Wild vs Capitals Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Nov 1, 2026)

Wild9-6 · 9-6 ATS2nd in the West

FINAL5 – 1

Capitals8-4 · 5-7 ATS11th in the East

NHL · Sunday, November 1, 2026 · 3:30 PM ET · Capital One Arena

Final score by period

Team	1	2	3	T
Wild	2	0	3	5
Capitals	0	1	0	1

How the bets settled

MoneylineWild wonClosed at -122

SpreadWild coveredWild -1.5, by 2.5

TotalUnder 6.56 scored, 0.5 under

Closing line, DraftKings.

Game review

Minnesota Wild beat Washington Capitals 5-1 on November 1, swinging the game with a three-goal third period after building a first-period lead and carrying a one-goal edge into the final frame. Michael McCarron scored for the Wild and Joel Eriksson Ek had two assists, while Justin Sourdif scored Washington’s lone goal and Cole Hutson assisted.

Minnesota’s power play converted at 40.0 percent and blocked 20 shots, while Washington went 0.0 percent with the man advantage and spent 20 penalty minutes. Washington won 56.9 percent of faceoffs but could not turn that into enough offense. For bettors, Minnesota covered the closing 1.5-goal spread by 2.5 and the game went under the 6.5 total by 0.5.

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Against the spread, start to finish

CapitalsWild

The score margin against the closing spread (Capitals +1.5). Blue: Capitals covering. Orange: Wild covering.

+2.5Largest MIN cover

61%MIN covering

+1.5Largest WSH cover

39%WSH covering

Top performers

Wild

GoalsMichael McCarron1
AssistsJoel Eriksson Ek2
PointsJoel Eriksson Ek2

Capitals

GoalsJustin Sourdif1
AssistsCole Hutson1
PointsJustin Sourdif1

Team stats

WildCapitals

28Shots27

43.1%Faceoffs won56.9%

2Power play goals0

22Hits24

20Blocked shots20

4Takeaways3

13Giveaways14

2Penalty minutes20

Box score

Minnesota Wild

Washington Capitals

Minnesota Wild

Forwards

Player	G	A	S	+/-	TOI	SHFT	HT	BS	TK	GV	PIM	FO%
Matt Boldy LW	0	1	3	1	21:16	19	1	0	0	1	0	0.0
Bobby Brink RW	0	2	4	1	16:11	17	2	1	1	0	2	0.0
Blake Coleman LW	0	1	1	1	16:14	18	3	0	0	0	0	0.0
Joel Eriksson Ek C	0	2	3	1	19:33	18	0	0	0	0	0	42.1
Ryan Hartman RW	0	0	3	0	13:38	14	1	1	0	0	0	42.9
Kirill Kaprizov LW	1	0	2	0	21:43	18	0	0	1	1	0	0.0
Michael McCarron C	1	0	1	1	13:38	16	3	2	0	1	0	37.5
Tyler Pitlick C	0	0	1	1	9:59	11	3	2	0	0	0	0.0
Maxim Shabanov RW	1	0	3	0	14:11	13	2	0	0	0	0	0.0
Nico Sturm C	0	1	0	1	9:22	13	3	0	0	1	0	40.0
Yakov Trenin C	0	0	1	-1	12:02	14	2	1	0	0	0	100.0
Danila Yurov RW	1	0	2	0	14:51	16	0	0	0	0	0	55.6

Defenses

Player	G	A	S	+/-	TOI	SHFT	HT	BS	TK	GV
Zach Bogosian D	0	0	0	1	18:25	22	0	3	1	2
Jonas Brodin D	0	1	0	0	23:55	26	0	3	0	0
Quinn Hughes D	1	0	3	0	29:41	24	1	1	1	4
Matt Kiersted D	0	0	0	1	11:44	15	1	1	0	0
Olli Maatta D	0	0	1	1	19:10	23	0	5	0	1
David Spacek D	0	1	0	1	12:27	16	0	0	0	1

