West Bromwich Albion vs Millwall preview
Saturday’s Championship match sees West Bromwich Albion host Millwall. The listed betting market is both teams to score, with yes at -150 and no at +120. West Brom sits seventh on 25 points with a 7-4-3 record and form DWDWW; Millwall is 13th on 18 points at 5-3-6 and LWLDL. The last meeting was a 0-0 draw on April 10, 2026, after Millwall’s 3-0 win on October 4, 2025.
Millwall’s recent league profile leans open: over 2.5 goals landed in 79% of its matches, and it scores 1.64 while conceding 1.71 per match. West Brom has both teams scored in 71% and concedes 1.07. Injury volume matters for Millwall, with De Norre, Jensen and Servais among the absentees, while West Brom is without Johnston and Galves.
The prop board offers a research angle: Callum John Styles over 1.5 tackles at -145 cleared 9 of his last 10, and Kyrell Jeremiah Lisbie over 0.5 fouls won at -175 also cleared 9 of 10.
West Bromwich Albion vs Millwall prediction
The model leans West Bromwich Albion, with a 48% win versus 28% for Millwall and expected goals of 1.68 to 1.21. That fits West Brom’s DWDWW form and 1.07 goals conceded per match against Millwall’s LWLDL run and 1.71 conceded. The 57% both-teams-to-score model figure is consistent with the book’s yes at -150; no 1X2 prices are listed, so no model-book conflict is assessed.
A Poisson estimate from each club’s scoring and conceding rates this season, overall and at home or away (14 and 14 matches). It does not know about lineups or injuries, and it is a research estimate, not a guarantee.
StatsBench picks
No StatsBench pick posted for this match. Today’s posted picks are graded live.
Top West Bromwich Albion vs Millwall player props
| Player | Prop | Best price | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Callum John Styles West Brom | Over 1.5 tackles | -145 |
90% (9/10) | 80% |
| Kyrell Jeremiah Lisbie Millwall | Over 0.5 fouls won | -175 |
90% (9/10) | 100% |
| Max Edward O’Leary West Brom | Over 2.5 saves | -110 |
70% (7/10) | 60% |
| Harry Whitwell West Brom | Over 1.5 tackles | -135 |
70% (7/10) | 60% |
| L. Dykes Millwall | Over 1.5 shots | -162 |
70% (7/10) | 60% |
Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent matches. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 10:40 AM ET.
Key matchups
From the predicted lineups: each winger against the full-back he faces, the strikers against the centre-backs. Each white tick marks the league average per match. The lower bars show how often the player cleared the line over his recent matches, green at 70% or better.
Nzingoula vs Sturge
Nzingoula
SturgePrice vs Crama
Price
CramaMorgan vs Taylor and Cooper
Morgan
Taylor
CooperNo lines posted
Myhre vs Taylor and Cooper
Myhre
Taylor
CooperNeghli vs Styles
Neghli
StylesLisbie vs Pereira
Lisbie
PereiraDykes vs Mepham and Campbell
Dykes
Mepham
CampbellAffiliate link: StatsBench may earn a commission if you sign up. 18+ (21+ where required); availability depends on where you live.
Predicted lineups
Predicted XIs; the official lineups post about an hour before kickoff and this page updates then. The badge on each player: how often he cleared his strongest prop line (named under him) over his recent matches; green at 70% or better.
