwubuike Adamu FC Schalke 04 Over 1.5 shots -111 BetRivers 66.7% (4/6) 60%
Hwang Hee-Chan FC Schalke 04 Over 0.5 fouls -155 DraftKings 66.7% (4/6) 60%
Ozan Kabak TSG Hoffenheim Over 1.5 fouls -130 DraftKings 60% (6/10) 60%
Fisnik Asllani TSG Hoffenheim Over 0.5 tackles -200 DraftKings 60% (6/10) 60%

Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent matches. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 10:47 AM ET.

The rest of the TSG Hoffenheim vs Schalke 04 propsHit rates, matchups and the best price across 30+ books. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
Soufian El-FaouziOver 0.5 shots4/7
Mats RotsOver 1.5 tackles4/7
Wouter BurgerOver 1.5 shots5/10

Key matchups

From the predicted lineups: each winger against the full-back he faces, the strikers against the centre-backs. Each white tick marks the league average per match. The lower bars show how often the player cleared the line over his recent matches, green at 70% or better.

Kramaric vs Becker

KramaricWinger, TSG Hoffenheim
VS
BeckerFull-back, Schalke 04
Tough matchup for KramaricBecker gives away 0.2 fouls a match, 69% less than the average defender (0.7). Kramaric only draws 0.2, which points to about 0.1 fouls drawn here, against a line of 0.5.
0.2Fouls drawn vs given0.2
0.7Shots vs tackles2.0
Fouls won over 0.51/10avg 0.2 · -275DraftKings
Shots over 3.50/10avg 0.7 · +160Fanatics
Shots on target over 1.52/10avg 0.4 · +160Fanatics
Fouls committed over 0.51/6avg 0.2 · -195DraftKings
Tackles over 1.53/6avg 2 · -280DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.51/6avg 0.2 · +230Fanatics

Daghim vs Becker

DaghimWinger, TSG Hoffenheim
VS
BeckerFull-back, Schalke 04
Tough matchup for DaghimBecker gives away 0.1 fouls a match, 85% less than the average defender (0.7). Daghim only draws 0.5, which points to about 0.1 fouls drawn here, against a line of 0.5.
0.5Fouls drawn vs given0.1
1.1Shots vs tackles3.1
Fouls won over 0.54/10avg 0.5 · -260DraftKings
Shots over 2.52/10avg 1.1 · +150Fanatics
Shots on target over 0.54/10avg 0.7 · -150DraftKings
Fouls committed over 0.51/8avg 0.1 · -185DraftKings
Tackles over 1.57/8avg 3.1 · -235DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.51/8avg 0.1 · +550DraftKings

Asllani vs Kurucay

AsllaniStriker, TSG Hoffenheim
VS
KurucayCentre-back, Schalke 04
Good matchup for AsllaniKurucay gives away 1.0 fouls a match, 53% more than the average defender (0.7). Asllani draws plenty himself, at 1.0, which points to about 1.5 fouls drawn here, against a line of 1.5.
1.0Fouls drawn vs given1.0
2.5Shots vs tackles3.3
Fouls won over 1.52/10avg 1 · +100DraftKings
Shots over 3.51/10avg 2.5 · +100bet365
Shots on target over 0.56/10avg 0.8 · -320FanDuel
Fouls committed over 0.53/8avg 1 · -220DraftKings
Tackles over 1.57/8avg 3.3 · -255DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.52/8avg 0.3 · +240Fanatics

Lemperle vs Kurucay

LemperleStriker, TSG Hoffenheim
VS
KurucayCentre-back, Schalke 04
Good matchup for LemperleKurucay gives away 1.0 fouls a match, 53% more than the average defender (0.7). Lemperle only draws 0.3, which points to about 0.5 fouls drawn here, against a line of 0.5.
0.3Fouls drawn vs given1.0
1.6Shots vs tackles3.3
Fouls won over 0.52/10avg 0.3 · -225DraftKings
Shots over 2.52/10avg 1.6 · -140Fanatics
Shots on target over 0.56/10avg 0.7 · -230FanDuel
Fouls committed over 0.53/8avg 1 · -220DraftKings
Tackles over 1.57/8avg 3.3 · -255DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.52/8avg 0.3 · +240Fanatics