Goalies

Player	GA	SA	SOS	SOSA	SV	SV%	ESSV	PPSV	SHSV	TOI	YTDG	PIM
Jesper Wallstedt G	1	27	0	0	26	.963	25	0	1	60:00	0	0

Washington Capitals

Forwards

Player	G	A	S	+/-	TOI	SHFT	HT	BS	TK	GV	PIM	FO%
Anthony Beauvillier LW	0	1	1	-1	10:22	14	2	0	0	0	0	0.0
Pierre-Luc Dubois LW	0	0	3	-1	17:22	18	0	0	0	0	0	66.7
Boone Jenner C	0	0	0	0	14:59	19	1	1	1	1	0	70.0
Jordan Kyrou RW	0	0	0	0	14:56	19	0	0	1	1	2	0.0
Ryan Leonard RW	0	0	3	0	12:18	15	2	1	0	0	0	0.0
Alex Ovechkin LW	0	0	2	-2	13:08	16	0	1	0	1	0	0.0
Aliaksei Protas C	0	0	1	0	16:59	19	1	0	0	2	0	0.0
Ilya Protas LW	0	0	1	-1	8:44	11	0	0	0	1	0	33.3
Justin Sourdif RW	1	0	2	0	13:04	15	3	1	0	1	0	60.0
Dylan Strome C	0	0	0	-1	18:28	18	0	1	0	1	0	53.3
Alex Tuch RW	0	0	4	-1	18:15	19	1	2	1	0	0	0.0
Tom Wilson RW	0	0	2	-1	18:01	20	3	1	0	1	14	0.0

Defenses

Player	A	S	+/-	TOI	SHFT	HT	BS	GV	PIM
Jakob Chychrun D	0	4	0	27:16	22	1	6	0	0
Martin Fehervary D	0	0	-1	20:27	22	4	0	0	0
Cole Hutson D	1	1	0	19:58	20	2	1	1	0
Timothy Liljegren D	0	0	-1	13:47	19	0	3	2	2
Matt Roy D	0	0	0	21:07	21	4	2	0	0
Jack St. Ivany D	0	3	-1	15:16	19	0	0	2	2

Goalies

Player	GA	SA	SOS	SOSA	SV	SV%	ESSV	PPSV	SHSV	TOI	YTDG	PIM
Logan Thompson G	4	27	0	0	23	.852	20	3	0	58:52	0	0

Attendance 17,393 · Officials: Riley Brace, Peter MacDougall, Jonathan Deschamps, CJ Murray

Recap: 2 early goals lift Minnesota to a 5-1 win over Washington, snapping the Capitals’ 3-game run (ESPN)

Highlights

Michael McCarron nets goal for Wild (ESPN)
Justin Sourdif nets goal for Capitals (ESPN)
Jesper Wallstedt makes big-time save vs. Capitals (ESPN)
Maxim Shabanov scores on the power play for Minnesota Wild (ESPN)

Play-by-play on ESPN

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this game. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Betting trends

The over has hit in 4 straight Capitals games.
The over is 7-3 in Capitals’ last 10 games.

From each team’s last 10 games and recent meetings, against the closing line.

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Wild vs Capitals pre-game preview

Sunday’s matchup has Washington as a slight moneyline favorite at -109, Minnesota at -107, and the total at 6.5. Minnesota won the last meeting 5-0 at home on December 16, 2025. The Wild are 6-4 in their last 10 and 5-5 against the spread, most recently losing 3-4 to the New York Islanders on October 29. Washington is 7-3 in its last 10 and 4-6 against the spread, most recently winning 4-3 at Nashville on October 29.

One useful angle is the defensive gap: Minnesota allows 2.33 goals per game (4th), 25.13 shots per game (7th) and 6.2 points per game (3rd), while Washington allows 3.08 goals (15th), 28.08 shots (23rd) and 8.17 points (13th). On the prop side, Kirill Kaprizov’s over 0.5 goals at +100 has cleared in 7 of his last 10.

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Player stats and form

Season averages and each player’s last 5 games, newest first. Splits: per-game averages (games in brackets); vs the opponent covers this season and last, newest game first.

