Vikings vs Lions Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Nov 1, 2026)

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NFL prop picks: today's featured picks
Minnesota Vikings logo

Vikings6-0 · 4-2 ATS2nd in the NFC
FINAL15 – 19
Detroit Lions logo

Lions4-2 · 1-4-1 ATS6th in the NFC

NFL · Sunday, November 1, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET · Ford Field

Final score by quarter

Team 1 2 3 4 T
Vikings 0 7 0 8 15
Lions 3 3 6 7 19

How the bets settled

MoneylineLions wonClosed at -175
SpreadLions coveredLions -3.5, by 0.5
TotalUnder 45.534 scored, 11.5 under

Closing line, DraftKings.

Game review

The Detroit Lions beat the Minnesota Vikings 19-15 on Nov. 1, with the game swinging in the third quarter as Detroit turned a one-point halftime deficit into a lead it carried into the fourth.

Jahmyr Gibbs powered Detroit with 153 rushing yards and a touchdown, and the Lions leaned on 230 rushing yards, 14 rushing first downs and 35:43 of possession. Jared Goff added 176 passing yards with a touchdown and an interception, while Jameson Williams caught four passes for 70 yards and a score. Minnesota got 210 passing yards and two touchdowns from Kyler Murray plus 2.5 sacks from Andrew Van Ginkel, but the Vikings managed only 81 rushing yards and 15 first downs.

For bettors, Detroit covered the closing 3.5-point spread by 0.5, and the game settled under the 45.5 total by 11.5.

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Against the spread, start to finish

LionsVikings
The score margin against the closing spread (Lions -3.5). Blue: Lions covering. Orange: Vikings covering.
+7.5Largest MIN cover
74%MIN covering
+1.5Largest DET cover
26%DET covering

Win probability

LionsVikings
Blue: Lions favored. Orange: Vikings favored. ESPN’s in-game win probability, start to finish.

Top performers

Vikings

  • Passing YardsKyler Murray17/29, 210 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
  • Rushing YardsKyler Murray4 CAR, 35 YDS
  • Receiving YardsJordan Addison3 REC, 66 YDS
  • SacksAndrew Van Ginkel2.5
  • TacklesJoshua Metellus13

Lions

  • Passing YardsJared Goff18/25, 176 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
  • Rushing YardsJahmyr Gibbs23 CAR, 153 YDS, 1 TD
  • Receiving YardsJameson Williams4 REC, 70 YDS, 1 TD
  • SacksAlim McNeill1
  • TacklesJimmy Rolder5

Team stats

VikingsLions
266Total yards384
185Passing yards154
81Rushing yards230
5.3Yards per play5.6
15First downs24
3-10Third downs5-13
2-2Red zone1-3
1Turnovers1
5-40Penalties7-76
24:17Possession35:43

Box score

Minnesota VikingsDetroit Lions

Minnesota Vikings

Passing

Player C/ATT YDS AVG TD INT SACKS QBR RTG
Kyler Murray 17/29 210 7.2 2 1 3-25 38.2 89.7
Total 17/29 185 7.2 2 1 3-25 — 89.7

Rushing

Player CAR YDS AVG TD LONG
Kyler Murray 4 35 8.8 0 22
Aaron Jones Sr. 5 22 4.4 0 7
Jordan Mason 8 20 2.5 0 11
DeeJay Dallas 1 4 4.0 0 4
Total 18 81 4.5 0 22

Receiving

Player REC YDS AVG TD LONG TGTS
Jordan Addison 3 66 22.0 0 51 8
T.J. Hockenson 4 58 14.5 1 22 5
Justin Jefferson 5 33 6.6 1 9 9
Ben Yurosek 1 24 24.0 0 24 2
Aaron Jones Sr. 2 18 9.0 0 15 2
Jauan Jennings 2 11 5.5 0 6 2
Total 17 210 12.4 2 51 28

Defense

Player TOT SOLO SACKS TFL PD QB HTS TD
Joshua Metellus 13 6 0 0 1 0 0
Eric Wilson 11 7 1 2 0 1 0
Byron Murphy Jr. 10 8 0 0 0 0 0
Blake Cashman 10 5 0 1 0 0 0
Andrew Van Ginkel 4 2 2.5 2 0 3 0
Harrison Smith 4 2 0 0 0 1 0
Theo Jackson 4 2 0 1 0 0 0
Isaiah Rodgers 4 1 0 0 0 0 0
Dallas Turner 2 2 0 1 0 2 0
James Pierre 2 1 0 0 1 0 0
Jalen Redmond 2 1 0 0 1 0 0
Chaz Chambliss 2 1 0 0 0 0 0
Tyrion Ingram-Dawkins 2 0 0.5 0 0 2 0
Jordan Addison 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
Ivan Pace Jr. 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
Jay Ward 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
Caleb Banks 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
Domonique Orange 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
Levi Drake Rodriguez 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
Kyle Van Noy 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
DeeJay Dallas 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
Jacob Thomas 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
Total 79 44 4 7 3 9 0

