Wizards vs Thunder Prediction, Starting Lineups & Player Props (Nov 7, 2026)

Final score by quarter

Team	1	2	3	4	T
Wizards	19	17	23	16	75
Thunder	25	32	33	24	114

How the bets settled

Closing line, DraftKings.

Game review

The Oklahoma City Thunder beat the Washington Wizards 114-75, taking control in the second quarter and blowing the game open in the third. Washington stayed within reach early, but Oklahoma City’s middle-stretch surge turned it into a one-sided game.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led Oklahoma City with 30 points and nine assists, while Isaiah Hartenstein grabbed 14 rebounds. Washington got 19 points from AJ Dybantsa, six assists from Kyshawn George and 14 rebounds from Alex Sarr. The Thunder shot 49 percent from the field to Washington’s 30 percent, posted a 33-20 assist edge and owned paint scoring 56-32, which explained the margin.

For bettors, Oklahoma City covered the 12.5-point closing spread by 26.5, and the game went under the 224.5 closing total by 35.5.

How the props finished

5 of 10 cleared

Player	Line	Price	Result
Aday Mara	Over 0.5 blocks	-300 Fanatics	3 Cleared
Alex Caruso	Over 0.5 threes made	-300 Kalshi	0 Missed
Trae Young	Over 11.5 rebounds + assists	-105 bet365	8 Missed
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	Over 0.5 blocks	-123 BetRivers	1 Cleared
Tre Johnson	Over 1.5 rebounds	-220 Hard Rock	0 Missed
Kenrich Williams	Over 0.5 threes made	-285 Kalshi	1 Cleared
AJ Dybantsa	Over 0.5 threes made	-178 Kalshi	1 Cleared
Bilal Coulibaly	Over 0.5 blocks	-120 bet365	0 Missed
Alexandre Sarr	Over 1.5 assists	-150 Kalshi	1 Missed
KyShawn George	Over 0.5 blocks	-159 BetParx	3 Cleared

Each player’s top line by recent hit rate before the game, graded against the box score. These are research lines, not posted picks.

Against the spread, start to finish

Win probability

Top performers

Team stats

WizardsThunder

30%FG%49%

16%3P%36%

67%FT%78%

47Rebounds55

20Assists33

32Points in the paint56

11Fast break points21

12Turnovers13

6Steals9

6Blocks7

1Biggest lead43

Box score

Washington WizardsOklahoma City Thunder

Washington Wizards

Player	MIN	PTS	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	TO	STL	BLK	OREB	DREB	PF	+/-
AJ Dybantsa F	31	19	7-15	1-5	4-6	6	3	3	0	0	2	4	2	-24
Kyshawn George F	30	14	5-16	2-8	2-2	7	6	1	0	3	2	5	4	-19
Alex Sarr C	28	15	7-17	1-9	0-0	14	1	0	0	0	5	9	1	-21
Trae Young G	28	4	1-6	0-1	2-3	5	3	1	1	0	1	4	2	-21
Bilal Coulibaly G	20	0	0-8	0-4	0-0	5	0	2	0	0	1	4	1	-19
Bench
Anthony Gill F	9	1	0-4	0-1	1-2	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	-5
Deandre Ayton C	7	2	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0	0	1	2	-6
Tre Mann G	18	2	1-5	0-2	0-0	0	2	1	2	2	0	0	0	-17
Bub Carrington G	21	9	3-5	3-3	0-0	6	1	1	2	1	2	4	0	-22
Will Riley G	20	5	2-5	0-3	1-2	2	1	0	0	0	1	1	2	-21
Tre Johnson G	28	4	2-15	0-7	0-0	0	3	1	1	0	0	0	2	-20
Khris Middleton	Did not play: Coach’s decision
Total		75	29-98	7-43	10-15	47	20	11	6	6	15	32	16