Minnesota Wild

Kirill Kaprizov L1.6 PTS · 3.3 SOG · 0.9 G per game

Date	Opp	TOI	G	A	SOG	HIT
11/1	@ WSH	21:43	1	0	2	0
10/29	vs NYI	21:50	0	1	3	2
10/27	@ UTA	24:36	1	1	4	2
10/25	@ VAN	21:53	1	1	2	1
10/24	@ SEA	17:54	1	1	4	0

Splits	Season	Road	2025-26	vs WSH
PTS	1.6 (16)	1.5 (11)	1.2 (89)	0.7 (3) 1 · 1 · 0
SOG	3.3 (16)	2.9 (11)	3.3 (89)	2.3 (3) 2 · 4 · 1

Quinn Hughes D1.3 PTS · 2.9 SOG · 0.3 G per game

Date	Opp	TOI	G	A	SOG	HIT
11/1	@ WSH	29:41	1	0	3	1
10/29	vs NYI	33:41	1	1	4	1
10/27	@ UTA	29:54	0	2	2	0
10/25	@ VAN	26:10	1	1	3	1
10/24	@ SEA	22:49	0	1	1	0

Splits	Season	Road	2025-26	vs WSH
PTS	1.3 (16)	1.2 (11)	1.1 (85)	1.0 (3) 1 · 1 · 1
SOG	2.9 (16)	2.6 (11)	2.4 (85)	2.0 (3) 3 · 2 · 1

Joel Eriksson Ek C0.9 PTS · 3.4 SOG · 0.3 G per game

Date	Opp	TOI	G	A	SOG	HIT
11/1	@ WSH	19:33	0	2	3	0
10/29	vs NYI	17:12	1	0	3	2
10/27	@ UTA	21:21	1	0	4	0
10/25	@ VAN	20:10	0	1	5	3
10/24	@ SEA	15:08	1	1	2	0

Splits	Season	Road	2025-26	vs WSH
PTS	0.9 (16)	0.7 (11)	0.7 (76)	1.0 (3) 2 · 1 · 0
SOG	3.4 (16)	3.7 (11)	2.9 (76)	2.3 (3) 3 · 1 · 3

Washington Capitals

Alex Tuch R0.9 PTS · 2.8 SOG · 0.8 G per game

Date	Opp	TOI	G	SOG	HIT
11/1	vs MIN	18:15	0	4	1
10/29	@ NSH	17:18	1	1	2
10/28	vs PHI	18:41	2	5	1
10/24	vs BUF	22:32	2	3	2
10/20	vs LAK	18:59	0	2	2

Splits	Season	Home	2025-26	vs MIN
PTS	0.9 (13)	1.0 (9)	0.8 (92)	0.7 (3) 0 · 1 · 1
SOG	2.8 (13)	3.3 (9)	2.6 (92)	3.3 (3) 4 · 2 · 4

Dylan Strome C0.9 PTS · 2.0 SOG · 0.2 G per game

Date	Opp	TOI	G	A	SOG
11/1	vs MIN	18:28	0	0	0
10/29	@ NSH	15:54	0	0	0
10/28	vs PHI	15:48	0	3	2
10/24	vs BUF	20:59	2	1	5
10/20	vs LAK	18:59	0	0	4

Splits	Season	Home	2025-26	vs MIN
PTS	0.9 (13)	1.0 (9)	0.7 (80)	1.3 (3) 0 · 0 · 4
SOG	2.0 (13)	2.4 (9)	1.8 (80)	2.3 (3) 0 · 2 · 5

Pierre-Luc Dubois C0.9 PTS · 1.8 SOG · 0.1 G per game

Date	Opp	TOI	A	SOG	HIT
11/1	vs MIN	17:22	0	3	0
10/29	@ NSH	17:07	1	2	1
10/28	vs PHI	13:00	2	1	1
10/24	vs BUF	18:08	0	2	1
10/9	vs NYR	20:02	0	1	2

Splits	Season	Home	2025-26	vs MIN
PTS	0.9 (8)	0.8 (5)	0.7 (29)	0.0 (1) 0
SOG	1.8 (8)	2.0 (5)	1.4 (29)	3.0 (1) 3

Records

Team	Record	ATS	O/U	Home	Away
Wild	9-6	9-6	5-10	4-1	5-5
Capitals	8-4	5-7	8-4	6-2	2-2

This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.