Detroit Lions

Passing

Player C/ATT YDS AVG TD INT SACKS QBR RTG
Jared Goff 18/25 176 7.0 1 1 4-22 59.8 88.1
Total 18/25 154 7.0 1 1 4-22 — 88.1

Rushing

Player CAR YDS AVG TD LONG
Jahmyr Gibbs 23 153 6.7 1 30
Sione Vaki 11 65 5.9 0 12
Amon-Ra St. Brown 1 10 10.0 0 10
Sam LaPorta 1 2 2.0 0 2
Jared Goff 3 0 0.0 0 2
Total 39 230 5.9 1 30

Receiving

Player REC YDS AVG TD LONG TGTS
Jameson Williams 4 70 17.5 1 46 6
Amon-Ra St. Brown 7 46 6.6 0 13 8
Sam LaPorta 3 33 11.0 0 19 5
Jahmyr Gibbs 2 15 7.5 0 13 4
Tyler Conklin 1 7 7.0 0 7 1
Sione Vaki 1 5 5.0 0 5 1
Total 18 176 9.8 1 46 25

Defense

Player TOT SOLO SACKS TFL PD QB HTS TD
Jimmy Rolder 5 2 1 2 0 1 0
Aidan Hutchinson 4 4 0 1 0 1 0
Roger McCreary 4 3 0 0 0 0 0
Malcolm Rodriguez 4 2 0 0 0 0 0
Chuck Clark 3 2 0 0 0 0 0
Rock Ya-Sin 3 2 0 0 0 0 0
Brian Branch 3 2 0 0 0 0 0
Trevor Nowaske 3 2 0 0 0 0 0
Skyler Gill-Howard 3 1 1 1 0 1 0
Jack Campbell 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
Eric O’Neill 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
Khalil Dorsey 2 2 0 0 0 0 0
Alim McNeill 2 1 1 1 0 1 0
DJ Wonnum 2 1 0 0 0 0 0
Derrick Moore 2 1 0 0 0 0 0
Jameson Williams 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
D.J. Reed 1 0 0 0 3 0 0
Amen Ogbongbemiga 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
Tay Martin 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
Derrick Barnes 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
Christian Izien 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
Keith Abney II 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
Tyler Lacy 0 0 0 0 0 1 0
Tyleik Williams 0 0 0 0 0 1 0
Total 53 26 3 5 3 6 0

Attendance 64,008 · Officials: Max Causey, Frank Steratore, Craig Wrolstad, Rich Martinez, Brandon Cruse, Jeff Shears, John Braun

Recap: Goff throws go-ahead touchdown pass to Williams and Lions beat Vikings 19-15 for their 1st loss (ESPN)

Highlights

Play-by-play on ESPN

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this game. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Betting trends

  • The under has hit in 5 straight Vikings games.
  • Vikings are 7-3 against the spread in their last 10.
  • Vikings are 4-0 ATS as underdogs in their last 10 games.
  • The over is 2-8 in Vikings’ last 10 games.
  • Lions are 2-7 against the spread in their last 10.
  • The over is 7-3 in Lions’ last 10 games.

From each team’s last 10 games and recent meetings, against the closing line.

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Vikings vs Lions pre-game preview

The listed market makes Detroit a -170 moneyline favorite, with the spread at Detroit -3.5 and the total at 45.5. Minnesota won the last meeting 23-10 at home on December 25, 2025.

In the last six head-to-head meetings, Minnesota is 2-4 straight up and 1-0 against the spread with an 0-1 over/under. This season Minnesota is 6-0 and 4-2 ATS with a 1-5 over/under; its last 10 are 10-0 and 7-3 ATS with a 2-8 over/under. Detroit is 4-2 and 1-4-1 ATS with a 5-1 over/under this season; its last 10 are 5-5 and 2-7-1 ATS with a 7-3 over/under.

Minnesota’s defense allows 12.3 points (rank 1), 180.8 passing yards (rank 2) and 16 receptions (rank 1), while Detroit allows 27.5 points (rank 26), 313.5 passing yards (rank 32) and 28.7 receptions (rank 32). On the prop side, Aaron Jones Sr. over 7.5 rushing attempts at -110 has cleared in 10 of last 10 and 100% versus this opponent over three games; Will Reichard over 6.5 kicking points at -135 has cleared in 10 of last 10.

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Player stats and form

Season averages and each player’s last 5 games, newest first. Splits: per-game averages (games in brackets); vs the opponent covers this season and last, newest game first.