West Bromwich Albion 4-4-2
Millwall 4-2-3-1
7/101 O’LearySaves 2.5+
18 Pereira
2 Mepham
6 Campbell
9/104 StylesTackles 1.5+
5/1020 NzingoulaFouls 1.5+
7/108 MolumbyShots 0.5+
5/1017 DiakiteFouls won 1.5+
6/1021 PriceSOT 0.5+
11 Morgan
6/107 MyhreShots 0.5+
15 Crocombe
4 Crama
7/106 TaylorShots 0.5+
6/105 CooperShots 0.5+
6/103 SturgeFouls won 0.5+
14 Metcalfe
6/1049 Mazou-SackoShots 0.5+
5/1010 NeghliSOT 0.5+
25 Cundle
9/1022 LisbieFouls won 0.5+
7/1013 DykesShots 1.5+West Bromwich Albion missing: T. Collyer (injury), N. Galves (knee), M. Johnston (broken leg)
Millwall missing: C. De Norre (muscle), L. Jensen (muscle), F. Marschall (injury), M. Servais (inactive)
Form and head to head
West Bromwich Albion7th in the tableDWDWW7W 4D 3L · 1.79 points a match
Millwall13th in the tableLWLDL5W 3D 6L · 1.29 points a match- Apr 2026West Brom 0-0 Millwall
- Oct 2025Millwall 3-0 West Brom
Clean sheets and goal trends
West Bromwich Albion
Clean sheet2/14
Failed to score2/14
Both scored10/14
Over 2.56/14
Millwall
Clean sheet4/14
Failed to score3/14
Both scored7/14
Over 2.511/14
Attack and defense
Attacking
- 1.4Scored per match1.6
- 11.1Shots per match11.7
- 4.0Shots on target per match4.1
- 0.0Big chances per match0.0
Defensive
- 1.1Conceded per match1.7
- 9.6Shots against per match10.1
- 17.4Tackles per match13.9
- 10.1Fouls per match12.1
Per-match rates this season. Each spoke of the charts is scaled to the higher of the two clubs.
Recent results
| West Brom | DWDWW | D 1-1 vs Southampton · W 3-1 at West Ham · D 1-1 at Preston · W 3-2 vs Blackburn · W 2-1 at Wrexham |
|---|---|---|
| Millwall | LWLDL | L 0-3 at Birmingham · W 4-1 vs Derby · L 1-2 at Portsmouth · D 2-2 vs Lincoln · L 0-1 vs Swansea |
Last five EFL Championship results, most recent first.
Season numbers
| West Brom | Millwall | |
|---|---|---|
| Table | 7 (25 pts) | 13 (18 pts) |
| Record (W-D-L) | 7-4-3 | 5-3-6 |
| Home / away record | 3-3-1 (10-7) home | 2-1-4 (8-15) away |
| Goals scored per match | 1.43 | 1.64 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.07 | 1.71 |
| Shots / on target per match | 11.07 / 4.00 | 11.71 / 4.14 |
| Both teams scored | 71% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 / 2.5 / 3.5 goals | 71% / 43% / 29% | 86% / 79% / 50% |
| Clean sheets | 14% | 29% |
| Failed to score | 14% | 21% |
| Yellow cards per match | 1.86 | 2.00 |
| Corners per match | 5.64 | 5.29 |
This season, 14 and 14 matches.
Referee
Thomas Bramall averages 4.3 yellow cards and 22.5 fouls per match over 4 matches this season (league average 3.8 and 22.1), a card-heavy referee.
Injury report
West Bromwich Albion
- M. Johnston: Injured, Broken Leg
- N. Galves: Injured, Knee Injury
- T. Collyer: Injured
Millwall
- J. Metcalfe: Injured, Yellow Cards
- M. Servais: Injured
- M. Luongo: Doubtful, Knee Injury
- L. Jensen: Injured, Muscle Injury
- J. Coburn: Injured, Muscle Injury
- M. Ivanovic: Injured, Hamstring Injury
- T. Arconte: Doubtful, Ankle Injury
- F. Marschall: Injured
- C. De Norre: Injured, Muscle Injury
Goal lines and both teams to score
Both teams to score: yes -150, no +120
| Total goals | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | -370 | +275 |
| 2.5 | -125 | -105 |
| 3.5 | +200 | -265 |
| 4.5 | +450 | -700 |
More on these teams: All EFL Championship prop picks · All EFL Championship predictions
Betting guides: yellow card betting tips · football player props guide · how parlays work
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