Wild vs Capitals head-to-head

Wild are 4-2, 2-1 ATS, O/U 1-2 in the last 6 meetings. Last time: Wild won 5-0 on December 16, 2025.

Date	Venue	Wild result	ATS	O/U
Dec 16, 25	Wild home	W 5-0	W -1.5	U 5.5
Oct 17, 25	Capitals home	L 1-5	–	–
Mar 27, 25	Wild home	W 4-2	–	–
Jan 2, 25	Capitals home	W 4-3	–	–
Jan 23, 24	Wild home	W 5-3	W -1.5	O 5.5
Oct 27, 23	Capitals home	L 2-3	L -1.5	U 5.5

Recent form

Minnesota Wild: last 10 (6-4, 5-5 ATS, O/U 5-5)

Date	Opponent	Result	ATS	O/U
Oct 29, 26	vs NYI	L 3-4	L -1.5	O 5.5
Oct 27, 26	@ UTA	W 3-1	W +1.5	U 6.5
Oct 25, 26	@ VAN	W 4-2	W -1.5	U 6.5
Oct 24, 26	@ SEA	W 5-1	W -1.5	U 6.5
Oct 22, 26	@ CGY	L 1-2	L -1.5	U 6.5
Oct 20, 26	@ EDM	L 3-4	W +1.5	O 6.5
Oct 18, 26	vs CBJ	W 2-1	L -1.5	U 6.5
Oct 15, 26	vs STL	W 5-4	L -1.5	O 5.5
Oct 13, 26	@ WPG	L 2-5	L -1.5	O 6.5
Oct 12, 26	vs VGK	W 4-2	W -1.5	O 5.5

Washington Capitals: last 10 (7-3, 4-6 ATS, O/U 7-3)

Date	Opponent	Result	ATS	O/U
Oct 29, 26	@ NSH	W 4-3	L -1.5	O 6.5
Oct 28, 26	vs PHI	W 5-2	W -1.5	O 5.5
Oct 24, 26	vs BUF	W 4-3	L -1.5	O 6.5
Oct 20, 26	vs LA	L 2-5	L -1.5	O 5.5
Oct 17, 26	vs NJ	W 4-2	W -1.5	U 6.5
Oct 14, 26	vs MTL	W 5-4	L -1.5	O 6.5
Oct 13, 26	@ CAR	L 2-4	L +1.5	U 6.5
Oct 11, 26	vs SEA	L 3-5	L -1.5	O 6.5
Oct 9, 26	vs NYR	W 3-1	W -1.5	U 5.5
Oct 7, 26	vs PIT	W 5-3	W -1.5	O 6.5

Injury report

Minnesota Wild

Nick Foligno (L): Injured Reserve, Upper Body
Marcus Foligno (L): Injured Reserve, Lower Body
Brock Faber (D): Injured Reserve, Faber
Jared Spurgeon (D): Injured Reserve, Lower Body
Filip Gustavsson (G): Injured Reserve, Head coach John Hynes said Sunday that Gustavsson

Washington Capitals

Vincent Desharnais (D): Injured Reserve, Abdomen
Rasmus Sandin (D): Injured Reserve, Sandin

Matchup ranks

What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.

	Wild defense	Capitals defense
Goals allowed per game	2.25 (3rd of 32)	3.23 (18th of 32)
Shots on goal allowed per game	25.25 (8th of 32)	28.08 (22nd of 32)
Points allowed per game	6 (3rd of 32)	8.62 (17th of 32)
Power-play points allowed per game	1.56 (9th of 32)	1.92 (15th of 32)
Pace (possessions)	56.1 (7th)	55.9 (11th)

Venue and weather

Capital One Arena · Washington, DCIndoor, weather won’t matter

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Wild vs Capitals odds

Line movement from the open

Line	Open	Close	Move
Capitals spread	-1.5	+1.5	+3
Total	6.5	6.5	–
Wild moneyline	-102	-122	+4.5% win chance
Capitals moneyline	-118	+102	-4.6% win chance

DraftKings opening and closing numbers via ESPN.