Minnesota Vikings

Carson Wentz QB204.9 pass yds · 1.3 TD per game
Date Opp CMP/ATT YDS TD INT RUSH
9/20 @ CHI 11/20 143 0 0 6
9/13 vs GB 12/19 133 3 0 -1
Splits Season Road 2025 vs DET
Pass yds 138.0 (2) 143.0 (1) 243.2 (5) –
Pass TD 1.5 (2) 0.0 (1) 1.2 (5) –

Aaron Jones Sr. RB58.6 rush yds · 2.2 rec per game
Date Opp ATT YDS TD REC REC YDS
10/25 vs IND 8 26 0 1 0
10/11 @ NO 25 113 1 3 4
10/4 vs MIA 20 94 0 4 34
9/27 @ TB 17 58 0 5 34
9/20 @ CHI 23 105 0 0 0
Splits Season Road 2025 vs DET
Rush yds 72.7 (6) 92.0 (3) 45.7 (12) 65.5 (2)
53 · 78
Rec 2.2 (6) 2.7 (3) 2.3 (12) 2.5 (2)
3 · 2

Justin Jefferson WR4.6 rec · 53.8 yds per game
Date Opp TGT REC YDS TD
10/25 vs IND 7 4 44 0
10/11 @ NO 7 6 79 1
9/27 @ TB 2 2 32 0
9/20 @ CHI 6 3 55 0
9/13 vs GB 9 8 92 2
Splits Season Road 2025 vs DET
Rec 4.6 (5) 3.7 (3) 4.9 (17) 5.0 (2)
4 · 6
Rec yds 60.4 (5) 55.3 (3) 61.6 (17) 38.5 (2)
30 · 47

Jordan Addison WR2.7 rec · 37.4 yds per game
Date Opp TGT REC YDS TD
10/25 vs IND 3 2 20 0
10/4 vs MIA 6 4 52 0
9/27 @ TB 9 5 90 1
9/20 @ CHI 5 2 21 0
9/13 vs GB 2 0 0 0
Splits Season Road 2025 vs DET
Rec 2.6 (5) 3.5 (2) 3.0 (14) 1.0 (2)
0 · 2
Rec yds 36.6 (5) 55.5 (2) 43.6 (14) 24.0 (2)
0 · 48

Detroit Lions

Jared Goff QB292.7 pass yds · 2.0 TD per game
Date Opp CMP/ATT YDS TD INT RUSH
10/25 vs GB 22/32 303 2 0 -1
10/11 @ ARI 19/30 271 3 0 1
10/5 @ CAR 32/52 412 1 0 0
9/27 vs NYJ 25/32 269 2 0 6
9/18 @ BUF 26/38 327 4 0 7
Splits Season Home 2025 vs MIN
Pass yds 298.0 (6) 259.3 (3) 268.5 (17) 240.5 (2)
197 · 284
Pass TD 2.3 (6) 2.0 (3) 2.0 (17) 1.5 (2)
1 · 2

Jahmyr Gibbs RB87.8 rush yds · 5.1 rec per game
Date Opp ATT YDS TD REC REC YDS
10/25 vs GB 29 116 0 5 27
10/11 @ ARI 25 151 2 5 56
10/5 @ CAR 15 46 1 4 31
9/27 vs NYJ 20 99 2 7 65
9/18 @ BUF 16 52 0 6 61
Splits Season Home 2025 vs MIN
Rush yds 103.3 (6) 123.7 (3) 71.9 (17) 33.0 (2)
41 · 25
Rec 5.3 (6) 5.7 (3) 4.5 (17) 2.5 (2)
2 · 3

Amon-Ra St. Brown WR7.1 rec · 86.8 yds per game
Date Opp TGT REC YDS TD
10/25 vs GB 11 9 153 0
10/11 @ ARI 11 6 69 0
10/5 @ CAR 11 8 75 0
9/27 vs NYJ 8 4 19 1
9/18 @ BUF 13 9 142 2
Splits Season Home 2025 vs MIN
Rec 7.7 (6) 7.7 (3) 6.9 (17) 8.5 (2)
8 · 9
Rec yds 87.5 (6) 79.7 (3) 82.4 (17) 82.5 (2)
68 · 97

Jameson Williams WR4.1 rec · 69.1 yds per game
Date Opp TGT REC YDS TD
10/25 vs GB 9 5 91 2
10/11 @ ARI 4 2 47 2
10/5 @ CAR 8 6 102 0
9/27 vs NYJ 4 4 49 0
9/18 @ BUF 4 2 33 0
Splits Season Home 2025 vs MIN
Rec 3.8 (6) 4.3 (3) 3.8 (17) 3.0 (2)
2 · 4
Rec yds 61.2 (6) 61.7 (3) 65.7 (17) 51.5 (2)
37 · 66

Records

Team Record ATS O/U Home Away
Vikings 6-0 4-2 1-5 3-0 3-0
Lions 4-2 1-4-1 5-1 3-0 1-2

This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.