Ljubicic vs Rots

LjubicicWinger, Schalke 04
VS
RotsFull-back, TSG Hoffenheim
Good matchup for LjubicicRots gives away 1.0 fouls a match, 53% more than the average defender (0.7). Ljubicic only draws 0.0, which points to about 0.0 fouls drawn here, against a line of 0.5.
0.0Fouls drawn vs given1.0
0.5Shots vs tackles2.0
Fouls won over 0.50/4avg 0 · -220DraftKings
Shots over 1.50/4avg 0.5 · +150FanDuel
Shots on target over 0.51/4avg 0.3 · +190FanDuel
Fouls committed over 0.55/7avg 1 · -245DraftKings
Tackles over 1.54/7avg 2 · -160DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.50/7avg 0 · +700DraftKings

Aouchiche vs Abraha

AouchicheWinger, Schalke 04
VS
AbrahaFull-back, TSG Hoffenheim
Fouls won over 1.53/8avg 1.4 · -145DraftKings
Shots over 1.53/8avg 1.4 · -143BetRivers
Shots on target over 0.53/8avg 0.6 · +105BetRivers

Dzeko vs Kabak and Machida

DzekoStriker, Schalke 04
VS
KabakCentre-back, TSG Hoffenheim
MachidaCentre-back, TSG Hoffenheim
Good matchup for DzekoKabak and Machida give away 1.7 fouls a match, 161% more than the average defender (0.7). Dzeko draws 0.7, which points to about 1.8 fouls drawn here, against a line of 1.5.
0.7Fouls drawn vs given1.7
0.3Shots vs tackles1.1
Fouls won over 1.51/6avg 0.7 · -160DraftKings
Shots over 2.50/6avg 0.3 · +125DraftKings
Shots on target over 0.50/6avg 0 · -137BetRivers
Fouls committed over 1.56/10avg 2 · -130DraftKings
Tackles over 1.53/10avg 1.1 · -140DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.53/10avg 0.3 · +200Fanatics
Fouls committed over 0.55/7avg 1.4 · -300DraftKings
Tackles over 1.52/7avg 1.1 · -105DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.51/7avg 0.1 · +350DraftKings
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Predicted lineups

Predicted XIs; the official lineups post about an hour before kickoff and this page updates then. The badge on each player: how often he cleared his strongest prop line (named under him) over his recent matches; green at 70% or better.

TSG Hoffenheim 4-4-2Schalke 04 4-2-3-1

1 Baumann
29 Abraha
6/105 KabakFouls 1.5+
28 Machida
4/739 RotsTackles 1.5+
27 Kramaric
7 Avdullahu
5/1018 BurgerShots 1.5+
14 Daghim
6/1011 AsllaniTackles 0.5+
5/1019 LemperleTackles 0.5+
1 Karius
5 Becker
4 Kurucay
25 Katic
33 Becker
13 Tanaka
4/723 El-FaouziShots 0.5+
21 Ljubicic
3/619 KaramanFouls 0.5+
24 Aouchiche
3/610 DzekoFouls 0.5+

TSG Hoffenheim missing: B. Conte (groin), N. De Cat (knee), V. Gendrey (ankle), A. Hajdari (foot), R. Hranac (knee), P. Wimmer (thigh)

Schalke 04 missing: J. Bachmann (hip), A. Gantenbein (muscle), R. Schallenberg (leg), M. Sylla (leg), M. Wober (muscle)

The props behind these lineupsLines and hit rates for Bundesliga players. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.