Line movement chart

Capitals spread -1.5 → +1.5

Total 6.5 → 6.5

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More on these teams: Dallas Stars vs Washington Capitals Nov 3 · Minnesota Wild vs Philadelphia Flyers Nov 3 · Washington Capitals vs Nashville Predators Oct 29 · New York Islanders vs Minnesota Wild Oct 29 · All NHL prop picks

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#	Team	W-L	PCT	GB
1	PHI	8-1	.889	-
2	DET	6-2	.750	1.5
3	BOS	6-2	.750	1.5
4	ATL	5-4	.556	3
5	TOR	4-4	.500	3.5
6	CLE	4-4	.500	3.5
7	NY	4-4	.500	3.5
8	WSH	4-4	.500	3.5
9	MIA	3-5	.375	4.5
10	CHA	3-6	.333	5
11	IND	3-6	.333	5
12	ORL	2-5	.286	5
13	BKN	2-6	.250	5.5
14	CHI	1-7	.125	6.5
15	MIL	1-7	.125	6.5

#	Team	W-L	PCT	GB
1	POR	6-1	.857	-
2	LAL	7-2	.778	-
3	HOU	7-2	.778	-
4	OKC	6-2	.750	0.5
5	SA	6-2	.750	0.5
6	MEM	6-2	.750	0.5
7	MIN	6-3	.667	1
8	GS	5-3	.625	1.5
9	DEN	4-3	.571	2
10	NO	4-4	.500	2.5
11	DAL	4-4	.500	2.5
12	PHX	1-5	.167	4.5
13	LAC	1-7	.125	5.5
14	UTAH	1-7	.125	5.5
15	SAC	1-7	.125	5.5

#	Team	W-L	PCT	STRK
1	BUF	6-1	.857	W3
2	DEN	6-2	.750	W4
3	PIT	6-2	.750	W4
4	JAX	5-2	.714	W1
5	KC	5-2	.714	L2
6	CIN	5-2	.714	W3
7	NE	5-3	.625	W1
8	CLE	5-3	.625	L1
9	LV	4-4	.500	W1
10	BAL	4-4	.500	L3
11	HOU	2-5	.286	L1
12	NYJ	2-6	.250	L3
13	IND	2-6	.250	L4
14	MIA	1-6	.143	L1
15	TEN	1-7	.125	L2
16	LAC	0-7	.000	L7

#	Team	W-L	PCT	STRK
1	SF	6-1	.857	L1
2	MIN	6-1	.857	L1
3	NYG	4-2-1	.643	W1
4	CAR	3-4	.429	L2
5	CHI	6-2	.750	W3
6	DET	5-2	.714	W3
7	GB	5-3	.625	W1
8	SEA	4-4	.500	L1
9	LAR	4-4	.500	W2
10	TB	3-5	.375	W2
11	ATL	3-5	.375	L1
12	ARI	3-5	.375	W1
13	DAL	3-5	.375	L1
14	WSH	2-4-1	.357	W1
15	NO	2-5	.286	L1
16	PHI	2-6	.250	L6

#	Team	Record
1	MIA	8-0
2	UGA	7-1
3	UTAH	8-0
4	ND	7-1
5	UCLA	8-0
6	IU	8-1
7	BYU	7-1
8	UK	7-1
9	ALA	6-2
10	TEX	6-2
11	OSU	6-2
12	MISS	6-2
13	TTU	7-1
14	WAKE	7-1
15	LSU	6-2
16	TENN	6-2
17	HOU	6-2
18	USC	7-2
19	MIZ	6-2
20	BOIS	7-1
21	IOWA	6-2
22	UNM	7-1
23	SC	5-3
24	ARIZ	6-2
25	FLA	5-3