Team shooting: FG 30% · 3PT 16% · FT 67%

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player	MIN	PTS	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	TO	STL	BLK	OREB	DREB	PF	+/-
Isaiah Hartenstein C	18	2	1-5	0-0	0-0	14	6	0	2	0	3	11	1	+25
Aday Mara C	27	18	8-10	1-1	1-2	8	3	1	0	3	2	6	2	+17
Kenrich Williams G	23	9	3-7	1-2	2-3	4	2	0	0	0	1	3	0	+12
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander G	29	30	11-20	3-5	5-6	2	9	2	0	1	0	2	1	+21
Ajay Mitchell G	22	12	5-14	0-2	2-3	4	0	1	1	0	1	3	2	+12
Bench
Brooks Barnhizer F	8	2	1-2	0-0	0-0	4	3	2	0	1	1	3	1	+5
Alex Caruso G	13	0	0-2	0-2	0-0	3	3	0	1	0	0	3	1	+18
Micah Peavy G	23	7	3-6	1-3	0-0	3	0	0	3	0	0	3	1	+20
Dalen Terry G	6	2	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	2	1	0	0	2	0	+3
Jared McCain G	23	19	8-10	2-4	1-1	5	2	2	1	1	1	4	0	+22
Josh Dix G	21	2	1-3	0-1	0-0	1	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	+17
Bennett Stirtz G	29	11	3-12	2-8	3-3	5	3	0	0	1	1	4	1	+23
Total		114	45-92	10-28	14-18	55	33	10	9	7	10	45	11

Team shooting: FG 49% · 3PT 36% · FT 78%

Attendance 18,203 · Officials: Karl Lane, Nick Buchert, Scott Twardoski

Recap: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Thunder rout the poor-shooting Wizards 114-75 (ESPN)

Highlights

• Kenrich Williams gets the basket plus the foul (ESPN)
• Deandre Ayton skies for big jam (ESPN)
• Alex Sarr elevates for flush (ESPN)
• Kyshawn George denies Oklahoma City Thunder with stuff (ESPN)

Play-by-play on ESPN

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this game. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Betting trends

• The over is 3-7 in Wizards’ last 10 games.
• Thunder have covered the spread in 3 straight games.
• Wizards are 0-6 in the last 6 meetings with the Thunder.

From each team’s last 10 games and recent meetings, against the closing line.

Affiliate link: StatsBench may earn a commission if you sign up. 18+ (21+ where required); availability depends on where you live.

Wizards vs Thunder pre-game preview

Saturday’s NBA slate includes Washington at Oklahoma City, where the market lists Oklahoma City as a -620 moneyline favorite, a -12.5 spread and a 224.5 total; the opening line was OKC -11.5 with a 220.5 total.

The last meeting was March 21, 2026, a 132-111 Oklahoma City win in Washington. Washington is 4-5 overall and 5-4 ATS this season, 4-6 and 5-5 ATS over its last 10, and most recently lost 132-139 at Atlanta on November 6. Oklahoma City is 7-2 and 6-3 ATS, 7-3 and 6-4 ATS over its last 10, and most recently won 128-97 at Memphis on November 6.

Oklahoma City’s injury report is the main context: Cason Wallace, Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren, Jaylin Williams, Thomas Sorber and Nikola Topic are out. The defense ranks show Oklahoma City allowing 107.4 points per game, fifth fewest, while Washington allows 112.3, 12th, and the pace is nearly even at 100.9 and 101.1. In props, Anthony Davis over 19.5 points plus assists at -160 cleared in 9 of last 10, with a StatsBench projection of 25.8; Aday Mara over 0.5 blocks at -300 cleared 9 of 9, with a projection of 2.

Records

Team	Record	ATS	O/U	Home	Away
Wizards	4-5	5-4	2-7	2-2	2-3
Thunder	7-2	6-3	3-6	4-0	3-2

This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.

Wizards vs Thunder head-to-head

Wizards are 0-6, 1-0 ATS, O/U 1-0 in the last 6 meetings. Last time: Wizards lost 111-132 on March 21, 2026.

Recent form

Washington Wizards: last 10 (4-6, 5-5 ATS, O/U 3-7)

Oklahoma City Thunder: last 10 (7-3, 6-4 ATS, O/U 4-6)

Injury report

No injuries listed for either team in our data as of 1:31 AM ET.

Matchup ranks

What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.

Venue and weather

Wizards vs Thunder odds

Line movement from the open

DraftKings opening and closing numbers via ESPN.

Line movement chart