Vikings vs Lions head-to-head

Vikings are 2-4, 1-0 ATS, O/U 0-1 in the last 6 meetings. Last time: Vikings won 23-10 on December 25, 2025.

Date Venue Vikings result ATS O/U
Dec 25, 25 Vikings home W 23-10 W +7.5 U 45.5
Nov 2, 25 Lions home W 27-24 – –
Jan 5, 25 Lions home L 9-31 – –
Oct 20, 24 Vikings home L 29-31 – –
Jan 7, 24 Lions home L 20-30 – –
Dec 24, 23 Vikings home L 24-30 – –

Recent form

Minnesota Vikings: last 10 (10-0, 7-3 ATS, O/U 2-8)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Oct 25, 26 vs IND W 16-10 L -6.5 U 41.5
Oct 11, 26 @ NO W 23-13 W -2.5 U 41.5
Oct 4, 26 vs MIA W 15-10 L -10 U 38.5
Sep 27, 26 @ TB W 23-16 W +1.5 U 42.5
Sep 20, 26 @ CHI W 9-3 W +4.5 U 46.5
Sep 13, 26 vs GB W 39-22 W -2.5 O 46.5
Jan 4, 26 vs GB W 16-3 L -13.5 U 37.5
Dec 25, 25 vs DET W 23-10 W +7.5 U 45.5
Dec 21, 25 @ NYG W 16-13 W -2.5 U 41.5
Dec 14, 25 @ DAL W 34-26 W +5.5 O 47.5

Detroit Lions: last 10 (5-5, 2-7-1 ATS, O/U 7-3)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Oct 25, 26 vs GB W 20-17 L -3.5 U 55.5
Oct 11, 26 @ ARI W 45-21 W -4.5 O 55.5
Oct 4, 26 @ CAR L 26-32 L -3.5 O 52.5
Sep 27, 26 vs NYJ W 31-24 P -7 O 49.5
Sep 17, 26 @ BUF L 31-41 L +5.5 O 54.5
Sep 13, 26 vs NO W 31-30 L -7 O 49.5
Jan 4, 26 @ CHI W 19-16 W +3 U 51.5
Dec 25, 25 @ MIN L 10-23 L -7.5 U 45.5
Dec 21, 25 vs PIT L 24-29 L -7.5 O 52.5
Dec 14, 25 @ LAR L 34-41 L +5.5 O 54.5

Injury report

Minnesota Vikings

  • Jamal Adams (LB): IR, ir
  • Nick Samac (C): IR, The Vikings placed Samac
  • Josh Oliver (TE): IR, The Vikings placed Oliver
  • Donovan Jackson (G): IR, Jackson
  • Jay Ward (S): Questionable, questionable
  • Tyler Batty (LB): IR, The Vikings placed Batty

Detroit Lions

  • Giovanni Manu (OT): NFI-R, The Lions moved Manu
  • Kerby Joseph (S): PUP-R, Joseph
  • Kendrick Law (WR): IR
  • Isiah Pacheco (RB): IR, Lions coach Dan Campbell said Friday that Pacheco
  • Payton Turner (DE): IR, ir
  • Damone Clark (LB): IR, Detroit placed Clark
  • Avonte Maddox (CB): IR, The Lions placed Maddox
  • Ben Bartch (G): IR, The Lions placed Bartch
  • Thomas Harper (S): IR, The Lions placed Harper
  • Tom Kennedy (WR): IR, The Lions placed Kennedy
  • Devin White (LB): IR, The Lions placed White
  • Roger McCreary (CB): Questionable, McCreary

Matchup ranks

What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.

Vikings defense Lions defense
Points allowed per game 13.3 (1st of 32) 25.7 (23rd of 32)
Passing yards allowed per game 180.1 (2nd of 32) 298.7 (32nd of 32)
Rushing yards allowed per game 116.7 (18th of 32) 96.6 (10th of 32)
Receptions allowed per game 16.3 (1st of 32) 27 (32nd of 32)

Venue and weather

Ford Field · Detroit, MIIndoor, weather won’t matter
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Vikings vs Lions odds

Line movement from the open

Line Open Close Move
Lions spread -4.5 -3.5 +1
Total 47.5 45.5 -2
Vikings moneyline +185 +145 +5.7% win chance
Lions moneyline -225 -175 -5.6% win chance

DraftKings opening and closing numbers via ESPN.

Line movement chart

Lions spread -3.5 → -3.5
Total 45.5 → 45.5
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More on these teams: Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions Oct 25 · Indianapolis Colts vs Minnesota Vikings Oct 25 · All NFL prop picks

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