#	Team	W-L	PTS	STRK
1	CAR	12-3-0	26	L1
2	BOS	11-4-0	23	W2
3	MTL	9-3-0	21	L1
4	OTT	10-6-0	21	W1
5	TB	9-3-0	20	W1
6	NJ	10-5-0	20	W2
7	FLA	9-5-0	20	W1
8	TOR	8-7-0	18	L1
9	BUF	7-5-0	17	L1
10	NYR	8-7-0	17	W1
11	DET	7-6-0	17	L1
12	WSH	8-6-0	16	L2
13	NYI	7-5-0	16	L1
14	CBJ	6-7-0	12	W1
15	PIT	5-8-0	12	L3
16	PHI	4-9-0	12	L1

#	Team	W-L	PTS	STRK
1	EDM	11-2-0	25	L1
2	MIN	11-3-0	25	W2
3	VGK	10-5-0	22	W1
4	UTA	10-6-0	20	W1
5	DAL	9-5-0	19	W2
6	SEA	9-5-0	19	W1
7	COL	9-6-0	19	L1
8	NSH	6-4-0	17	W2
9	STL	7-7-0	15	L1
10	ANA	7-7-0	15	W2
11	CGY	7-8-0	15	L1
12	SJ	7-9-0	15	L3
13	WPG	5-8-0	13	W1
14	LA	5-7-0	12	W1
15	CHI	4-11-0	9	L4
16	VAN	3-13-0	7	L3

#	Club	W-D-L	Pts	GD
1	ARS	8-0-1	24	+9
2	MCI	7-0-2	21	+10
3	BHA	6-1-2	19	+17
4	CHE	5-1-3	16	+4
5	LIV	4-3-2	15	+2
6	BRE	3-5-1	14	+7
7	EVE	3-4-2	13	0
8	BOU	3-3-3	12	+1
9	TOT	3-3-3	12	0
10	AVL	3-3-3	12	-3
11	Hull City	2-5-2	11	+1
12	LEE	2-5-2	11	+1
13	NEW	3-2-4	11	-3
14	IPS	3-2-4	11	-4
15	FUL	2-3-4	9	-2
16	Coventry	3-0-6	9	-7
17	MUN	1-4-4	7	-5
18	CRY	2-1-6	7	-12
19	NFO	1-3-5	6	-6
20	SUN	1-2-6	5	-10

#	Club	W-D-L	Pts	GD
1	BAR	10-0-1	30	+34
2	ATM	9-1-1	28	+14
3	RMA	9-0-2	27	+18
4	BET	7-2-2	23	+3
5	RSO	6-1-4	19	0
6	SEV	5-2-4	17	-2
7	ATH	4-3-3	15	+4
8	DEP	3-5-3	14	+1
9	VIL	3-3-5	12	0
10	CEL	2-6-3	12	0
11	ALA	3-3-5	12	-2
12	RAY	3-3-4	12	-5
13	GET	3-3-5	12	-8
14	ESY	3-2-6	11	-1
15	OSA	3-2-6	11	-11
16	RAC	3-2-6	11	-14
17	ELC	2-4-5	10	-4
18	LVT	2-4-5	10	-5
19	VAL	2-3-6	9	-9
20	MAL	0-5-6	5	-13

Final score by period

How the bets settled

Game review

Against the spread, start to finish

Top performers

Team stats

Box score

Minnesota Wild

Forwards

Defenses

Goalies

Washington Capitals

Forwards

Defenses

Goalies

Highlights

StatsBench picks

Betting trends

Wild vs Capitals pre-game preview

Player stats and form

Minnesota Wild

Washington Capitals

Records

Wild vs Capitals head-to-head

Recent form

Minnesota Wild: last 10 (6-4, 5-5 ATS, O/U 5-5)

Washington Capitals: last 10 (7-3, 4-6 ATS, O/U 7-3)

Injury report

Matchup ranks

Venue and weather

Wild vs Capitals odds

Line movement from the open

Line movement chart

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