Form and head to head

TSG Hoffenheim13th in the tableLWWLL3W 0D 5L · 1.13 points a match
No recent meetings
Schalke 0417th in the tableLDLLD1W 3D 4L · 0.75 points a match

Clean sheets and goal trends

TSG Hoffenheim

13%

Clean sheet1/8

13%

Failed to score1/8

75%

Both scored6/8

88%

Over 2.57/8

Schalke 04

38%

Clean sheet3/8

75%

Failed to score6/8

25%

Both scored2/8

38%

Over 2.53/8

Attack and defense

Attacking

TSG HoffenheimSchalke 04
38%Win %13%
56%Possession %40%
75%Both teams scored %25%
63%Scored first %13%
  • 1.8Scored per match0.5
  • 13.6Shots per match7.5
  • 5.0Shots on target per match2.9
  • 2.4Big chances per match1.1

Defensive

TSG HoffenheimSchalke 04
63%Loss %50%
13%Failed to score %75%
13%Clean sheet %38%
38%Conceded first %50%
  • 2.0Conceded per match1.1
  • 10.5Shots against per match12.1
  • 14.8Tackles per match20.3
  • 12.9Fouls per match9.6

Per-match rates this season. Each spoke of the charts is scaled to the higher of the two clubs.

Recent results

TSG Hoffenheim LWWLL L 0-2 at SVW · W 3-0 vs B04 · W 2-1 at BMG · L 2-3 vs HSV · L 1-3 at SC Paderborn 07
FC Schalke 04 LDLLD L 0-2 vs RBL · D 0-0 at KOE · L 0-1 vs M05 · L 1-2 at SCF · D 0-0 vs SV Elversberg

Last five Bundesliga results, most recent first.

Season numbers

TSG Hoffenheim FC Schalke 04
Table 13 (9 pts) 17 (6 pts)
Record (W-D-L) 3-0-5 1-3-4
Home / away record 2-0-2 (9-7) home 1-1-2 (4-6) away
Goals scored per match 1.75 0.50
Goals conceded per match 2.00 1.13
Shots / on target per match 13.63 / 5.00 7.50 / 2.88
Both teams scored 75% 25%
Over 1.5 / 2.5 / 3.5 goals 100% / 88% / 50% 50% / 38% / 13%
Clean sheets 13% 38%
Failed to score 13% 75%
Yellow cards per match 1.88 1.00
Corners per match 6.06 3.25

This season, 8 and 8 matches.

Referee

Martin Petersen averages 3.3 yellow cards and 22.5 fouls per match over 6 matches this season (league average 3.5 and 22.2).

Injury report

TSG Hoffenheim

  • Albian Hajdari (D): Out, Meniscus Injury
  • Nathan De Cat (M): Out, Meniscus Injury
  • Vladimír Coufal (D): Out, Physical Discomfort
  • Valentin Gendrey (D): Out, Broken Ankle
  • Bambasé Conté (M): Out, Muscle Injury
  • Patrick Wimmer (M): Out, Hamstring Injury
  • Robin Hranác (D): Out, Knee Injury
  • Adam Hlozek (F): Out, Unknown
  • Max Moerstedt (F): Out, Concussion

Schalke 04

  • Moussa Sylla (F): Out, Leg Injury
  • Maximilian Wöber (D): Out, Thigh Injury
  • Soufian El-Faouzi (M): Day-To-Day, Broken Nose
  • Janik Bachmann (M): Out, Hip Injury
  • Luca Vozar (M): Out, Illness
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TSG Hoffenheim vs Schalke 04 odds by sportsbook

Book TSG ML S04 ML Over Under
bet365 -167 +400 O 3.5 +130 U 3.5 -162
BetRivers -161 +360 O 3.25 -114 U 3.25 -115
DraftKings -170 +370 O 3.5 +125 U 3.5 -160
FanDuel -180 +400 O 3.5 +122 U 3.5 -150
Fanatics -170 +400 O 3.5 +120 U 3.5 -160

Highlighted: the best price in each column as of 10:47 AM ET. Prices move; check the book before you bet.

Line movement since we first listed this match (Sat 7:44 AM ET): no change in the main lines yet.

Goal lines and both teams to score

Both teams to score: yes -180, no +140

Total goals Over Under
1.5 -750 +490
2.5 -210 +168
3.5 +122 -150
4.5 +290 -385

Line movement chart

Total 3.5 → 3.5
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More on these teams: Werder Bremen vs TSG Hoffenheim Oct 31 · Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig Oct 31 · All Bundesliga prop picks · All Bundesliga predictions

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